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AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/16/2010 10:50:16 PM   
Brain


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Status: offline 		FTA:

By a margin of 47 percent to 42 percent, people trust them more than Republicans to guide the economy, and slightly more — 64 percent — say their household budgets are in good shape.

In addition, people want Democrats to win control of Congress by a 46 percent to 39 percent margin. That is the second straight month in which Democrats have held a delicate advantage on that question since April, when 44 percent preferred Republicans and 41 percent picked Democrats.

"When Clinton was in office, we were doing exceptionally well. Then Republicans got in office and we are where we are," said Daniel Lowery, 23, a warehouse worker from Fostoria, Ohio, who wants Democrats to continue leading the House and Senate.


AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats

There's encouraging news for Democrats battling to retain control of Congress in this fall's elections, with the party holding a slender edge in public trust for shepherding the economy and small gains in those saying their finances are healthy, according to a new poll.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100616/ap_on_el_ge/us_ap_poll_congressional_elections
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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/16/2010 11:20:51 PM   
Fellow


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Status: offline 		Polls and other random stupidity?

(in reply to Brain)
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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 12:31:23 AM   
Brain


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FTA:

The AP-GfK Poll involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1,044 randomly chosen adults and was conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications from June 9-14. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 7:20:55 AM   
thishereboi


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Brain

No,

FTA:

The AP-GfK Poll involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1,044 randomly chosen adults and was conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications from June 9-14. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.



They polled 1,044 people out of the 309,519,000 living in the us and they think they have an accurate picture of things?


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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 7:36:07 AM   
servantforuse


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Status: offline 		Words of wisdom from Daniel Lowery, 23. He was 6 years old when Clinton was elected president. Of course things were fine. He was in first grade.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 8:17:32 AM   
rulemylife


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quote:

ORIGINAL: thishereboi

They polled 1,044 people out of the 309,519,000 living in the us and they think they have an accurate picture of things?



So then the next time a poll comes out that supports a conservative/Republican position we can put you in the I don't think that's accurate column?

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 8:26:31 AM   
mnottertail


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quote:

ORIGINAL: servantforuse

Words of wisdom from Daniel Lowery, 23. He was 6 years old when Clinton was elected president. Of course things were fine. He was in first grade.


And then the Bush years.......

Yes.  I see what you mean.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 10:11:53 AM   
popeye1250


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Status: offline 		Brain, we'll have the real poll in November. That poll is 100 % accurate. No "accurate to +/ - 3-5 points."

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 11:39:17 AM   
Jeffff


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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/17/2010 7:33:45 PM   
thishereboi


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Status: offline 		If they only ask 1000 people, then yes, you can.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 4:44:42 PM   
luckydawg


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Status: offline 		well the poll is not incredibly accurate, simply becase there is no national election for congress. There are hundreds of individual elections.


But the poll is reasonably accurate, and can be compared to other similar polls.

A sample of 1000 is suficient if honestly chosen.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 4:48:51 PM   
rulemylife


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quote:

ORIGINAL: thishereboi

If they only ask 1000 people, then yes, you can.


And how many people are you under the impression that most other polls ask?

This is pretty standard.

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 4:49:58 PM   
luckydawg


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Status: offline 		Another thing to remeber about polls is that they can be based on the general Public, or on likely voters.


Likely voter polls (if honestly done) are always more accurate, and lean to the right compared to the general public.


This is a random adult poll. So you have to add 3-5 points to the right.




" Even so, there's plenty in the poll to encourage Republicans, and nothing that contradicts many analysts' views that the

GOP has a solid shot of capturing majorities of one or both chambers of Congress.

The public's anti-Washington mood remains robust, with 55 percent saying they want a

new member of Congress — bad news for Democrats with more incumbents to defend. While Republicans strongly prefer a fresh face, Democrats are divided about evenly over whether they want to re-elect their current representatives and 6 in 10 independents want someone new — all ominous signs for congressional Democrats.

In addition, a low 24 percent approve of how Congress is doing its job, a hefty 72 percent still say the nation's economy is in poor condition, and 77 percent consider huge

federal budget deficits a top concern."


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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 5:13:16 PM   
rulemylife


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quote:

ORIGINAL: luckydawg

Another thing to remeber about polls is that they can be based on the general Public, or on likely voters.

Likely voter polls (if honestly done) are always more accurate, and lean to the right compared to the general public.



Do you have a poll to support that?

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 7:13:35 PM   
Brain


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That is how all polls are done. It is too costly to survey 300 million people when you are conducting a poll. Obviously you know nothing about statistics. I suggest you go to college and take some university courses.

quote:

ORIGINAL: thishereboi

quote:

ORIGINAL: Brain

No,

FTA:

The AP-GfK Poll involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1,044 randomly chosen adults and was conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications from June 9-14. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.



They polled 1,044 people out of the 309,519,000 living in the us and they think they have an accurate picture of things?



(in reply to thishereboi)
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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 7:17:54 PM   
Brain


Posts: 3792
Joined: 2/14/2007
Status: offline 		Yes, and I will be looking forward to AlvinGreen defeating Jim DeMent.


quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Brain, we'll have the real poll in November. That poll is 100 % accurate. No "accurate to +/ - 3-5 points."


(in reply to popeye1250)
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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 7:22:02 PM   
Brain


Posts: 3792
Joined: 2/14/2007
Status: offline 		Fortunately, most people will not defer to your 'expert'scientific analysis.



quote:

ORIGINAL: luckydawg

well the poll is not incredibly accurate, simply becase there is no national election for congress. There are hundreds of individual elections.


But the poll is reasonably accurate, and can be compared to other similar polls.

A sample of 1000 is suficient if honestly chosen.


(in reply to luckydawg)
Profile   Post #: 17
RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 7:24:21 PM   
Brain


Posts: 3792
Joined: 2/14/2007
Status: offline 		I don't remember anything like that when I took statistics so I don't know what you're talking about.

quote:

ORIGINAL: luckydawg

Another thing to remeber about polls is that they can be based on the general Public, or on likely voters.


Likely voter polls (if honestly done) are always more accurate, and lean to the right compared to the general public.


This is a random adult poll. So you have to add 3-5 points to the right.




" Even so, there's plenty in the poll to encourage Republicans, and nothing that contradicts many analysts' views that the

GOP has a solid shot of capturing majorities of one or both chambers of Congress.

The public's anti-Washington mood remains robust, with 55 percent saying they want a

new member of Congress — bad news for Democrats with more incumbents to defend. While Republicans strongly prefer a fresh face, Democrats are divided about evenly over whether they want to re-elect their current representatives and 6 in 10 independents want someone new — all ominous signs for congressional Democrats.

In addition, a low 24 percent approve of how Congress is doing its job, a hefty 72 percent still say the nation's economy is in poor condition, and 77 percent consider huge

federal budget deficits a top concern."



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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 7:26:11 PM   
Gheaust


Posts: 6
Joined: 11/8/2005
Status: offline 		And most people don't believe AP polls either.. due to notorious democrat bias.  Just like Rasmussen and zogby lean to the left.

The issue, of course is the sample.   Which is like the ny democrat that could n't believe bush won, because she didn't know a soul that voted for him....

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RE: AP-GfK Poll bolsters congressional Democrats - 6/18/2010 8:54:12 PM   
servantforuse


Posts: 6363
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Status: offline 		Alvin Green might not be in the race. He just might be charged with a felony..

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