Last week for predictions.... (Full Version)

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pogo4pres -> Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 5:17:09 PM)

This is what I posted in a different thread on 30 July 2010, I wonder if anyone else had the cajones to make a prediction then and stick to it as of today. 

OK here is MY prediction for the mid-terms, the GOP is going to pick up seats, but not enough to really make a difference, in the house I am saying the GOP gains 21 seats, not a great thing for the progress of the nation, but not a devastating defeat like 1994.  I also  predict the GOP will gain 1-3 seats in the Senate, and quite possibly ZERO, but let us go with my max of 3, now in the senate 3 seats would be a major setback as the party of NO, HELL NO, and NO F--KING WAY already can bottle up legislation holding  only 41 seats.  This should prove to be quite the interesting election.

What were YOU saying in July??


Politically,
Some Knucklehead in NJ




servantforuse -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 5:21:41 PM)

Here are mine...GOP picks up 52 seats in the House. 7 seats in the Senate..




CruelNUnsual -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 6:17:25 PM)

Same as servant in the house, I'll be bold and say Fiorina eeks one out when the Prop 19 coalition is too stoned to go to the polls for +8 seats in the Senate. Dont know that I made any predictions here in July but if I did I was more confident in the Senate and less confident in the House at the time. There is almost no chance that the GOP doesnt pick up the House. If you think there is, sell all your stocks this week.




DomKen -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 6:37:13 PM)

Just get used to Speaker Pelosi and with any luck Majority Leader Durbin.




Elisabella -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 8:01:52 PM)

My prediction is that every single Tea Party candidate will lose.

Rand Paul is the only one who even remotely stands a chance and that has more to do with his father than him.




servantforuse -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 8:03:29 PM)

That will not happen..




Elisabella -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 8:13:21 PM)

Meh you can vote how you want, it's just my prediction.




TheHeretic -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 9:15:46 PM)

The prediction then is pretty much the prediction now, only with more confidence. A wave is coming, and the Democrats will lose the House. Catch me drinking, and I'll make 1894 jokes (the Republicans gained well over 100 seats).

I think the best outcome would be about a 50 seat shift to the Republicans in the House, 6 or 7 in the Senate. That yanks the pursestrings shut, maybe without convincing the Repubs that they now have an obligation to "get" the President.

What I think would be best, usually isn't what I think is going to happen. My hunch is that a lot more seats than that are going to change hands. I'll watch Barney Frank next week. If he goes down, he'll be the canary for a lot more.




rulemylife -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 9:40:43 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

The prediction then is pretty much the prediction now, only with more confidence. A wave is coming, and the Democrats will lose the House. Catch me drinking, and I'll make 1894 jokes (the Republicans gained well over 100 seats).

I think the best outcome would be about a 50 seat shift to the Republicans in the House, 6 or 7 in the Senate. That yanks the pursestrings shut, maybe without convincing the Repubs that they now have an obligation to "get" the President.

What I think would be best, usually isn't what I think is going to happen. My hunch is that a lot more seats than that are going to change hands. I'll watch Barney Frank next week. If he goes down, he'll be the canary for a lot more.


Is this anything like your hunch, well I really shouldn't even use that word, it would be more appropriate to say your declaration that McCain choosing Palin won him the election?




TheHeretic -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/26/2010 9:42:25 PM)

No. That was me drinking! [:D]




truckinslave -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 7:59:06 AM)

9 Senate
75 House




rulemylife -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 8:03:56 AM)

 
quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

No. That was me drinking! [:D]


I can't complain about that.

[sm=chug.gif]







DarkSteven -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 8:49:06 AM)

The biggest speculation locally is whether Maes will abandon his gubernatorial bid. He's siphoning votes from Tancredo. I suspect that Hickenlooper would won anyway but right now he can't.




DarkSteven -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 9:39:19 AM)

The biggest speculation locally is whether Maes will abandon his gubernatorial bid. He's siphoning votes from Tancredo. I suspect that Hickenlooper would won anyway but right now he can't.




PatrickG38 -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 9:46:08 AM)

28 house, 6 Senate gains by Republicans at the cost of potentially fatal damage to the Party




MrRodgers -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 10:32:42 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

The prediction then is pretty much the prediction now, only with more confidence. A wave is coming, and the Democrats will lose the House. Catch me drinking, and I'll make 1894 jokes (the Republicans gained well over 100 seats).

I think the best outcome would be about a 50 seat shift to the Republicans in the House, 6 or 7 in the Senate. That yanks the pursestrings shut, maybe without convincing the Repubs that they now have an obligation to "get" the President.

What I think would be best, usually isn't what I think is going to happen. My hunch is that a lot more seats than that are going to change hands. I'll watch Barney Frank next week. If he goes down, he'll be the canary for a lot more.

Trust me when I tell you that the repubs of 1894 were nothing at all like the repubs of 2010. At that time...they were the progressives and would be considered almost liberal by today's repub standards. For example...

Imagine...the repub platform from 1894:
“If you are willing to take for security the promise of a party upon which no man can safely bank and which no man can safely discount, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you will trust a party which has always done better than it promised then vote the Republican ticket.

If you wish to join the party of slavery and disunion, of rebellion of bankruptcy, of failure and despair then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you wish to join a party of progress, of union, of freedom and victory and hope, then vote the Republican ticket.

If you want the mortgage on your house foreclosed you had better vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want it paid off you had better vote the Republican.

If you want wages to go down, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want wages to go up then vote the Republican ticket.

If you like three days’ work in the week better than six then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you like six days better than three then vote the Republican.

If you like to have two men for one job vote the Democratic ticket.

If you like to have two jobs for one man, then vote the Republican ticket.

If you want your mills managed by college professors, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want them managed by business men, then vote the Republican ticket.”

Oh, BTW, the repubs will likely win a few seats as almost always occurs in the first mid-terms with a new pres. They however, will NOT win any majority in either house and all of the conjecture is basically irrelevent because Obama isn't going anywhere.




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 11:22:26 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

Just get used to Speaker Pelosi .


Wanna bet?




truckinslave -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/27/2010 3:09:46 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

The prediction then is pretty much the prediction now, only with more confidence. A wave is coming, and the Democrats will lose the House. Catch me drinking, and I'll make 1894 jokes (the Republicans gained well over 100 seats).

I think the best outcome would be about a 50 seat shift to the Republicans in the House, 6 or 7 in the Senate. That yanks the pursestrings shut, maybe without convincing the Repubs that they now have an obligation to "get" the President.

What I think would be best, usually isn't what I think is going to happen. My hunch is that a lot more seats than that are going to change hands. I'll watch Barney Frank next week. If he goes down, he'll be the canary for a lot more.

Trust me when I tell you that the repubs of 1894 were nothing at all like the repubs of 2010. At that time...they were the progressives and would be considered almost liberal by today's repub standards. For example...

Imagine...the repub platform from 1894:
“If you are willing to take for security the promise of a party upon which no man can safely bank and which no man can safely discount, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you will trust a party which has always done better than it promised then vote the Republican ticket.

If you wish to join the party of slavery and disunion, of rebellion of bankruptcy, of failure and despair then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you wish to join a party of progress, of union, of freedom and victory and hope, then vote the Republican ticket.

If you want the mortgage on your house foreclosed you had better vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want it paid off you had better vote the Republican.

If you want wages to go down, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want wages to go up then vote the Republican ticket.

If you like three days’ work in the week better than six then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you like six days better than three then vote the Republican.

If you like to have two men for one job vote the Democratic ticket.

If you like to have two jobs for one man, then vote the Republican ticket.

If you want your mills managed by college professors, then vote the Democratic ticket.

If you want them managed by business men, then vote the Republican ticket.”

Oh, BTW, the repubs will likely win a few seats as almost always occurs in the first mid-terms with a new pres. They however, will NOT win any majority in either house and all of the conjecture is basically irrelevent because Obama isn't going anywhere.



Just in case there is anyone... naive... enough to think you posted, above, the Republican platform from 1894 or any other year, I will post it below:

THE REPUBLICAN PLATFORM.

The principles of the Republicans of Massachusetts are as well known as the Commonwealth itself; well known as the Republic; well known as Liberty; well known as Justice.

Chief among them are:

An equal share in government for every citizen;

Best possible wages for every workman;

The American markets for American labor;

Every dollar paid by the Government, both the gold and silver dollars of the Constitution, and their paper representatives, honest and unchanging in value and equal to every other;

Better immigration laws;

Better naturalization laws;

No tramp, Anarchist, criminal or pauper to be let in, so that citizenship shall not be stained or polluted.

Sympathy with Liberty and Republican government at home and abroad;

Americanism everywhere;

The flag never lowered or dishonored;

No surrender in Samoa;

No barbarous Queen beheading men in Hawaii;

No lynching;

No punishment without trial;

Faith kept with the pensioner;

No deserving old soldier in the poor house;

The suppression of dram drinking and dram selling;

A school at the public charge open to all the children, and free from partisan or sectarian control;

No distinction of birth or religious creed in the rights of American citizenship;

Devotion paramount and supreme to the country and to the flag;

Clean politics;

Pure administration;

No lobby;

Reform of old abuses;

Leadership along loftier paths;

Minds ever open to the sunlight and the morning, ever open to new truth and new duty as the new years bring their lessons.

The Fitchburg Sentinel (Fitchburg, Massachusetts) Oct 23, 1894


You can't make this shit up.
Selah






domiguy -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/28/2010 11:26:28 AM)

I think the tea party will get their asses handed to them. People are beginning to understand what they are. Thye are nothing and promise NOTHING...They understand that they are supported by people like popeye.

That should be enougt to turn the staunchest of conservatives away.

I think this fighting is going to fall on a lot of deaf ears when people actually cast their votes. They understand what has transpired and where the blame falls.

The Repuiblicans will end up being very disappointed. I am rarely wrong.

First time wrong ? It's possible, but highly doubtful.




DomYngBlk -> RE: Last week for predictions.... (10/28/2010 11:43:08 AM)

I am thinking Texas in 6 games




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