Israel to attack Iran this Fall (Full Version)

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provfivetine -> Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 5:52:23 PM)

CIA Agent Robert Baer has stated that Israel will attack Iran sometime this Fall. Apparently, Israel has been wanting to do this for some time now, but Robert Gates, who used his influence during the Bush and Obama administrations to thwart any potential attack, is now out. Now that he's gone, "there is a warning order inside the Pentagon to prepare for war."

See this naval positioning map, courtesy of Stratfor: [image]http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/draghi/Naval_Update_7_13_11_800.jpg[/image]

Zerohedge is also reporting on an interesting development. From the article:

quote:

"The most recently updated naval map from Stratfor demonstrates, the CVN 77 G.H.W. Bush has just entered the Persian Gulf, the first time a US aircraft carrier has passed through the Straits of Hormuz in months What is also notable is that the LHD 5 Bataan amphibious warfare ship has just weighed anchor right next to Libya: this is odd since the coast of Tripoli had been left unattended for many weeks by US attack ships.

And topping it all off is that a third aircraft carrier, the CVN 73, is sailing west from the South China seas, potentially with a target next to CVN 76 Ronald Reagan which is the second carrier in the Straits of Hormuz area. There is a warning order inside the Pentagon" to prepare for war."

The punchline: "There is almost "near certainty" that Netanyahu is "planning an attack [on Iran] ... and it will probably be in September before the vote on a Palestinian state. And he's also hoping to draw the United States into the conflict..."


Here's the kicker... Nouriel Roubini (The world's most connected man in finance) tweeted this link. He generally doesn't comment on foreign relations outside of finance in public.

I could be completely wrong, but I have a hunch that there will be an Israeli attack sometime in September, and that the US will (somehow) be drawn into it.




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:05:58 PM)

It will be very difficult to get Obama to commit much to Israel's defense. He will publicly condemn an attack (he's got a Peace Prize to defend, lol) and only commit more than behind the scenes $$ should Israel appear unable to accomplish whatever their mission might be.




tweakabelle -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:25:05 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy

It will be very difficult to get Obama to commit much to Israel's defense. He will publicly condemn an attack (he's got a Peace Prize to defend, lol) and only commit more than behind the scenes $$ should Israel appear unable to accomplish whatever their mission might be.

Really WIllbur, what planet are you on?

Launching an unprovoked, unnecessary and probably unsuccessful attack on a country thousands of kilometres away, with no means of attacking Israel, a country that has for the duration of the current regime never invaded any one else (unlike Israel), on dubious grounds is an act of defence?

Any Israeli attack on Iran (with or without US support) will be a belligerent aggressive act of war. It runs the risk of plunging the entire region into full scale war. And it's far from clear that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons anyway.

It will deflect attention away from Israel's other aggressions, particularly it's ongoing colonisation and theft of the West Bank that is fast rendering a Two State solution impossible - Israel's real policy goal.




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:28:04 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle


Really WIllbur, what planet are you on?

Launching an unprovoked, unnecessary and probably unsuccessful attack on a country thousands of kilometres away, with no means of attacking Israel,


What planet are you on? Youre 1 for 5 in that short sentence fragment.




Owner59 -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:28:33 PM)

So who are the diabolic secret forces pulling these strings behind the scenes?

The Bilderberg Group?


Oh no wait......


The Illuminati........are behind it.[sm=abducted.gif]


Maybe rich can pin it on the new black panter party.......




TheHeretic -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:33:37 PM)

Careful now, Squealer.  You know what happens every time you try and get out ahead of the talking points.  You just aren't good with that stuff.  After your fiasco with whether or not liberals support free speech, maybe you should go hit a remedial seminar or five. 





willbeurdaddy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 6:41:04 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

Careful now, Squealer.  You know what happens every time you try and get out ahead of the talking points.  You just aren't good with that stuff.  After your fiasco with whether or not liberals support free speech, maybe you should go hit a remedial seminar or five. 




As long as he doesnt have to cross the street to get to them.




rawtape -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 7:03:46 PM)

Some of you might recall that I had posted about such a possibility earlier, with the recent retirements of Chief of Mossad Meir Dagan, Army Chief of Staff Gabi Ashkenazi, Chief of Shin Bet Yuval Diskin, and Amos Yadlin, director of military intelligence, all of whom had blocked attempts by Netanyahu and Barak to attack Iran.

Note that, from Netanyahu and Ehud Barak's perspectives, this might be considered a feasible tactic to try to counter the UN General Assembly vote on Palestinian statehood, since Iran would be expected to retaliate, using Hamas, Hizbollah, and its clients/vassals in Iraq, thus once again painting the Palestinians as violent terrorists.

The fact that this could draw the US into an engagement that it is not prepared for (despite the positioning of CVN77), block the Strait of Hormuz and result in a global recession is well, just collateral damage that Netanyahu and Barak are willing to live with.

We can hope that saner heads will prevail, but I am not optimistic.




domiguy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 7:17:49 PM)

Okay...I am willing once again to take bets. That an unprovoked attack by Israel upon Iran will not occur in the next 12 months.

you people are idiots.




Owner59 -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 7:27:49 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

Careful now, Squealer.  You know what happens every time you try and get out ahead of the talking points.  You just aren't good with that stuff.  After your fiasco with whether or not liberals support free speech, maybe you should go hit a remedial seminar or five. 



Sorry sore loser/debate champ,there wasn`t any is questions about liberal`s support free speech or any part of the Constitution for that matter.


It`s the whiny loser neo-cons like yourself who`re constitutionally challenged.


You neo-cons urinated on our Constitution for 8 bush years.


[8|]


You want there to be an attack,don`t you,neo-con?


No wonder you`re chiming in.Some things like con war mongers never change.


Oh and for the dummies,oil is what`s going to keep Israel from attacking Iran.




rawtape -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 7:33:35 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: domiguy
Okay...I am willing once again to take bets. That an unprovoked attack by Israel upon Iran will not occur in the next 12 months.
you people are idiots.

Why don't you first define what you consider provocation, DG? And give us examples of the provocations that led to pre-emptive attacks on the Syrian nuclear plant (Operation Orchard) and the Iraqi Osirak reactor (Operation Babylon)?




rawtape -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 7:49:38 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
Oh and for the dummies,oil is what`s going to keep Israel from attacking Iran.

Again, if Dagan, Askenazi, and Diskin were at their original posts, I would be fine with that reasoning. But now it's only Netanyahu and Barak with no one to rein them in. And Netanyahu has already demonstrated how much he "respects" Obama. Obviously, I hope this does not come to pass, but I am not confident.




TheHeretic -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 8:10:15 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

Sorry sore loser/debate champ,there wasn`t any is questions about liberal`s support free speech or any part of the Constitution for that matter.




Here is your lie, you lying liar with nothing but lies.  You have so many lies, you can't even keep your personal attack garnish straight.



quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
And you`re so full of shit on the WBC comment.



Show me one liberal who has defended them,here or anywhere, you low class liar.


I'm going to shove your face into this, over and over and over again, O59.  Domiguy and Wilbur will find their common ground in pity for you, by the time you vanish on election day, again.




Sanity -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 8:28:12 PM)


How can there be any doubt that leftists cant stand free speech

Its got to be a new record that we havent seen a crush Limbaugh or destroy FOX NEWS thread for a couple of days now

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

Sorry sore loser/debate champ,there wasn`t any is questions about liberal`s support free speech or any part of the Constitution for that matter.




Here is your lie, you lying liar with nothing but lies.  You have so many lies, you can't even keep your personal attack garnish straight.



quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
And you`re so full of shit on the WBC comment.



Show me one liberal who has defended them,here or anywhere, you low class liar.


I'm going to shove your face into this, over and over and over again, O59.  Domiguy and Wilbur will find their common ground in pity for you, by the time you vanish on election day, again.




Owner59 -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 8:40:23 PM)

I didn`t see any liberals defending the WBC.Done....

You can`t even read debate champ.

Look at ya all fired up....

Pathetic.

Couple of whiner losers.....who are hijacking for what?




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 8:45:01 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

.  Domiguy and Wilbur will find their common ground in pity for you, by the time you vanish on election day, again.


Well thats 2 things that will never happen!




TheHeretic -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 9:10:53 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
who are hijacking for what?



You're the one who chose to invoke me on the thread, with another lie, Squealer.

As for Israel going preemptive on Iran, I'd rather not see it, but that unacceptable Iranian nuke could easily destabilize the region even more dramatically than a successful strike. 




Owner59 -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 9:13:23 PM)

oh my......<shakes head>




tweakabelle -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 9:24:23 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: rawtape

quote:

ORIGINAL: domiguy
Okay...I am willing once again to take bets. That an unprovoked attack by Israel upon Iran will not occur in the next 12 months.
you people are idiots.

Why don't you first define what you consider provocation, DG? And give us examples of the provocations that led to pre-emptive attacks on the Syrian nuclear plant (Operation Orchard) and the Iraqi Osirak reactor (Operation Babylon)?

Given that the consensus among US Intelligence Agencies (who are preseumably viewing the same intelligence as Mossad and Netanyahu) is that Iran is NOT building a necular weapons program, won't any attack on Iran under the pretext of "preventing/destroying Iranian nuclear capability' be an unprovoked attack?

The only way I can see this changing is if (a) definitive evidence of an Iranian nuclear weapons program emerges and (b) if Israel was under clear and immediate threat of attack from such weapons. Even if (a) turns out to be correct, unless Israel is under immediate threat, there is still no justification for an attack. Attacking another country just because it has weapons one side fears is completely unacceptable. The threat of attack has to be clear, credible, and imminent. All other alternatives must be exhausted first.

As Israel has been consistently predicting the imminent nuclear arming of Iran since 1992 at least, I would suggest that Israeli pronouncements on this issue be taken with a large pinch of salt. Their track record to date reads: 100% wrong.




willbeurdaddy -> RE: Israel to attack Iran this Fall (7/31/2011 9:29:04 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

Given that the consensus among US Intelligence Agencies (who are preseumably viewing the same intelligence as Mossad and Netanyahu) is that Iran is NOT building a necular weapons program, won't any attack on Iran under the pretext of "preventing/destroying Iranian nuclear capability' be an unprovoked attack?



Interesting, since you are so quick to dismiss those same agencies' intelligence on WMDs in Iraq.




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