MileHighM
Posts: 400
Joined: 10/8/2009 Status: offline
|
I understand, mostly because we are over 20% GDP in spending, especially when we should be far below that number. Considering spending is so high we should just cut in the long term (agreed). But, I don't see, as ben stein put it on a fox interview, how we can avoid raising taxes with the amount of debt that we have. We need to pay down principle soon and fast. However, if you are going to raise taxes that ratio should be the guideline based on historical data. The 1:1.5 is woefully inadequate. quote:
ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy quote:
ORIGINAL: MileHighM quote:
ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy quote:
ORIGINAL: MileHighM A month back the Wall Street Journal, discussed that historically tax hikes were not damaging to the markets or economy.....IF AND ONLY IF, they were balanced proportionally with spending cuts at about 1:6. Meaning, if you raise taxes/revenues 1$ you cut spending by 6$. This has been true both on the federal and local government levels, whenever spending was at dangerous levels. In fact, the economy benefitted from the action, because business leaders felt the government was being responsible and stabilizing. Hmmm, the numbers dont sound right. Do you have a link to the article or a date? Mustve been when I was in Vegas. This is one you might be interested in MHM: All you have to do is maintain a policy that every debt ceiling increase is matched with a spending cut dollar for dollar (the "Boehner rule") and the budget will be balanced by 2021 without any tax increases. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111903341404576483791295988516.html W, You made me work hard for this...It was hard to find: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303823104576391331356123692.html?KEYWORDS=5+1+cuts+tax Thanks for the effort. However, this statement of yours is not what the article says: IF AND ONLY IF, they were balanced proportionally with spending cuts at about 1:6. Meaning, if you raise taxes/revenues 1$ you cut spending by 6$. It notes anecdotally that successful deficit reduction programs AVERAGED a 5 or 6:1 cuts to taxes. It does not say that there is success IF AND ONLY IF. Thats what didnt make sense to me. In fact it says very clearly: " Cut spending, don't raise taxes." Not "raise taxes in a 5:1 ratio". In fairness, though the average in those programs may have been in those ratios, that isnt even necessary for a net positive economic impact. Using Obama's former advisor's and her husband's numbers, the economic multiplier on taxation is about -1.5 times the economic multiplier on spending. Ie for every dollar of spending CUTS that is matched by a a dollar in tax INCREASES. There is still a positive economic impact of about $.50. Other economists believe the multiplier is significantly higher. Empircal studies show that it is above 2, although, again in fairness, that includes capital gains rates cuts which have much more immediate and positive impact than other tax changes.
|