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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 9:37:44 AM   
lockedaway


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No, I didn't have a stop loss order.  But I am away from that game entirely these days.  There is very little paper that I am all that interested in getting into.  I'm a novice and I know it and the real estate pays off consistently and moves much slower. 

I was called Tazzy naive for believing that the requirement of having to put your health benefits on your taxes was not the first step to taxing them.  Taxing health benefits is on the news today as an alternative to raising all brackets.  Mortgage interest deduction is being discussed as well.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 9:51:55 AM   
tj444


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quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
No, I didn't have a stop loss order.  But I am away from that game entirely these days.  There is very little paper that I am all that interested in getting into.  I'm a novice and I know it and the real estate pays off consistently and moves much slower. 

I was called Tazzy naive for believing that the requirement of having to put your health benefits on your taxes was not the first step to taxing them.  Taxing health benefits is on the news today as an alternative to raising all brackets.  Mortgage interest deduction is being discussed as well.

Yes, I know that you dont play the stock market any more and that you focus on real estate. I dont like stocks per se, I like something that moves faster so I tend to like the riskier stuff in that arena. But I love real estate. I think IRAs are useless and that all a person has to do is buy one rental property (in addition to their residence) and hold it forever.

The mortgage interest deduction isnt really of any matter for those that have rental properties, it is a deduction against rent/income and always will be. Imo, if the govt removes the interest deduction on personal residences then there should be no tax on any profits either, like it is done in Canada. I am not sure that the interest deduction thingie will go any further than discussion, imo its political suicide for any politician that would support it.

_____________________________

As Anderson Cooper said “If he (Trump) took a dump on his desk, you would defend it”

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 10:03:49 AM   
lockedaway


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You know, I would think it would be political suicide too.  But then I think it is political suicide and economic suicide to seriously consider raising any taxes on individuals in an economy like this.  But the one thing that I have been right about all along is whichever is the worst path for the U.S., Obama chooses it.  And so, I seriously expect tax deductions that benefit lower middle class America on up are going to be on the butcher block.

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Profile   Post #: 223
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 10:14:50 AM   
tj444


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quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
You know, I would think it would be political suicide too.  But then I think it is political suicide and economic suicide to seriously consider raising any taxes on individuals in an economy like this.  But the one thing that I have been right about all along is whichever is the worst path for the U.S., Obama chooses it.  And so, I seriously expect tax deductions that benefit lower middle class America on up are going to be on the butcher block.

Imo, it doesnt really matter who the President is, the way its set up everything is designed to fail due to one party controlling one side and the other party controlling the other side. They all end up selling out to get some severely watered down useless shit passed that claims to be progress but is anything but.

I dont know what the politicians will do, but whatever it turns out to be, people will find the loopholes and go thru in droves.. that is what always happens..

_____________________________

As Anderson Cooper said “If he (Trump) took a dump on his desk, you would defend it”

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Profile   Post #: 224
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 12:31:28 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tj444


quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
You know, I would think it would be political suicide too.  But then I think it is political suicide and economic suicide to seriously consider raising any taxes on individuals in an economy like this.  But the one thing that I have been right about all along is whichever is the worst path for the U.S., Obama chooses it.  And so, I seriously expect tax deductions that benefit lower middle class America on up are going to be on the butcher block.

Imo, it doesnt really matter who the President is, the way its set up everything is designed to fail due to one party controlling one side and the other party controlling the other side. They all end up selling out to get some severely watered down useless shit passed that claims to be progress but is anything but.

I dont know what the politicians will do, but whatever it turns out to be, people will find the loopholes and go thru in droves.. that is what always happens..


Thats why simple is better at least on the individual side: flat tax with one deduction...interest on primary residence mortgages up to 500k. No loopholes.
Corporate taxation is much more difficult to simplify, and I could see the benefits of a VAT to replace all corporate income tax and elimination of the capital gains tax.

_____________________________

Hear the lark
and harken
to the barking of the dogfox,
gone to ground.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 12:37:50 PM   
MileHighM


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W. I can't say I like the VAT. Right now the average consumer has no concept of what percentage of the product cost is actually made up from taxes. The VAT hides like any other tax in the product price tag. It really needs to be more like a sales tax.

I agree that a consumption tax is better. It is easier to collect and harder to cheat.

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Profile   Post #: 226
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 12:50:32 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM

W. I can't say I like the VAT. Right now the average consumer has no concept of what percentage of the product cost is actually made up from taxes. The VAT hides like any other tax in the product price tag. It really needs to be more like a sales tax.

I agree that a consumption tax is better. It is easier to collect and harder to cheat.


A sales tax is just a backloaded VAT if youre going to raise the same revenues from consumption. The consumer only cares about what comes out of his pocket and not how much went to taxes/materials/labor/profit. If transparency of taxes is a concern everything beyond staple items (which should be exempt anyway) could have a label of the VATs paid along the way. The benefit of a VAT at each phase of production is it spreads the pricing risk over the entire supply chain. If its only collected at the back end and there is a reduction in demand, its the last company that eats the sales tax portion of the drop in price (or the entire sales tax if demand drops enough). Smaller VATs along the way avoid that problem.

_____________________________

Hear the lark
and harken
to the barking of the dogfox,
gone to ground.

(in reply to MileHighM)
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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 1:39:18 PM   
MileHighM


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM

W. I can't say I like the VAT. Right now the average consumer has no concept of what percentage of the product cost is actually made up from taxes. The VAT hides like any other tax in the product price tag. It really needs to be more like a sales tax.

I agree that a consumption tax is better. It is easier to collect and harder to cheat.


A sales tax is just a backloaded VAT if youre going to raise the same revenues from consumption. The consumer only cares about what comes out of his pocket and not how much went to taxes/materials/labor/profit. If transparency of taxes is a concern everything beyond staple items (which should be exempt anyway) could have a label of the VATs paid along the way. The benefit of a VAT at each phase of production is it spreads the pricing risk over the entire supply chain. If its only collected at the back end and there is a reduction in demand, its the last company that eats the sales tax portion of the drop in price (or the entire sales tax if demand drops enough). Smaller VATs along the way avoid that problem.



How do you deal with products produced abroad? It sounds like corporate america can avoid the VAT by moving off shore. Do you return the VAT on exports?

The sales tax is collected on the sales price, the transaction, not the 'estimate' value of the product. If the retailer drops the price, they only collect the tax on what they sell it for.

< Message edited by MileHighM -- 8/9/2011 1:41:22 PM >

(in reply to willbeurdaddy)
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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 1:45:10 PM   
lockedaway


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tj444


quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
You know, I would think it would be political suicide too.  But then I think it is political suicide and economic suicide to seriously consider raising any taxes on individuals in an economy like this.  But the one thing that I have been right about all along is whichever is the worst path for the U.S., Obama chooses it.  And so, I seriously expect tax deductions that benefit lower middle class America on up are going to be on the butcher block.

Imo, it doesnt really matter who the President is, the way its set up everything is designed to fail due to one party controlling one side and the other party controlling the other side. They all end up selling out to get some severely watered down useless shit passed that claims to be progress but is anything but.

I dont know what the politicians will do, but whatever it turns out to be, people will find the loopholes and go thru in droves.. that is what always happens..


I don't know, TJ, if the $10.00 dollar bill becomes the new .50 cent piece, there are no loopholes for that.  And you realize, that is the direction we are headed, right?  Buying power is falling daily.  Gold is almost up to $1,800.00 isn't it?  We were talking an apocalyptic $2,500 per ounce.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 3:14:55 PM   
willbeurdaddy


Posts: 11894
Joined: 4/8/2006
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quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM


quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM

W. I can't say I like the VAT. Right now the average consumer has no concept of what percentage of the product cost is actually made up from taxes. The VAT hides like any other tax in the product price tag. It really needs to be more like a sales tax.

I agree that a consumption tax is better. It is easier to collect and harder to cheat.


A sales tax is just a backloaded VAT if youre going to raise the same revenues from consumption. The consumer only cares about what comes out of his pocket and not how much went to taxes/materials/labor/profit. If transparency of taxes is a concern everything beyond staple items (which should be exempt anyway) could have a label of the VATs paid along the way. The benefit of a VAT at each phase of production is it spreads the pricing risk over the entire supply chain. If its only collected at the back end and there is a reduction in demand, its the last company that eats the sales tax portion of the drop in price (or the entire sales tax if demand drops enough). Smaller VATs along the way avoid that problem.



How do you deal with products produced abroad? It sounds like corporate america can avoid the VAT by moving off shore. Do you return the VAT on exports?

The sales tax is collected on the sales price, the transaction, not the 'estimate' value of the product. If the retailer drops the price, they only collect the tax on what they sell it for.


Last statement first....Yes...they only collect the sales tax or the last piece of VAT from the consumer, but there is a difference in the final sellers' net results when theres a drop in demand and therefore a compensating change in behavior to spread that risk back down the supply chain.

Heres a simplified example..there are three steps in the supply chain to company 4, the original raw materials are worth 100, and each of the companies adds $100 of value.

Assume there is 2% VAT that is passed along in each step of the chain. So the cost to Company 2 is 202 ($100 raw materials, $100 Company 1's added value, $2 VAT), the cost to company 3 is 304, the cost to company 4 is 406, and the equilbrium price to the consumer is 508. There has been $8 in VAT paid in four steps, every company along the way has profited $100 per unit.

In a sales tax scenario it goes 200, 300, 400, 508. (Only the final seller has to collect and remit the sales tax). A 1.6% sales tax is needed for the government to achieve the same $8 revenue, and again every company has profited $100 per unit along the way.

Now what happens in the two examples if, in the last step, there is a sudden change in demand.

Assume that to sell all units produced Company 4 has to drop its delivered price (including final VAT or sales tax) by $15% to $432.

In the VAT case, Company 4 profit is (432- .51 VAT - 406 input cost) or $25.49 per unit. The government got $6.51 in total VAT. (The VAT in the last step is 2% of added value of $25.49 by company 4)

In the sales tax case company 4 still can only sell at $432, they must pay the government 6.80 in sales tax, and had input costs of $400. $25.20 profit per unit.

So the difference between Sales and a VAT Tax when there is a drop in demand is the government revenue is better off by $.29 per unit with a sales tax, all of which was eaten by Company 4. Company's 1 through 3 made the same $100 profit in either case.

So how does this influence Company 4s behavior if they are under a sales tax scheme instead of a VAT? They have incentive to produce less to go into inventory and produce more on an "as needed" basis. They arent forced to sell the same number of units, so their demand from Company 3 is lower, which lowers the price Company 3 can charge...and so on down the line. Each company in the chain has to take a little less profit because of the lowered demand.


On your first question:

Corporate America doesnt avoid a VAT by moving offshore...they just pay the VAT to a different country. Their only incentive to move is if the US charges a HIGHER VAT. Its no different than income taxes.

If its a sales tax scenario, the consumer is still only willing to pay the same amount. If there is US Sales Tax PLUS offshore VATs (or income taxes or sales taxes) then the final US seller's profits are squeezed and he is going to be willing to pay less to the exporter. Similar to the above example, the entire supply chain suffers, while the governments collect.

.

_____________________________

Hear the lark
and harken
to the barking of the dogfox,
gone to ground.

(in reply to MileHighM)
Profile   Post #: 230
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 3:50:01 PM   
MileHighM


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quote:


Corporate America doesnt avoid a VAT by moving offshore...they just pay the VAT to a different country. Their only incentive to move is if the US charges a HIGHER VAT. Its no different than income taxes.

If its a sales tax scenario, the consumer is still only willing to pay the same amount. If there is US Sales Tax PLUS offshore VATs (or income taxes or sales taxes) then the final US seller's profits are squeezed and he is going to be willing to pay less to the exporter. Similar to the above example, the entire supply chain suffers, while the governments collect.


Assuming the foreign nation charges a VAT, if we do and they don't they will leave.

If the they do and we don't, the sales tax would be preferable to keeping industry here in the US.


quote:



Heres a simplified example..there are three steps in the supply chain to company 4, the original raw materials are worth 100, and each of the companies adds $100 of value.

Assume there is 2% VAT that is passed along in each step of the chain. So the cost to Company 2 is 202 ($100 raw materials, $100 Company 1's added value, $2 VAT), the cost to company 3 is 304, the cost to company 4 is 406, and the equilbrium price to the consumer is 508. There has been $8 in VAT paid in four steps, every company along the way has profited $100 per unit.



Every company I know usually works on margins. There wouldn't be a straight 100$ per element in the chain. (to keep in line with your original numbers) If you increase the cost to another business and they are operating at a 100% margin, the scenario would enfold where a business would add 100$ to a $100 purchase making it $200, However, If you add a 2% VAT making it $102 business B would add $102 then you would tack on a VAT of $2.04 making the final cost $206.04, not the 204 you stated. And so on.

If the consumer is only willing to pay a set price, the margin of the final retailer is diminished to begin with on a VAT. I don't think the final seller is unduely squezzed by one plan or another. Anytime you buy on too much inventory it is a gamble. Most retailers have tried to effeciently predict sales volume to ensure that doesn't happen, they might even under order to run up the demand of a hot item soley to improve their margins.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 4:35:25 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM

Every company I know usually works on margins. There wouldn't be a straight 100$ per element in the chain.



Yes it was a simplified example. However, there are definitely different corporate behaviors depending on their government's balance of income/VAT/sales taxes, and the further right in that spectrum the more risk averse they are, given the same projected taxes at the current equilibrium price.

It can be boiled down to after tax ROI, and the further to the right the tax scheme is the more sensitive their profits are to changes in sales.

< Message edited by willbeurdaddy -- 8/9/2011 4:38:21 PM >


_____________________________

Hear the lark
and harken
to the barking of the dogfox,
gone to ground.

(in reply to MileHighM)
Profile   Post #: 232
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 4:46:41 PM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy

quote:

ORIGINAL: tj444

quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
You know, I would think it would be political suicide too.  But then I think it is political suicide and economic suicide to seriously consider raising any taxes on individuals in an economy like this.  But the one thing that I have been right about all along is whichever is the worst path for the U.S., Obama chooses it.  And so, I seriously expect tax deductions that benefit lower middle class America on up are going to be on the butcher block.

Imo, it doesnt really matter who the President is, the way its set up everything is designed to fail due to one party controlling one side and the other party controlling the other side. They all end up selling out to get some severely watered down useless shit passed that claims to be progress but is anything but.

I dont know what the politicians will do, but whatever it turns out to be, people will find the loopholes and go thru in droves.. that is what always happens..


Thats why simple is better at least on the individual side: flat tax with one deduction...interest on primary residence mortgages up to 500k. No loopholes.
Corporate taxation is much more difficult to simplify, and I could see the benefits of a VAT to replace all corporate income tax and elimination of the capital gains tax.

I agree in general but use the VAT instead to eliminate the income tax except for...the exceptionally high. Certainly at least take poor families off the rolls. Then you raise short term capital gains to the same as all other income and lower the tax as years go by for truly long term capital gains.

Anything above $200,000 on any house is unnecessary and does not hurt production at all. Will bring housing prices in line with real income.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 4:55:36 PM   
MileHighM


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quote:


I agree in general but use the VAT instead to eliminate the income tax except for...the exceptionally high. Certainly at least take poor families off the rolls. Then you raise short term capital gains to the same as all other income and lower the tax as years go by for truly long term capital gains.

Anything above $200,000 on any house is unnecessary and does not hurt production at all. Will bring housing prices in line with real income.


The bottom 40% pay affectively no income tax already (SSI and medicare are not income taxes). If you institute the flat tax, what is your definition of the cut off point?

Above 200k? that is not a reality in a lot of places in the country. Plus if you drag a huge chunk of the real-estate market down in value, you are erroding even more wealth and damaging the economy further. Above 500k is the definition of a luxury property in most of the country. You also have to consider farms. The property they have may be worth a chunk of change, but these people be no means make a boat load of bread.

< Message edited by MileHighM -- 8/9/2011 4:56:46 PM >

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 4:58:38 PM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy

quote:

ORIGINAL: MileHighM

Every company I know usually works on margins. There wouldn't be a straight 100$ per element in the chain.



Yes it was a simplified example. However, there are definitely different corporate behaviors depending on their government's balance of income/VAT/sales taxes, and the further right in that spectrum the more risk averse they are, given the same projected taxes at the current equilibrium price.

It can be boiled down to after tax ROI, and the further to the right the tax scheme is the more sensitive their profits are to changes in sales.

I think it may be the other way around wouldn't it ? The right wants the govt. out of corporate taxes, even eliminating it completely. They might as well, it doesn't provide but about 10 cents of our tax dollar now.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 5:03:59 PM   
tj444


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quote:

ORIGINAL: lockedaway
I don't know, TJ, if the $10.00 dollar bill becomes the new .50 cent piece, there are no loopholes for that.  And you realize, that is the direction we are headed, right?  Buying power is falling daily.  Gold is almost up to $1,800.00 isn't it?  We were talking an apocalyptic $2,500 per ounce.

lol yeah, my daddy used to tell me about chocolate bars, back when they actually were real chocolate, costing a quarter! So, its already happened and its gonna keep happening..

Which is why people buy real estate (at the right time and right location)... you know, like you did.. and if they own rentals, they raise the rents just a little each year..

besides, I am Canadian.. from the land of the Twonie..



< Message edited by tj444 -- 8/9/2011 5:17:40 PM >


_____________________________

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Profile   Post #: 236
RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 5:11:08 PM   
MileHighM


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quote:


I think it may be the other way around wouldn't it ? The right wants the govt. out of corporate taxes, even eliminating it completely. They might as well, it doesn't provide but about 10 cents of our tax dollar now.


People need to understand that the only person who pays taxes is the individual. No matter how much you tax corporations they technically never pay. If you tax corporations more, they raise prices, and ultimately you pay. The debate over corporate taxes is a distraction used by politicians to hide the ultimate taxation of you the consumer. Bitch about corporate earnings all you want. Eventually some person is going to take them and spend them. That is the arguement for consumption taxation so you know what you are being taxed. If you only link the taxes to corporate earnings, they simply raise their prices to recoop the loss, you pay it and you don't even know it was you paying the taxes in the first place.

Politicians like corporate taxes it because corporations don't vote, they bribe, I mean lobby. People vote the politicians in cause they think they are going after the corps, and then the politicians shake down the corps. a consumption tax makes the politician beholden to the voter without the bribes, I mean lobby money.

We don't get to pass the buck, companies do.

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RE: S&P downgrades U.S. credit rating for first time - 8/9/2011 5:28:02 PM   
domiguy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy


quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDaveGuy69

Congratulations to the freshman Teabaggers who know jack/shit about how Congress works but have to fuck with things anyway.

Someone needs to take those fucktards out behind the wood shed and beat some sense into them.

Raising the (unconstitutional) debt limit was a simple procedure - like lancing a boil on your toe. But these asswipes applied a tournequet until the limb had to be amputated and even then they weren't happy.

Will someone in what's left of the GOP PLEASE stand up to these idiots before they do any more damage?!



Would someone teach you something about economics please. The Tea Party is the best thing that has happened for the US economy since Clinton cut capital gains rates.



The Tea Party could be a great thing for this Country if they were legitimate, which they are not.

The Tea Party is just another hack right wing creation like protecting the poor American families against the awful tyranny of gay marriage. Remember when Bush said that he was a full supporting a constitutional amendment making marriage between a man and a woman?

He gets reelected and no more talk about such nonsense and all the homo hating Republicans wonder, what the fuck happened?

The next time we find ourselves with a Republican President watch how quickly the tea party dissolves.



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