Iamsemisweet
Posts: 3651
Joined: 4/9/2011 From: The Great Northwest, USA Status: offline
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I read your link, and I was struck by this: "Sometime in this century, the world’s population will begin to decline. (The United Nations Population Division says that, worldwide, we could achieve below-replacement fertility by 2030.) At a certain point, the decline will become rapid. We may even reach what demographers call population free-fall in our lifetimes." So, went and looked at the website for the UN Population Division. Here is what it really says: 3 Billion: 20 October 1959 4 Billion: 27 June 1974 5 Billion: 21 January 1987 6 Billion: 5 December 1998 7 Billion: 31 October 2011 8 Billion: 15 June 2025 9 Billion: 18 February 2043 10 Billion: 18 June 2083 These dates are derived from the annual series of world population estimates obtained by interpolating the results of the 2010 Revision of World Population Prospects by assuming exponential growth within each year. Because the estimated dates depend on the population estimates and projections used to derive them and those estimates and projections change from one Revision to another, they constitute the best approximations at any given time. Don't get me wrong, LW. I like your theory better, because I think a 10Billion population is unsustainable. I am just not seeing anything to back them up. But thanks for the links. quote:
ORIGINAL: littlewonder here's another link that might explain it better for you http://ironlight.wordpress.com/2010/06/27/demographic-winter/
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Alice: But I don't want to go among mad people. The Cat: Oh, you can't help that. We're all mad here. I'm mad. You're mad. Alice: How do you know I'm mad? The Cat: You must be. Or you wouldn't have come here.
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