LookieNoNookie
Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: graceadieu quote:
ORIGINAL: DarkSteven I don't believe it, but here's the argument. The whole concept of trickle-down is that, if money does not go to the government, it will go to the private sector and spur economic activity. Trickle-down holds that at the proper location on the Laffer curve, each dollar of tax cuts simulates enough economic activity that the marginal increase in taxes directly due to that activity is worth MORE than a dollar. I could buy that if taxes were so high that most people could never afford to buy anything and a business could never possibly make a profit. Like if everybody's income tax were 80%. I mean, look at communist countries where the government basically takes everything everyone makes, like North Korea or Cuba. That's put a big damper on their economy. But obviously that's not the case here, so I'll think about a more realistic case. Let's say someone's making $40,000 and paying 20% in taxes which get cut 20%, and businesses also pay 20% in taxes. That's kind of hypothetical but we'll go with it. So that guy pays $8,000 in income tax, and then because of tax cuts now pay $6,400 and uses that $1,600 to buy some stuff at Best Buy. Best Buy's profit would have to grow by $8,000 to make up for the tax cut. Really they'd probably make like $500 or $1,000 from that guy. You could say, well, they use that money to help pay a new cashier which would cause growth, but minimum wage workers aren't going to pay income tax anyway, so that doesn't help make up the tax. I guess that cashier would spend some money that would stimulate another business a little, and some factory in Japan would make some more profit too because they built another TV, but I dunno, I just can't quite believe either that $1,600 in spending could create $8,000 in economic growth in the US. Always remember....when they say someone spent "20% (or some other number) in taxes....that's on AGI (Adjusted Gross Income). Unless you don't have deductions (which most have...children, houses, car expenses to and from work, charitable gifts, medical costs etc.), you pay "20%" on what's "left over". Not on your gross income.
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