RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (Full Version)

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MrRodgers -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 2:25:56 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: jlf1961

the Fed is always independently audited.

...and as contained in the PDF...unaudited and with exceptions to GAAP.

I do hasten to add however that the fed is a done deal and despite the original conservative philosophy that America was going to be an agrarian rather than a major industrial power and could therefore provide for all of its banking needs via state banks and thus...state rather than federal management and its regulatory regime.

The whole concept became moot when after the corruption of the 19th century inspired the great argument for a federal banking system despite most founding fathers' apprehensions. The problem arises when any country has no substantive backing or static value to currency such as gold or silver.

Paper and its value becomes shall we say...malleable.




MrRodgers -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 2:53:19 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: GotSteel

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

quote:

ORIGINAL: TAFKAA

Conspiracy theorists debunk themselves. Most of them are simpletons parroting nonsense they've been told by other conspiracy theorists. No debunking required.

Course that's not true. That's like saying there has been no conspiracies and we all know there have been many very successful conspiracies.


I've got to stop you there. It's certainly a valid point that not every conspiracy theory is immediately self debunking. But it seems as though TAFKAA has acknowledged this with the qualifier "most".

You can't validly ignore that conditional qualifier, it's an important part of his position.


Personally I don't know if it's a matter of "most" or just many but there's a notable pattern of conspiracy theorists having issues with logical thought. Things like circular reasoning and appeals to paranoia tend to show up, but this is my favorite:

quote:

ORIGINAL: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/29/flat-earth-society-psychology_n_2038198.html
The theory follows from a mode of thought called the "Zetetic Method," an alternative to the scientific method, developed by a 19th-century flat-earther, in which sensory observations reign supreme. "Broadly, the method places a lot of emphasis on reconciling empiricism and rationalism, and making logical deductions based on empirical data," Flat Earth Society vice president Michael Wilmore, an Irishman, told Life's Little Mysteries. In Zetetic astronomy, the perception that Earth is flat leads to the deduction that it must actually be flat; the antimoon, NASA conspiracy and all the rest of it are just rationalizations for how that might work in practice.

These guys have recognized that their conspiracy theory fails so soundly according to accepted methods of evaluating evidence that they've gone and invented their own method to prop up the conspiracy theory.

You have it backwards, the idea that the world was flat and at the center of the universe was NOT a conspiracy theory...it was we were told...fact.

Seems then my whole point on the other thread is being missed and I am afraid the whole concept has been lost. Unfortunately, I am not surprised but everything we are saying about conspiracy theories...theories that is, was that the world was round and not the center of the universe. That was the conspiracy theory, not the other way around, So, I wonder if the whole concept is being lost here.

The two longest lasting, most involved, most historically ridiculed and debunked conspiracy theories...were what ? FACT...meaning they were actually true.

For 1500-2000 years, mankind just knew...the world was in fact...flat and in fact...at the center of the universe.

For example, what were the 'accepted methods' for determining that the world was flat and at the center of the universe ?

Like I asked, did the govt. conspiracy theory on 9/11...debunk itself ? Has any govt. conspiracy theory ever...debunked itself ?




GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 4:07:08 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
For 1500-2000 years, mankind just knew...the world was in fact...flat...

I seem to recall pointing out last time that the common myth about flat earth knowledge is actually an urban legend.

quote:

ORIGINAL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spherical_Earth
The concept of a spherical Earth dates back to ancient Greek philosophy from around the 6th century BC,[1] but remained a matter of philosophical speculation until the 3rd century BC when Hellenistic astronomy established the spherical shape of the earth as a physical given.

So as you can see knowledge of a spherical-ish earth vastly predates science in any sense of the word remotely close to the modern methodology.

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
For example, what were the 'accepted methods' for determining that the world was flat...

Superstition.




MrRodgers -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 4:41:40 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: GotSteel

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
For 1500-2000 years, mankind just knew...the world was in fact...flat...

I seem to recall pointing out last time that the common myth about flat earth knowledge is actually an urban legend.

quote:

ORIGINAL: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spherical_Earth
The concept of a spherical Earth dates back to ancient Greek philosophy from around the 6th century BC,[1] but remained a matter of philosophical speculation until the 3rd century BC when Hellenistic astronomy established the spherical shape of the earth as a physical given.

So as you can see knowledge of a spherical-ish earth vastly predates science in any sense of the word remotely close to the modern methodology.

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
For example, what were the 'accepted methods' for determining that the world was flat...

Superstition.

That the world was flat was fact for 1000's of years and was still accepted fact for 300 more years until as most pre-Socratics beliefs retained the flat Earth model.

A spherical earth wasn't even serious conjecture...until 300 BC, so for about 3 centuries more even the few Greek theories were still conspiracies and not universally accepted scientific truths. The Chinese until the 17th century believed the world was flat.

Fact is, power tells you what they want you to know and is far, far too often accepted as fact. Science today is far too often misused in attempts to obscure or deny facts that might mitigate that power.

That the earth was the center of the universe was a fact for much longer. I didn't even need to look through Galileo's telescope, I just knew and the world 'just knew' that everything out there revolved around the world. Those were the empirical facts.




jlf1961 -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 5:19:05 PM)

Mr. Rodgers, I will try to put this as nicely as possible.

There are billions of stars with millions of planets orbiting them, all of them orbiting a central point in the galaxy, which is just one of billions of galaxies all orbiting around one central point in the universe....

This aint it.




fmfclwu -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 6:01:00 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
The whole concept became moot when after the corruption of the 19th century inspired the great argument for a federal banking system despite most founding fathers' apprehensions. The problem arises when any country has no substantive backing or static value to currency such as gold or silver.

Paper and its value becomes shall we say...malleable.


Gold is just a metal. There's nothing inherently "moneyish" about it, and enslaving your currency to it simply means your monetary policy is essentially random instead of intelligently controlled. Now, some countries have made the choice to enslave their currencies to random metal markets or other currency regimes, because they managed to inflict worse damage upon themselves when they controlled it. The United States is not, and should never be, such a country.




GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 6:34:33 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
That the earth was the center of the universe was a fact for much longer. I didn't even need to look through Galileo's telescope, I just knew and the world 'just knew' that everything out there revolved around the world. Those were the empirical facts.

"Just knew" isn't an empirical observation. Certainly one could formulate such a model of the earth based on data collected from their senses and if that person was ignorant of the scientific method come to the conclusion that the earth was flat instead of testing their model and noticing that the flat earth is easily falsifiable through observation.

This was similarly the case for the geocentric model (so long as you have a shitty telescope). Oh and geocentric conspiracy theorists also still exist: http://galileowaswrong.com/galileowaswrong/Flyer_for_Conference_3.pdf




GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 6:36:12 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
Fact is, power tells you what they want you to know and is far, far too often accepted as fact. Science today is far too often misused in attempts to obscure or deny facts that might mitigate that power.

This is of course an assertion at this point as you've not actually provided evidence for it. By all means I'd like to see you defend your conclusion.




WantsOfTheFlesh -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 6:58:36 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
That the world was flat was fact for 1000's of years and was still accepted fact for 300 more years until as most pre-Socratics beliefs retained the flat Earth model.

A spherical earth wasn't even serious conjecture...until 300 BC, so for about 3 centuries more even the few Greek theories were still conspiracies and not universally accepted scientific truths. The Chinese until the 17th century believed the world was flat.

Fact is, power tells you what they want you to know and is far, far too often accepted as fact. Science today is far too often misused in attempts to obscure or deny facts that might mitigate that power.

yer trotting out tha flat earth conspiracy argument again when ya failed ta prove it was any sort of conspiracy. many folks believed tha world was flat. many academics thought different. few folks had access ta a telescope or even tha ability ta write in those days. there wasnt even a real discipline of "science" until tha 1800s. before that there was a lotta speculative work by philosophers & theologians so no conspiracy ta cover up unless you can prove otherwise. if ya can please do. [X(]




GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 7:24:51 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: WantsOfTheFlesh
yer trotting out tha flat earth conspiracy argument again when ya failed ta prove it was any sort of conspiracy. many folks believed tha world was flat. many academics thought different. few folks had access ta a telescope or even tha ability ta write in those days.


One doesn't need a telescope to falsify the flat earth model, you can do it by going anywhere high. A hill, tower, crows nest of a ship etc, once you've noticed that it's possible to see farther by climbing higher the flat earth model doesn't make sense.




WantsOfTheFlesh -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 7:32:26 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: GotSteel
quote:

ORIGINAL: WantsOfTheFlesh
yer trotting out tha flat earth conspiracy argument again when ya failed ta prove it was any sort of conspiracy. many folks believed tha world was flat. many academics thought different. few folks had access ta a telescope or even tha ability ta write in those days.

One doesn't need a telescope to falsify the flat earth model, you can do it by going anywhere high. A hill, tower, crows nest of a ship etc, once you've noticed that it's possible to see farther by climbing higher the flat earth model doesn't make sense.

dunno coz most would experience loss of view inta the distance due to obstruction.




JeffBC -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/25/2013 7:57:30 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: fmfclwu
Gold is just a metal. There's nothing inherently "moneyish" about it, and enslaving your currency to it simply means your monetary policy is essentially random instead of intelligently controlled. Now, some countries have made the choice to enslave their currencies to random metal markets or other currency regimes, because they managed to inflict worse damage upon themselves when they controlled it. The United States is not, and should never be, such a country.

I agree that there's an interesting discussion to be had about the pros and cons of inflationary and deflationary currency. I suspect most of us just want a gold standard so that there's some leash on the Fed. Although in all honesty once you go with fractional reserve banking it's pretty much the end anyway.




GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 5:22:47 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: WantsOfTheFlesh
dunno coz most would experience loss of view inta the distance due to obstruction.


If someone conducted the experiment in a forest or hilly area, sure. But remember, once humanity gave up the hunter gatherer lifestyle, farming was the thing. People tended to settle in flat areas and cut down all the trees.

The existence of crows nests should be of particular note because unless the waves are higher than eye level of someone standing on the deck of a ship there are no sight obstructions looking out into the ocean. With an unobstructed ocean view using the crows nest makes no sense on a flat earth.




WantsOfTheFlesh -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 6:11:34 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: GotSteel
quote:

ORIGINAL: WantsOfTheFlesh
dunno coz most would experience loss of view inta the distance due to obstruction.

If someone conducted the experiment in a forest or hilly area, sure. But remember, once humanity gave up the hunter gatherer lifestyle, farming was the thing. People tended to settle in flat areas and cut down all the trees.

The existence of crows nests should be of particular note because unless the waves are higher than eye level of someone standing on the deck of a ship there are no sight obstructions looking out into the ocean. With an unobstructed ocean view using the crows nest makes no sense on a flat earth.

yup remember reading that some folks advocating a spherical earth suggested seeing tha horizon from high vantage points suggested curvature. point is though that for tha landed majority few landscapes are flat enough ta give an unobstructed view for a huge distance except from elevated positions. fewer folks still woulda made any connection with tha earths surface.




MrRodgers -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 7:12:46 AM)

Gentleman you all have missed the whole concept of conspiracy theories I speak to. The theories are a suggestion that what is accepted truth is not in fact true. The accepted truth was flat earth that [it] was at the center of the universe.

China until the 17th century, Islam until about the same time as to the New Testament, (didn't really care and still don't) Christianity, the world was in fact...FACT people according to the church (power) ...flat and at the center of all things cosmos.

So the theory or conspiracy theory if you will allow me, was that...ok here we go, the nut jobs, the crack pots and here we've called idiots, were the ones until and including Galileo and others actually trying to tell power the world was in fact round and not at the center of the universe. So, you all with me still ?

The nuts were the round worlders and the crack pots said earth and the stars rotated around in something else...what was later...the galaxy.

With me still and you to jlf (can't believe you wrote that) so my whole point here and in the other OP was that those were the two greatest conspiracy theories AT THE TIME and there was no debunking necessary. There was jail.

So my whole point is that to be a conspiracy theory does not mean it is wrong. The best way to debunk any, is like this OP's essay pointed out, just ignore the facts or refuse to 'even look down Galileo's' telescope.' He served how much jail time until he recanted ?

So kinkroids you all grasp the concept now ?

Oh and BTW, gold and silver were technically to limit the currency the treasury could print. Without the US exec. and the Treasury having control of the currency the supply of which being in private hands, has worked in the interest of those private hands.




PowerXXXchange -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 7:23:48 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: GotSteel

quote:

ORIGINAL: WantsOfTheFlesh
dunno coz most would experience loss of view inta the distance due to obstruction.


If someone conducted the experiment in a forest or hilly area, sure. But remember, once humanity gave up the hunter gatherer lifestyle, farming was the thing. People tended to settle in flat areas and cut down all the trees.

The existence of crows nests should be of particular note because unless the waves are higher than eye level of someone standing on the deck of a ship there are no sight obstructions looking out into the ocean. With an unobstructed ocean view using the crows nest makes no sense on a flat earth.


In fact, Ptolomy of Alexandra's estimate of the diameter of the earth (in the early 2nd century) was off by about 20% due to his failure to correct for the refractive effect of the air temperature gradient over the open ocean.





GotSteel -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 10:02:03 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
So my whole point is that to be a conspiracy theory does not mean it is wrong.

It seems as though you're conflating rational skepticism with a conspiracy theorists confused thinking and appeals to paranoia. The two things are not the same, they are very, very different.

Science is always open to new theories and having the old theories torn down BUT you have to be able to show your work. What makes conspiracy theories "self debunking" and causes the hypothesis they hold to be relegated to conspiracy theory status instead of becoming an actual theory are the glaring failures in that area.

Furthermore it's not a valid to compare how pre-science the spherical earth and heliocentric models were met with heavy resistance because of supernatural reasons with the modern instances of paranoia, confused thinking, circular reasoning, faulty logic and fraudulent evidence.




WantsOfTheFlesh -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 10:58:28 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers
Gentleman you all have missed the whole concept of conspiracy theories I speak to. The theories are a suggestion that what is accepted truth is not in fact true. The accepted truth was flat earth that [it] was at the center of the universe.

China until the 17th century, Islam until about the same time as to the New Testament, (didn't really care and still don't) Christianity, the world was in fact...FACT people according to the church (power) ...flat and at the center of all things cosmos.

So the theory or conspiracy theory if you will allow me, was that...ok here we go, the nut jobs, the crack pots and here we've called idiots, were the ones until and including Galileo and others actually trying to tell power the world was in fact round and not at the center of the universe. So, you all with me still ?

The nuts were the round worlders and the crack pots said earth and the stars rotated around in something else...what was later...the galaxy.

With me still and you to jlf (can't believe you wrote that) so my whole point here and in the other OP was that those were the two greatest conspiracy theories AT THE TIME and there was no debunking necessary. There was jail.

So my whole point is that to be a conspiracy theory does not mean it is wrong. The best way to debunk any, is like this OP's essay pointed out, just ignore the facts or refuse to 'even look down Galileo's' telescope.' He served how much jail time until he recanted ?

seems you need reminding of what a conspiracy theory is http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/conspiracy%20theory

quote:

a theory that explains an event or set of circumstances as the result of a secret plot by usually powerful conspirators


just coz these ideas werent accepted by tha masses (who were hardly educated) doesnt mean the ideas were conspiracies r those that believed them were conspiracists. the dudes that believed in a sphere were respected academics & whatnot, not nutjobs. yup galileo was persecuted coz the pope thought it against tha bible but peeps believing in a spherical world werent. tha folks we laugh at today are rarely scientists r anyone like that. theyre the goofy dudes that believe every crazy theory out there & often get egg on their faces.




jlf1961 -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 11:41:36 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

Gentleman you all have missed the whole concept of conspiracy theories I speak to. The theories are a suggestion that what is accepted truth is not in fact true. The accepted truth was flat earth that [it] was at the center of the universe.

China until the 17th century, Islam until about the same time as to the New Testament, (didn't really care and still don't) Christianity, the world was in fact...FACT people according to the church (power) ...flat and at the center of all things cosmos.

So the theory or conspiracy theory if you will allow me, was that...ok here we go, the nut jobs, the crack pots and here we've called idiots, were the ones until and including Galileo and others actually trying to tell power the world was in fact round and not at the center of the universe. So, you all with me still ?

The nuts were the round worlders and the crack pots said earth and the stars rotated around in something else...what was later...the galaxy.

With me still and you to jlf (can't believe you wrote that) so my whole point here and in the other OP was that those were the two greatest conspiracy theories AT THE TIME and there was no debunking necessary. There was jail.

So my whole point is that to be a conspiracy theory does not mean it is wrong. The best way to debunk any, is like this OP's essay pointed out, just ignore the facts or refuse to 'even look down Galileo's' telescope.' He served how much jail time until he recanted ?

So kinkroids you all grasp the concept now ?

Oh and BTW, gold and silver were technically to limit the currency the treasury could print. Without the US exec. and the Treasury having control of the currency the supply of which being in private hands, has worked in the interest of those private hands.



First of all, I am not a gentleman, I am an ex-bush beating airborne grunt, thank you very much.

I have ranted about conspiracy theories on these boards since I joined collarme. There is a psychological basis for the modern conspiracy theorists belief in the conspiracy.

The belief in the flat earth in ancient times was not a true conspiracy, it was a simple fact stemming from observational data for the day, as was the earth centered solar system and universe.

Of course I have been poking fun at the various theories by putting forth my bits about the house cats being aliens and Obama being their controller.

The easiest way to debunk a conspiracy theory is to point out the simple fact that people cant keep their mouths shut. That was how Watergate and Iran Contra came out, someone talked.




MrRodgers -> RE: Conspiracy Theories - HOW TO DEBUNK ANYTHING (2/26/2013 1:16:27 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: jlf1961


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

Gentleman you all have missed the whole concept of conspiracy theories I speak to. The theories are a suggestion that what is accepted truth is not in fact true. The accepted truth was flat earth that [it] was at the center of the universe.

China until the 17th century, Islam until about the same time as to the New Testament, (didn't really care and still don't) Christianity, the world was in fact...FACT people according to the church (power) ...flat and at the center of all things cosmos.

So the theory or conspiracy theory if you will allow me, was that...ok here we go, the nut jobs, the crack pots and here we've called idiots, were the ones until and including Galileo and others actually trying to tell power the world was in fact round and not at the center of the universe. So, you all with me still ?

The nuts were the round worlders and the crack pots said earth and the stars rotated around in something else...what was later...the galaxy.

With me still and you to jlf (can't believe you wrote that) so my whole point here and in the other OP was that those were the two greatest conspiracy theories AT THE TIME and there was no debunking necessary. There was jail.

So my whole point is that to be a conspiracy theory does not mean it is wrong. The best way to debunk any, is like this OP's essay pointed out, just ignore the facts or refuse to 'even look down Galileo's' telescope.' He served how much jail time until he recanted ?

So kinkroids you all grasp the concept now ?

Oh and BTW, gold and silver were technically to limit the currency the treasury could print. Without the US exec. and the Treasury having control of the currency the supply of which being in private hands, has worked in the interest of those private hands.



First of all, I am not a gentleman, I am an ex-bush beating airborne grunt, thank you very much.

I have ranted about conspiracy theories on these boards since I joined collarme. There is a psychological basis for the modern conspiracy theorists belief in the conspiracy.

The belief in the flat earth in ancient times was not a true conspiracy, it was a simple fact stemming from observational data for the day, as was the earth centered solar system and universe.

Of course I have been poking fun at the various theories by putting forth my bits about the house cats being aliens and Obama being their controller.

The easiest way to debunk a conspiracy theory is to point out the simple fact that people cant keep their mouths shut. That was how Watergate and Iran Contra came out, someone talked.

About Watergate and Iran Contra you are correct but to suggest the theory similar to Obama is the anti-Christ would have been a parallel yet with the first two, the theory was fact. There was a break-in at the Watergate and there was a Col. in the white house selling missiles to Iran to fund he contras.

Once again though, the conspiracy theory wasn't that the world was flat, that was accepted fact as insisted by the church etc.

The persecuted conspiracy theory of the time was that the world was round and while power didn't much care about the shape and was not dogma, what was, was the very idea the earth was 'not the center of the univ.' and to suggest such a theory brought the opprobrium (Galileo) that many conspiracy theories have since and up to today.

Plus let us not forget that all throughout history any pathologies ascribed to conspiracy theorists is on a par with any non-belief in Marxism or communism was also 'on a psychological basis' which simply ended all discussion and resulted in hospitalization. Anybody who believed in freedom, free markets and yes...capitalism...just had to be nuts...see ?




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