Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (Full Version)

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Phydeaux -> Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 4:32:20 PM)

Article at Forbes:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/




Politesub53 -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 4:41:47 PM)

Utter tosh.

http://scienceblogs.com/denialism/2013/02/15/denialism-from-forbes-courtesy-of-heartland-hack-james-taylor/




kalikshama -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 4:45:18 PM)

By suggesting a survey of industry geoscientists can be generalized to scientists as whole, Taylor has demonstrated the intellectual dishonesty inherent in denialist argumentation. You might as well make claims about the consensus that tobacco causes lung cancer by surveying scientists in the Altria corporation headquarters.




DomKen -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 4:55:09 PM)

FR

Why would the opinion of engineers and non climatologists have any relevance at all? The scientist who actually study the climate are in broad agreement that AGW is happening and is a major threat to our civilization. The study in question even says that.




Politesub53 -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 5:02:32 PM)

The author of the link in the OP even writes for the Oil and Gas Magazine, so I doubt she will be biased. [8|]




Kirata -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 5:02:42 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Article at Forbes:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

You shouldn't cite Forbes. It's offensive to the devout.

http://oss.sagepub.com/content/33/11/1477.full

K.




PeonForHer -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 5:15:29 PM)

. . . Though loved by farts and windbags. [;)]




Hillwilliam -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 5:31:13 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Article at Forbes:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

Why would Forbes have more credence than the Sierra Club newsletter?


Remember.....Sampling bias

If you wish to influence people instead of just beating your chest and looking like a partisan wingnut, eliminate the sampling bias.

The 2 groups interviewed, engineers and geoscientists, would know exactly zero about atmospheric chemistry unless they took the class like MAC504 ( Graduate level Marine and Atmospheric Chemistry) as an elective.
Likewise, Atmospheric Chemists would know fuckall about the tensile strength of a suspension bridge of X length exposed to wind shears of Y or how to read an echo sounding to find suspected petroleum deposits under a salt dome 2000 meters down.




dcnovice -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 6:22:53 PM)

quote:

You shouldn't cite Forbes. It's offensive to the devout.

Actually, it's handy. Good reminder to fill the salt shaker. [:)]




JeffBC -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 7:06:37 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

The fact that you would cite that article suggests that you really have no idea what science is and you have no idea what sort of biases are going into your statements. In other words, while there are at least a few credible concerns about man-made global warming you, so far, have not managed to mention one of them. But keep trying.

Or, alternately, you could actually seek to learn the truth by approaching the problem with an open mind. Sometimes that works out well.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 7:28:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: JeffBC

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

The fact that you would cite that article suggests that you really have no idea what science is and you have no idea what sort of biases are going into your statements.

I disagree. We've been having a quite civil discussion for a couple of days and he understands the bias of his sources but apparently chooses to use them any for a reason I have been unable to fathom. To each their own.




Edwynn -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/5/2013 8:06:33 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Article at Forbes:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jamestaylor/2013/02/13/peer-reviewed-survey-finds-majority-of-scientists-skeptical-of-global-warming-crisis/

You shouldn't cite Forbes. It's offensive to the devout.

http://oss.sagepub.com/content/33/11/1477.full

K.




Unless Forbes points out that Exxon paid no tax in 2009.

Then, Forbes is 'b'bad.'

If Forbes says that government is the bad guy, then Forbes is 'g'good.'

I'm sure that you and the OP are all atwitter over the latest Kitty Kelly gossip in the financial realm (as if either of you had a clue), devout to the cause as you and the OP seem to be.

What are they going to say tomorrow that blows your skirt up?







Phydeaux -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 12:52:05 AM)

So when 1700 scientists sign issue a statement saying client science is settled, why, that should be the end of it, right. 1700 scientists is what it takes to settle an issue.

Or, what about the, what was it 77000 scientists. Well wait, that wasn't right because then they interviewed those scientists - and more than 1/3 did'n't actually agree with the IPCC view.

Yet when 32000 scientists sign a statement denying global warming (http://www.petitionproject.org/) they have no credentials.

When I report "The proportion of papers found in the ISI Web of Science database that explicitly endorsed anthropogenic climate change has fallen from 75% (for the period between 1993 and 2003) as of 2004 to 45% from 2004 to 2008, while outright disagreement has risen from 0% to 6% (Oreskes, 2004; Schulte, 2008) - why thats irrelevent. Of course its dropped further since then.

Here are some quotes from UN IPCC contributors:
“We’re not scientifically there yet. Despite what you may have heard in the media, there is nothing like a consensus of scientific opinion that this is a problem. Because there is natural variability in the weather, you cannot statistically know for another 150 years.” — UN IPCC’s Tom Tripp, a member of the UN IPCC since 2004 and listed as one of the lead authors and serves as the Director of Technical Services & Development for U.S. Magnesium.

“Any reasonable scientific analysis must conclude the basic theory wrong!!” — NASA Scientist Dr. Leonard Weinstein who worked 35 years at the NASA Langley Research Center and finished his career there as a Senior Research Scientist. Weinstein is presently a Senior Research Fellow at the National Institute of Aerospace.

“In essence, the jig is up. The whole thing is a fraud. And even the fraudsters that fudged data are admitting to temperature history that they used to say didn’t happen…Perhaps what has doomed the Climategate fraudsters the most was their brazenness in fudging the data” — Dr. Christopher J. Kobus, Associate Professor of Mechanical Engineering at Oakland University, specializes in alternative energy, thermal transport phenomena, two-phase flow and fluid and thermal energy systems.

short of a scandal. Science is too important for our society to be misused in the way it has been done within the Climate Science Community.” The global warming establishment “has actively suppressed research results presented by researchers that do not comply with the dogma of the IPCC.” — Swedish Climatologist Dr. Hans Jelbring, of the Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics Unit at Stockholm University. [Updated December 9, 2010. Corrects Jelbring's quote.]

Immaterial.

When I report that Nasa admitted that their science had been politically motivated, and was wrong; that the greenhouse contribution of CO2 was much lower than previously expected.

When the CERN says the IPCC model of global warming is wrong - not by a little bit - but perhaps by multiple magnitudes - ho hum. When not one of the 22 models predicted flat temperatures, your defense is "pay no attention to the man behind the curtain".

When I present graphs showing global temperatures have cycled this same way many, many times with great regularity - its ignored. Never disputed, just ignored.

When even Michael Mann (you know, admitted forger and liar ) admits that global warming isn't occuring and its a crying shame. Irrelevent.

When climate gate documented that alarmists were supressing publication of skeptics research (see the story about Kirby at Cern, for example) Irrelevent.

When I publish links that show that spain, germany, the UK and almost every other dang country has rethoought their commitment to anthro. global warming - irrelevent

I've seen the forgery of the NASA data first hand. Irrelevent. That they systematically excluded cooler stations, and 'corrected more than 3000 points. "

When the global average temperature threatens to break out of the 95 and 90 and 75% confidence levels.. you won't even concede that maybe, possibly your ideas are wrong.

So, in conclusion. Why do I post articles that are so clearly against your popular bias here? Simply to expose you to ideas that most of you will never read. To challenge your world view.

You suggest that I am closeminded. You dismiss published studies of people you don't agree with (svennie for example). And dismiss people for where they publish.

I'll close with the words of the amazing randi - also cowed by global warming religionists

"Happily, science does not depend on consensus. Conclusions are either reached or not, but only after an analysis of evidence as found in nature."







Kirata -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 1:23:07 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Edwynn

I'm sure that you and the OP are all atwitter over the latest Kitty Kelly gossip in the financial realm (as if either of you had a clue), devout to the cause as you and the OP seem to be.

What are they going to say tomorrow that blows your skirt up?

Thanks for biting, but you're too small to be a keeper.

K.




DomKen -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 2:43:14 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Yet when 32000 scientists sign a statement denying global warming (http://www.petitionproject.org/) they have no credentials.

39 of which are climatologists and they don't say how many of those have PhD's and are actually working scientists. Since less than 1/3rd of the total have PhD's that means it is likely that in reality the list has 13 climatologists who are actually doing research. The others are likely people who got a bachelors in climatology and have never worked in the field.

Furthermore this is precisely the sort of fallacious appeal to authority seen with creationists who have long touted their own list of "skeptical scientists." Why, if the deniers actually had any evidence in their favor, would they spend so much time doing the same nonsense the creationists do?

quote:

When I report "The proportion of papers found in the ISI Web of Science database that explicitly endorsed anthropogenic climate change has fallen from 75% (for the period between 1993 and 2003) as of 2004 to 45% from 2004 to 2008, while outright disagreement has risen from 0% to 6% (Oreskes, 2004; Schulte, 2008) - why thats irrelevent. Of course its dropped further since then.

That is what you would expect from a settled theory. Scientists do not get published a lot for redoing experiments or reanalyzing data. The paper you quote, but fail to link to, even says so. The next sentence from that paper:
quote:

This drop in endorsement may be a manifestation of increasing taken-for-grantedness (e.g., Green, 2004) of anthropogenic climate science; the rise in disagreement may be a result of increased funding of sceptics by fossil fuel industries, conservative foundations and think tanks

http://oss.sagepub.com/content/33/11/1477.full

quote:

Here are some quotes from UN IPCC contributors:

That is called quote mining. You simply copied and pasted a list of quotes without providing a source to verify the quote isn't made up or taken out of context and included some by people who have no professional credentials to discuss climatology, an associate professor of mechanical engineering at a very minor institution for instance. Unsurprisingly this is another tactic taken straight from the creationists.

As to the rest you did not produce any such information. I already presented the facts behind the CERN lie in the other thread that you got locked.




DaddySatyr -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 3:52:06 AM)

Every time I read something written by a member of the Al Gore Church of Global Warming Has Made Me Rich, I am reminded of the awful affects of Dihydrogen Monoxide.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 5:09:06 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DaddySatyr

Every time I read something written by a member of the Al Gore Church of Global Warming Has Made Me Rich, I am reminded of the awful affects of Dihydrogen Monoxide.

I'm more reminded more of the awful effects of Kool-Aid.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 5:12:10 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

So when 1700 scientists sign issue a statement saying client science is settled, why, that should be the end of it, right. 1700 scientists is what it takes to settle an issue.


Actually, that's untrue. Science works by attacking, tearing down and replacing paradigms.

The more thousands people who are convinced that A is true, the more likely the person who proves that A is actually untrue is likely to go down in the history books alongside Darwin, Leevoenhoek, Newton, Gallileo, Copernicus, Einstein, Hawking, etc.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 5:16:40 AM)

This particular thread reminds me of once when I was watching Beck and he had a Dr. so and so from Oxford who was very critical of climate change.
Some of the things that the good Dr. was saying didn't make a whole lot of sense from the standpoint of physical chemistry so I decided to research the guy.

He was indeed a PhD
He was indeed a well respected, world renowned full professor at Oxford and had been for over a decade.
He taught Ancient Greek Literature.[8|]




DesideriScuri -> RE: Majority of Scientists skeptical of climate crisis (9/6/2013 5:55:46 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
quote:

ORIGINAL: DaddySatyr
Every time I read something written by a member of the Al Gore Church of Global Warming Has Made Me Rich, I am reminded of the awful affects of Dihydrogen Monoxide.

I'm more reminded more of the awful effects of Kool-Aid.


Interesting in that Kool-Aid tends to be a source rich in Dihydrogen Monoxide. Coincidence? [8D]




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