Germany's power grid destabilizing (Full Version)

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Phydeaux -> Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 9:08:12 AM)

As part of a series of posts on pointing out the downsides of renewable energy sources I pointed out that Germany's power grid was becoming unstable and it has resulted in high damages for several foundries and fab industries.

Many people have contest that. Here is another article on it saying

German manual intervention into the electric grid is up 700% in 2 years. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-10/german-power-supply-is-becoming-less-secure-grid-regulator-says.html?cmpid=yhoo


Before you get too excited about the "23 % of its energy from renewables" remember that biomass generation and dams comprise most of that number.




DomKen -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 10:26:31 AM)

No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.




DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 10:37:25 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.


But, as their reliance on renewables has increased, the need to have people manage the distribution has increased. That was the point. They have also had to rely and call upon "winter reserve plants" to keep the grid stable.

Reliance on renewables is making the grid less stable because they aren't always able to output at a constant level.

While I am not surprised that Germany's power grid is having issues dealing with the fluctuating nature of renewable energy, I don't think for a moment that they'll eventually have enough generation (more locations) to easily supply their grid during those lows, and will have tons of excess if they are operating near peak.

IMO, this isn't anything more than "growing pains" for the German utility generators and regulators. Hopefully, the US can call upon the issues the Germans are having and prevent us from having to go through them while we increase our use of renewable energy generation.




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 11:11:24 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.


But, as their reliance on renewables has increased, the need to have people manage the distribution has increased. That was the point. They have also had to rely and call upon "winter reserve plants" to keep the grid stable.

Reliance on renewables is making the grid less stable because they aren't always able to output at a constant level.

While I am not surprised that Germany's power grid is having issues dealing with the fluctuating nature of renewable energy, I don't think for a moment that they'll eventually have enough generation (more locations) to easily supply their grid during those lows, and will have tons of excess if they are operating near peak.

IMO, this isn't anything more than "growing pains" for the German utility generators and regulators. Hopefully, the US can call upon the issues the Germans are having and prevent us from having to go through them while we increase our use of renewable energy generation.


This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.
Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.
That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.

In my time in the US, brown-outs were quite common and even our friends over there still complain about them.
I think the US needs to stabilise and maintain the power supply they already have before they even think about using renewables.




DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 11:30:23 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.

But, as their reliance on renewables has increased, the need to have people manage the distribution has increased. That was the point. They have also had to rely and call upon "winter reserve plants" to keep the grid stable.
Reliance on renewables is making the grid less stable because they aren't always able to output at a constant level.
While I am not surprised that Germany's power grid is having issues dealing with the fluctuating nature of renewable energy, I don't think for a moment that they'll eventually have enough generation (more locations) to easily supply their grid during those lows, and will have tons of excess if they are operating near peak.
IMO, this isn't anything more than "growing pains" for the German utility generators and regulators. Hopefully, the US can call upon the issues the Germans are having and prevent us from having to go through them while we increase our use of renewable energy generation.

This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.
Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.
That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.
In my time in the US, brown-outs were quite common and even our friends over there still complain about them.
I think the US needs to stabilise and maintain the power supply they already have before they even think about using renewables.


When I was a kid, we had only a few brown-outs during the peak A/C times. I can't tell you the last time I experienced one that wasn't caused by some storm/accident taking out a transformer, though. But, I'm also in NW Ohio, so we don't experience the conditions that other states experience regarding ridiculous weather (our is more ridiculous due to day-to-day variety; ie. today, it's supposed to be 93 (it's 94 right now), tomorrow 93... yesterday's high was 81 and friday's high is 64). You experience of brownouts may have had more to do with where you were than any systemic issue with the grid. I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models. But, the grid has to have enough reliable minimum generation to maintain stability before taking other things off-line. A coal of LNG plant doesn't have to run at 100%, so those can be stepped down as renewable energy generation is stepped up. That would be the lesson I hope we follow.




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 11:40:54 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
When I was a kid, we had only a few brown-outs during the peak A/C times. I can't tell you the last time I experienced one that wasn't caused by some storm/accident taking out a transformer, though. But, I'm also in NW Ohio, so we don't experience the conditions that other states experience regarding ridiculous weather (our is more ridiculous due to day-to-day variety; ie. today, it's supposed to be 93 (it's 94 right now), tomorrow 93... yesterday's high was 81 and friday's high is 64). You experience of brownouts may have had more to do with where you were than any systemic issue with the grid. I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models. But, the grid has to have enough reliable minimum generation to maintain stability before taking other things off-line. A coal of LNG plant doesn't have to run at 100%, so those can be stepped down as renewable energy generation is stepped up. That would be the lesson I hope we follow.

I spent about 3 months in NC (Raliegh) and the rest of my time in 2 parts of FL (Jax & Tampa).
In all 3 areas we experienced fairly regular brown-outs even when there weren't any real weather issues.

In all my life in the UK, no matter where I've lived or stayed at, I have not experienced a single brown-out.
Sure, once in a while some bit of freak weather might take out a small local transformer or some power lines and cause a temporary black-out. But I've never seen a brown-out in the UK.
I find the whole idea of a brown-out quite alien and weird.
Freaked the fuck out of me when I first went through one - my host just laughed!




hlen5 -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 11:45:04 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.


But, as their reliance on renewables has increased, the need to have people manage the distribution has increased. That was the point. They have also had to rely and call upon "winter reserve plants" to keep the grid stable.

Reliance on renewables is making the grid less stable because they aren't always able to output at a constant level.

While I am not surprised that Germany's power grid is having issues dealing with the fluctuating nature of renewable energy, I don't think for a moment that they'll eventually have enough generation (more locations) to easily supply their grid during those lows, and will have tons of excess if they are operating near peak.

IMO, this isn't anything more than "growing pains" for the German utility generators and regulators. Hopefully, the US can call upon the issues the Germans are having and prevent us from having to go through them while we increase our use of renewable energy generation.


This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.
Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.
That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.

In my time in the US, brown-outs were quite common and even our friends over there still complain about them.
I think the US needs to stabilise and maintain the power supply they already have before they even think about using renewables.


If we would reduce consumption with already available technology I have heard we could lower our current consumption by 40%.

If we incorporate renewables as we retrofit, everybody wins. More jobs for retrofitters and people to update our tech to a smarter grid. The power companies will profit by overseeing such changes.




DomKen -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 12:39:49 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
When I was a kid, we had only a few brown-outs during the peak A/C times. I can't tell you the last time I experienced one that wasn't caused by some storm/accident taking out a transformer, though. But, I'm also in NW Ohio, so we don't experience the conditions that other states experience regarding ridiculous weather (our is more ridiculous due to day-to-day variety; ie. today, it's supposed to be 93 (it's 94 right now), tomorrow 93... yesterday's high was 81 and friday's high is 64). You experience of brownouts may have had more to do with where you were than any systemic issue with the grid. I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models. But, the grid has to have enough reliable minimum generation to maintain stability before taking other things off-line. A coal of LNG plant doesn't have to run at 100%, so those can be stepped down as renewable energy generation is stepped up. That would be the lesson I hope we follow.

I spent about 3 months in NC (Raliegh) and the rest of my time in 2 parts of FL (Jax & Tampa).
In all 3 areas we experienced fairly regular brown-outs even when there weren't any real weather issues.

I have relatives in Tampa and have spent a lot of time there over the last 40 years. I have never experienced a brown out or heard of any such problem. I'm checking with a friend who lives in Raleigh but I really doubt the research triangle has frequent brown outs either.




thompsonx -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 1:51:51 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1


This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.


Has no one ever heard of pumping water into a tank,weights on a pully or rail cars loaded with lead and moved to a higher elevation to be used as power by gravity when the prime source of power was not available?
quote:


Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.


As opposed to the cost of a similar sized conventional plant???any documenation for that or is that your "unbiased" opinion unsubstantiated by fact?

quote:


That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs


So far no validation that there will be cost increases based on this.
quote:


that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.

By this reasoning canned food should not exist.





thompsonx -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 1:56:11 PM)

quote:

I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models.

Let me see if I understand this????we the people send "our choice" to washington and to the state capital to codify into law "our wishes" and yet this suggests otherwise[8|]




DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 3:25:19 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx
quote:

I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models.

Let me see if I understand this????we the people send "our choice" to washington and to the state capital to codify into law "our wishes" and yet this suggests otherwise[8|]


Government isn't about codifying the whims of the majority. Therein lies the importance of "enumerated powers."




Phydeaux -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 3:41:51 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.

Not in this article. Many documented in other articles.




Phydeaux -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 4:01:06 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1


This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.


Has no one ever heard of pumping water into a tank,weights on a pully or rail cars loaded with lead and moved to a higher elevation to be used as power by gravity when the prime source of power was not available?
quote:


Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.


As opposed to the cost of a similar sized conventional plant???any documenation for that or is that your "unbiased" opinion unsubstantiated by fact?

quote:


That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs


So far no validation that there will be cost increases based on this.
quote:


that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.

By this reasoning canned food should not exist.




Thompson, your comments once again are.. staggering. Technical education really ought to be required.

Pumping water uphill has, indeed, been done many, many times. Luddington is one of the better examples of the technology, and has around 1800MW capacity.

Personally, I am greatly fond of this kind of technology - but it has issues.

a). Not every power plant can be situated next to a lake thats uphill, and over a square mile in size. Lack of water (much of the southwest), lack of inclines (south florida), prohibitive land values (cities) .. etc.
b). As per the laws of thermodynamics, 1 watt pushed up the lake translates into about .75 watts coming down the lake. This inefficiency makes the electricy more expensive.
c). It doesn't work well with solar power. Typically, water is pumped up the hill at night, which is the time of lower demand. Unfortunately, the sun doesn't shine at night.
d). The capital costs are huge; the siting demands rigorous.

Tanks are worse, having a much higher unit cost.

As for the costs of power plants the costs for coal, hydro, combined cycle were all presented previously. These were costs per kW/hr, provided by the US DoE, as well as the more accurate ones presented by the Aussie govt.
I'm not providing them again. If you dispute the obvious fact that building and maintaining hydropumping / generation station is expensive - you provide the links.





DomKen -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 4:09:57 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

No blackouts or brownouts. What the guy is talking about is they need to better manage their power distribution automatically so they don't have to have people doing it.

Not in this article. Many documented in other articles.


Links then? Because this article explicitly says otherwise and google shows nothing since 2006.




thompsonx -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 4:53:46 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri



quote:

Government isn't about codifying the whims of the majority.


It would appear that some prefer the whim of the minority.







DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 4:57:07 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
Government isn't about codifying the whims of the majority.

It would appear that some prefer the whim of the minority.


Not surprising to me, that's not really any better.

To reiterate: Therein lies the importance of "enumerated powers."




thompsonx -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/10/2013 5:29:51 PM)

quote]ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1


This is part of the main argument about renewables - they aren't stable and thus form peaks and troughs in the supply.


Has no one ever heard of pumping water into a tank,weights on a pully or rail cars loaded with lead and moved to a higher elevation to be used as power by gravity when the prime source of power was not available?
quote:


Not only that, the initial outlay to kick-start any renewable project is mega-expensive.


As opposed to the cost of a similar sized conventional plant???any documenation for that or is that your "unbiased" opinion unsubstantiated by fact?

quote:


That burden has to be paid for by the people in rising energy costs


So far no validation that there will be cost increases based on this.
quote:


that won't bring much real cost benefit until maybe decades later and many may not live to see those benefits.

By this reasoning canned food should not exist.



quote:

Thompson, your comments once again are.. staggering. Technical education really ought to be required.


The above post that I responded to is testimony to that.

quote:

Pumping water uphill has, indeed, been done many, many times. Luddington is one of the better examples of the technology, and has around 1800MW capacity.

Personally, I am greatly fond of this kind of technology - but it has issues.

a). Not every power plant can be situated next to a lake thats uphill, and over a square mile in size.

Does that mean that we should not utilize those that do?
quote:


Lack of water (much of the southwest),


The water is reused not thrown away.
quote:

b). As per the laws of thermodynamics, 1 watt pushed up the lake translates into about .75 watts coming down the lake. This inefficiency makes the electricy more expensive.


Free electricity from solar pushes water uphill to a resevoir during the day and we get 75% of that free energy back at night when the sun does not shine and the water flows out of the resevoir. If I want more electricity for day time I just add more collector capacity. As for cost take a look at just how cheap that shit is. They are building solar farms all around me.


quote:

c). It doesn't work well with solar power. Typically, water is pumped up the hill at night, which is the time of lower demand. Unfortunately, the sun doesn't shine at night.


For the reasons explaned above this statement is just moronic bullshit.
quote:

d). The capital costs are huge;


Gouging out resevoir with a d9 is more expensive than building a power plant[8|]

quote:

the siting demands rigorous.

Hmmm let's see would it be more difficult to obtain siting validation for a resevoir or a power plant[8|]

quote:

Tanks are worse, having a much higher unit cost.

Higher than the cost of a power plant?

quote:

As for the costs of power plants the costs for coal, hydro, combined cycle were all presented previously. These were costs per kW/hr, provided by the US DoE, as well as the more accurate ones presented by the Aussie govt.
I'm not providing them again.


They were shown to be bullshit the first time so please do not waste our time further with insipid reference to them.

quote:

If you dispute the obvious fact that building and maintaining hydropumping / generation station is expensive - you provide the links.

I have not said it was free to build the infastructure,just as it is not free to build conventional power plants. Which do you feel would be cheaper to build? Maintaining the two the obvious winner is solar since there is no cost for the fuel. I have said that the energy to drive it is free.





DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/11/2013 4:51:19 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
Actually in the real world there are power plants that exist solely to provide power at peak demand. Those producers do start up and shut down very quickly.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peaking_power_plant
The idea, at least in the short term, is to provide the base line power most of the time with renewables and rely on peaker plants during bad weather. It would simply shift those peaker plants from running mostly in summer to mostly running in winter.


And, as the OP article noted, the winter reserve plants are being called on more to stabilize the grid.




thompsonx -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/11/2013 8:42:25 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx
quote:

I would very much love to see the US start to move towards renewables (by way of customer, rather than government edict) and phasing out more expensive models.

Let me see if I understand this????we the people send "our choice" to washington and to the state capital to codify into law "our wishes" and yet this suggests otherwise[8|]


Government isn't about codifying the whims of the majority.


What then,is the government's job?




DesideriScuri -> RE: Germany's power grid destabilizing (9/11/2013 9:29:04 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
Government isn't about codifying the whims of the majority.

What then,is the government's job?


To reiterate (again): Therein lies the importance of "enumerated powers."




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