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2016 Wave - 12/19/2013 10:53:11 PM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline
As I predicted in October, the Obama care rollout would be disastrous, and would continue to drip bad news all through 2014.

The news cycles in early january will be that nowhere near the numbers required signed up. (More delays to pay for policies they don't want).

More losses for insurers - to be sure - to be covered by reinsurance (Just in time for later year P & L reports).

March / April will have stories about IRS non validation of income levels. Followed by lack of penalties.

Toward the end of the year, even tho the small business rollout was delayed till after midterms - we will have the constant drum beat of the administration proclaiming that it is ready - and the constant drip of stories proving they aren't.

And of course the waves of cancellations of group insurance notices will happen right before the elections. Not millions of americans - as now. But tens of millions of americans.

Americans are mad again. And despite dim spin to try to point to republican shut downs of government - 72% of americans are saying that "big government is the problem"

The largest its ever been.

"Gallup reports that 72 percent of Americans see big government, not big business or big labor, as the biggest threat to the nation’s future—the highest number since the question was first asked in 1965.

The Obama Democrats assumed Americans would embrace big government policies. They seem to have proved the opposite."

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RE: 2016 Wave - 12/19/2013 10:59:33 PM   
EdBowie


Posts: 875
Joined: 8/11/2013
Status: offline
And nothing you've 'predicted' has turned out to actually happen... perhaps you need to give up the psychic business

_____________________________

Reading for understanding, instead of for argumentation, has its advantages.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 2
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/19/2013 11:56:04 PM   
joether


Posts: 5195
Joined: 7/24/2005
Status: offline
Yes, it'll be a wave already. All blue like the ocean! An your predictions are all silly, Phydeuax.

You could not have predicted the problems of the website in October since the thing was released October 1st. When you know of the problems with the website, so did much of America. But you will be wrong on the numbers being lower than expected. People are not going to violate the law in favor of your petty politics. The 'penalties' some will pay will get dumped into next year's subsidies that others are paying on. No really, that is the truth....

Big government is not the problem. Republicans and more especially the Tea Party is the problem. When it comes time for the vote, what happened with the website and all will be a distant memory that is irrelevant to most Americans. Kind of like how most Americans do not think about Benghazi, since the administration was not really at any fault.

An Americans do embrace 'Big Government' ideas. People accept social security on a daily basis. People work for the Defense Industry that obtains its money directly from the DoD. Many companies supply goods and services that the government uses for various tasks. So many Americans would be against someone trying to eliminate their job or heavily reduce their take-home pay for petty political points among conservatives. And those Representatives and Senators know that if they piss to many people off, they are not getting re-elected regardless of how the other candidate fairs.

(in reply to EdBowie)
Profile   Post #: 3
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 12:12:56 AM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

Yes, it'll be a wave already. All blue like the ocean! An your predictions are all silly, Phydeuax.

You could not have predicted the problems of the website in October since the thing was released October 1st. When you know of the problems with the website, so did much of America. But you will be wrong on the numbers being lower than expected. People are not going to violate the law in favor of your petty politics. The 'penalties' some will pay will get dumped into next year's subsidies that others are paying on. No really, that is the truth....

Big government is not the problem. Republicans and more especially the Tea Party is the problem. When it comes time for the vote, what happened with the website and all will be a distant memory that is irrelevant to most Americans. Kind of like how most Americans do not think about Benghazi, since the administration was not really at any fault.

An Americans do embrace 'Big Government' ideas. People accept social security on a daily basis. People work for the Defense Industry that obtains its money directly from the DoD. Many companies supply goods and services that the government uses for various tasks. So many Americans would be against someone trying to eliminate their job or heavily reduce their take-home pay for petty political points among conservatives. And those Representatives and Senators know that if they piss to many people off, they are not getting re-elected regardless of how the other candidate fairs.


All blue like the ocean eh. Funny not even nate silver is predicting that - not even with the huge financial advantage you dims are reaping from the insurance companies, and wall street. Since your grasp on reality is tenuous you must be either a dim volunteer or paid troll.

And - for the record - when factless ken was predicting the website issues would be fixed within a week - you know .. day 1 or 2 - I was predicting it wouldn't be fixed in a month. And it wasn't. And it won't be fixed in another month either.

834 issues will continue to be an issue. So will lack of security.

As for all the things you quoted - all those things aren't going to be on the ballot in November. The only thing that will be will be Obamacare - and 200 or so dims in the house and whats the number 13 dims in the senate.

Obama support touched 62 % negative in iowa today. Support among the young dropped 28 points in a month.

So how secure are you in your prediction. Just exactly how many seats are the dimocrats going to win. How much you willing to bet?



(in reply to joether)
Profile   Post #: 4
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 12:16:40 AM   
EdBowie


Posts: 875
Joined: 8/11/2013
Status: offline
And yet here I am looking around at the real world, where my premiums didn't go up, my coverage didn't go down, my policy wasn't taken away from me, and I'm still using the same doctors.

_____________________________

Reading for understanding, instead of for argumentation, has its advantages.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 5
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 12:19:10 AM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

And nothing you've 'predicted' has turned out to actually happen... perhaps you need to give up the psychic business


Oh?

I predicted the website rollout would be a disaster. It was.
I predicted the problems wouldn't be fixed in a month - they werent.
I predicted millions would lose coverage. They have.
I predicted they would delay the deadlines - and they did - both filing and paying.
I predicted they wouldn't hit their enrollment targets. They didn't.
I predicted the young wouldn't sign up. They haven't.

I also predicted the number of people that would get private insurance by the end of December under obamacare.
Thats enrolled and paid for.

Juries still out on that one. Of course I challenged you to pick a number. You didn't have the balls to.

How many times was it that you've read the ACA act again? I forget.

(in reply to EdBowie)
Profile   Post #: 6
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 12:24:12 AM   
EdBowie


Posts: 875
Joined: 8/11/2013
Status: offline
No, you claimed that 50 - 60 million people who had perfectly good insurance, like myself would have it taken away from them.
Then you 'validated' that prediction by announcing that it had in fact already happened within days of the rollout.

You were asked for proof, and still haven't provided any.


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

And nothing you've 'predicted' has turned out to actually happen... perhaps you need to give up the psychic business


Oh?

I predicted the website rollout would be a disaster. It was.
I predicted the problems wouldn't be fixed in a month - they werent.
I predicted millions would lose coverage. They have.
I predicted they would delay the deadlines - and they did - both filing and paying.
I predicted they wouldn't hit their enrollment targets. They didn't.
I predicted the young wouldn't sign up. They haven't.

I also predicted the number of people that would get private insurance by the end of December under obamacare.
Thats enrolled and paid for.

Juries still out on that one. Of course I challenged you to pick a number. You didn't have the balls to.

How many times was it that you've read the ACA act again? I forget.



_____________________________

Reading for understanding, instead of for argumentation, has its advantages.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 7
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 12:30:37 AM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

And yet here I am looking around at the real world, where my premiums didn't go up, my coverage didn't go down, my policy wasn't taken away from me, and I'm still using the same doctors.


Yes, your own little real world. As if one insurance policy out of hundreds of millions is representative or interesting. What an exagerated sense of importance you have.

But lets address that just for humor's sake.

So far, Obamacare has only had the opportunity to screw with the insurance of people on the individual insurance. You know - the cherry picked best case for obamacare representing oh what..7% of the insurance market?

And if you were from NY, California, Illinois where local dimocrats had already screwed up the local insurance market even more than the feds - you would benefit.

Now of course the odds are that you are either covered in a business (2014) or a union (2015). So you wouldn't be expected to be hosed yet.

The truly amazing thing, is that if I weren't a kool-aid drinking dimocrat I'd be going .. holy shit.. we're going to do this with a market TEN TIMES bigger next year?

I'd be having second and third thoughts. Hell - a lot of them are probably buying vowels from vanna around now.

Ah but dims trolls are marching in lockstep... Onward!

So, in conclusion. You wouldn't hardly be expected to be affected now would you. And its funny - I don't recall a single dim coming on here and saying you know - my premiums have increased. Funny how that works.





(in reply to EdBowie)
Profile   Post #: 8
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 1:08:10 AM   
EdBowie


Posts: 875
Joined: 8/11/2013
Status: offline
Here's a clue that you are free to ignore... the same way you handwave away the rest of reality. I don't work alone... millions of other people have the same kind of insurance I have, and none of them had it taken away from them, premiums raised from a couple of thousand to 50K, coverage stripped or doctors banned.

In other words, you still can't back up any of your predictions with verifiable facts, so you substitute lies and insults as a smokescreen.


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

And yet here I am looking around at the real world, where my premiums didn't go up, my coverage didn't go down, my policy wasn't taken away from me, and I'm still using the same doctors.


Yes, your own little real world. As if one insurance policy out of hundreds of millions is representative or interesting. What an exagerated sense of importance you have.

But lets address that just for humor's sake.

So far, Obamacare has only had the opportunity to screw with the insurance of people on the individual insurance. You know - the cherry picked best case for obamacare representing oh what..7% of the insurance market?

And if you were from NY, California, Illinois where local dimocrats had already screwed up the local insurance market even more than the feds - you would benefit.

Now of course the odds are that you are either covered in a business (2014) or a union (2015). So you wouldn't be expected to be hosed yet.

The truly amazing thing, is that if I weren't a kool-aid drinking dimocrat I'd be going .. holy shit.. we're going to do this with a market TEN TIMES bigger next year?

I'd be having second and third thoughts. Hell - a lot of them are probably buying vowels from vanna around now.

Ah but dims trolls are marching in lockstep... Onward!

So, in conclusion. You wouldn't hardly be expected to be affected now would you. And its funny - I don't recall a single dim coming on here and saying you know - my premiums have increased. Funny how that works.








< Message edited by EdBowie -- 12/20/2013 1:11:45 AM >


_____________________________

Reading for understanding, instead of for argumentation, has its advantages.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 9
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 10:12:45 AM   
RottenJohnny


Posts: 1677
Joined: 5/5/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether

Yes, it'll be a wave already. All blue like the ocean! An your predictions are all silly, Phydeuax.

You could not have predicted the problems of the website in October since the thing was released October 1st. When you know of the problems with the website, so did much of America. But you will be wrong on the numbers being lower than expected. People are not going to violate the law in favor of your petty politics. The 'penalties' some will pay will get dumped into next year's subsidies that others are paying on. No really, that is the truth....

Big government is not the problem. Republicans and more especially the Tea Party is the problem. When it comes time for the vote, what happened with the website and all will be a distant memory that is irrelevant to most Americans. Kind of like how most Americans do not think about Benghazi, since the administration was not really at any fault.

An Americans do embrace 'Big Government' ideas. People accept social security on a daily basis. People work for the Defense Industry that obtains its money directly from the DoD. Many companies supply goods and services that the government uses for various tasks. So many Americans would be against someone trying to eliminate their job or heavily reduce their take-home pay for petty political points among conservatives. And those Representatives and Senators know that if they piss to many people off, they are not getting re-elected regardless of how the other candidate fairs.

Just out of curiosity, joether, do you have any capacity, whatsoever, for forming an opinion on your own or does everything you post have to go through your DNC handler first?

_____________________________

"I find your arguments strewn with gaping defects in logic." - Mr. Spock

"Give me liberty or give me death." - Patrick Henry

I believe in common sense, not common opinions. - Me

(in reply to joether)
Profile   Post #: 10
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 10:16:55 AM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
Status: offline
The prediction for 2016 is that nutsackers wont be in the whitehouse, they will embarrass themselves like the last two times, and that the Senate will be Dem majority.

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


(in reply to RottenJohnny)
Profile   Post #: 11
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 2:09:07 PM   
RottenJohnny


Posts: 1677
Joined: 5/5/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
The prediction for 2016 is that nutsackers wont be in the whitehouse, they will embarrass themselves like the last two times, and that the Senate will be Dem majority.

That's exactly what worries me...getting the worse of two evils simply because the Pubs can't set aside some of their zealotry for a few election cycles.

My kingdom for a viable centrist candidate.

_____________________________

"I find your arguments strewn with gaping defects in logic." - Mr. Spock

"Give me liberty or give me death." - Patrick Henry

I believe in common sense, not common opinions. - Me

(in reply to mnottertail)
Profile   Post #: 12
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 2:15:36 PM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
Status: offline
They need to flush it the fuck out period, not just for a few cycles. 

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


(in reply to RottenJohnny)
Profile   Post #: 13
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 2:35:31 PM   
RottenJohnny


Posts: 1677
Joined: 5/5/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
They need to flush it the fuck out period, not just for a few cycles. 

Unfortunately, there's too much money involved in the right wing. The best anyone could probably hope for is for them to tone it down for awhile...but you're never going to get rid of it.

_____________________________

"I find your arguments strewn with gaping defects in logic." - Mr. Spock

"Give me liberty or give me death." - Patrick Henry

I believe in common sense, not common opinions. - Me

(in reply to mnottertail)
Profile   Post #: 14
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 2:37:00 PM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
Status: offline
A freedom of speech, experience, history.  Like that.

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


(in reply to RottenJohnny)
Profile   Post #: 15
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 6:07:33 PM   
joether


Posts: 5195
Joined: 7/24/2005
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: RottenJohnny
Just out of curiosity, joether, do you have any capacity, whatsoever, for forming an opinion on your own or does everything you post have to go through your DNC handler first?


Now that's an idea....consult the DNC....

No, never thought on doing that. You just don't like someone that thinks for themselves because it doesn't fit with your limited view on reality. Am I getting popular enough now that your network of choice (i.e. FOX News) must give you buzz words or sound bites to use towards me?


(in reply to RottenJohnny)
Profile   Post #: 16
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 6:27:41 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

And yet here I am looking around at the real world, where my premiums didn't go up, my coverage didn't go down, my policy wasn't taken away from me, and I'm still using the same doctors.


Yes, your own little real world. As if one insurance policy out of hundreds of millions is representative or interesting. What an exagerated sense of importance you have.

But lets address that just for humor's sake.

So far, Obamacare has only had the opportunity to screw with the insurance of people on the individual insurance. You know - the cherry picked best case for obamacare representing oh what..7% of the insurance market?

And if you were from NY, California, Illinois where local dimocrats had already screwed up the local insurance market even more than the feds - you would benefit.

Now of course the odds are that you are either covered in a business (2014) or a union (2015). So you wouldn't be expected to be hosed yet.

The truly amazing thing, is that if I weren't a kool-aid drinking dimocrat I'd be going .. holy shit.. we're going to do this with a market TEN TIMES bigger next year?

I'd be having second and third thoughts. Hell - a lot of them are probably buying vowels from vanna around now.

Ah but dims trolls are marching in lockstep... Onward!

So, in conclusion. You wouldn't hardly be expected to be affected now would you. And its funny - I don't recall a single dim coming on here and saying you know - my premiums have increased. Funny how that works.


The inveterate 3 legged stool.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 17
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 11:03:45 PM   
RottenJohnny


Posts: 1677
Joined: 5/5/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
You just don't like someone that thinks for themselves because it doesn't fit with your limited view on reality.

My limited view? Now there's a real joke. Let's recap...
quote:

ORIGINAL: joether
Yes, it'll be a wave already. All blue like the ocean!

Just how limited is that view? And you call yourself a thinker? It's people with that kind of attitude that are exactly what's wrong with politics in this country.


quote:

Am I getting popular enough now that your network of choice (i.e. FOX News) must give you buzz words or sound bites to use towards me?

It would make it simpler for you if you could label me so easily, wouldn't it? Unfortunately, you have no idea how utterly wrong you are. But I shouldn't be surprised. It's the kind of response I'd expect to get from someone with such a limited view of reality.

_____________________________

"I find your arguments strewn with gaping defects in logic." - Mr. Spock

"Give me liberty or give me death." - Patrick Henry

I believe in common sense, not common opinions. - Me

(in reply to joether)
Profile   Post #: 18
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 11:43:30 PM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

In other words, you still can't back up any of your predictions with verifiable facts, so you substitute lies and insults as a smokescreen.




Earth to Bowie:

They're called predictions because they haven't happened yet.
Since they haven't happened yet - its kind of difficult to provide "Verifiable facts" now, isn't it.

Now, for the record.
I never predicted that premiums would increase to 50K.

I did note that others were predicting losses of 80 million when obamacare hit the group insurance markets - but I thought that overstated. My personal prediction was 50 million people - should the law remain as passed.

As for "no verifiable facts" - I'm not going to provide you the links again.
But I provided links to ABC and CBS reports that the adminitration knew that the losses would be 40-80% as well as the the DC newspapers.

I also provided a copy to the July 2010 Federal Register where those EXACT numbers were published more than two years ago.

I provided a link to the "interim final draft rulings" (snicker) that proposed the policies that purposely caused those cancellations and I provided links to the leaked insurance company memos that confirmed what the effects would be.

I'm not going to provide those links again. If you really want to dispute the facts - do a little googling on your own and you will find the facts are as I indicated.

But you have no interest in facts - just presenting the dim point of view.

(in reply to EdBowie)
Profile   Post #: 19
RE: 2016 Wave - 12/20/2013 11:51:25 PM   
EdBowie


Posts: 875
Joined: 8/11/2013
Status: offline
In both the 'shoe drop', and this thread, you use the present tense, not just the future.

The rest of your bizarre rant has nothing to do with anything I've posted.




quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: EdBowie

In other words, you still can't back up any of your predictions with verifiable facts, so you substitute lies and insults as a smokescreen.




Earth to Bowie:

They're called predictions because they haven't happened yet.
Since they haven't happened yet - its kind of difficult to provide "Verifiable facts" now, isn't it.

Now, for the record.
I never predicted that premiums would increase to 50K.

I did note that others were predicting losses of 80 million when obamacare hit the group insurance markets - but I thought that overstated. My personal prediction was 50 million people - should the law remain as passed.

As for "no verifiable facts" - I'm not going to provide you the links again.
But I provided links to ABC and CBS reports that the adminitration knew that the losses would be 40-80% as well as the the DC newspapers.

I also provided a copy to the July 2010 Federal Register where those EXACT numbers were published more than two years ago.

I provided a link to the "interim final draft rulings" (snicker) that proposed the policies that purposely caused those cancellations and I provided links to the leaked insurance company memos that confirmed what the effects would be.

I'm not going to provide those links again. If you really want to dispute the facts - do a little googling on your own and you will find the facts are as I indicated.

But you have no interest in facts - just presenting the dim point of view.




_____________________________

Reading for understanding, instead of for argumentation, has its advantages.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 20
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