RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (Full Version)

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chatterbox24 -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 9:45:48 AM)

Its terrible and  very sad. This tragedy sounded like it was very preventable.
We actually live very close to a major fault line that extends over 4 states. Earthquakes do not always happen at the fault line, but it is a risk. Tragedy can strike in many ways, just being alive is a risk. If its gonna happen, its gonna happen. Life goes on, unless a tornado decides to form. Oh Yikes!!!
I think I will decide to enjoy spring coming anyway.




Rule -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:00:26 AM)

Everybody living on a fault line ought to live in house suspended from a hot air balloon.




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:13:06 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: GoddessManko

Honestly, these natural disasters will continue to get worse.



How do you figure that? A higher population, building more expensive things to get knocked down may give us bigger dollar figures and casualty numbers, but an 8.5 earhquake is an 8.5 earthquake, a 40 meter tsunami is a 40 meter tsunami, and a giant hurricane is a giant hurricane.

We live on a planet that reaches out to kill some of us, any damn time it feels like it. That is a constant.




Rule -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:18:46 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic
a 40 meter tsunami is a 40 meter tsunami

The house suspended from the hot air balloon must be at least 40 meters above sea level.




njlauren -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:22:52 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too. The levees themselves are problematic, they are built high and tend to narrow the river's width, which in turn causes the water to be in a smaller area and has nowhere to go.

This is from one website:
Human Causes of the 1993 Floods

Urbanisation of the Flood Plain - reducing infiltration rates etc

Poorly built non-federal levees

The development of unsuitable sites for development

The channelisation of the river - especially at St Louis

The last is one of the biggies.

One note, that 1993 was called 'a once in 500 year flood'..yet in 2008, 15 years later, a second 500 year event happened, which should tell us a lot, that something is causing these events to happen more, and human activitity is probably part of it.




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:27:26 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: njlauren


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too.

Do you have any idea how much farmland would be sacrificed by getting rid of the levees?




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:46:41 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: njlauren


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too.

Do you have any idea how much farmland would be sacrificed by getting rid of the levees?

Actually it would be improved. It would get flooded each spring and that would be free fertilizer. Perfect for rice and some other crops.




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:46:59 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: njlauren

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too. The levees themselves are problematic, they are built high and tend to narrow the river's width, which in turn causes the water to be in a smaller area and has nowhere to go.

This is from one website:
Human Causes of the 1993 Floods

Urbanisation of the Flood Plain - reducing infiltration rates etc

Poorly built non-federal levees

The development of unsuitable sites for development

The channelisation of the river - especially at St Louis

The last is one of the biggies.

One note, that 1993 was called 'a once in 500 year flood'..yet in 2008, 15 years later, a second 500 year event happened, which should tell us a lot, that something is causing these events to happen more, and human activitity is probably part of it.

Yep people cause the floods so they should get rid of the levees and move out of the flood planes.
they should move away from the coasts and avoid hurricanes because people cause them too.
We need to abandon California due to the earthquakes after all they too must be the fault of humanity.
People shouldn't be allowed to live in mountainous areas, avalanches you know. The great planes
are out, tornadoes, also our fault. It's just stupid to let people live anywhere.




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:50:59 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD
It's just stupid to let people live anywhere.



Yep. We should pack them all tightly together in strictly controlled cities where everyone uses public transportation and common services, so infectious disease can come along and kill them more efficiently.




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:52:58 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD
It's just stupid to let people live anywhere.



Yep. We should pack them all tightly together in strictly controlled cities where everyone uses public transportation and common services, so infectious disease can come along and kill them more efficiently.

Did I forget to use the sarcasm font again?




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 10:55:39 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

First off, "we as a nation" aren't in the business of building homes. That's the old super-authoritarian liberal mindset screwing up perceptions of reality. This ain't a dictatorship, Dude.

Second, do please tell me of anyplace on the planet where Mama Nature doesn't have some means at hand of killing people, should the mood strike her?

Third, let's point out that the Northridge earthquake in LA happened on a fault nobody knew existed, until it busted loose hard, one morning, 20 years ago. How do you zone around that?

We as a nation are in the business of zoning land for building.

Second there are plenty of places where the risk is lower than the side of a hill with a high probability of mudslides!

Third It was still LA! The entire area is supposed to be built for earthquakes. Of course the developers had been cheating and you got to find that out first hand.

Fourth how about all those canyon homes with flammable roofs in areas with chaparral? How much does that add to your taxes every year? How long have the FD's been saying that every home should have fire proof shingles? Since I lived out there in the 80's at least. But the developers keep ignoring them because the ignorant home buyers think it's ugly until the sparks are flying




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:00:44 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: njlauren


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too.

Do you have any idea how much farmland would be sacrificed by getting rid of the levees?

Actually it would be improved. It would get flooded each spring and that would be free fertilizer. Perfect for rice and some other crops.

None of which are grown there.
Corn and wheat don't do that well in marshes. And even when the river is low the areas on the
river side of the levee is marsh.
Don't tell me it's because the river is there because it isn't.
But then who cares as long as we remember that people are intruders on the earth and as Heritic
pointed out need to be restricted to as little space as possible so they can be controlled and protected,
and if an epidemic gets them that is their fault too.




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:02:42 AM)

Dude, your ignorance of what LA County building requirements are is flat out fucking staggering.







DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:06:13 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: njlauren


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

"For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in
California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black.
What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen
in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the
mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain
areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created
an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to
handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought
out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to
more its natural banks. "


Funny, my family (they live within sight of the Mississippi in Missouri) said that they rebuilt
and reinforced the levees. There are whole towns that would have to be abandoned.
When the levees opposite my home town broke it flooded towns as much as 10 miles
from the river and inundated some that were closer to the river.
One levee, north of Hannibal was the victim of sabotage (not my opinion there was a
conviction in the case. The one across the river was in poor repair.
You are clearly unfamiliar with the Mississippi. The only thing to change it's course
was the New Madrid earthquakes of 1820 (directly responsible for the founding of
my home town). They didn't change it's course they contained it till a 1000 year flood hit.


They did in some places, in others they bought out land and let the Mississippi go back to its natural channels. There was an entire episode on NOVA on PBS about the big floods and how the Mississippi's path had been diverted and what it caused .The fact that one town was rebuilt doesn't mean they all were, and the point is that even if we let the Mississippi alone, it would flood. The fact that they need levees in the first place says they are building in areas prone to flood.

It also proves my point, because guess who likely builds and maintains those levees? Federal money and probably Army Corps of Engineers, which reinforces my point, that we pay to have people live in areas prone to flooding, and pay to rebuild them, too.

Do you have any idea how much farmland would be sacrificed by getting rid of the levees?

Actually it would be improved. It would get flooded each spring and that would be free fertilizer. Perfect for rice and some other crops.

None of which are grown there.
Corn and wheat don't do that well in marshes. And even when the river is low the areas on the
river side of the levee is marsh.
Don't tell me it's because the river is there because it isn't.
But then who cares as long as we remember that people are intruders on the earth and as Heritic
pointed out need to be restricted to as little space as possible so they can be controlled and protected,
and if an epidemic gets them that is their fault too.


Rice is grown down there. I just bought some.
http://crops.missouri.edu/audit/rice.htm
in short Mo has 250k acres in rice.
There is production on the IL side as well.




Marc2b -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:11:40 AM)

quote:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/30/opinion/sunday/egan-at-home-when-the-earth-moves.html?_r=0
25 dead and 90 still missing. When are we as a nation going to stop trying to put homes in areas prone to mudslides, wildfires or without enough fresh water simply because someone would like to live there?


In this particular case you may have a point since there have been warnings about a potential mudslide for so long but as for the larger question of why people live in dangerous areas I can see two answers:

1. Because every spot on Earth is prone to one form of natural disaster or another. Some areas, granted, are more prone to others but no spot is entirely free of risk.

2. It is home. The place we were born in exerts a powerful hold on most of us. I know - objectively - that my region (the Niagara Falls Region of New York) is no more or less desirable (climate and scenic wise) a place to live than any other on Earth. I also know that it is the greatest place on Earth (despite the risks of blizzard, flooding, and wild Canadians swarming our malls and doctor's offices) and that I wouldn't want to live anywhere else . . . because it is home.




BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:12:55 AM)

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:17:20 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Marc2b

quote:

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/30/opinion/sunday/egan-at-home-when-the-earth-moves.html?_r=0
25 dead and 90 still missing. When are we as a nation going to stop trying to put homes in areas prone to mudslides, wildfires or without enough fresh water simply because someone would like to live there?


In this particular case you may have a point since there have been warnings about a potential mudslide for so long but as for the larger question of why people live in dangerous areas I can see two answers:

1. Because every spot on Earth is prone to one form of natural disaster or another. Some areas, granted, are more prone to others but no spot is entirely free of risk.

2. It is home. The place we were born in exerts a powerful hold on most of us. I know - objectively - that my region (the Niagara Falls Region of New York) is no more or less desirable (climate and scenic wise) a place to live than any other on Earth. I also know that it is the greatest place on Earth (despite the risks of blizzard, flooding, and wild Canadians swarming our malls and doctor's offices) and that I wouldn't want to live anywhere else . . . because it is home.

But no one is building homes around Niagara, I hope, without taking into account snow fall loads and wild Canadians. In this case the developers and the local government simply ignored the warnings that the hillside was a probable mudslide.




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:18:56 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-07-07/news/0307070177_1_higher-ground-valmeyer-great-flood




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:30:53 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-07-07/news/0307070177_1_higher-ground-valmeyer-great-flood

Which trumps the firsthand knowledge of those of us who have actually lived on the river.




BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:31:15 AM)

not sure where you get your info but there was no UNSUALLY BIG FLOOD in 2008...

MAYBE a slightly large flood but nothing MONSTER.

the only place I am aware of they bought out land was in st Charles, there might have been a few other places I am unaware of, but when you consider the fact that almost the ENTIRE city of st Charles was underwater in that flood, buying a few acres next to the river and making it a park was hardly sensible

I'd really like a LINK to the site you mention, pretty much every other site I have found said hey it RAINED ALOT




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