RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (Full Version)

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BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:35:35 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

not sure where you get your info but there was no UNSUALLY BIG FLOOD in 2008...

MAYBE a slightly large flood but nothing MONSTER.

the only place I am aware of they bought out land was in st Charles, there might have been a few other places I am unaware of, but when you consider the fact that almost the ENTIRE city of st Charles was underwater in that flood, buying a few acres next to the river and making it a park was hardly sensible

I'd really like a LINK to the site you mention, pretty much every other site I have found said hey it RAINED ALOT

But don't you realize that rain was caused by man (sarcasm font off)




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:38:46 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-07-07/news/0307070177_1_higher-ground-valmeyer-great-flood

Which trumps the firsthand knowledge of those of us who have actually lived on the river.

Another source
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valmeyer,_Illinois




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:42:18 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

Dude, your ignorance of what LA County building requirements are is flat out fucking staggering.




Let's exapnd a bit, for the benefit of those without a clue.

The reason people want to live in the canyons, or in the hillsides and hilltops is because those are some damn pretty places to live. Fire and erosion are part of the natural cycle here, and as we have learned about the dynamic landscape here, the codes and requirements are in constant evolution and change. That change occurs at such a rapid pace that any sort of clear list of guidelines simply doesn't exist.

Building approvals must go through a minimum of 4 separate agencies - Regional Planning for zoning and land use, the appropriate water agency for a will-serve letter or Public Health for well permits and inspections, Building and Safety for the grading/drainage and structural design approvals, and then Fire, which change their requirements at an insane frequency. Brush clearance requirements, as of today, are at a 100 foot minimum from structures. Defensible space is the order of the day, and it worked pretty damn well in the Powerhouse Fire, which was our most recent biggie.

The Station Fire, the last massive one, became as extreme as it was because of a dumbass US Forest Service rule about firefighting aircraft that has been changed since then.




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:42:21 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-07-07/news/0307070177_1_higher-ground-valmeyer-great-flood

Which trumps the firsthand knowledge of those of us who have actually lived on the river.

Another source
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valmeyer,_Illinois


And still you would think firsthand knowledge would count for more, but I guess not in your world.




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:46:29 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

For example, Alabama points out that when the big floods hit the midwest, that people in California chided people for living in a flood plane, and it is the pot calling the kettle black. What he left out is that the federal government, thanks to pressure from both congressmen in that area and the river shipping industry, had the army corps of engineers reroute the mississippi, both to make it more navigable, and also ironically to reduce flooding in certain areas to make them more attractive to build houses..and what happened was they created an even bigger mess (by moving the river, they took away the natural means of the river to handle high water, and all the levees in the world won't stop it). Since then they have bought out people in the area they stupidly allowed to live there, and have let the river go back to more its natural banks.

I'd sure like to see some documentation of these claims, I have lived in st Louis for aprox 50 years.

fact is the flood you are referring to was a FREAK OF NATURE, the area you refer to being bought out had that happen all of THAT ONE TIME even though people had been living there for over 200 years

as for them letting the river go back to is more NATURAL course, where did you get THAT FROM?

http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2003-07-07/news/0307070177_1_higher-ground-valmeyer-great-flood

Which trumps the firsthand knowledge of those of us who have actually lived on the river.

Another source
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valmeyer,_Illinois


And still you would think firsthand knowledge would count for more, but I guess not in your world.

So you're claiming Valmeyer didn't move to high ground? Really? I can present satellite evidence.




chatterbox24 -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:49:07 AM)

Maybe that little old man in the movie UP will let us move in. LOL.
quote:

ORIGINAL: Rule

Everybody living on a fault line ought to live in house suspended from a hot air balloon.





BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:49:49 AM)

and right there in your very own article is says, "About 15 families elected to stay below in a beautiful but vulnerable valley carved by melting glacial waters. Some of those families remain, and a few bargain hunters have also moved in."

soooooooo what's your point?

that a FEW communities MOVED?

3 out of thousands?

"While relocating entire communities is rare, it's not unprecedented.

Besides Valmeyer, two smaller Missouri towns--Pattonsburg and Rhineland--were moved to higher ground following the 1993 flood."

the funny part is if valmeyer has a pop of 800 and the other two were smaller we are talking no more than 2400 people total, more people were displaced by that park in st Charles I mentioned

also its kinda important to mention these people were given the OPTION to move, not have the gov't BUY the land and MAKE THEM MOVE

this from your article substantiates what bama and I have said it was a FLUKE OF NATURE..

"The town had endured three floods since Swiss and German farmers incorporated it in 1909. But the floods of 1943, 1944 and 1947 were nothing compared with the roof-topping waters that washed away homes and belongings in 1993."




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:50:55 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

Dude, your ignorance of what LA County building requirements are is flat out fucking staggering.




Let's exapnd a bit, for the benefit of those without a clue.

The reason people want to live in the canyons, or in the hillsides and hilltops is because those are some damn pretty places to live. Fire and erosion are part of the natural cycle here, and as we have learned about the dynamic landscape here, the codes and requirements are in constant evolution and change. That change occurs at such a rapid pace that any sort of clear list of guidelines simply doesn't exist.

Building approvals must go through a minimum of 4 separate agencies - Regional Planning for zoning and land use, the appropriate water agency for a will-serve letter or Public Health for well permits and inspections, Building and Safety for the grading/drainage and structural design approvals, and then Fire, which change their requirements at an insane frequency. Brush clearance requirements, as of today, are at a 100 foot minimum from structures. Defensible space is the order of the day, and it worked pretty damn well in the Powerhouse Fire, which was our most recent biggie.

The Station Fire, the last massive one, became as extreme as it was because of a dumbass US Forest Service rule about firefighting aircraft that has been changed since then.

A 100 foot clearance? Is that supposed to do anything? What happens when there is a fire? Do they evacuate? Do they worry about losing the canyon homes? YES! So clearly 100 feet is not enough. What would be sufficient Fireproof shingles and not building in the canyons at all but the developers won't have that so your taxes are higher so rich assholes can have nice views.




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:55:12 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

and right there in your very own article is says, "About 15 families elected to stay below in a beautiful but vulnerable valley carved by melting glacial waters. Some of those families remain, and a few bargain hunters have also moved in."

soooooooo what's your point?

that a FEW communities MOVED?

3 out of thousands?

"While relocating entire communities is rare, it's not unprecedented.

Besides Valmeyer, two smaller Missouri towns--Pattonsburg and Rhineland--were moved to higher ground following the 1993 flood."

the funny part is if valmeyer has a pop of 800 and the other two were smaller we are talking no more than 2400 people total, more people were displaced by that park in st Charles I mentioned

also its kinda important to mention these people were given the OPTION to move, not have the gov't BUY the land and MAKE THEM MOVE

this from your article substantiates what bama and I have said it was a FLUKE OF NATURE..

"The town had endured three floods since Swiss and German farmers incorporated it in 1909. But the floods of 1943, 1944 and 1947 were nothing compared with the roof-topping waters that washed away homes and belongings in 1993."

4 floods in less than 90 years isn't a fluke of nature. That's a regular occurrence.




BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 11:57:54 AM)

"What would be sufficient Fireproof shingles and not building in the canyons at all but the developers won't have that so your taxes are higher so rich assholes can have nice views."


I REALLY LIKE THIS PART

domken begrudges people hit by natural disaster help, but thinks OBAMACARE ROCKS!




BamaD -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:08:21 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

and right there in your very own article is says, "About 15 families elected to stay below in a beautiful but vulnerable valley carved by melting glacial waters. Some of those families remain, and a few bargain hunters have also moved in."

soooooooo what's your point?

that a FEW communities MOVED?

3 out of thousands?

"While relocating entire communities is rare, it's not unprecedented.

Besides Valmeyer, two smaller Missouri towns--Pattonsburg and Rhineland--were moved to higher ground following the 1993 flood."

the funny part is if valmeyer has a pop of 800 and the other two were smaller we are talking no more than 2400 people total, more people were displaced by that park in st Charles I mentioned

also its kinda important to mention these people were given the OPTION to move, not have the gov't BUY the land and MAKE THEM MOVE

this from your article substantiates what bama and I have said it was a FLUKE OF NATURE..

"The town had endured three floods since Swiss and German farmers incorporated it in 1909. But the floods of 1943, 1944 and 1947 were nothing compared with the roof-topping waters that washed away homes and belongings in 1993."

4 floods in less than 90 years isn't a fluke of nature. That's a regular occurrence.

We gave up about two blocks of our town to flooding on a regular basis.
But those floods were nothing compared to 93. Had they not just put a new levee on our side of
the river just before 93 it would have been a disaster.
4 floods in 90years are nothing.
Of those 4 only 93 was massive, thus you provide us with "sound and fury, signifying nothing".




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:27:04 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: BitYakin

and right there in your very own article is says, "About 15 families elected to stay below in a beautiful but vulnerable valley carved by melting glacial waters. Some of those families remain, and a few bargain hunters have also moved in."

soooooooo what's your point?

that a FEW communities MOVED?

3 out of thousands?

"While relocating entire communities is rare, it's not unprecedented.

Besides Valmeyer, two smaller Missouri towns--Pattonsburg and Rhineland--were moved to higher ground following the 1993 flood."

the funny part is if valmeyer has a pop of 800 and the other two were smaller we are talking no more than 2400 people total, more people were displaced by that park in st Charles I mentioned

also its kinda important to mention these people were given the OPTION to move, not have the gov't BUY the land and MAKE THEM MOVE

this from your article substantiates what bama and I have said it was a FLUKE OF NATURE..

"The town had endured three floods since Swiss and German farmers incorporated it in 1909. But the floods of 1943, 1944 and 1947 were nothing compared with the roof-topping waters that washed away homes and belongings in 1993."

4 floods in less than 90 years isn't a fluke of nature. That's a regular occurrence.

We gave up about two blocks of our town to flooding on a regular basis.
But those floods were nothing compared to 93. Had they not just put a new levee on our side of
the river just before 93 it would have been a disaster.
4 floods in 90years are nothing.
Of those 4 only 93 was massive, thus you provide us with "sound and fury, signifying nothing".

So they moved the whole town to high ground. Maybe you don't get it.




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:34:49 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
A 100 foot clearance? Is that supposed to do anything? What happens when there is a fire? Do they evacuate? Do they worry about losing the canyon homes? YES! So clearly 100 feet is not enough. What would be sufficient Fireproof shingles and not building in the canyons at all but the developers won't have that so your taxes are higher so rich assholes can have nice views.



Don't ever let reality get between you and a 30 year outdated talking point, Ken.





BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:39:24 PM)

sooo what EXACTLY are you suggesting?

we ABANDON these areas?

"The hydrographic basin affected cover around 745 miles (1,199 km) in length and 435 miles (700 km) in width, totaling about 320,000 square miles (830,000 km2).[1] Within this zone, the flooded area totaled around 30,000 square miles "

really we should just ABANDON 30K square miles cause once every 100 years or so it floods?

PS. I live aprox 6 blocks from the river, when I was a kid we'd WALK down to the river at arsenel street climb over the flood wall and hang out
but my house WAS NOT AFFECTED IN THE LEAST




BitYakin -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:42:03 PM)

sure we get it, they moved, as did a couple thousand or so other people, WHATS YOUR POINT

ALSO some people in that SAME TOWN DID NOT MOVE

ya know what I moved to Colorado for a lil while once too, SO WHAT????




MercTech -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 12:43:39 PM)

Developers crowd housing into at risk areas then taxpayers are later expected to do draconian measures to protect the housing. Seen it done over and over.

I've been to the wet side of WA and OR and know the problems with mudslides intimately. One in Kelso back in 1999 missed my RV by ten yards. I think the root cause was building a new housing development on the top of the hill removing so much ground stabilizing plant growth and introducing run-off increasing structures like roofs, pavement, and concrete driveways and patios.

In my current home area a hugely expensive flood control project is proposed. Hugely expensive project to protect housing developments in an are where, in the 1960s and earlier, every rural house in that area was built on 8 foot tall pilings as it would flood every spring and fall.

The building boom there started after a dam and reservoir were built that prevented the seasonal flooding as a side effect of an increased water supply for the urban area. But, the dam and reservoir were never designed to mitigate the 10 year high flood levels and the high dollar housing developments have flooded twice in 30 years. Want a 2mil home you can't get flood insurance for? <grin>

Big debate on whether statewide taxes should go up to protect homes and businesses built on a known flood plain.

(I remember the area when I was 7 or 8. Jack's Tamales had a john boat ferrying you out to the restaurant because there was ten feet of water around the restaurant that was built 14 feet up on pilings. Today that spot has a slab foundation high end furniture store on it.)

Who should be fiscally responsible for the stupidity of a few?




DomKen -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 2:24:19 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
A 100 foot clearance? Is that supposed to do anything? What happens when there is a fire? Do they evacuate? Do they worry about losing the canyon homes? YES! So clearly 100 feet is not enough. What would be sufficient Fireproof shingles and not building in the canyons at all but the developers won't have that so your taxes are higher so rich assholes can have nice views.



Don't ever let reality get between you and a 30 year outdated talking point, Ken.



Have the building codes changed? Have the fires changed? Really has anything changed in those the 30 years?




TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 2:50:46 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
Have the building codes changed? Have the fires changed? Really has anything changed in those the 30 years?



Yes. Repeatedly. Constantly. I've said that. I know people who have had the building codes changed on them three times, while trying to build the dream home, and nothing gets grandfathered until the certificate of occupancy is issued at the very end of the building process.

Let that sink in a little, Ken. They do everything by the book. They meet every requirement that has been given to them. The spend tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of dollars above what they ever estimated, only to finish the job and be told they can't move in to the home because a rule was changed after they finished.

Let's let a little more air out of your 30 year old talking point - county and state fire fees of hundreds of dollars a year, above and beyond what everybody else pays in taxes, if your house is in a wildfire fee area.





TheHeretic -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 3:14:14 PM)

At the link is a 4 minute video simulation of the shock waves from "the big one." It could happen exactly like that before I finish typing this post, or in 20 years, or 500 years, or it may never happen quite like that.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xioHswbahPc

As you watch, keep an eye on the area around the dot for Los Angeles proper down to Anaheim, and all the big flat around it. That isn't hillsides, or canyons. It isn't the fire zone. That is the LA basin. Millions of people live there. A significant chunk of the entire United States economy is centered in there.

Watch the video. See how the shock waves move up the fault, and spread across the land. See those mountains and canyons, and how it moves through, and watch what it does in that big flat. Now, having watched that, does a canyon area where you might have to evacuate to get out of the firefighters way seem like such a bad place to be?





Marc2b -> RE: Tragedy foretold but ignored (3/30/2014 3:20:41 PM)

quote:

But no one is building homes around Niagara, I hope, without taking into account snow fall loads and wild Canadians. In this case the developers and the local government simply ignored the warnings that the hillside was a probable mudslide.


I was going to respond to this but right in the middle of my deep thoughts about floods and building approvals and fireproof shingles I suddenly became very bored and realized that is was due to a lack of naughty chat. Oh lord, whatever shall I do?




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