tweakabelle -> RE: * What is Bibi's game? (3/4/2015 2:46:15 AM)
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ORIGINAL: Zonie63 It's hard to say, although I've noticed that Israel and Iran have taken a back burner while most media/public attention has been on ISIS and Ukraine - not to mention the top domestic issues, such as the economy, immigration, and the never-ending saga over healthcare. Maybe this is Netanyahu's way of saying "Nobody is paying enough attention to me!" If ISIS is a bigger threat than Iran, then it's possible that some US officials might see Iran as a potential ally of convenience and reconsider the current status of US-Iranian relations. The longer term role of the Israel-US alliance is increasingly questioned in US foreign policy circles. One school of thought* holds that: In recent years, all US Middle Eastern policy has as its #1 priority the promotion of Israeli interests, even if that means downgrading US interests to second place. However Iraq has demonstrated the limited ability of the US to convert military superiority into political advantage. It follows that the US cannot be the leading Power in the region. So the US's interest is to develop an balance of power between the region's leading countries - Turkey Iran Saudi Arabia and Israel (internal issues in Egypt keep it off this particular list). We can see the beginnings of this reconsideration of interests in the fight against IS, where longtime enemies and ideological antagonists, the US and Iran are co-operating while Israel is sidelined, not even a player in that particular fight. This is in line with other regional conflicts eg Iraq where Israeli involvement was surplus to needs. Indeed an Israeli presence in Iraq would have proved to be so counter productive it would have led to a fracturing of the 'coalition of the willing'. If this analysis has merit, then it follows that Israel will be very uncomfortable with a potential downgrading of its alliance with the US and Netanyahoooooo's complaints and manoeuvres can be seen in this light - one of Israel's goals is to keep Israel's position as a leading Power in the region and to maintain its stranglehold over US policy towards the region, a stranglehold that has served Israeli interests so well, to the detriment of the US's own interests. OTOH, Obama is more concerned with re-establishing a US policy towards the region that prioritises US interests, in reversing the one sided US-Israel alliance which is proving increasingly counter-productive to US interests and restoring more balance to US policy, in short a US policy that is genuinely American and not one written in Jerusalem * For a more complete analysis from this perspective see: https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/netanyahu-obama-and-geopolitics-speeches
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