RE: Climate Change (Full Version)

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joether -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 12:17:39 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity
quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44
a very helpful website for all my knuckle dragging low brow fellow deniers out there:

http://www.globalclimatescam.com/


Heres a good article from that site:


quote:

U.N. Official Reveals Real Reason Behind Global Warming Scare

By ElmerB on February 11, 2015 in News, Opinion, Paris 2015

Investors.com

Economic Systems: The alarmists keep telling us their concern about global warming is all about man’s stewardship of the environment. But we know that’s not true. A United Nations official has now confirmed this.

At a news conference last week in Brussels, Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of U.N.’s Framework Convention on Climate Change, admitted that the goal of environmental activists is not to save the world from ecological calamity but to destroy capitalism.

“This is the first time in the history of mankind that we are setting ourselves the task of intentionally, within a defined period of time, to change the economic development model that has been reigning for at least 150 years, since the Industrial Revolution,” she said.


Theyre rarely honest like that


Please cite reference exactly




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 12:20:45 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


~ FR ~

When the predictions of a theory are not confirmed by observation, the theory is wrong. Whether or not the Earth is actually warming is irrelevant. The theory's predictions of how much it would warm have not been confirmed by observation. Therefore the theory is wrong, or at best incomplete. But even that's being charitable. More troubling is the fact that the IPCC itself acknowledged 14 years ago that predicting future states of a non-linear chaotic system on decadal scales is impossible.

K.








Except the theory is that with increased CO2 emissions we'd see a rise in global temperatures, and from this we would see a variety of changes to our global climate. What have researchers observed? Exactly that. When you're trying to predict the climate of an ENTIRE WORLD, do you think it would be easy? You have so many variables to consider: the biosphere, atmosphere, hydrosphere, geosphere, and not all of them are easily incorporated into models. With current technology it is nearly impossible to predict exactly what will happen, and we are continually learning new things about how our climate works by further observation. Will we get everything right? No, but the trend is telling, and we will continue to see temperatures rise with further emission release, that's a fact.




Kirata -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 12:24:13 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Ya because you can totally rely on a biased website for truthful information on science [8|]

This may come as a surprise to you, Mister Science, but attacking the source of a claim does not disprove its truth.

K.





Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 12:33:55 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Ya because you can totally rely on a biased website for truthful information on science [8|]

This may come as a surprise to you, Mister Science, but attacking the source of a claim does not disprove its truth.

K.




That is true, but the issue at hand is that the entire website does not use actual science to back up its claims. It ignores well established facts regarding what we know about the climate in order to promote their agenda. I could go through an debunk post after post, but have neither the time nor the energy to do so. If you have a particular issue you'd like to share, post it here and we can discuss it.




Kirata -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 1:01:51 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117
quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata

When the predictions of a theory are not confirmed by observation, the theory is wrong. Whether or not the Earth is actually warming is irrelevant. The theory's predictions of how much it would warm have not been confirmed by observation. Therefore the theory is wrong, or at best incomplete. But even that's being charitable. More troubling is the fact that the IPCC itself acknowledged 14 years ago that predicting future states of a non-linear chaotic system on decadal scales is impossible.

Except the theory is that with increased CO2 emissions we'd see a rise in global temperatures, and from this we would see a variety of changes to our global climate. What have researchers observed? Exactly that. When you're trying to predict the climate of an ENTIRE WORLD, do you think it would be easy? You have so many variables to consider: the biosphere, atmosphere, hydrosphere, geosphere, and not all of them are easily incorporated into models. With current technology it is nearly impossible to predict exactly what will happen, and we are continually learning new things about how our climate works by further observation. Will we get everything right? No, but the trend is telling, and we will continue to see temperatures rise with further emission release, that's a fact.

Here's another fact: With the right haircut, you could have a future on Sunday morning television.

K.





Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 1:07:36 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117
quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata

When the predictions of a theory are not confirmed by observation, the theory is wrong. Whether or not the Earth is actually warming is irrelevant. The theory's predictions of how much it would warm have not been confirmed by observation. Therefore the theory is wrong, or at best incomplete. But even that's being charitable. More troubling is the fact that the IPCC itself acknowledged 14 years ago that predicting future states of a non-linear chaotic system on decadal scales is impossible.

Except the theory is that with increased CO2 emissions we'd see a rise in global temperatures, and from this we would see a variety of changes to our global climate. What have researchers observed? Exactly that. When you're trying to predict the climate of an ENTIRE WORLD, do you think it would be easy? You have so many variables to consider: the biosphere, atmosphere, hydrosphere, geosphere, and not all of them are easily incorporated into models. With current technology it is nearly impossible to predict exactly what will happen, and we are continually learning new things about how our climate works by further observation. Will we get everything right? No, but the trend is telling, and we will continue to see temperatures rise with further emission release, that's a fact.

Here's another fact: With the right haircut, you could have a future on Sunday morning television.

K.




Lol, why thank you, I take that as a compliment [:D]. And with a bit more education, you might actually be able to form an intelligent opinion all on your own. But dont worry, there is always room for improvement, on that and your ad hominems [;)]

Do you have anything more substantial to add or are we returning to the childish word game again?




Kirata -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 2:55:51 PM)


Nothing to add at the moment, thanks. I think you've already proved my point.

K.




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 3:36:49 PM)

And you mine, you've got no valid argument with the science regarding climate change, it's just another political topic for you where there is two sides to it, which in reality couldn't be farther from the truth. Care to prove me wrong? You're more than welcome to try.




Kirata -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 4:04:03 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

And you mine, you've got no valid argument with the science regarding climate change, it's just another political topic for you where there is two sides to it, which in reality couldn't be farther from the truth. Care to prove me wrong? You're more than welcome to try.

I do, and I already did. You just don't realize it. Amusing, eh?

K.




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 6:35:28 PM)

Lol, so let me get this straight, you cite 0 credible sources or scientific research, and you supposedly proved me wrong? Alright bud [:D]




cloudboy -> RE: Climate Change (3/14/2015 7:33:23 PM)


https://news.vice.com/article/antarcticas-melting-ice-sheets-might-bring-more-sea-level-rise-to-the-us-than-anywhere-else




CreativeDominant -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 11:00:39 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy


https://news.vice.com/article/antarcticas-melting-ice-sheets-might-bring-more-sea-level-rise-to-the-us-than-anywhere-else


Geophysics is a science, right? And I would think that no one has a problem with UT.

"But according to a new report from the Institute For Geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt may not, after all, be the direct result of man’s selfishness, greed, and refusal to amend his carbon-guzzling lifestyle. Rather, it seems, it is the result of natural causes.

Using radar techniques to map how water flows under ice sheets, UTIG researchers were able to estimate ice melting rates and thus identify significant sources of geothermal heat under Thwaites Glacier. They found these sources are distributed over a wider area and are much hotter than previously assumed.

The geothermal heat contributed significantly to melting of the underside of the glacier, and it might be a key factor in allowing the ice sheet to slide, affecting the ice sheet’s stability and its contribution to future sea level rise.

The cause of the variable distribution of heat beneath the glacier is thought to be the movement of magma and associated volcanic activity arising from the rifting of the Earth’s crust beneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet."

"Thwaites Glacier, the large, rapidly changing outlet of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, is not only being eroded by the ocean, it's being melted from below by geothermal heat, researchers at the Institute for Geophysics at The University of Texas at Austin (UTIG) report in the current edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
The findings significantly change the understanding of conditions beneath the West Antarctic Ice Sheet where accurate information has previously been unobtainable.
The Thwaites Glacier has been the focus of considerable attention in recent weeks as other groups of researchers found the glacier is on the way to collapse, but more data and computer modeling are needed to determine when the collapse will begin in earnest and at what rate the sea level will increase as it proceeds. The new observations by UTIG will greatly inform these ice sheet modeling efforts."

First quoted paragraphs:
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2014/06/10/why-the-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-is-really-melting-and-no-not-climate-change/

Second quoted paragraphs:
http://m.phys.org/news/2014-06-major-west-antarctic-glacier-geothermal.html




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 11:41:11 AM)

Wow, gotto love cherry picked articles. The first one, which has a clear anti AGW bias, should be ignored for obvious reasons as it has 0 credibility in the field of science. As to the second, I love how you miss this little nugget:

quote:


Knowledge of the heat distribution beneath Thwaites Glacier is crucial information that enables ice sheet modelers to more accurately predict the response of the glacier to the presence of a warming ocean.


This research in no way refutes that the ocean or climate is warming, it simply adds to the already established understanding of a warming ocean and atmosphere to better understand the melting process of the Antarctic ice sheets. Got any more cherry picked science you'd like to provide?




dcnovice -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 1:15:58 PM)

FR

Former Secretary of State George Schultz offers an interesting perspective on how Ronald Reagan might have approached climate change.

I am also impressed by an experience I had in the mid-1980s. Many scientists thought the ozone layer was shrinking. There were doubters, but everyone agreed that if it happened, the result would be a catastrophe. Under these circumstances, President Ronald Reagan thought it best not to argue too much with the doubters but include them in the provision of an insurance policy. With the very real potential for serious harm, U.S. industry turned on its entrepreneurial juices, and the Du Pont company developed a set of replacements for the chemicals implicated in the problem along a reasonable time frame and at a reasonable cost. It came up with something that could be done then — not some aspirational plan for 2050. Action is better than aspiration. As matters turned out, the action worked and became the basis for the Montreal Protocol, widely regarded as the world’s most successful environmental treaty. In retrospect, the scientists who were worried were right, and the Montreal Protocol came along in the nick of time. Reagan called it a “magnificent achievement.”

We all know there are those who have doubts about the problems presented by climate change. But if these doubters are wrong, the evidence is clear that the consequences, while varied, will be mostly bad, some catastrophic. So why don’t we follow Reagan’s example and take out an insurance policy?


Secretary Schultz proposes a twofold "insurance policy":

(1) "significant and sustained support for energy research and development" and

(2) a carbon tax, starting small and escalating to a significant level on a legislated schedule."

I found it an interesting read and thought others might too.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-reagan-model-on-climate-change/2015/03/13/4f4182e2-c6a8-11e4-b2a1-bed1aaea2816_story.html




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 1:31:20 PM)

Greta post, although I would dissagree wth the whole carbon tax, as it only raises the price of needed gasoline products. Many environmental professors and researchers often advocate a cap and trade system instead, whereby a cap is placed on the maximum amount of a pollutant companies would be allowed to create. From this cap, permits would be divided up and given to various companies, and each permit gives that company a right to produce a specified unit pf polutant as stated on the permit. The great thing about this system is that the permits can be sold to other companies, so companies who become more efficient can sell their permits for a profit, and companies that need more permits because their emissions would be too high can buy them. But the real kicker is that industry isn't the only ones who can buy these permits; NGOs and anyone else who can afford them can also purchase a permit, thereby removing whatever amount of pollution from circulation. This would work very well when dealing with industry, but I'll admit I'm not entirely sure how it would play in with regards to cars and gas stations, like would the gas companies be responsible for the emissions? Or the car companies? Either way it would require serious oversight to ensure that industry doesn't produce more than their permits allow.




CreativeDominant -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 1:38:30 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Wow, gotto love cherry picked articles. The first one, which has a clear anti AGW bias, should be ignored for obvious reasons as it has 0 credibility in the field of science. As to the second, I love how you miss this little nugget:

quote:


Knowledge of the heat distribution beneath Thwaites Glacier is crucial information that enables ice sheet modelers to more accurately predict the response of the glacier to the presence of a warming ocean.


This research in no way refutes that the ocean or climate is warming, it simply adds to the already established understanding of a warming ocean and atmosphere to better understand the melting process of the Antarctic ice sheets. Got any more cherry picked science you'd like to provide?
And I love how you don't even understand that the two articles are linked by the term "natural causes" in the first article nor do you apparently understand that the two articles are about the same findings by the same group at the same university.

Hmmmmm...do you suppose your outlook might have anything to do with the fact that the first article (same subject material as the second article) came from Breitbart? I'll bet it does.

I think you missed this little tidbit, no matter how minor it is. "But according to a new report from the Institute For Geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt may not, after all, be the direct result of man’s selfishness, greed, and refusal to amend his carbon-guzzling lifestyle. Rather, it seems, it is the result of natural causes.




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 2:12:34 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Wow, gotto love cherry picked articles. The first one, which has a clear anti AGW bias, should be ignored for obvious reasons as it has 0 credibility in the field of science. As to the second, I love how you miss this little nugget:

quote:


Knowledge of the heat distribution beneath Thwaites Glacier is crucial information that enables ice sheet modelers to more accurately predict the response of the glacier to the presence of a warming ocean.


This research in no way refutes that the ocean or climate is warming, it simply adds to the already established understanding of a warming ocean and atmosphere to better understand the melting process of the Antarctic ice sheets. Got any more cherry picked science you'd like to provide?
And I love how you don't even understand that the two articles are linked by the term "natural causes" in the first article nor do you apparently understand that the two articles are about the same findings by the same group at the same university.

Hmmmmm...do you suppose your outlook might have anything to do with the fact that the first article (same subject material as the second article) came from Breitbart? I'll bet it does.

I think you missed this little tidbit, no matter how minor it is. "But according to a new report from the Institute For Geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt may not, after all, be the direct result of man’s selfishness, greed, and refusal to amend his carbon-guzzling lifestyle. Rather, it seems, it is the result of natural causes.


Lol, I didn't miss it at all, I do know that it's about the same exact article. But your quote isn't something the researchers said, it was what the author himself from Breitbart stated. It wasn't written as a quote, it was his own personal opinion as a journalist, not a researcher. If you're going to quote someone, quote the researchers themselves, or at the very least quote a source more renowned for their legitimacy when it comes to science. Cherry pick away, because you just keep missing the big picture.

Also it wasn't the exact same content as the second, because first off, there is no where in the second article the term "alarmist" which is indicative of deniers such as the author of the first link. No where in the second article do they even claim that this negates what is known about climate change. Seriously, did you even read either of them?

Then difference between the first article and the second article is the first one imposes the author's bias and opinion on the research, while the second merely states the findings, what the research means and where it could lead in future endeavours to further understand the antarctic. If you can't see that then you really need to figure out the difference between opinions and science.




CreativeDominant -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 5:30:41 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Wow, gotto love cherry picked articles. The first one, which has a clear anti AGW bias, should be ignored for obvious reasons as it has 0 credibility in the field of science. As to the second, I love how you miss this little nugget:

quote:


Knowledge of the heat distribution beneath Thwaites Glacier is crucial information that enables ice sheet modelers to more accurately predict the response of the glacier to the presence of a warming ocean.


This research in no way refutes that the ocean or climate is warming, it simply adds to the already established understanding of a warming ocean and atmosphere to better understand the melting process of the Antarctic ice sheets. Got any more cherry picked science you'd like to provide?
And I love how you don't even understand that the two articles are linked by the term "natural causes" in the first article nor do you apparently understand that the two articles are about the same findings by the same group at the same university.

Hmmmmm...do you suppose your outlook might have anything to do with the fact that the first article (same subject material as the second article) came from Breitbart? I'll bet it does.

I think you missed this little tidbit, no matter how minor it is. "But according to a new report from the Institute For Geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt may not, after all, be the direct result of man’s selfishness, greed, and refusal to amend his carbon-guzzling lifestyle. Rather, it seems, it is the result of natural causes.


Lol, I didn't miss it at all, I do know that it's about the same exact article. But your quote isn't something the researchers said, it was what the author himself from Breitbart stated. It wasn't written as a quote, it was his own personal opinion as a journalist, not a researcher. If you're going to quote someone, quote the researchers themselves, or at the very least quote a source more renowned for their legitimacy when it comes to science. Cherry pick away, because you just keep missing the big picture.

Also it wasn't the exact same content as the second, because first off, there is no where in the second article the term "alarmist" which is indicative of deniers such as the author of the first link. No where in the second article do they even claim that this negates what is known about climate change. Seriously, did you even read either of them?

Then difference between the first article and the second article is the first one imposes the author's bias and opinion on the research, while the second merely states the findings, what the research means and where it could lead in future endeavours to further understand the antarctic. If you can't see that then you really need to figure out the difference between opinions and science.

Oh, I get it...you might want to practice a bit of it yourself. You might want to look again...I never said it was the same content. Nor did I make a claim that they do any denial of global warming. As a matter of fact, while they note the effect of the sea water on the ice and the heat from below, they never mention a word about the effect of CO2 on the ice.

"The combination of variable subglacial geothermal heat flow and the interacting subglacial water system could threaten the stability of Thwaites Glacier in ways that we never before imagined," Schroeder said.




Tkman117 -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 7:50:16 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Tkman117

Wow, gotto love cherry picked articles. The first one, which has a clear anti AGW bias, should be ignored for obvious reasons as it has 0 credibility in the field of science. As to the second, I love how you miss this little nugget:

quote:


Knowledge of the heat distribution beneath Thwaites Glacier is crucial information that enables ice sheet modelers to more accurately predict the response of the glacier to the presence of a warming ocean.


This research in no way refutes that the ocean or climate is warming, it simply adds to the already established understanding of a warming ocean and atmosphere to better understand the melting process of the Antarctic ice sheets. Got any more cherry picked science you'd like to provide?
And I love how you don't even understand that the two articles are linked by the term "natural causes" in the first article nor do you apparently understand that the two articles are about the same findings by the same group at the same university.

Hmmmmm...do you suppose your outlook might have anything to do with the fact that the first article (same subject material as the second article) came from Breitbart? I'll bet it does.

I think you missed this little tidbit, no matter how minor it is. "But according to a new report from the Institute For Geophysics at the University of Texas at Austin, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt may not, after all, be the direct result of man’s selfishness, greed, and refusal to amend his carbon-guzzling lifestyle. Rather, it seems, it is the result of natural causes.


Lol, I didn't miss it at all, I do know that it's about the same exact article. But your quote isn't something the researchers said, it was what the author himself from Breitbart stated. It wasn't written as a quote, it was his own personal opinion as a journalist, not a researcher. If you're going to quote someone, quote the researchers themselves, or at the very least quote a source more renowned for their legitimacy when it comes to science. Cherry pick away, because you just keep missing the big picture.

Also it wasn't the exact same content as the second, because first off, there is no where in the second article the term "alarmist" which is indicative of deniers such as the author of the first link. No where in the second article do they even claim that this negates what is known about climate change. Seriously, did you even read either of them?

Then difference between the first article and the second article is the first one imposes the author's bias and opinion on the research, while the second merely states the findings, what the research means and where it could lead in future endeavours to further understand the antarctic. If you can't see that then you really need to figure out the difference between opinions and science.

Oh, I get it...you might want to practice a bit of it yourself. You might want to look again...I never said it was the same content. Nor did I make a claim that they do any denial of global warming. As a matter of fact, while they note the effect of the sea water on the ice and the heat from below, they never mention a word about the effect of CO2 on the ice.

"The combination of variable subglacial geothermal heat flow and the interacting subglacial water system could threaten the stability of Thwaites Glacier in ways that we never before imagined," Schroeder said.



...seriously? They never mention a word on the effect of CO2 on the ice, BECAUSE the gas CO2 doesn't directly affect the ice. Your entire argument is based on ignorance regarding the properties of CO2, nice job, way to swing the argument in your favour. Here's a little elementary climate science: CO2 is a greenhouse gas, which means that it traps and re-radiates infrared radiation which was originally meant to escape back out into space after being reflected off the earth's surface. This warms the atmosphere and by extension, the land, ocean, and yes, even ice such as glaciers and the antarctic ice sheets. This is called the greenhouse effect, which is what keeps our world within a range of temperatures suitable for life, and is maintained through a variety of natural, non human affected methods such as weathering and volcanic eruptions, just to name a couple. CO2 itself has no effect on ice, the only issue regarding the gas is that it traps heat and this extra energy results in a variety of climatic changes beyond simple warming (hence the reason why we call it climate change instead of global warming these days, since it's more accurate to what's happening.)

This is high school science dude, if you can't get that right, then what reason do you have to refute the science of 97% of the industry's professionals?

Edit to add:
In the case I mistook your statement about them not mentioning CO2's impact on the ice (which I now assume you meant to say they didn't mention a warmer ocean & atmosphere's impact on the ice), the reason they never mentioned it was because they weren't looking at how a warming ocean and atmosphere affected the ice. They were looking at what other contributions to the decreasing ice might exist, and by not mentioning a warming climate's impacts does not mean that a warming climate has NO impacts on the melting ice or that there is no warming climate so to speak. Climate change is established science, each and every scientific article doesn't need to reiterate something as established and well understood as climate change, and even if they dont it's not an omission that climate change isn't happening. I mean, I dont think Harry Potter or any of the other characters in the story mentioned the bible or jesus christ, does that mean Harry and all his friends were satanists? Seriously, if that's the logic you're thinking with then it's pretty backward when you think it through.




cloudboy -> RE: Climate Change (3/15/2015 8:33:42 PM)

Crack pot denials strike me as insane; why would any rational person reject a world wide scientific consensus over the flat-earth society thinkers?

One hallmark of conservative thinkers is to deny all external costs associated with free-market economics, because dealing with external costs requires adaptive thinking that threatens an ingrained world view. Regarding fossil fuel companies -- it threatens the use of their product.

The classic example is Galileo discovering that the earth was not the center of the universe. His discovery was rejected out of hand by establishment conservatives of his era.




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