joether
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Joined: 7/24/2005
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
I see people crowing and lamenting about who is leading and not leading presidential polls.
Seriously folks. Does no one have a memory?
8 years ago, Hillary was so far ahead because of the country's perceived notion that Dubya had made a hash of the economy that the RNC didn't even bother to campaign hard with a viable candidate. They conceded to her a year before the election. What happened?
This unknown freshman senator from that hotbed of honest politics, Chicago, came out of nowhere and took the nomination. The RNC was caught with no message, no viable candidate, no campaign and no win. They lost a heck of an opportunity.
4 years later, they believed the polls again and thought they would have a cakewalk so they decided they could ram a Christian agenda down everyone's throat.
Same result, they got their asses kicked.
Maybe folks, especially those at the RNC, need to just ignore the damn polls for now at least.
Lately, leading in the polls early has been kind of a kiss of death.
Actually, if you look just four years earlier of the 2004 election, that young Senator actually held a speech:
"Its not Red America, its not Blue America, its the United States of America!" You can look it up on youtube. When people heard this guy speak they asked the logical question: Who is the guy making so much sense? Over time, he became better known.
The RNC in 2008 ran Sen. McCain. They did not 'throw in the towel'. The towel got thrown in when Mr. McCain took 'Mrs. Intelligent' on as the VP. She got destroyed when asked 'Can you define the Bush Doctrine?'. That basically undermined Mr. McCain's chances in the long run. The VP choice is a very serious decision.
They ran what they thought was a good candidate in 2012, Mr. Romney. His mistake was making bad speeches that sounded semi-liberal and conservative. But not enough of either to generate votes from either side of the spectrum. Mr. Romney did not do himself in. The conservative media, whom stated he would win in a landslide, failed Mr. Romney. Do you see conservatives blaming the hand that feeds them information?
In the current election, the RNC's problem is 'Lack of a Real Platform'. They have ideas, but nothing that is solid. They hate the ACA, but, do not have a better alternative. Since a better alternative would be a more liberal package than the ACA. They can't talk about race relations given all their bad speeches that infuriated minority groups. The economy went from a near-depression in 2008 to running well in a bull market. So Republicans can not bash a good economy. Foreign Policy is a tough issue, regardless of WHOM is in office. Yet the RNC is pushing 'War with Iran'; like any of them might be put on the front lines, right? They really do not have a plan for dealing with infrastructure, immigration, education, campaign financing, or any of the middle tier items that sometimes comes up.
But the RNC does not have to worry about having substance. The people most likely to vote for their candidate are part of the 'Low Information Voters'. The people that have no clue about anything, except what they are told to think. They're the kind of people that would replace the US Constitution with a violently evil tyrant, if it saved them $0.02 on their taxes.
On taxes, they want to lower them. Because its well know in mathematics that if you have less revenue coming in, you pay down the national debt faster, right? (shakes head)
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Are we reading too much into polls? - 
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