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Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 7:09:51 AM   
Kirata


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I've heard Drudge described as a "conservative" news sheet, and his polls dismissed as biased. But that only makes this result more interesting. With over a million votes tallied, Sanders collected an amazing 29.69% to beat Cruz for second place behind Trump's 36.05%.

If Drudge's readership is conservative, they're a strange bunch.

Drudge Super Poll

K.





< Message edited by Kirata -- 1/22/2016 7:16:48 AM >
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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 7:35:45 AM   
Lucylastic


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Drudge is as conservative as they come, as partisan as the daily kos...
Is it a viewer poll or a legitimate one.
I see its closed, but there is no link to any methodology?
I trust online polls as much as I trust three year old condoms.

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 10:23:40 AM   
Phydeaux


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Damn. I actually agree with lucy.

I don't think the results track for the country - but I do think they track for drudge viewers.

Drudge is sensationalist - and millenials tend to be more open minded than a lot of the generations. Not conservative - at all, but willing to listen to different news sources.

I think the overwhelming sense of the electorate is anger; anger over the direction of the country. There are 4 big candidates clinton, sanders, trump, cruz. Of the 4, clinton is establishement, and cruz while he is tea party is tarred by being a senator. The outsiders are sanders and trump.

Each of these candidates has high negatives - so the second choices are going to be all over the map. Such as Drudge viewers second choice being sanders. If you're not a trump supporter - your choices are a corrupt scumbag clinton, cruz whom nobody likes, and sanders.

Its kind of interesting - clintons negatives are what 48%? Gives her a very slim path to victory. Cruz much the same - lower recognition, but underwater on like dislike

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 10:48:05 AM   
satanscharmer


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Drudge is as conservative as they come, as partisan as the daily kos...
Is it a viewer poll or a legitimate one.
I see its closed, but there is no link to any methodology?
I trust online polls as much as I trust three year old condoms.


I trust the condom more.

Some people do read sources from both sides of the spectrum. Hearing both sides of an issue can help a person come up with their own conclusion - especially if they have a general mistrust in the government and news outlets from both sides.

While I wouldn't be surprised if some conservatives would vote for Sanders due to lack of options, he does also have a certain likeability to him (I think it's his anger - he seems about as fed up as the rest of us), I'm thinking a good portion of those votes weren't from conservatives.


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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 11:34:40 AM   
lamale


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


I've heard Drudge described as a "conservative" news sheet, and his polls dismissed as biased. But that only makes this result more interesting. With over a million votes tallied, Sanders collected an amazing 29.69% to beat Cruz for second place behind Trump's 36.05%.

If Drudge's readership is conservative, they're a strange bunch.

Drudge Super Poll

K.




All polls are increasingly rubbish, except for Internet polls, which have always been utter trash, easy to manipulate. The sample rates on non-Internet polls are too low because people don't answer their cell phones willingly the way they used to answer their landlines, and because they have discovered the sport in lying to pollsters when they do, punishing them for their intrusiveness.

I present as evidence recent elections in the two countries that most strongly resemble us - not in the way their government works, since both are parliamentary systems - in the way their people are similar to us culturally and economically.

In both England (where the conservatives ran the table) and Canada (where the liberals did the same), the polls right up to election day called it too close to call. Yet one party simply dominated (so to speak) in both places, much to the surprise of those who paid for and paid attention to those polls.

Also, keep in mind that Mitt Romney was so utterly certain, based on polling, that he was going to win the election in 2012 that he didn't even prepare a concession speech.

So really, especially this early on, polls are utterly meaningless regardless of the source.

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 1:55:41 PM   
bounty44


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic
Drudge is as conservative as they come, as partisan as the daily kos...


you were broadly in on this conversation:

http://www.collarchat.com/m_4847604/mpage_1/key_drudge/tm.htm#

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Drudge?
A pol on dems.....
Snickets

Tim Groseclose, a Political Science and Economics professor at UCLA who invested years developing a quantitative measure of bias in the media, would not agree with your "snickets".

According to my analysis, the Drudge Report is approximately the most fair, balanced, and centrist news outlet in the United States. Yet, the overwhelming majority of media commentators claim that it has a conservative bias... Groseclose determines that Drudge, on a conservative to liberal scale of 0-100, with 50 being centrist, actually leans a bit left of center with a score of 60.4. The reason: Drudge mostly links to the sites of the mainstream media, with just a few written by Matt Drudge himself. "Since these links come from a broad mix of media outlets, and since the news in general is left-leaning, it should not be surprising that the slant quotient of the Drudge Report leans left," he writes ~U.S.News and World Report

K.



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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:04:50 PM   
mnottertail


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And of course we find out that Groseclose is a lying nutsucker. Faux and Drudge being 'moderate' to left leaning.

In any case, it is just to whip up the masturabatory feebleminded nutsuckers, if they cant have Trump and real america, then its socialism.

LOL.

Well, trump wont be elected dog catcher.





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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:10:56 PM   
bounty44


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quote:

ORIGINAL: lamale
All polls are increasingly rubbish, except for Internet polls, which have always been utter trash, easy to manipulate. The sample rates on non-Internet polls are too low because people don't answer their cell phones willingly the way they used to answer their landlines, and because they have discovered the sport in lying to pollsters when they do, punishing them for their intrusiveness.

I present as evidence recent elections in the two countries that most strongly resemble us - not in the way their government works, since both are parliamentary systems - in the way their people are similar to us culturally and economically.

In both England (where the conservatives ran the table) and Canada (where the liberals did the same), the polls right up to election day called it too close to call. Yet one party simply dominated (so to speak) in both places, much to the surprise of those who paid for and paid attention to those polls.

Also, keep in mind that Mitt Romney was so utterly certain, based on polling, that he was going to win the election in 2012 that he didn't even prepare a concession speech.

So really, especially this early on, polls are utterly meaningless regardless of the source.


no, polls are a research methodology subject to certain statistical parameters that give snapshots of the present state of things.

they are not prophecies in the sense of that you can subsequently completely discount them as meaningless if in the past they didn't get it quite right.

nor are they meaningless because they are early---the polls of today arent meant to say who is going to be president, or the nominee, they are just meant to give information, with which we can do what we will. and in that regard, they are invaluable to the candidates themselves.




< Message edited by bounty44 -- 1/22/2016 2:13:37 PM >

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:16:30 PM   
mnottertail


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quote:


no, polls are a research methodology subject to certain statistical parameters that give snapshots of the present state of things.


well, some are; sorta.

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:22:15 PM   
bounty44


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quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
And of course we find out that Groseclose is a lying nutsucker. Faux and Drudge being 'moderate' to left leaning.


given a choice between a full professor whose area of expertise this is, and you, im going to go with him.

but by all means comrade vile critter parts, critique the methodology he used in his determination concerning drudge, and then by extension, explain how he "lied" despite what the evidence in front of him was saying.


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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:41:01 PM   
Lucylastic


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quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic
Drudge is as conservative as they come, as partisan as the daily kos...


you were broadly in on this conversation:

http://www.collarchat.com/m_4847604/mpage_1/key_drudge/tm.htm#

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Drudge?
A pol on dems.....
Snickets

Tim Groseclose, a Political Science and Economics professor at UCLA who invested years developing a quantitative measure of bias in the media, would not agree with your "snickets".

According to my analysis, the Drudge Report is approximately the most fair, balanced, and centrist news outlet in the United States. Yet, the overwhelming majority of media commentators claim that it has a conservative bias... Groseclose determines that Drudge, on a conservative to liberal scale of 0-100, with 50 being centrist, actually leans a bit left of center with a score of 60.4. The reason: Drudge mostly links to the sites of the mainstream media, with just a few written by Matt Drudge himself. "Since these links come from a broad mix of media outlets, and since the news in general is left-leaning, it should not be surprising that the slant quotient of the Drudge Report leans left," he writes ~U.S.News and World Report

K.




yes he quoted US news and world report, I laughed so hard I put my ability to respond in a rational manner in a coma.
Plus most of the time I respect Kirata too much to respond by laughing.



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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:42:07 PM   
Lucylastic


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Online polls dont use a methodolgy
DUH

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 2:57:38 PM   
mnottertail


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quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail
And of course we find out that Groseclose is a lying nutsucker. Faux and Drudge being 'moderate' to left leaning.


given a choice between a full professor whose area of expertise this is, and you, im going to go with him.

but by all means comrade vile critter parts, critique the methodology he used in his determination concerning drudge, and then by extension, explain how he "lied" despite what the evidence in front of him was saying.





I see you as well as groseclose are dishonest cockgargling nutsuckers. you were in full throated felch in this conversation:
http://www.collarchat.com/m_4847604/mpage_1/key_drudge/tm.htm#

You didnt bother to say that he was a cockgargling nutsucker, nor did you bother to quote tweaks post elucidating that fact. It appears Groseclose is having a nutsucker cockgargling caucus in the bathroom and you are the orator (again, no surprise)

quote:

tweakabelle

It appears that Mr Groseclose might have an agenda of his own. According to wiki:

"In 2005, Groseclose co-authored an article with Jeffrey Milyo, a Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, in the Quarterly Journal of Economics, entitled 'A Measure of Media Bias'.[4] The article suggested the American media had a liberal bias.[4] Drawing upon this article, Groseclose published Left Turn: How Liberal Media Bias Distorts the American Mind in 2012.[4] The book suggests that all media outlets in the United States are left-leaning.[5] He adds that conservative media outlets like Fox News and the Drudge Report are only moderately conservative.[5] Furthermore, he goes on to argue that the left-wing media bias influences American voters to lean left.[5] Were it not for the media, he hypothesizes that Republican candidate John McCain would have won the 2008 United States presidential election.[5]

In a review for The Washington Times, L. Brent Bozell III, the president of the Media Research Center, praised Groseclose's "fierce intellectual honesty," explaining, "He makes no bones about his own political biases."[6] Brozell also praised Groseclose's willingness to accept peer review, even from liberal critics.[6] However, he was critical of the preponderance of "quantitative mathematical formulations" at the expense of "qualitative analysis."[6] Similarly, he dismissed Groseclose's use of "statistical jargon" as "pure mumbo-jumbo that the layman just must accept."[6] Meanwhile, in the Huffington Post, Terry Krepel suggested Groseclose was "more interested in trying to forward a conservative agenda than objective research."[4] He also criticized the "lack of attention to detail in Groseclose's book that raises questions about his larger conclusions."[4]"

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timothy_Groseclose (emphasis added)

It seems that, like so many of his fellow right wingers, he has quite a bee in his bonnet about the "liberal media". His claim that McCain's loss to Obama was due to the media is laughable - and suggests he has a very low opinion of the intelligence of Americans.

< Message edited by tweakabelle -- 10/14/2015 8:06:12 AM >


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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/22/2016 7:20:43 PM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

he was critical of the preponderance of "quantitative mathematical formulations" at the expense of "qualitative analysis."


Uh huh.. What the fuck does that even mean. If you want to make a critique of someone's work make a parsable comment.

He fudged his numbers in formula 4: thats a critique.
He surveyed only NY papers: thats a critique.

Using quantitative mathematical formulations instead of qualitative analysis.. sounds like - "damn, he used real facts instead of subjective interpretation."
Yeah, that critique doesn't sway me.

I notice you clipped it deceptively (as usual) so I've restored the bit you left out

quote:


.[8] In addition, GMU Economics professor and co-author of the Marginal Revolution blog, Tyler Cowen, stated, “This book serves up the most convincing evidence for media bias I have seen, ever. Tim Groseclose is the leading academic scholar in the area, but this is a smartly-written book which every person can read for enlightenment and also for pleasure.” [9] Furthermore, Steven Levitt, Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago and co-author of Freakoconomics took the position that, “I'm no conservative, but I loved Left Turn. Tim Groseclose has written the best kind of book: one that is firmly anchored in rigorous academic research, but is still so much fun to read that it is hard to put down. Liberals will not like the conclusions of this book, which in my opinion, is all the more reason why they should want to read it.” [9]



You want an easy demonstration of bias: Take a look at the HuffPoo; Politico; NY Times.

If an article is critical of a republican party affiliation is mentioned no later than the second paragraph.
If an article is critical of a democrat, on average party affiliation is mentioned in the 5th paragraph.

Anecdotally are there exceptions - sure. But the averages don't lie.

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 5:04:51 AM   
bounty44


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the irony there phydeaux is the critique comrade vile critter parts tried to use isn't really a "critique" at all. as you alluded to and partially showed, its a comment he lifted from Wikipedia noting the media research center indicating that brent bozell merely wanted more thought and word analysis (qualitative) as opposed to a numbers (quantitative) based one.

just to clue you in vile critter parts---that's not a damning criticism, its a statement of preference that has nothing whatsoever to do with the robustness of the methods, nor the validity of the findings. its like having a spaghetti dinner when you were hoping for pizza. it doesn't speak at all to the quality of the spaghetti.

youre not very good at this at all are you?

while im here critter parts---a critique of someone's research isn't simply going out and finding another leftist (with an agenda?) who is saying something you like to hear. finding peers' critiques of research is a part of the overall picture, but since this particular area is fraught with partisanship, you rather have to listen to the lefties who are saying, as in the quote phydeaux share, who reluctantly/grudgingly acquiesce to the research despite its findings. that is, people who are honest enough to say, yep, I don't like it, but he did a good job and I cannot find fault.

but more importantly though, it means reading the original work and critiquing it yourself in an objective manner. especially since your default position seems to be to call people with whom you have ideologically differences, "liars."

< Message edited by bounty44 -- 1/23/2016 5:27:31 AM >

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 9:11:27 AM   
mnottertail


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LOL.

There we have it.

Bernie sanders will receive almost 30 percent of the nutsucker vote.
Wonder how he wil do with democrats?

That means the nutsucker trump will not be elected dogcatcher. I told you that some time ago. Its a matter of expertise.

_____________________________

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 10:26:30 AM   
bounty44


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here's the latest on the democratic side on the national level:

US - 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary: Hillary Clinton 52% - Bernie Sanders 37% - Martin O'Malley 2% -

http://www.pollheadlines.com/election-polls-1-2016/us-2016-democratic-presidential-primary-clinton-52-sanders-37-omalley-2-monmouth-univ-01152016-01182016.html

alternatively, from the nbc/wsj:

US - 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary: Hillary Clinton 59% - Bernie Sanders 34% - Martin O'Malley 2% - (NBC/WSJ 01/17/2016)

http://www.pollheadlines.com/election-polls-1-2016/us-2016-democratic-presidential-primary-clinton-59-sanders-34-omalley-2-nbcwsj-01092016-01132016.html

the latest on the republican side:

US - 2016 GOP Presidential Primary: Donald Trump 34% - Ted Cruz 20% - Marco Rubio 11% - (FOX News 01/22/2016)

http://www.pollheadlines.com/election-polls-1-2016/us-2016-gop-presidential-primary-trump-34-cruz-20-rubio-11-fox-news-01182016-01212016.html

< Message edited by bounty44 -- 1/23/2016 10:34:21 AM >

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 7:04:23 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
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If you want recorded polls that actually might mean something...you should use RCP
its easier to see overall. lol
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/pres_general/

Trump today said this about his supporters...
"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose any voters, okay? It's, like, incredible." –Donald Trump

He is right....he knows his base. It wasnt a compliment.

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 7:48:13 PM   
Phydeaux


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Nonsense.

It just speaks to how mad 40% of the country is at democrats. You guys just don't get how much we despise your policies.

And face it - Trump hasn't shot anyone.

Where as Billary has raped someone. And palled around with people that have orgies with minors; palled around with anthony weiner. And the number of people associated with the Clinton campaign that have committed suicide ... well.

I don't really think you want to get into comparing criminal records..

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RE: Drudge Poll: Sanders comes in second! - 1/23/2016 8:32:39 PM   
dcnovice


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quote:

"I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn't lose any voters, okay? It's, like, incredible." –Donald Trump

The lack of support in NYC is a bit striking.

But then, to borrow from Mayor Koch, Trump's neighbors know him.

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it's never enough to keep up.

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INTELLIGENT LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE

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