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RE: War - 2/15/2016 10:09:41 AM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
You took the case for intervention, and seemed to ignore the logic case for non-intervention. If we don't intervene in a situation you know situation a, and result a2. We know how much isolation helped or hurt us compared to base case A.
We have no way to compare with case A1, since it never happened.
In other words, we know whether isolation benefitted us (comparison to base state) - we can't compare to intervention results.


You must have missed the first part of my comment:
    quote:

    By your own logic, there is no way to tell if isolation benefited us or not. We know we isolated ourselves, it didn't work out. Do you know what would have been the result if we had jumped into things? Of course you don't.


I acknowledge that we can only know one result, since we only have one situation.

quote:

While it is tempting to say that AQ bin Laden, and the Taliban would never have been created - I think that is also a fallacy. Most people blame those actors on our actions - but I think it is pretty clear they get created regardless. Khomeini didn't start out reacting against the US (although we were a convenient stooge) he sought, from the beginning, to impose a muslim theocracy.
the taliban and bin laden is as much a result of saudi arabia pumping wahhabiism and an awakening islamic movement as it is about us. Muslim caliphs must have a military component; sooner or later with the amount of funding the sauds were throwing at afghanistan, an islamic leader with strict muslim beliefs would arise. Even if the Sauds weren't involved, Paki's ISS have used pashtun recruitment of jihadi's as a counterbalance to india in Kashmere.
Sure, bin Laden hated us. But just as much as he hated us - he wanted to bring about jihad - hence the jihad attacks in spain, england.


When were the jihad attacks in Spain and England?

How would bin Laden and the Taliban gotten the training and arms they got from us? The short answer is, they wouldn't have. While it's entirely possible they would have still existed and gained arms, that they wouldn't have gotten them from us is a noteworthy distinction.

Would Iran have opposed us as much as they did/do had we not backed Iraq?

Is there no Middle Eastern outrage caused by our presence in Middle Eastern countries? Is there no propaganda pitting the US against Islam based on our presence in Islamic countries and fighting against Islamic groups (completely disregarding that we're NOT attacking them because they are Islamic)?

The US has brought a lot of ire against itself because of our backing Israel. That might not be physical action being taken by the US, necessarily, but it's still an action that has brought a lot of hate towards us.

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(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 61
RE: War - 2/15/2016 5:18:32 PM   
Phydeaux


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Non exhaustive list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Islamist_terrorist_attacks

Spain - 2004
London - July 2005.

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Profile   Post #: 62
RE: War - 2/16/2016 9:17:49 AM   
Phydeaux


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Someone questioned my comment that we had idiotic supine leadership.


Today, Cia trained and armed rebels are fighting with cent com trained and armed rebels.

Brilliant.

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Profile   Post #: 63
RE: War - 2/16/2016 9:54:27 AM   
ThatDizzyChick


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quote:

Someone questioned my comment that we had idiotic supine leadership.

I asked what they were supposed to do, which has yet to be answered.

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Profile   Post #: 64
RE: War - 2/16/2016 11:57:12 AM   
Phydeaux


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Supposed to do in the past, or do now?

1. Recognize that facts on the ground will not await strategic indecision.
2. Recognize that the US had no strategic interests in Syria.
3. Actually prosecute a war against ISIS. We ran 1000+ per day in operation gulf war. We are unloading ordinance on 2-3 sorties per day, now.
4. Not pull out of Iraq? Actually attempt to negotiate a status of forces agreement?
5. Not pull out of iraq before it had a functioning air force / navy?
6. Not ignore Iranian assassinations of Iraqi's?
7. Support alacki - the winner of the democratic elections instead of supporting the malicki?
8. Strengthen our relationships with the sauds and israelis - instead of alienating them?
9. Not insist on exit of bashar assad Support him?
10. Not wait a year to hit ISIS oil assets? Interdict cars/trucks to unesco heritage sites such as palmyra?





< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 2/16/2016 12:26:58 PM >

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Profile   Post #: 65
RE: War - 2/16/2016 12:25:34 PM   
mnottertail


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LOL. There is the disaster now existing and a recipe to make it larger by a magnatude of a thousand.

You can certainly tell those who are not vets.

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Profile   Post #: 66
RE: War - 2/16/2016 1:02:35 PM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

LOL. There is the disaster now existing and a recipe to make it larger by a magnatude of a thousand.

You can certainly tell those who are not vets.


Oh mouthing gibberer - how does recognizing the US has no strategic interest in Syria make the disaster worse by a thousand....

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Profile   Post #: 67
RE: War - 2/16/2016 2:01:36 PM   
Dvr22999874


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Possibly by the fact that the U.S. and it's allies are in a place where they are not wanted, nor are they liked too much, not just by daesh but by the majority of arabs, muslims, Syrians et al as well as the Russians and whoever decides to jump in on their side. Maybe it hasn't penetrated your blinkered mind yet fido but westerners are NOT the flavour of the month in that area and the shit-fight is only in it's infancy yet. Talking to you though is like trying to make sense out of a very large can of worms but you go right ahead and see every argument from behind your slabs of text and the quotes you love so much.

< Message edited by Dvr22999874 -- 2/16/2016 2:29:29 PM >

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Profile   Post #: 68
RE: War - 2/16/2016 2:07:36 PM   
mnottertail


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

LOL. There is the disaster now existing and a recipe to make it larger by a magnatude of a thousand.

You can certainly tell those who are not vets.


Oh mouthing gibberer - how does recognizing the US has no strategic interest in Syria make the disaster worse by a thousand....



If you would have stopped there rather than spew unenlightened toiletlicking, it would have been your first realistic, factual post.

Unfortunately, my felching bolshevik friend, you cant stop there.

_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


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Profile   Post #: 69
RE: War - 2/16/2016 2:14:20 PM   
Hillwilliam


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

I'd like to know what they think the "supine democratic leadership" could do.
I also seriously doubt that Putin will attack Turkey. He is not stupid.


You have it back asswards.

Turkey has been arming the turkmen militias, as well as covertly supporting ISIS. Turkey's redline is the kurds extending their controlled areas into a contiguous state (they have said). The kurds just did that, with the assistance of russia.


What rag did you get that from? Was it Beck or Jones?

_____________________________

Kinkier than a cheap garden hose.

Whoever said "Religion is the opiate of the masses" never heard Right Wing talk radio.

Don't blame me, I voted for Gary Johnson.

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Profile   Post #: 70
RE: War - 2/16/2016 2:59:57 PM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Dvr22999874

Possibly by the fact that the U.S. and it's allies are in a place where they are not wanted, nor are they liked too much, not just by daesh but by the majority of arabs, muslims, Syrians et al as well as the Russians and whoever decides to jump in on their side. Maybe it hasn't penetrated your blinkered mind yet fido but westerners are NOT the flavour of the month in that area and the shit-fight is only in it's infancy yet. Talking to you though is like trying to make sense out of a very large can of worms but you go right ahead and see every argument from behind your slabs of text and the quotes you love so much.


Hey idiot.

I'm arguing that we have no business being in Syria.

If you can't be bothered to read - for G-d's sake keep your mouth shut.
quote:

(we have no strategic interests in Syria; not insist on the exit of bashar assad, support him)


< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 2/16/2016 3:20:08 PM >

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Profile   Post #: 71
RE: War - 2/16/2016 3:06:09 PM   
Dvr22999874


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Fuck off fido.........................talking with you is like fighting fog. nobody can lay a glove on it because it has no substance but at the same time is just a seemingly all-pervading annoyance and with luck, it will eventually blow away completely.
I didn't realise you were such a supreme being on this boards fido. you have that snotty air of superiority that says you seem to believe you are the final authority on every subject. you're not. you are just a little boy with an over inflated sense of your own importance. Maybe you should take some lessons in being a human being sometime. I doubt you will though and you will remain the slimy thing you are already'
If you can't be courteous. just cease to be. Please.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 72
RE: War - 2/16/2016 3:07:55 PM   
Dvr22999874


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and yes, I have put fido on hide. I can't handle any more of his bombast and bullshit and aggression to those he sees as his inferior ( everybody).

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Profile   Post #: 73
RE: War - 2/16/2016 3:19:04 PM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

I'd like to know what they think the "supine democratic leadership" could do.
I also seriously doubt that Putin will attack Turkey. He is not stupid.


You have it back asswards.

Turkey has been arming the turkmen militias, as well as covertly supporting ISIS. Turkey's redline is the kurds extending their controlled areas into a contiguous state (they have said). The kurds just did that, with the assistance of russia.


What rag did you get that from? Was it Beck or Jones?



Ah.. liberals.. So opinionated, so uninformed.

So which do you deny is true?

That Turkey took over an Iraqi base and is training turkomen militia?
That the kurds with the assistance of Russia have established a contiguous zone on turkey's border, joining ypg and pkk areas?
Or that its Turkey proclaimed it a redline.

Of course - once again an illiterate liberal voices skepticism without facts.

Turks seizing Iraqi base, training sunni (turkomen) militia
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/04/turkish-troops-iraq-train-forces-fighting-isis
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-turkey-idUSKBN0UD1GJ20151230
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/06/23/the-enemy-you-know-and-the-ally-you-dont-arm-sunni-militias-iraq/

Kurds crossing Turkish redline
https://newcoldwar.org/kurdish-forces-in-northern-syria-cross-turkeys-declared-red-line/
http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160107/1032801014/turkey-kurdish-corridor.html
http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/22062015


Kurds attacking FSA (supported by CIA) with support of Russian airstrikes
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idUSKCN0VK0E8
https://yallasouriya.wordpress.com/2016/02/07/us-backed-kurds-coordinate-with-russia-assad-to-attack-rebels-via-intensionality/
http://insufficientrespect.blogspot.com/2016/02/us-backed-kurds-coordinate-with-russia.html
http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/content/russia-syrian-kurds-reportedly-coordinating-forces


The fact of the matter is - I read more than than you and I read more widely than you. Just because you're ignorant doesn't mean everyone is.

(in reply to Hillwilliam)
Profile   Post #: 74
RE: War - 2/16/2016 4:35:32 PM   
PeonForHer


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FR

The Middle East needs the subtlety, delicacy of touch, finely-tuned intelligence, wisdom and deep understanding of political relations - especially world political relations - of Donald Trump. Everybody in America should vote for Donald Trump. It's the only answer, as I'm sure all will realise.

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Profile   Post #: 75
RE: War - 2/16/2016 5:16:11 PM   
Hillwilliam


Posts: 19394
Joined: 8/27/2008
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux




Ah.. liberals.. So opinionated, so uninformed.

So which do you deny is true?

That Turkey took over an Iraqi base and is training turkomen militia?
That the kurds with the assistance of Russia have established a contiguous zone on turkey's border, joining ypg and pkk areas?
Or that its Turkey proclaimed it a redline.

Of course - once again an illiterate liberal voices skepticism without facts.

Turks seizing Iraqi base, training sunni (turkomen) militia
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/dec/04/turkish-troops-iraq-train-forces-fighting-isis
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-turkey-idUSKBN0UD1GJ20151230
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/06/23/the-enemy-you-know-and-the-ally-you-dont-arm-sunni-militias-iraq/

Kurds crossing Turkish redline
https://newcoldwar.org/kurdish-forces-in-northern-syria-cross-turkeys-declared-red-line/
http://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20160107/1032801014/turkey-kurdish-corridor.html
http://rudaw.net/english/middleeast/22062015


Kurds attacking FSA (supported by CIA) with support of Russian airstrikes
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-idUSKCN0VK0E8
https://yallasouriya.wordpress.com/2016/02/07/us-backed-kurds-coordinate-with-russia-assad-to-attack-rebels-via-intensionality/
http://insufficientrespect.blogspot.com/2016/02/us-backed-kurds-coordinate-with-russia.html
http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/content/russia-syrian-kurds-reportedly-coordinating-forces


The fact of the matter is - I read more than than you and I read more widely than you. Just because you're ignorant doesn't mean everyone is.

Ahhhh, ignorant fucking morons.

Would a liberal post this? http://www.collarchat.com/m_4883491/tm.htm

Would a liberal call Obama "The most ineffective leader in a couple of generations"?

Would a fucking moron just assume that anyone who disagrees with him because his initial posts have nothing to back them up a liberal?

As for reading more widely, I doubt it seriously. Someone who is widely read doesn't post such ignorant crap from the right or left wing.

< Message edited by Hillwilliam -- 2/16/2016 5:53:36 PM >


_____________________________

Kinkier than a cheap garden hose.

Whoever said "Religion is the opiate of the masses" never heard Right Wing talk radio.

Don't blame me, I voted for Gary Johnson.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 76
RE: War - 2/16/2016 8:08:48 PM   
DesideriScuri


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Joined: 1/18/2012
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Non exhaustive list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Islamist_terrorist_attacks
Spain - 2004
London - July 2005.


The rumor (because it's neither been proven nor disproven, according to the wiki) for the Spain attacks was support of the US military and Middle Eastern conflicts by Spain.

The London bombings were due to the British presence in the Middle East, and continued support of the US and Israel by the UK.

Because of our meddling in the Middle East, we created the Taliban, made bin Laden what he was.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 77
RE: War - 2/17/2016 6:35:44 AM   
Phydeaux


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Joined: 1/4/2004
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quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Non exhaustive list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Islamist_terrorist_attacks
Spain - 2004
London - July 2005.


The rumor (because it's neither been proven nor disproven, according to the wiki) for the Spain attacks was support of the US military and Middle Eastern conflicts by Spain.

The London bombings were due to the British presence in the Middle East, and continued support of the US and Israel by the UK.

Because of our meddling in the Middle East, we created the Taliban, made bin Laden what he was.



We contributed to the formation - but its far too easy, and far too simplistic to ascribe all the blame to us.

bin Laden - was he any different than the Hakkanis? Any different than Mansoors? Any different that the islamic terrorists that attacked the hotel in India, or the Hotel in burkina faso, or the shopping mall in Kenya? Or the theatre in Moscow, or the concert hall in Paris?

Many states crack down on mlitant islam. This gives rise to non governmental actors. The nature of war is such that you don't fight a war you are going to lose - to ngo's turn to terrorism as a way to achieve their objectives.

These actions are financed by iran/saudi arabia. Even without the US, there would be muslim terrorists. Their actions are a desire to achieve their policy goals, not solely, or even significantly, as a reaction to us/israeli policy.

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Profile   Post #: 78
RE: War - 2/17/2016 7:32:45 PM   
Phydeaux


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850 miltants cross from turkey into northern Syria...

Turkish aircraft hitting kurdish positions for 4 days.


Kurds are making a huge strategic blunder. Will Russia back them against syria? Interesting question...

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Profile   Post #: 79
RE: War - 2/18/2016 7:52:39 AM   
mnottertail


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Kurds are not making a strategic blunder.

Russia would only back them to piss us off.

But before we went into Iraq for no reason, people in possession of facts, and history knew the kurds would run an uprising, and turkey would attempt to put it down.

That is why I said, before we went in this would be an outcome, and once we were in, to find Saddam, immediately, brush off his lapels and say, sorry..........we made a boo boo, back away and withdraw thru the kurdish territories dropping off all our shit, and sit down in turkey, regroup, fly out.



_____________________________

Have they not divided the prey; to every man a damsel or two? Judges 5:30


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Profile   Post #: 80
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