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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/22/2016 9:46:30 PM   
Real0ne


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Status: offline 		I have actually took some time to listen to these debates and its interesting the way the moderators accuse trump of wrongdoing by stealth.

They ask him constantly about avoiding taxes, and taking depreciation is not tax avoidance at all.

He is right that its rigged but he doesnt know how well its rigged.

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Profile   Post #: 21
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/22/2016 9:52:51 PM   
Real0ne


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quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice

The professor also went on to note that because Trump is a type of candidate that has never been seen before, this election is the most difficult for his system to predict. “We've never before seen a candidate who's spent his life enriching himself at the expense of others. He's the first candidate in our history to be a serial fabricator, making up things as he goes along,” Lichtman said.

* * *

Lichtman’s prediction system accounts for popular vote, but does not account for the electoral college, which is what will likely decide who the next U.S. President is.

* * *

As Dr. Lichtman says, this election is truly unlike any we’ve ever seen before, making it extremely difficult to predict who will win.

https://www.merryjane.com/news/election-prediction-Trump-Clinton



no, the only thing that is different is that they are not dealing with 2 career political fabricators.

Its difficult because no one can determine which the people will care about more, pc drama, or criminals in office.

From what I have seen from americans, pc drama rules, and trumps criminals in office. pun intended

_____________________________

"We the Borg" of the us imperialists....resistance is futile

Democracy; The 'People' voted on 'which' amendment?

Yesterdays tinfoil is today's reality!

"No man's life, liberty, or property is safe while the legislature is in session

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Profile   Post #: 22
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 12:02:06 AM   
Awareness


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quote:

ORIGINAL: PeonForHer

Clinton is going to win. Only right wing fruitcake organisations using quack-science methodology say otherwise, Greta.

It's time to move on and start thinking about how the right wing in US politics might be able to revive itself after Trump has so comprehensively trashed it. I mean, let's face it, Trump has fucked up right wing politics more completely than all the liberals in the USA put together, for decades gone by, have ever managed to do, hasn't he? How on earth is that going to get turned around?
The GOP holds a majority in both the House and the Senate. Unless that changes, the GOP is still running the country.


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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 12:03:06 AM   
Awareness


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Real0ne

I have actually took some time to listen to these debates and its interesting the way the moderators accuse trump of wrongdoing by stealth.

They ask him constantly about avoiding taxes, and taking depreciation is not tax avoidance at all.

He is right that its rigged but he doesnt know how well its rigged.
Goddamn Reptilian Overlords!


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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 1:41:53 AM   
Greta75


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quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
BJ is an intelligent guy and was successful London mayor for quite a long while.
Not so with the circus peanut

But Boris Johnson PR is as bad as Trump. He has also said many "racist" things.
And I would say it's thanks to him that a Muslim Mayor got elected. People wanted something the total opposite of Boris Johnson. So I don't know if that is "successful".

BTW, just for comparison to Trump. This is what Boris Johnson said about Hillary.

“She’s got dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, and a steely blue stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital.”


< Message edited by Greta75 -- 10/23/2016 1:44:19 AM >

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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 2:20:55 AM   
thompsonx


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ORIGINAL: Greta75

BTW, just for comparison to Trump. This is what Boris Johnson said about Hillary.

“She’s got dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, and a steely blue stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital.”

Does that description seem like something that putin would enjoy bargaining with?

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Profile   Post #: 26
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 2:43:00 AM   
MrRodgers


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Status: offline 		The real problem if stated correctly, is that whoever wins the election, is not a scientific question. It is a mathematical question.

The polls to watch are the electoral college polls. The ones I've seen had HRC at 340 in 1/16, she took a big dip by summer and after these so-called debated, she is back to 340 as of 10/16.

One prognosticator said that HRC could even get 400 which would be nothing less than a landslide.



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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 3:43:35 AM   
Hillwilliam


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Wayward5oul

I will be so glad when this is over and maybe we won't have to listen to the deluded Trump supporters anymore. Never in my life have I witnesses such lengths that people will go to in order to defend a person.

Unfortunately, your optimism is misplaced.
If he loses, there will be 4 years of whining that THEY CHEATEEEEEEEEEEDDDDDD and a bunch of armchair commandos planning the revolution. It has already started.

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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 4:05:30 AM   
ThatDizzyChick


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quote:

The GOP holds a majority in both the House and the Senate. Unless that changes, the GOP is still running the country.

Yup.
Funny how that seems to escape the notice of so many Americans, eh?

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Profile   Post #: 29
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 4:32:10 AM   
captive4ever


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Status: offline 		Greta, Your Trump-like racism in implying that a Muslim Mayor is a bad thing is illuminating....

As for the down ballot races, there is little chance of taking the house, but the senate will probably go to the dems according to the polls...

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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 4:46:53 AM   
thompsonx


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ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

The GOP holds a majority in both the House and the Senate. Unless that changes, the GOP is still running the country.
Yup.
Funny how that seems to escape the notice of so many Americans, eh?


Do you believe the republicrats will keep the scotus as it is for 8 years?

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Profile   Post #: 31
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 4:59:57 AM   
PeonForHer


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quote:

But Boris Johnson PR is as bad as Trump. He has also said many "racist" things.
And I would say it's thanks to him that a Muslim Mayor got elected. People wanted something the total opposite of Boris Johnson. So I don't know if that is "successful".


Sadiq Khan is just a mayor who happens to be Muslim. He's not generally considered particularly left wing. Your contrast is too simplistic here, Greta.

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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 5:14:33 AM   
Hillwilliam


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Greta75

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVsDEXZX0b8

This guy has accurately used science to predict the winner since 1984. And according to science. Trump will win!

And ya know what? It's the people voting for Jill Stein and Gary Johnson that is gonna help Trump Win! He is right!

Because Al Gore lost thanks to Nader gaining popularity back then!

So, there is reproducible experimental evidence that eliminates every other possibility except a Trump win?
I don't see that here.

In all seriousness, you wouldn't know the scientific method if it bit you on the ass.

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Kinkier than a cheap garden hose.

Whoever said "Religion is the opiate of the masses" never heard Right Wing talk radio.

Don't blame me, I voted for Gary Johnson.

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Profile   Post #: 33
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 6:31:18 AM   
WhoreMods


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
In all seriousness, you wouldn't know the scientific method if it bit you on the ass.

What else do you expect from a Trumptooner?

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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 9:05:29 AM   
jlf1961


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Greta75

quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
BJ is an intelligent guy and was successful London mayor for quite a long while.
Not so with the circus peanut

But Boris Johnson PR is as bad as Trump. He has also said many "racist" things.
And I would say it's thanks to him that a Muslim Mayor got elected. People wanted something the total opposite of Boris Johnson. So I don't know if that is "successful".

BTW, just for comparison to Trump. This is what Boris Johnson said about Hillary.

“She’s got dyed blonde hair and pouty lips, and a steely blue stare, like a sadistic nurse in a mental hospital.”



Greta, your racism, bigotry and complaint lack of understanding of other cultures is equaled only by the size of super massive black hole in the center of NGC 1277.




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RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 1:08:48 PM   
dcnovice


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quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

quote:

The GOP holds a majority in both the House and the Senate. Unless that changes, the GOP is still running the country.

Yup.
Funny how that seems to escape the notice of so many Americans, eh?

There was a meme making the rounds about how the GOP controls not only the House and Senate but a fair number (a majority perhaps?) of governorships and state legislatures.

It noted that "the party that says we're going in the wrong direction has its fingerprints all over the steering wheel."

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Profile   Post #: 36
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 8:44:49 PM   
Greta75


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quote:

ORIGINAL: captive4ever

Greta, Your Trump-like racism in implying that a Muslim Mayor is a bad thing is illuminating....


Islam is not a race. Did you see how white the Syrian Queen is? I would say the same about Mormons, Jehovah Witnesses, Scientologists.
I am anti-religion. Religious beliefs is a CHOICE. I don't have to support people who support evil religions. And I don't vote for religious people!
And on top of that, Muslim Mayor looks South Indian to me, and I always prefer Hindus to Muslims.

< Message edited by Greta75 -- 10/23/2016 8:48:05 PM >

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Profile   Post #: 37
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 8:47:57 PM   
stef


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Status: offline 		Greta, you're being an idiot again. Please try and stop that.

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Profile   Post #: 38
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 8:48:51 PM   
Real0ne


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Joined: 10/25/2004
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quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice


quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

quote:

The GOP holds a majority in both the House and the Senate. Unless that changes, the GOP is still running the country.

Yup.
Funny how that seems to escape the notice of so many Americans, eh?

There was a meme making the rounds about how the GOP controls not only the House and Senate but a fair number (a majority perhaps?) of governorships and state legislatures.

It noted that "the party that says we're going in the wrong direction has its fingerprints all over the steering wheel."



no matter which direction THEY go its the wrong direction since they dont bother to ask us, you know the 'we the people' part of the gubmint. so its always wrong for us and right for them

_____________________________

"We the Borg" of the us imperialists....resistance is futile

Democracy; The 'People' voted on 'which' amendment?

Yesterdays tinfoil is today's reality!

"No man's life, liberty, or property is safe while the legislature is in session

(in reply to dcnovice)
Profile   Post #: 39
RE: Scientific Method Predicts Trump Win - 10/23/2016 8:50:18 PM   
Greta75


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quote:

ORIGINAL: stef

Greta, you're being an idiot again. Please try and stop that.

Anybody who has a problem with anybody against Ideologies have no right to be anti-Trump then. Because all that all ya against is also Trump's Ideology. I am against Muslim Ideology. A Muslim is someone who follows Muhammad. I am against Muhammad's ideology. He was a leader. Trump is a leader, and ya all hate Trump's ideology. Same shit!
Stop being hypocrites and having double standards.

< Message edited by Greta75 -- 10/23/2016 9:11:28 PM >

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Profile   Post #: 40
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