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RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 8:50:28 PM   
MrRodgers


Posts: 10542
Joined: 7/30/2005
Status: offline 		I am looking at C-Span live and they are conceding states with less than 30 and 40% of the vote counted. Ridiculous. The highest % of votes I've seen of all is 72% and still not really a slam dunk, so.....?

It's close and thus...still too early.

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Profile   Post #: 21
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:05:01 PM   
mrevibo


Posts: 120
Joined: 5/30/2016
Status: offline 		Some states can be declared with as near to absolute reliability at levels of reporting that may be surprising, simply because of historically established patterns. You'd need to be familiar with statistical sampling. It's a matter of which districts can be counted fastest, along with the voting patterns of the later ones. There's always a possibility of an upset somewhere or other, but it's like you can be reasonably confident that your three closest neighbors won't steal your garden gnome, but that guy down the street wouldn't be above breaking into your house and taking your lava lamp.

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Profile   Post #: 22
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:10:07 PM   
Marini


Posts: 3629
Joined: 2/14/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

I am looking at C-Span live and they are conceding states with less than 30 and 40% of the vote counted. Ridiculous. The highest % of votes I've seen of all is 72% and still not really a slam dunk, so.....?
Poo
It's close and thus...still too early.


If Trump wins, we need some sort of emergency counseling available for many people.
Maybe it can be provided by the affordable care health insurance.

< Message edited by Marini -- 11/8/2016 9:11:31 PM >

_____________________________

As always, To EACH their Own.
"And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same. "
Nelson Mandela
Life-long Democrat, not happy at all with Democratic Party.
NOT a Republican/Moderate and free agent

(in reply to MrRodgers)
Profile   Post #: 23
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:15:03 PM   
Awareness


Posts: 3918
Joined: 9/8/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Marini

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

I am looking at C-Span live and they are conceding states with less than 30 and 40% of the vote counted. Ridiculous. The highest % of votes I've seen of all is 72% and still not really a slam dunk, so.....?
Poo
It's close and thus...still too early.


If Trump wins, we need some sort of emergency counseling available for many people.
Maybe it can be provided by the affordable care health insurance.
Yeah, Obamacare will be gone the week after he is. That's Republicans for you.


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Profile   Post #: 24
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:17:43 PM   
servantforuse


Posts: 6363
Joined: 3/8/2006
Status: offline 		They can't afford the help they need with the ACA. The deductibles are much to high.

(in reply to Marini)
Profile   Post #: 25
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:18:33 PM   
Greta75


Posts: 9968
Joined: 2/6/2011
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Awareness
Yeah, Obamacare will be gone the week after he is. That's Republicans for you.

Obamacare is anything but Affordable though. It needs to be replaced with something that actually provides affordable care.

(in reply to Awareness)
Profile   Post #: 26
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:20:28 PM   
heavyblinker


Posts: 3623
Status: offline 		The markets are already plummeting.
This is seriously horrifying.

(in reply to Marini)
Profile   Post #: 27
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:21:48 PM   
UllrsIshtar


Posts: 3693
Joined: 7/28/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Greta75


quote:

ORIGINAL: Awareness
Yeah, Obamacare will be gone the week after he is. That's Republicans for you.

Obamacare is anything but Affordable though. It needs to be replaced with something that actually provides affordable care.


Americans don't want that. ColoradoCare (universal health care for everybody in CO through a tax increase based on income) just got voted down by 80%. And that's with Clinton taking the state.

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(in reply to Greta75)
Profile   Post #: 28
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:21:52 PM   
Greta75


Posts: 9968
Joined: 2/6/2011
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quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

The markets are already plummeting.
This is seriously horrifying.


No big deal.

Temporary jitters. Best time to buy is now! It will only go up later!

(in reply to heavyblinker)
Profile   Post #: 29
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:22:59 PM   
Awareness


Posts: 3918
Joined: 9/8/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Greta75


quote:

ORIGINAL: Awareness
Yeah, Obamacare will be gone the week after he is. That's Republicans for you.

Obamacare is anything but Affordable though. It needs to be replaced with something that actually provides affordable care.
I think you'll find the Republicans will replace it with a big helping of "Go fuck yourselves".


_____________________________

Ever notice how fucking annoying most signatures are? - Yes, I do appreciate the irony.

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Profile   Post #: 30
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:23:21 PM   
Marini


Posts: 3629
Joined: 2/14/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker

The markets are already plummeting.
This is seriously horrifying.



Horrifying for wall street and the corporations that supported her?

_____________________________

As always, To EACH their Own.
"And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same. "
Nelson Mandela
Life-long Democrat, not happy at all with Democratic Party.
NOT a Republican/Moderate and free agent

(in reply to heavyblinker)
Profile   Post #: 31
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:24:31 PM   
mrevibo


Posts: 120
Joined: 5/30/2016
Status: offline 		The markets are dropping because the principals in the markets have invested in Clinton. They'll be back just fine. I have to keep telling my mom not to watch the DJIA minute by minute; she's a long investor. Relax.

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Profile   Post #: 32
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:27:05 PM   
Greta75


Posts: 9968
Joined: 2/6/2011
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Awareness
I think you'll find the Republicans will replace it with a big helping of "Go fuck yourselves".

Actually Trump is not against universal health care at all, I know Far Right is.
So it would be interesting to see the revamp.
End of the day the reason why republicans don't like Trump too is because his policies are not exact far right either. He is quite centrist.
It's just that the model the Obamacare is running at the moment is not working for truly making it more affordable for everybody. And needs a solution.

(in reply to Awareness)
Profile   Post #: 33
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:28:38 PM   
heavyblinker


Posts: 3623
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: mrevibo

The markets are dropping because the principals in the markets have invested in Clinton. They'll be back just fine. I have to keep telling my mom not to watch the DJIA minute by minute; she's a long investor. Relax.


You don't think Trump's relentless antagonism of other countries and promise of a trade war has anything to do with it?

I am honestly shocked that the right is willing to risk the economy because of some conspiracy theories about who is behind the Clintons.

(in reply to mrevibo)
Profile   Post #: 34
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:34:06 PM   
Greta75


Posts: 9968
Joined: 2/6/2011
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker
You don't think Trump's relentless antagonism of other countries and promise of a trade war has anything to do with it?

I am honestly shocked that the right is willing to risk the economy because of some conspiracy theories about who is behind the Clintons.

Short term speculators will have heart attack.

But this is an opportunity to make money!

As a Foreigner, I am gleefully waiting for cheap US stocks.

(in reply to heavyblinker)
Profile   Post #: 35
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:37:54 PM   
Wayward5oul


Posts: 3314
Joined: 11/9/2014
Status: offline 		My pre-teen son went to bed upset, worried about his minority friends and what they will face now.

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Profile   Post #: 36
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:39:49 PM   
Greta75


Posts: 9968
Joined: 2/6/2011
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Wayward5oul
My pre-teen son went to bed upset, worried about his minority friends and what they will face now.

They won't face anything.
That's so crazy that people think Trump is against minorities.
He is against illegals. Not minorities.

(in reply to Wayward5oul)
Profile   Post #: 37
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:41:09 PM   
Awareness


Posts: 3918
Joined: 9/8/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Wayward5oul

My pre-teen son went to bed upset, worried about his minority friends and what they will face now.
That's what happens when you're a leftist nut who fills your kid's head with garbage.


_____________________________

Ever notice how fucking annoying most signatures are? - Yes, I do appreciate the irony.

(in reply to Wayward5oul)
Profile   Post #: 38
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:41:42 PM   
mrevibo


Posts: 120
Joined: 5/30/2016
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: heavyblinker


quote:

ORIGINAL: mrevibo

The markets are dropping because the principals in the markets have invested in Clinton. They'll be back just fine. I have to keep telling my mom not to watch the DJIA minute by minute; she's a long investor. Relax.


You don't think Trump's relentless antagonism of other countries and promise of a trade war has anything to do with it?

I am honestly shocked that the right is willing to risk the economy because of some conspiracy theories about who is behind the Clintons.

What you call relentless antagonism, I see as more of looking out for our own interests. What you see as a trade war,
I see as a careful review of trade agreements. After a good few years of NAFTA, I still don't favor it. I neither favor the TPP nor trust the people behind it. Why is it wrong to have these out in the open, and negotiate them on demonstrable interests rather than simply presume these guys are working in our interests? Maybe they got it right. Show me, don't tell me.

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Profile   Post #: 39
RE: NYT Real Time Election Forecast - 11/8/2016 9:42:55 PM   
Marini


Posts: 3629
Joined: 2/14/2010
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Wayward5oul

My pre-teen son went to bed upset, worried about his minority friends and what they will face now.


Tell him not to worry, and have him learn about the 3 branches of the government.


< Message edited by Marini -- 11/8/2016 9:45:57 PM >

_____________________________

As always, To EACH their Own.
"And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same. "
Nelson Mandela
Life-long Democrat, not happy at all with Democratic Party.
NOT a Republican/Moderate and free agent

(in reply to Wayward5oul)
Profile   Post #: 40
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