MasterJaguar01 -> RE: New GOP Tax Plan (11/4/2017 5:12:47 AM)
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ORIGINAL: MrRodgers This is supply side economics [sic] reprise that never ever produces the revenue to replace or 'fund' the tax cut. The whole debate centers around nothing but economic semantics such as something called dynamic scoring (not any of our scoring) which I guess this gets its name from the assumption of some resulting new 'dynamic' is created. Never happens. The US needs more dollar velocity (more dollars in and changing more hands) which is what sustains and creates more demand for the economy as a whole. That's what needed to create more demand and jobs. I don't think you could be more correct here. Well said. I am no economist, but got a B (was soooo close to an A in Economics 101 in college). We discussed this very topic numerous times in class. Yes, it is true... IF: 1. There already IS a strong consumer class (middle class) 2. There is easy access to capital (supply) Then... Investment in new products or expansion of product lines (or new businesses) emerge, which in turn creates more jobs and spurs more demand, and the cycle continues. HOWEVER... If there is no demand in the first place, putting more money in the hands of corporations or even mom and pop small businesses simply results in hoarding of cash. Someone posted about Democrats citing Kansas as an example. I am no Democrat, but Kansas is a POSTER child for this. Don't like Kansas as an example? How about the entire U.S.? Tons of access to capital. Economic growth still slow. Think, just for a second how utterly insane PURE supply side economics is. Let's say, I am Steve. The owner of "Steve's Bike Shop" (Some might get the reference). I open my Bike shop in a fairly well off area, and I do ok selling bikes (a little better than breaking even overall). Demand for bikes used to be better in the past, but has declined. I man the store, and have 5 employees. And now, I get this great tax cut because I pass through my Bike shop income. What do I do with my tax savings on my personal income tax? Hire more employees that I don't need (and turn my break-even business into a loss), solely because it is my PERSONAL DUTY to help the economy? Buy more bikes from my suppliers that I can't sell so my SUPPLIERS can hire more people? And yes, from a PERSONAL finance perspective, my tax cut is great. But in terms a funding my business??? Could I even AFFORD another employee with it? (And how would that help my business if I could?) I smile, because I have had this EXACT conversation with the local bike shop owner here on the island. Large businesses have been hoarding massive amounts of cash for years. There is your supply. Why don't they just spend it all in new investment in product lines or expansions? Say it with me.... NO DEMAAAAAAAND This should be very basic and obvious stuff to everyone. Then there is the Ronald Reagan myth. Every right winger has been indoctrinated. "Ronald Regan lowered taxes and grew the economy out of a recession"... Well... NO. He did reform the tax code. (A very good thing). In 1980, we had 20 tax brackets when he took office, going up to 70% (but with massive loopholes. NO One paid it) The ERTA reduced that down to 50% and got rid of a LOT of the loopholes (which lobbyists have been steadily reinstating over the years and find many new ones). The ERTA provided a tiny (about 2-3% tax cut for everyone else) The 1986 TRA simplified the tax code roughly similar to what we have now, with top rate at 39.6(ish). (And we had 5 brackets) So, yes... killed a tax rate that NO one was paying anyway. Got rid of the loopholes people were using to avoid paying it, and increased revenue. GREAT. And of course Reagan created the largest tax in American history (the gas tax), and was the father of taxing unemployment benefits. (NICE) But did that stimulate the economy? Ummmmm NO. What stimulated the economy then? A MASSIVE Economic Stimulus package!!!! His MASSIVE deficit spending, primarily on defense, and ADDING 300,000 jobs to the Federal payroll. The massive defense spending spurred advances in many areas of technology (aerospace, and Information technology), which in turn created more jobs. It is THIS area (Information Technology) which created the boom of mini computers, and corporate use of UNIX, and client server technology, which in turn created an environment for me to start my career, and get me where I am today. Thank you Ronald Reagan for your Obama style Economic Stimulus (Demand side, Keynsesian economics). So, the next time you hear Newt Gingrich, yammer on about how Ronald Reagan, through conservative supply side principles, SAVED the economy, you can do some research for him.
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