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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:05:33 PM   
selfbnd411


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

It is becoming exceptionally evident to me that neither one of you have any idea what you are arguing against.  Go and read the speeches.  You are way off the mark in what you "think" they are about compared to what he is actually saying.

-Sicarius


Sure we do.  We're arguing against this man as a "scientist" because he has no credentials.  He's no more of an authority on the subject than you or I.  I'm not wasting my time with his drivel.

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:06:48 PM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
Crichton is an M.D. A quick check of his own website indicates he has never authored a peer reviewed paper of any sort. It should be fairly clear from that that Crichton is not now and has never been a scientist.

I do find this odd though, why should the opinion of an M.D. with a bachelor's in anthropology  be considered more valid on this subject than the majority of atmospheric physicists and climatologists who are in widespread agreement that the Earth is warming and human activity is causing at least some of the increase?


It is becoming exceptionally evident to me that neither one of you have any idea what you are arguing against.  Go and read the speeches.  You are way off the mark in what you "think" they are about compared to what he is actually saying.

-Sicarius

Are you claiming Crichton is a scientist? What research is he conducting?

He gave a speech, in 2003, where he argued that the jury was out on anthrogenic causes of global warming. Why is he competent to make this statement? Is a working atmospheric physicist or climatologist?

Now who didn't hear his speech?

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:07:21 PM   
Sicarius


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lordandmaster
They're from 2003.  Ergo they're obsolete.  You have to follow climate science month to month.  Unforunately, most people aren't capable of that, so they accept whatever viewpoint suits their prejudices.


The Scientific Method is obsolete?  That's almost all he's talking about across each speech.  Furthermore, they are not all from 2003.  Again, I implore you to read and digest the argument being presented before jumping to popular assumptions and conclusions.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to Lordandmaster)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:08:40 PM   
Lordandmaster


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An imprecise sentence there, Sicarius.  "Repeating" is a dangling modifier--and, as usual, an ungrammatical sentence masks faulty thinking.  We're supposed to be in a cooling period right now according to that cycle you're talking about.

And guess what.  We're not.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

Do you deny that trends of global warming and global cooling have been monitored and studied dating back hundreds of thousands of years, repeating on an approximately 11,500 year cycle as proven through ice core samples from arctic shelves?

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:11:13 PM   
Sicarius


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quote:

ORIGINAL: selfbnd411
Sure we do.  We're arguing against this man as a "scientist" because he has no credentials.  He's no more of an authority on the subject than you or I.  I'm not wasting my time with his drivel.


A school child could pose an argument about proper application of the Scientific Method and be no less accurate for it.  You have no idea what you're arguing against, because you believe that these are scientific reports about findings when they're nowhere even close to that.

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
Are you claiming Crichton is a scientist? What research is he conducting?

He gave a speech, in 2003, where he argued that the jury was out on anthrogenic causes of global warming. Why is he competent to make this statement? Is a working atmospheric physicist or climatologist?

Now who didn't hear his speech?


Nope.  He's not a scientist.  I'm unaware of any research he may or may not be involved in, nor is it a factor in anything contained within any of those excerpts.

Working in a field has nothing to do with one's ability to critique the means through which data is derived.  Anyone who is familiar with "science" at all can ask questions.  Why are you so afraid of someone asking questions about ... science?  Isn't that the point?

So far I'm convinced that you didn't, to be honest.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to selfbnd411)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:13:25 PM   
Sicarius


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lordandmaster

An imprecise sentence there, Sicarius.  "Repeating" is a dangling modifier--and, as usual, an ungrammatical sentence masks faulty thinking.  We're supposed to be in a cooling period right now according to that cycle you're talking about.

And guess what.  We're not.


*Chuckles*

There was actually an article in Scientific American a couple of months ago postulating whether or not "increased carbon" as a result of human activity might have prevented the onset of a new Ice Age, Lordandmaster.  Why are you so emotional about this?  We're talking about science and wanting to ask questions so that everyone is better off for it.  You seem so sensitive.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:21:49 PM   
popeye1250


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Now here's a guy who knows what he's talking about when it comes to global warming!

http://www.theguyfromboston.com/playvideo.asp?video=/videos/april2

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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:22:29 PM   
Lordandmaster


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If you believe that increased carbon as a result of human activity prevented a new Ice Age, then you believe that human activity has caused global warming.  At least state what you truly believe.  You can't have your cake and eat it too.

Edited to add: And it follows that all the noise you just made about that supposed 11,000-year cycle was a lot of hot air.

I'm not being emotional.  What's that all about?  But I am going to end this, because I dislike discussing politics with you.  You don't state a coherent position; you just try to show why everyone else is an imbecile, and frankly you're not learned enough to do that very well.  Time will tell soon enough who is on the right side of this one.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

*Chuckles*

There was actually an article in Scientific American a couple of months ago postulating whether or not "increased carbon" as a result of human activity might have prevented the onset of a new Ice Age, Lordandmaster.  Why are you so emotional about this?  We're talking about science and wanting to ask questions so that everyone is better off for it.  You seem so sensitive.


< Message edited by Lordandmaster -- 5/27/2007 9:25:07 PM >

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:24:47 PM   
Sicarius


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quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Now here's a guy who knows what he's talking about when it comes to global warming!

http://www.theguyfromboston.com/playvideo.asp?video=/videos/april2


lmao

A year or two ago, we had a few days down here (south Louisiana) in August where our temperatures got down into the 60's.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to popeye1250)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:27:53 PM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

I keep asking these questions of so called global warming skeptics and I never get a response.

1) Do you deny that human activity has caused the change in atmospheric CO2 levels that has happened in the last 200 years? If so what do you claim is the source of the cO2?

2) Do you deny that the present air mix is capable of retaining more thermal energy than the air mix of 200 years ago? Do you deny that the change in CO2 concentration is the primary factor in this?



1.) I do not deny it, nor do I believe it simply because it "could" be true.  In the pursuit of scientific fact, you cannot arbitrarily declare relevance simply because two factors coincide with one another.  This is a very easy argument to slip out of, and I'm surprised that no one you have spoken to has ever addressed it before.  You need to be very careful to understand what you are arguing against.  Right now you think you just walked into a conversation of yokels screaming that "there ain't no glo-bull warmin'!" and you're a bit off the mark.  No one here is saying that (at least, that I have seen), nor are the sources you're debating even saying that.  All that we are saying is that we want the same scrutiny applied to this "consensus" as is forced upon other facets of the scientific community for the purposes of validating their research.

2.)  Nope.  Do you deny that trends of global warming and global cooling have been monitored and studied dating back hundreds of thousands of years, repeating on an approximately 11,500 year cycle as proven through ice core samples from arctic shelves?  One of us is correct and one of us is incorrect.  This is science.  We're not supposed to be arguing emotionally ... we should just want the truth.  The undeniable truth is what is best for all people, regardless of what side is correct.

-Sicarius

You seem to have a deep and disturbing misunderstanding of science. In science a theory, global warming is anthrogenic, is subjected to close scrutiny. If evidence exists that is contrary to the theory in question then the evidence is double checked for accuracy and if the evidence is correct then the theory is adjusted if possible to account for the new data or discarded entirely if there is no way to reconcile it to the new data.

1) This response is at best non responsive. The fact is multiple independent sources show the atmospheric CO2 was at roughly 280 ppm in 1750 and that at present it is found at 380+ ppm. All evidence indicates that the 1750 concentration held steady for roughly the last 650,000 years based on ice cores. less direct methods indicate it has been at least 20 million years since CO2 levels were as high as they are today. So where is the competing theory for where this CO2 came from or alternatively where is the contrary evidence that this increase has occured?

2) Your response is called a non sequitur. You admitted my point and then tried to change the subject. As to the cyclical warmings and coolings the ice data is very helpful in that while temperature does change the atmospheric mix did not change significantly. The cause of the glaciation events of the last several hundred thousand years are unknown but change in atmospheric gas concentrations has been pretty completely ruled out. Since the discussion is over change of anthrogenic changes to the atmosphere the cyclical evidence is of limited utility and as a historical event with no known cause has no real predictive power.

Nice try though.

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:34:59 PM   
Sicarius


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From: New Orleans
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lordandmaster
If you believe that increased carbon as a result of human activity prevented a new Ice Age, then you believe that human activity has caused global warming.  At least state what you truly believe.  You can't have your cake and eat it too.


I never said that I believed that ... I simply said that it was reported in Scientific American *very* recently.  I don't have an opinion, Lordandmaster, and that's the reason why all of you guys' arguments aren't sticking to me.  I want to see evidence that is rock solid pointing at a cause before I'm going to jump on any band wagons.  Despite that, I have energy efficient lightbulbs in every room in my house ... I limit my driving and try to carpool whenever possible.  I'm not saying that everyone should go out into their backyard and blow up a can of oil because the environment doesn't matter ... all I'm saying is that I want to see something *in totality* that does not make me scratch my head and think: "wow, that sure is an asinine assumption to make in a field of science."

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lordandmaster
Edited to add: And it follows that all the noise you just made about that supposed 11,000-year cycle was a lot of hot air.


All that noise?  I'm not the one screaming, Lordandmaster ... it seems that all of you are the only ones getting bent out of shape over this.  Have you ever heard of playing devil's advocate?  There are always counterpoints and controversial arguments.  In the pursuit of science we should ALWAYS be second-guessing ourselves ... checking and rechecking and rechecking everything we think we "know."  Right now the only thing you want me to do is "shut up ... go away.  Go hide in a cave because you don't agree with consensus!  Ha!"  What kind of science is that?  Sounds more like Mother Chrurch to me.  Would you like to burn me at the stake?

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lordandmaster
I'm not being emotional.  What's that all about?  But I am going to end this, because I dislike discussing politics with you.  You don't state a coherent position; you just try to show why everyone else is an imbecile, and frankly you're not learned enough to do that very well.  Time will tell soon enough who is on the right side of this one.


You are being emotional.  Your responses are full of quips and unherhanded slants -- "cute" language in which you're coming off as little more than an asshole.  You're not arguing calmly and discussing the facts without any taint of your ideals, which is important in discussions about science.

Furthermore, I find it funny that you would say that you don't like discussing "politics" with me.  I guess Chricton's criticisms were correct, after all ... see, I thought we were arguing science here, not politics?  *Winks*

As far as your slant that I am not learned or educated enough, I won't bother to respond.  It's not you I'm speaking to, Lordandmaster ... it's the five or six people watching this thread right now who aren't posting who are seeing how incendiary you're being in your responses and shall draw their own conclusions from the merit and strength of our respective arguments.

-Sicarius

< Message edited by Sicarius -- 5/27/2007 9:35:30 PM >


_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to Lordandmaster)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:50:05 PM   
Sicarius


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
You seem to have a deep and disturbing misunderstanding of science.


Really?  Please tell, because your following comment speaks of specific data and a specific field rather than "science" as a whole.

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
1) This response is at best non responsive.  The fact is multiple independent sources show the atmospheric CO2 was at roughly 280 ppm in 1750 and that at present it is found at 380+ ppm. All evidence indicates that the 1750 concentration held steady for roughly the last 650,000 years based on ice cores. less direct methods indicate it has been at least 20 million years since CO2 levels were as high as they are today. So where is the competing theory for where this CO2 came from or alternatively where is the contrary evidence that this increase has occured?


Alternative theories do exist, but I don't believe that I ever said that I believe them anymore than I believe that the blame lay solely (or even largely) at the feet of human activity.  All that I told you is that I am not satisfied by the data that exists and I believe that the conclusions are being drawn far too hastily.  This is the exact same crowd of scientists who told us thirty years ago that human pollution was going to lead us into an irreversible ice age.  Anyway, let's get to the basis of the point here.  You just want me to shut up so that your paradigm isn't challenged anymore.  You want me to be quiet and go away so that you can live in your bubble, accepting your "facts" without challenge ... and that, good sir, has nothing to do with Science.

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
2) Your response is called a non sequitur. You admitted my point and then tried to change the subject. As to the cyclical warmings and coolings the ice data is very helpful in that while temperature does change the atmospheric mix did not change significantly. The cause of the glaciation events of the last several hundred thousand years are unknown but change in atmospheric gas concentrations has been pretty completely ruled out. Since the discussion is over change of anthrogenic changes to the atmosphere the cyclical evidence is of limited utility and as a historical event with no known cause has no real predictive power.

Nice try though.


I agree with your point.  I presented an alternative point of view, not because I embrace its findings as gospel but because I am curious as to how you respond to other theories.  You see, I actually want to hear what you have to say about your position because unlike yourself, I value and admire alternative viewpoints.  I have an open mind, and would rather not subscribe to the dark ages mentality of being swept along with the consensus.  I'm sure you understand.

I will state for the record that "pretty completely ruled out" is not sufficient for me to accept it as gospel.  I understand what you're saying, and to be honest with you I agree that the rise of CO2 that we have seen lately is unlike anything in "very recent" history, but that is insufficient "proof" as well, for me.  I do find it interesting that you concede the fact that there is no known cause for the cyclical warmings of recent history.

Very recently, discoveries reported suggested that the global warming on Mars has been relatively identical to that of Earth in recent history.  As far as I know, they've not attributed this to the same "suspected causes" as the warming we are experiencing upon Earth, but I do find it humorous that a seemingly lifeless world that is further from the sun shows signs of climate change and yet scientists on Earth are so willing to jump on the bandwagon here and suggest that it's all those dirty SUVs ... case closed.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to DomKen)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 9:58:38 PM   
farglebargle


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I'd say that alternative HYPOTHESES exist, wouldn't you?

Could you enumerate all of them, please?



_____________________________

It's not every generation that gets to watch a civilization fall. Looks like we're in for a hell of a show.

ברוך אתה, אדוני אלוקינו, ריבון העולמים, מי יוצר צמחים ריחניים

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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:07:00 PM   
curiousexplorer


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"They should be.  He makes his living writing fiction, fantasy, and tall tales."

Hence the topic of human influenced global warming and the industry it supports. He knows it when he sees it.

"So he's a medical doctor.  I guess that makes him a scientist, huh? "

Um yes.What do you think a medical doctor is, and what do you think they study? One could not graduate as a medical doctor without being proficient in the scientific method. You've blown any scientific credibility you thought you had with that one comment.

"Oh, and the part about the "experiment" cracked me up!  I wonder what I could get away with if I used that excuse....
"I'm sorry officer, but when I robbed that bank it was an experiment!" "

Did you bother to read what you quoted? "and so as an experiment Crichton informed another professor of his idea and submitted Orwell's paper as his own." ". He informed another professor of his idea, so not only was it clearly done as an experiment and not cheating, but it was supervised (even if only lossely) by a university staff member. It shows intelligence, a need for evidence to support ideas, respect for procedures and the acknowledgement of consequences to actions. You've shown the guy thinks scientifically.

"If those on the left are wrong (which I sincerely hope that mainstream science is wrong, but I suspect from my own research they are right) I will be very happy about that. No one wants to see human beings go through a changed planet and perhaps go extinct.... "

What do you call mainstream science? Is that media science? There are many "mainstream scientists" without media commitments or political appointments who cannot find any evidence to support humanity as a cause for global warming. Then there is the fact that the fatal flaws of the original theory have never been addressed, and that no model or theory has been able to prove a link to people being capable of effecting climate on that scale.
Humanity has always thought the universe revolved around us, it is a throwback to past days to see something and instantly assume it is happening for humanity, or because of something we have done (sinned).

"Crichton is an M.D. A quick check of his own website indicates he has never authored a peer reviewed paper of any sort. It should be fairly clear from that that Crichton is not now and has never been a scientist. "

I know a few people who claim to be scientists and have submitted numerous articles in peer reviewed publications, but who have absolutely no regard for the scientific method or evidence. And yes the green areas are full of them, there intent counts much more than performance or proof. What makes a scientist is thinking scientifically, not ones job, courses, or papers. The fact he is a M.D. proves he is a scientist, or at the very least was.

"I do find this odd though, why should the opinion of an M.D. with a bachelor's in anthropology  be considered more valid on this subject than the majority of atmospheric physicists and climatologists who are in widespread agreement that the Earth is warming and human activity is causing at least some of the increase?"

Well first of all there are many scientists who are still requiring proof and evidence, but they are not popular. They are not good for ratings on tv or radio, and they are no good for getting research grants. The anthropology helps with understanding how people work, which is the most important component of human influenced climate change. As for the scientific community, I've always found it amusing that the scientists with the longest view give the least support for humanity causing global warming. They are the ones who recognise the trends and possibilites of the earth, instead of fearing the imaginations of one insignificant species.

DomKen,
If I were you I'd grab the original theory and the commentary on it from that time, including where the idea comes from and it's fatal flaws (yes, fatal flaws, think about that). If help was still required a chemistry and physicts tutor would be in order, but not to teach anything about climate change, just the smaller pieces of the puzzle. At that point your questions should be answered and you should be waiting for evidence to support the abandoned theory. See you there.

"They're from 2003.  Ergo they're obsolete.  You have to follow climate science month to month.  Unforunately, most people aren't capable of that, so they accept whatever viewpoint suits their prejudices. "

Actually you have to follow "climate science" of thousands of years, the month to month media circus is quite pointless, especially since the "cures" never add up to having any impact on the "immediate disaster". People in the 1980's were commenting on the industries and follow on effects of human influenced global warming and that the benefits were worth pursuing even though the science behind it was junk. Governments and green groups know full well about the lack of evidence to support their position, but they do not care as they see it as an opportunity to acheive other goals.

"Sure we do.  We're arguing against this man as a "scientist" because he has no credentials.  He's no more of an authority on the subject than you or I.  I'm not wasting my time with his drivel. "

First of all he has credentials, you have just chosen to dismiss them. Second if he has no more authority than you, and his drivel isn't worth the time, what does that say about your drivel?

"where he argued that the jury was out on anthrogenic causes of global warming. Why is he competent to make this statement? Is a working atmospheric physicist or climatologist? "

It doesn't matter who he is, the jury was and still is out because the atmospheric physicists and climatologists have no evidence to support humanities influence on the climate, and because so many have used bogus information in the past to push other agendas.

"Time will tell soon enough who is on the right side of this one."

Actually by that time it wont matter. The humanity causes climate change people have stopped make ten year doomsday predictions, they have gotten smarter and now aim for 50 or 100 years. That way they'll be dead and it won't matter if they are wrong, they'll still get the media time while they are alive. It is an industry.

(in reply to Sicarius)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:12:08 PM   
farglebargle


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If he doesn't have any peer-reviewed publications, then he's a COMMENTATOR, not a researcher.

Why would anyone pay heed to a COMMENTATOR in a Scientific discussion?





_____________________________

It's not every generation that gets to watch a civilization fall. Looks like we're in for a hell of a show.

ברוך אתה, אדוני אלוקינו, ריבון העולמים, מי יוצר צמחים ריחניים

(in reply to curiousexplorer)
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RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:23:12 PM   
Sicarius


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From: New Orleans
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quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
I'd say that alternative HYPOTHESES exist, wouldn't you?


Yes, I would.  *Chuckles*  One is bound to make small errors when solitarily dodging the slings and arrows of an enraged mob.

quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
Could you enumerate all of them, please?


I probably can't enumerate all of them, no.  I'll list a few that I find kind of interesting, though.  Mind you, my listing these is in no way an attempt to condone them or to suggest that I agree with what they're saying ... I just find them either fun, or interesting in some way:


Ice Age Now -- It contains a lot of links that "appear" to fly in the face of what many climatologists are claiming.  I can't really say I agree with it, but the viewpoints are very interesting to take into account, as well as the global weather / temperature reports and events that they update from time to time.
http://www.iceagenow.com/


High Altitude Ice Crystals
http://www.physorg.com/news11710.html


Solar Variations / Cycle
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1363818.ece


I don't have a link for it, but there was a speech given last year by William F. Ruddiman who postulated that humans *are* responsible for global warming via increased CO2 emissions, but he speculates that it began 8000 years ago (rather than 200) and that the events may have indirectly saved the species from annihilation in what has been coined "The Missing Ice Age," which relates to the cycles that DomKen and I have been arguing.


Recently some views about the genesis of the planet have been popping up that suggests that early Earth was not a primordial ball of boiling oceans and volcanoes, but rather a rather lifeless ball of ice.  It suggests that Earth overcame this dilemma by natural increases of CO2 related to volcanic emissions, oceanic activity, etc. ... this all "kind of" plays into the same suggestions made by the Ice Age crowd, but with the inverse effect: warming the planet up.  It also states that these amazing climate changes have happened naturally a handful of times in the past and postulates that Venus used to be relatively stable before global warming went out of control without the aid of SUVs.  (Yes, that's a lame joke). 
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~davidc/ATMS211/articles_required/Hoffman2000_snowball.pdf


Earlier I mentioned the Scientific American article ... I can't recall the exact issue, so I'll have to dig through my magazine rack, but I believe it was a cover story postulating that human-triggered global warming prevented the most recent Ice Age.  Again, not a "counter" argument, but an interesting thought ...


I could probably go on, but what exactly are you looking for?

-Sicarius

< Message edited by Sicarius -- 5/27/2007 10:29:32 PM >


_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to farglebargle)
Profile   Post #: 36
RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:27:29 PM   
Sicarius


Posts: 180
Joined: 2/26/2007
From: New Orleans
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
If he doesn't have any peer-reviewed publications, then he's a COMMENTATOR, not a researcher.

Why would anyone pay heed to a COMMENTATOR in a Scientific discussion?


What he's saying is that he believes that the scientific expectations required of the field that he is most closely related to (medicine) are far more stringent than the requirements being made to "prove" that "global warming" exists.  All he's saying is that he wants to see rigorous standards applied, and he picks apart a lot of the assumptions that climatologists jump to in favor of "global warming" without really standing up to the rigors of scientific testing.  It seems a very fair criticism to me.

-Sicarius

_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to farglebargle)
Profile   Post #: 37
RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:31:08 PM   
farglebargle


Posts: 10715
Joined: 6/15/2005
From: Albany, NY
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
I'd say that alternative HYPOTHESES exist, wouldn't you?


Yes, I would. *Chuckles* One is bound to make small errors when solitarily dodging the slings and arrows of an enraged mob.

quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
Could you enumerate all of them, please?


I probably can't enumerate all of them, no. I'll list a few that I find kind of interesting, though. Mind you, my listing these is in no way an attempt to condome them or to suggest that I agree with what they're saying ... I just find them either fun, or interesting in some way:


Ice Age Now -- It contains a lot of links that "appear" to fly in the face of what many climatologists are claiming. I can't really say I agree with it, but the viewpoints are very interesting to take into account, as well as the global weather / temperature reports and events that they update from time to time.
http://www.iceagenow.com/


High Altitude Ice Crystals
http://www.physorg.com/news11710.html


Solar Variations / Cycle
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/uk/article1363818.ece


I don't have a link for it, but there was a speech given last year by William F. Ruddiman who postulated that humans *are* responsible for global warming via increased CO2 emissions, but he speculates that it began 8000 years ago (rather than 200) and that the events may have indirectly saved the species from annihilation in what has been coined "The Missing Ice Age," which relates to the cycles that DomKen and I have been arguing.


Recently some views about the genesis of the planet have been popping up that suggests that early Earth was not a primordial ball of boiling oceans and volcanoes, but rather a rather lifeless ball of ice. It suggests that Earth overcame this dilemma by natural increases of CO2 related to volcanic emissions, oceanic activity, etc. ... this all "kind of" plays into the same suggestions made by the Ice Age crowd, but with the inverse effect: warming the planet up. It also states that these amazing climate changes have happened naturally a handful of times in the past and postulates that Venus used to be relatively stable before global warming went out of control without the aid of SUVs. (Yes, that's a lame joke).
http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~davidc/ATMS211/articles_required/Hoffman2000_snowball.pdf


Earlier I mentioned the Scientific American article ... I can't recall the exact issue, so I'll have to dig through my magazine rack, but I believe it was a cover story postulating that human-triggered global warming prevented the most recent Ice Age. Again, not a "counter" argument, but an interesting thought ...


I could probably go on, but what exactly are you looking for?

-Sicarius


I'm sorry, but those are not peer-reviewed journals, so I'm not really sure that they would qualify.

I'd prefer:

Hypothesis #1: Anthropogenic Contributions raise warming -- Paper's Authors, Publication, Date.

You know, references?



_____________________________

It's not every generation that gets to watch a civilization fall. Looks like we're in for a hell of a show.

ברוך אתה, אדוני אלוקינו, ריבון העולמים, מי יוצר צמחים ריחניים

(in reply to Sicarius)
Profile   Post #: 38
RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:33:42 PM   
farglebargle


Posts: 10715
Joined: 6/15/2005
From: Albany, NY
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Sicarius

quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
If he doesn't have any peer-reviewed publications, then he's a COMMENTATOR, not a researcher.

Why would anyone pay heed to a COMMENTATOR in a Scientific discussion?


What he's saying is that he believes that the scientific expectations required of the field that he is most closely related to (medicine) are far more stringent than the requirements being made to "prove" that "global warming" exists. All he's saying is that he wants to see rigorous standards applied, and he picks apart a lot of the assumptions that climatologists jump to in favor of "global warming" without really standing up to the rigors of scientific testing. It seems a very fair criticism to me.

-Sicarius


And that is where he PROVES himself to be an idiot.

The Scientific Method doesn't change from biomedical research to climatology.

There are rigorous standards applied to SCIENTIFIC JOURNALS, so to cite anything BUT a Journal is just plain stupid.

He can "Pick Apart" whatever he wants to.

If he wishes to be CREDIBLE, he'll publish a survey of extant literature on the subject in a real journal.

He's EXACTLY as credible as Katie Couric unless he does.



_____________________________

It's not every generation that gets to watch a civilization fall. Looks like we're in for a hell of a show.

ברוך אתה, אדוני אלוקינו, ריבון העולמים, מי יוצר צמחים ריחניים

(in reply to Sicarius)
Profile   Post #: 39
RE: The Best "Outing" of Global Warming I hav... - 5/27/2007 10:41:26 PM   
Sicarius


Posts: 180
Joined: 2/26/2007
From: New Orleans
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
I'm sorry, but those are not peer-reviewed journals, so I'm not really sure that they would qualify.


You asked for a list, and I gave you one.  A lot of those sites contain a multitude of links to other sources.  If you don't like them, that's your call ... I'll assume from the speed of the response that you didn't even bother to read them, nor any of the original speeches that this entire argument is based upon.

quote:

ORIGINAL: farglebargle
I'd prefer:

Hypothesis #1: Anthropogenic Contributions raise warming -- Paper's Authors, Publication, Date.

You know, references?


Yeah, I do "know references," farglebargle, so why don't you lighten up a little bit and stop the cute, smarmy questions?

If you think I sit around in a university library all day reading scientific journals so that I can entertain a bunch of people on a kinky internet personals forum, I think you're a little deluded.  We're having a practical conversation here talking about ideas, and as far as I know no one ever blew the whistle to shift this into "formal debate."  I don't see any of you offering citations or proper references for any of the crap being spewed on the other side of the fence, either.

Thus far I have yet to see you make a single point in this discussion.

-Sicarius

< Message edited by Sicarius -- 5/27/2007 10:45:34 PM >


_____________________________

"All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; ... Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder, and crush him." -Sun Tzu, "The Art of War"

(in reply to farglebargle)
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