happypervert
Posts: 2203
Joined: 5/11/2004 From: Scranton, PA Status: offline
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quote:
The fact that we are capable of discerning patterns doesn't make it all any more special, it just means we have the ability to see patterns in things (like seeing objects in clouds as they pass overhead). Folks who study such stuff even have a name for this tendency to see patterns where none exist, and it is described at this link to the clustering illusion and other cognitive biases. So when erin decides to take a back road and then explains it as fate, there would appear to be a connection . . . except such proof ignores all the times she makes such decisions and nothing at all happens. Change the circumstances and if stuff wasn't on her car she would have gone down the road to the drunk . . . still fate. If she had been sick and not gone out but heard about this incident -- more fate. So basically, put some idiot dressed in black out in the middle of the road late at night and you've got the makings of a "fated" experience for countless individuals who either were there or could have been there; is that really meaningful? That link also mentions the illusion of control, and there is an amusing example of that-- a guy explained his "system" used to pick the numbers on his winning lottery ticket. The last number was something like adding his and his wife's ages together, but it turned out his addition was wrong. I suppose believers would say it was fate his math skills sucked perfectly to make his error be "right" so that the random lottery numbers would match his picks. Anyway, I find it fascinating that folks will seek and prefer such explanations rather than accept that there is no explanation. But I guess all that is good news for the marketers of religion.
< Message edited by happypervert -- 8/10/2005 8:09:04 AM >
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