OrionTheWolf
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Joined: 10/11/2006
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quote:
ORIGINAL: slaveboyforyou
quote:
Is Iran a threat in any shape or form, to the US or global community? If they have nukes will they be? Many believe yes and I am starting to believe that way, just looking at all this if it were a board game, and I played Iran, then much of what they are doing, I would do as well, if I wanted to be a super power, the top power, or just in charge of everything. If I control the oil (which all countries currently need), and I control nuclear weapons, then I will eventually win. Kind of like owning Park Place and Board Walk with a small amount of a couple of others, and then you get all the yellow and green. mmmmmmmm.
Iran is a limited threat. The only country in the Middle East that has nuclear weapons is Israel. Iran knows they have them, and so does every Arab country. Iran may manage to build a small nuclear weapon in the next 10-20 years. We monitor their activity constantly now, and it's not difficult to detect nuclear weapons testing which they would have to do. So when they do get it, everyone will know about it. Considering what the Israelis did to Saddam's nuclear reactor, what do you think they will do?
For the sake of argument, lets say they are crazy enough to want to use one. They have no significant air force or rocketry, so how will they deliver it? Well, they'd have to deliver it clandestinely. So that would mean doing it by boat, automobile, or by a person. Since the entire world knows they have it, that's going to be a tad difficult. Delivering a nuclear weapon this way is dangerous for the delivery person. I don't imagine a bomb from Iran would be high tech, so chances are the delivery person would kill himself with radiation before he ever made it to the target. But again for the sake of argument, Iran overcomes these difficulties and manages to detonate a nuke somewhere. What happens next? Well, Iran would be finished. Like I said, the Israelis have nukes already. They also have the delivery capabilities.
In 1998 there was a report that said Iran could have a two stage ICBM similar to North Korea's in 5 years of a decision by that government to go ahead.
In 2005 there was a major shift in the Iranian Government to a more radical faction taking control.
The only time that the radical factions have been detered from whatever they were doing at the time, was due to huge international pressure, which occured in 1996 and 2002. Which means they only respect a form of force to deter them.
Hopefully there may be a different Leader in Iran after the 2009 elections.
The radical factions being in control of even a medium range nuclear weapon is kind of scary. In the interview I watched, think of David Koresh from the Waco incident and give hima nuclear weapon. Both have followers and both base their decisions upon radical ideology, in this case theology that states they will be rewarded after death.
The Iraq thing is detracting from this in my opinion, and the United States has very little influence in the global areas they need it, and who would believe it if the US really did have proof anyway?
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When speaking of slaves people always tend to ignore this definition "One who is abjectly subservient to a specified person or influence."
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RE: Pre-World War 3 - 
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