maestro365
Posts: 4
Joined: 7/2/2006 Status: offline
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To focus upon the 6000 year mark is to begin with a conclusion - and since you already have the conclusion, what is the point of the exercise? If one desires a reasonable answer to a question, one must first generate a well formed question - then identify the contributing variables - then search for pertinent evidence - then assess the quality and quantity of that evidence - only then may an informed opinion about any conclusion be reached with any degree of confidence (I said 'degree of confidence', not 'certainty', a critical distinction). Yet this process will not yield Truth - note that we have a Theory of gravity, a Theory of electromagnitism, a Theory of time, a Theory of plate tectonics, and yes, a Theory of evolution. Science does not yield proof, and has no capacity to do so. To expect otherwise demonstrates misunderstanding of the process (and who says we don't need more science in school?); namely, statistical analysis based upon probability (nitwit weathermen who 'predict' a 100% chance of precipitation, notwithstanding). As strong as the desire may be, we do not deal in Certainty - sorry about that, folks ... deal with it. So, does this lack of certainty leave the door open to half-baked ideas? You bet it does. And half-baked minds will always be susceptible to them. How else may we distinguish those who think from those who don't, and/or those who let others do their thinking for them? To cite ancient and unsystematically gathered opinion as evidence demonstrates a misunderstanding of what constitutes evidence. As wise as many humans have been throughout history, I have trouble with the validity of geologic interpretation from people who didn't understand earthquakes, volcanoes, tides, seasons, or even rain. I have geology texts that predate the acceptance of plate tectonics; I remember when the jet stream was introduced to evening weather maps (more as a poorly understood novelty than driving mechanism of major weather systems). We have come a long way, and have much further yet to go. Let us revel in our brilliance even as we acknowledge our humility. Remember the fundamental principle: the Quantity and the Quality of the evidence determine how Reasonable the answer may be.
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