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RE: Next President? - 12/10/2009 7:54:42 PM

Musicmystery

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quote:

The usual 8-year presidential turnover cycle will be replaced by 4-year cycle as a norm.

What "usual 8-year presidential turnover cycle?"

Washington--8 years
John Adams--4
Jefferson--8
Madison--8
Monroe--8
John Quincy Adams--4
Jackson--8
Van Buren--4
Harrison--1 month
Tyler--4
Polk--4
Taylor--1 year, 4 months
Fillmore--2 years, 8 months
Pierce--4
Buchanan--4
Lincoln--4 years, 1 month
Andrew Johnson--4
Grant--8
Hayes--4
Garfield--6 months
Arthur--3 years, 6 months
Cleveland--4 years
Harrison--4 years
Cleveland--4 more years
McKinley--4 years, 6 months
Theodore Roosevelt--7 years, 6 months
Taft--4 years
Wilson--8 years
Harding--2 years, 5 months
Coolidge--5 years, 7 months
Hoover--4 years
Franklin D. Roosevelt--12 years, 1 month
Truman--7 years, 11 months
Eisenhower--8 years
Kennedy--2 years, 10 months
Lyndon B. Johnson--5 years, 2 months
Nixon--5 years, 7 months
Ford--2 years, 5 months
Carter--4 years
Reagan--8 years
George H. W. Bush--4 years
Clinton--8 years
George W. Bush--8 years
Barack Obama--10 months and counting

Eleven Presidents, out of 44, served 8 years.

I guess 25% is the new "usual."

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Post #: 41

RE: Next President? - 12/11/2009 12:35:16 AM

rulemylife

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If you keep it to recent history it is three of the last four, spanning 28 years.

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Post #: 42

RE: Next President? - 12/11/2009 1:16:26 PM

Musicmystery

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Cherry picking to get the numbers desired doesn't establish a pattern.

Take it just from 1950, if we're to play that game--4 out of ten.

Or from 1900, only 30%, 6 out of 20.

Hey, I know! Just go from 2000--100%!

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Post #: 43

RE: Next President? - 12/11/2009 7:55:10 PM

Musicmystery

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Or, if we count back how long this usual pattern persisted....oh.....two.

OK, but after a four year term, then.....oh...one.

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Post #: 44

RE: Next President? - 12/11/2009 8:14:02 PM

willbeurdaddy

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quote:

ORIGINAL: submittous

Unless there is another major disaster economically Obama will be president until 2016, maybe even if there is one.

Youve got that backwards. Unless there is a major miracle economically, Obama is toast.

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Post #: 45

RE: Next President? - 12/13/2009 11:54:16 PM

knees2you

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Ok So I meant Libertarian.

So why is voting this way going to be any worse???

(Exactly)

Always, knees2you

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Post #: 46

RE: Next President? - 12/14/2009 2:33:29 AM

rulemylife

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Cherry picking to get the numbers desired doesn't establish a pattern.

Take it just from 1950, if we're to play that game--4 out of ten.

Or from 1900, only 30%, 6 out of 20.

Hey, I know! Just go from 2000--100%!

It would seem 28 years through four Presidencies would establish at least a trend if not a pattern.

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Post #: 47

RE: Next President? - 12/14/2009 2:35:05 AM

rulemylife

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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Or, if we count back how long this usual pattern persisted....oh.....two.

OK, but after a four year term, then.....oh...one.

Huh?

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Post #: 48

RE: Next President? - 12/14/2009 6:31:15 AM

Musicmystery

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quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Or, if we count back how long this usual pattern persisted....oh.....two. [Bush, Clinton....]

OK, but after a four year term, then.....oh...one. [...then H.W. Bush's four years, then only Reagan's eight years...from there we have to go back to Eisenhower to find a President serving eight years. Again, hardly the "usual" pattern.]

Huh?