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DCWoody -> Nice and simple..... (1/24/2010 7:52:56 PM)
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Just predict the outcome of 2010 UK Election [:D]
I'm guessing an extremely small (possibly single figure) tory majority.
FYI UKpollingreport is running with popular vote averages of 40%con 29%lab, 19%lib....and a con majority of 20 MPs were there an election tomorrow.
Current seat holdings:
Labour: 349
Conservative: 193
Liberal Democrat 63
Democratic Unionist 8
Scottish National 7
Sinn Fein 5
Plaid Cymru 3
Social Democratic&Labour 3
Ulster Unionist 1
RESPECT 1
Health Concern 1
Independants 6
2 Vacant, 4 for the Speakers, for 646.
The 2 vacant seats, one recent labour MP death, and one democratic unionist sacking, can be assumed to return to those parties. 2 of the independants mostly support conservatives, and 1 mostly supports labour, of the other three, 1 is labourish and 1 conservativeish/UKIPish, with the 3rd trying to kickstart his own left wing party in Wales. The Social Democratic&Labour Party can be assumed to always support Labour.
I'll probably have a stab at actual seat numbers for each party closer to the event :)
Outline of the situation for foreigners: Labour current government under Gordon Brown almost certain to lose its majority, taking the blame for the economy (probably not its fault), the war in afghanistan (partly its fault) and Browns lack of people skills (Browns fault)....the Conservative party under David Cameron is probably going to win a majority, but, people don't seem overly keen on it, and it could be so close that the Liberal Democrat party under Nick Clegg will be in a very powerful position, because the two main parties would need to ally with it in order for their government to have a majority to pass legislation....meaning Clegg may ultimately get to decide whether to make Cameron Prime Minister or not. Also notable that UKIP may take a seat or two from the conservatives, and the Green party also stands a good chance of getting a particular seat.
Conservatives: Socially middle ground, center right economically
Labour:socially nannystatist, centre left economically.
Lib dem:socially liberal, mixture of centre left &right wing economic types. The current leadership being the right wingers.
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