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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 11:50:52 AM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

and if another country returns to a gold standard before we do, then what?  Not everyone is as brilliant as we are and they might actually like that idea.

How many times must I explain the same thing?

They'll open themselves to arbitragers speculating in their currency. When there's a discrepancy between the actual currency value (vs. the official value) and the real value of the gold (vs. the official value), those investors will reap the benefit at the expense of the taxpayers and the currency (which will be forced to devalue).

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 11:53:57 AM   
pahunkboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery


quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

and if another country returns to a gold standard before we do, then what?  Not everyone is as brilliant as we are and they might actually like that idea.

How many times must I explain the same thing?

They'll open themselves to arbitragers speculating in their currency. When there's a discrepancy between the actual currency value (vs. the official value) and the real value of the gold (vs. the official value), those investors will reap the benefit at the expense of the taxpayers and the currency (which will be forced to devalue).


Not if the gold is not allowed to leave the country.    Call it currency controls-- sort of how one cant take $10k out of the US with out reporting it.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 11:59:29 AM   
Musicmystery


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No, not at all. Why does it need to leave the country?

Domestic arbitragers, nonetheless, would suffice.

You're also confusing issues again. ANY currency transaction $10,000 or more is reportable.



< Message edited by Musicmystery -- 5/11/2011 12:00:51 PM >

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:01:12 PM   
mnottertail


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Well, we cannot and do not do anything about private gold owned by private citizens, but Geitner don't sell none of our gold with out our ok.  Look what happened in England where what 's his name, who said they didn't need all that gold,   the old exchequer chap, later PM, (right?) sold the gold at $327.   Innit 'is gub a wee bi' ruddy taday? Oi?

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:02:45 PM   
joether


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I dont see the country going back to the gold standard. The first and most basic question to be asked is: Who stands to become rich by this action? Those that dont have gold? Or those that do not? So why should those that dont have gold, vote (or tell their elected officals), to have our currency placed on the gold standard? Would be like asking all the Republicans/Tea Party folks to elected Obama as President for the remainder of his years. How would they gain from the Democrats holding a monopoly on 1/3rd of the US Goverment?

Likewise, how much is gold really worth compared to other commodities both now, and twenty to fifty years down the road? The wise investor doesnt invest in gold, but in those commodities people will actually use (i.e. buy). The world only uses just 5% of the gold that is taken from the earth every year. Lumber, Oranges, Cattle, even Beans are commodities that have at most a 5% waste factor (meaning the other 95% is consumed). Some have pointed out that there is an emerging commodity that will be worth quite a bit in a few years: H2O. That's right, clean, pure water. And it'll be worth much more than gold.

< Message edited by joether -- 5/11/2011 12:04:02 PM >

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:09:52 PM   
Musicmystery


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IN fact, some countries have used coffee beans as currency.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:10:42 PM   
pahunkboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

IN fact, some countries have used coffee beans as currency.


For 180 years?     ;-)

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:13:47 PM   
Musicmystery


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For thousands of years in Arabia and Africa.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 12:15:08 PM   
Zonie63


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I've been reading that copper and aluminum thefts are increasing.

I'm wondering if going to the gold standard could lead to more wildcat mines. Which areas of the world haven't already been picked over? Is there any gold left in the Yukon?

There's also a lot of gold still at the bottom of the ocean, from sunken treasure ships. Some of it has been salvaged, but if gold goes up to $60,000 an ounce, then that would be an incentive for even more ambitious salvaging operations. People will start to get "gold fever."

Another thing about gold is that it's untraceable. Steal some gold, melt it down - nobody will ever know where it came from. No serial numbers or marked bills.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 1:23:48 PM   
Termyn8or


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"The legal debt limit is arbitrary, and means little. "

Oh ? If it's OK to create money from thin air then it should be just fine to do the same to create the interest payments on the debt. Problem solved. Shit, national debt gone with the stroke of a pen.

What's holding them back ? What is it that I misunderstand here. Why do so many see this doom and gloom when you see rainbows and pots of ___________ ?

If it's OK to just print money, why did we borrow any in the first place ? Why issue bonds and bills ? Just give away the money. As long as we have paper and ink.

It's amazing how many people, expert and layman alike see some sort of big problem when the answer is right here. Print baby print.

T^T

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 1:59:52 PM   
mnottertail


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If you create money at the level to pay our debt from thin air, then you have what we like to call inflation.  We try not to create money at that level. I hope this very very very basic course in finance has helped you understand something about those rainbows.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 2:57:58 PM   
Musicmystery


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Wow. Misunderstanding at every level.

quote:

ORIGINAL: Termyn8or

"The legal debt limit is arbitrary, and means little. "

Oh ? If it's OK to create money from thin air then it should be just fine to do the same to create the interest payments on the debt. Problem solved. Shit, national debt gone with the stroke of a pen.

What's holding them back ? What is it that I misunderstand here.

All of it. You lifted the quote out of the context of the argument it addressed, his argument that gold solves all these problems, when the debt ceiling is, in fact, an arbitrary limit, not a monetary principle.

Second, money gets created anyway, and has since goldsmiths started issuing certificates for the gold in their safes. Your point about interest payments is just irrelevant, since the same applies to all money; your contention that the national debt is gone with the stroke of a pen shows a misconception about what the money creation means--specifically, you're confusing money creation with printing currency. Not at all the same thing, as the first requires an active economy, while the second is merely inflationary. And the Fed's job is to control that inflation. You, on the other hand, are addressing fiscal policy, for which the Fed has no duties whatsoever--that's a function of the Treasury, which has nothing to do with monetary policy. They are separate for the very clear purpose of preventing exactly the kind of political short-term inflation you mentioned. That's what's holding them back. And gold would change none of it--inflation would just come all at once when the currency is forced to devalue by arbitrage differences between real value and official pegs relative to currency and commodities.

quote:


Why do so many see this doom and gloom when you see rainbows and pots of ___________ ?

This is a complete misrepresentation of anything I've posted. Yes, I counter the gloom and doom exaggerations. They serve no purpose but to lead to foolish "solutions." Neither did I paint any rosy pictures anywhere. I could--it's what I do professionally, and successfully--but not in a garden of preconceptions like the ones posted here.
quote:


If it's OK to just print money, why did we borrow any in the first place ? Why issue bonds and bills ? Just give away the money. As long as we have paper and ink.

First, as above, nowhere did I advocate just printing money--you are confusing printing with creating money through fractional banking. You are also confusing monetary policy (the Fed) with fiscal policy (Congress and the Treasury).

We issue bonds and bills to cover deficits, obviously. We don't just "give away the money" because to do so would devalue the currency and inflate prices. It would amount to a default, and the U.S. has never defaulted in its history.
quote:



It's amazing how many people, expert and layman alike see some sort of big problem when the answer is right here. Print baby print.

Again, cute rhetoric, but a complete misunderstanding of monetary policy, fiscal policy, printing money, and money creation, including broad confusion among them.
quote:


T^T

It's also all irrelevant to the topic. Gold would solve none of that. It would just add a layer of complexity (relative valuations) while papering over it with fictional simplicity.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 5:27:09 PM   
pahunkboy


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Then we need to get rid of fractional reserve banking. 

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 6:29:55 PM   
Termyn8or


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Quit the parrot routine Hunky, you KNOW it ain't happening.

Know something else ? How it applies may be different but alot of what they say is true. As you know currency is only worth something because people think it is. Well real money is only worth something because people really think it is.

What if someone way bigger than the Hunt brothers released millions of tons of silver into circulation, like right now ? Before you have a chance to take action. That would prove the point.

Do you have the tools to make weapons and more tools ? Do you have a generator and a renewable fuel source to feed it ? What if there was a big drought in this country and there was no wheat ? And all of the sudden a rainstorm of great magnitude washes away a bunch of topsoil exposing gold and silver for the taking, or at least high quality ore ? Then you can figure out how many pounds of silver it takes to buy a loaf of bread.

Right now silver works for you. But be realistic, it's not some magical thing. I think in about a year it will be time to dump it. Those who dump first dump best. You gain by the change in comparative values. Take a lesson from what the banks do, support the inflation of a bubble, that means sell high. Give until it hurts, then cry to the governement. Now it's all foreclosed and it's yours. You have practically nothing into it really now that you've been bailed out. So now as the USD falls and they don't seem to be making any new land on this planet, with patience you can again buy low and sell high.

The only difference here is that you do it without a bailout. Also you are not holding mortgages on the silver. Take your meager gains and anjoy them. None of us are going to be able to play the game like the bigboys.

T^T

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 6:45:06 PM   
Musicmystery


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

Then we need to get rid of fractional reserve banking. 

Sigh. You just don't get it.

The only way to do that is to prohibit lending, checking, certificates, or IOUs of any kind.

All transactions must be by precious metals you lug around with you, hoping you don't get robbed.

AND the economy would take a permanent nose dive.

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 7:10:26 PM   
Termyn8or


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Yes but if your feet are planted firmly on the ground no nosedive is possible. (in that sense)

If aiplanes and birds only flew, they would have to worry about nose dives. If the economy would've never flew, it couldn't crash. Nice houses would be a couple thou, loaf of bread five cents. The standard of living would not have outpaced our true earning power.

The problem is that it is too late now.

T^T

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 7:12:57 PM   
Musicmystery


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Quite the opposite. True earning power would never have created that standard of living.


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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 7:24:55 PM   
Termyn8or


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"Again, cute rhetoric, but a complete misunderstanding of monetary policy"

Sorry, I forgot to use the sarcasm tag on "print baby print".

T^T

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 7:26:43 PM   
Termyn8or


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"True earning power would never have created that standard of living. "

Exactly.

T^T

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RE: FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS - 5/11/2011 7:33:32 PM   
Musicmystery


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However, it did.

Face it. We did well. We'll just have to learn to live with it somehow.

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