StrangerThan
Posts: 1515
Joined: 4/25/2008 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: tazzygirl quote:
First, what you're indicating as 15 percent is guesswork. "I'd say maybe" isn't a scientific conclusion in anyone's book and is noted by the author with a question mark. The same link you provided indicated the number where race might be a factor was closer to half of that, and that number based upon an AP poll. So I went looking for AP polls to see what they said, and when. Fortunately, there are all kinds of links to AP polls during that time, but most centered around Democrats and the perceived racism there. One such poll was conducted in conjunction with Sanford University which noted that: More than a third of all white Democrats and independents — voters Obama can't win the White House without — agreed with at least one negative adjective about blacks and estimated that 30 percent of Democrats wouldn't vote for Obama because of skin color. Note too, that the reason the poll was taken was not to establish voting patterns, but to see why the race was so close given the landscape should favor Obama. The arthur actually questioned the estimates given to him by a republican as being too low... I happen to agree. I dont question that white Democrats wouldnt vote for a black candidate based upon skin color. Now, lets look at my question... You dont find it disturbing that people would actually admit to not voting for someone based upon skin color alone? You spoke of Palin/Backmann. I was ready and eager to vote for Palin... then she opened her mouth. It had nothing to do with skin color... and everything to do with her own stupidity. She isnt a woman I would ever call "friend", not even someone I would wish to know... based upon her own actions/words. Obama wasnt even given the chance to screw up before he was dismissed... simply because of his skin color, according to those 8% who responded to that poll. To me, thats "often" enough. "We still don't like black people," said John Clouse, 57, reflecting the sentiments of his pals gathered at a coffee shop in Somerset, Ohio. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26803840/ns/politics-decision_08/t/poll-racial-views-steer-some-away-obama/ Certainly, Republican John McCain has his own obstacles: He's an ally of an unpopular president and would be the nation's oldest first-term president. But Obama faces this: 40 percent of all white Americans hold at least a partly negative view toward blacks, and that includes many Democrats and independents. Says it all. No, it doesn't say it all. You asked, quote: ORIGINAL: tazzygirl Ah then the 15% that republican bragged about who would vote for McCain simply based upon race doesnt bother you either. That number is bullshit, based upon a statement made from an unnamed source, just a republican. If you want to say it all, say it from the exit polling. Say it from the flip side, which wilbur asked and you ignored, that being a hefty percentage may have voted for him because he was black. 95 percent of the black vote went his way, and blacks comprised 13 percent of the electorate. In addition, a percentage of whites indicated they would vote for him because he was black. Add them together at their highest potential, and 21 percent of the voters may have indeed voted for him due to skin color alone. From your own link, you choose to take an unqualified number that the author himself disputes by including a poll that almost half the number you want to pick. What I will grant you is that we don't know the margin of error, assuming 3- 4 percent, what we have as far as numbers that might vote against him because of skin color runs anywhere from 4 to 12 percent. Gallup asked the question directly and arrived at 5 percent. That implies The actual number your poll represents probably runs on the smaller side of the margin of error. What you have from AP and Sanford are people trying to nail color to the reason Obama might lose. What you're ignoring is that Obama picked up more white vote than any president in the last 30+ years. You want to tell it all, then damned well tell it all. Don't pick some arbitrary number that supports a bullshit stance where you can imply people don't like him because he's black - when any poll in the nation will tell you people generally like Obama.
< Message edited by StrangerThan -- 9/4/2011 1:26:53 PM >
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--'Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to reform' - Mark Twain
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