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In the meantime, global fertility rates have fallen so fast that we can now foresee the peak of global population a few decades out, after which we will likely start to see the world’s population start to shrink fairly dramatically. A few people in the media have started to notice: Reuters notes that falling population may present more serious social problems than rising population. (How will we pay for our welfare states, for example?) And Christopher White over on the Witherspoon Institute’s Public Discourse Blog offers some observations on how some nations are starting to regret their population-suppression policies.

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As Connelly lays out in painstaking detail, population control programs, aimed chiefly at developing nations, proliferated despite clear human rights abuses and, more importantly, new data and information that called into question many of the fundamental assumptions of the crisis mongers. Connelly recalls computer projections and economic models that offered precise and “scientifically grounded” projections of future global ruin from population growth, all of which were quickly falsified. The mass famines and food riots that were predicted never occurred; fertility rates began to fall everywhere, even in nations that lacked “family planning” programs. 

The coercive nature of the population control programs in the field was appalling. India, in particular, became “a vast laboratory for the ultimate population control campaign,” the chilling practices of which Connelly recounts:

Sterilizations were performed on 80-year-old men, uncomprehending subjects with mental problems, and others who died from untreated complications. There was no incentive to follow up patients. The Planning Commission found that the quality of postoperative care was “the weakest link.” In Maharashtra, 52 percent of men complained of pain, and 16 percent had sepsis or unhealed wounds. Over 40 percent were unable to see a doctor. Almost 58 percent of women surveyed experienced pain after IUD insertion, 24 percent severe pain, and 43 percent had severe and excessive bleeding. Considering that iron deficiency was endemic in India, one can only imagine the toll the IUD program took on the health of Indian women.

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ORIGINAL: DomKen

You do realize that we are precisely one Nobel winner away from famines and food riots? And even his amazing accomplishments are reaching capacity?

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China and India are already finding there's a shortage of females for males. This alone is going to drastically shrink the population in the near future.

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ORIGINAL: Iamsemisweet

http://www.columbian.com/news/2011/oct/31/many-7-billionth-babies-celebrated-worldwide/

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we'll see the population drop drastically.

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ORIGINAL: littlewonder

China and India are already finding there's a shortage of females for males. This alone is going to drastically shrink the population in the near future. I don't think we have anything to worry about as far as population growth and imo I think we're going to have the exact opposite problem in the future.

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ORIGINAL: Iamsemisweet

That sounds optimistic.  Got any science to back that up, or is this just an opinion?

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ORIGINAL: littlewonder

China and India are already finding there's a shortage of females for males. This alone is going to drastically shrink the population in the near future. I don't think we have anything to worry about as far as population growth and imo I think we're going to have the exact opposite problem in the future.

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ORIGINAL: Iamsemisweet

Thanks LW.  Those links do talk about sex selection, and the preference for boy, which I was already aware of.  Not one of them says that this is going to "drastically shrink" the population or that there is going to be the exact opposite problem in the future.  So I guess your statement is just your opinion.  In fact, everything I have read has indicated that population is going to continue to grow, to at least 10 billion.

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ORIGINAL: Iamsemisweet

Except your math is bullshit because it does not represent the actual numbers, or the situation.  For starters, your male/female ratio is incorrect, and your birth rate is law.But cite me a credible source (hint:  not you)  that says that the population is going to shrink.  Because everything I read is pretty clear that we are going to hit 10 Billion by 2050.  But thanks for playing.