provfivetine
Posts: 410
Joined: 2/17/2011 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: tweakabelle Thank you for presenting a truly unique view of the Australian economy. So unique that I have never heard any Australian economist present anything like it. Should I suppose Those Of Us Who Know Better really do know better ..... ? For instance, your claim about defence policy is flat wrong. There's a few American bases here - they're all satellite communications centres stuck in the middle of the country (yes literally!), thousands of kilometres from any potential battle site. The largest is Pine Gap, with a massive 800 employees (including the maintainence and cleaning staff and the little old lady who rolls the cookie tray around). They have no actual combat role or potential. We take care of our own defence tyvm. And even if your claim were true, I've never heard anyone ever mention defence policy as a factor in our economic success. The fact that Australia doesn't have to spend much money on defense (because America does it for them) is a huge boon to your country - as it is with many other countries. The fact that Western Europe and Australia can mooch off the US for defense is a tremendous advantage, though not so much for the US. Policing the world costs the US taxpayer a lot of money. It allows Aussie's and Euro's to divert their own money elsewhere. Would you not agree that this is beneficial for Australia? If America cut Australia off, then Australia would be forced to spend more money on defense. This, of course, is not the primary reason that Australia faired better (re-read what I already said because the reason Australia faired better than the US obviously went over your head), but it illustrates how the US digs itself into a deep hole when it protects the Western World. Other countries do not have to worry about the massive deficits that are enlarged by monstrous defense budgets. quote:
ORIGINAL: tweakabelle As I said, every Australian economist I've heard substantially attributes our success in avoiding the GFC to prudential regulation of the finance industry and banks. I suspect they're far more on top of the detail of all that than some recent university graduate living on the other side of the Pacific and then some away from us. I've never heard anyone of them talk about Reserve Bank (not central bank, please get your terms right if you're going to pretend you know what you're talking about! It looks so much more professional.) interest rate policy in the way you do. Or housing policy. Or mortagage guarantees. They talk about a whole range of things you haven't seen fit to mention (eg commodity exports levels and prices, exchange rates to mention just two) So when I compare your analysis to the consensus of economists, Australian academics and commentators here, deciding which is the more credible is something I find amazingly easy. And guess what ...... I've just discovered some Australian People Who Know Far Far Better than Those Of Us Who Know Better But please don't get the impression that I am ungrateful for your rather meagre offerings. I really really really do appreciate your efforts, such as they are. Do keep trying ..... with a bit of luck, sooner or later you might just get it almost right. Your position = I have never heard of the argument that lower interest rates, artificially created by the central bank, are at the root cause of financial bubbles; therefore, it isn't true. PREPOSTEROUS!!!! These economists that you are quoting--who ever they are--are the same ones that completely missed the financial crisis. Which Australian economist, that you support, predicted the recession before it happened? Why should we trust their prescriptive policies when they didn't see it coming? You can actually watch someone predict it before it even happened here, but I'm sure you aren't interested in what caused the meltdown. Go ahead and blame the crisis on un-regulated derivatives. It's an absurd shallow-minded theory. The fact that you cannot respond to my central bank, interest rate and mortgage guarantee arguments explicitly shows how you don't understand business cycles.
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