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RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 2:24:11 AM   
Kirata


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

I will give a more precise answer.

You cannot reason people out of something to which reason hasn't brought them. ~Jonathan Swift

K.

(in reply to BamaD)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 4:36:43 AM   
DomKen


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

None but the statistics he provided which where quite clear for example Fl saw a 30% decrease in crime in the 3 years after they passed concealed carry. The average drop was 3% with no case of a increase. Your review board started from your position and ignored anything that didn't agree with them.

Actually as someone trained in statistics it is Lott who misused numbers.

The actual fact is there remains no better determinant of the violent crime rate than the size of population cohort that is male and between 15 and 25. If he failed to control for that, and he failed to do so, his numbers are meaningless and there can be no causul relationship established until that primary variable is controlled for in his analysis.

(in reply to BamaD)
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RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 4:41:26 AM   
Tkman117


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How about this: the Americans listen to us Canadians and abandon guns all together, remove the problem right at its source.

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 43
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 6:46:02 AM   
Nosathro


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From: Orange County, California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

None but the statistics he provided which where quite clear for example Fl saw a 30% decrease in crime in the 3 years after they passed concealed carry. The average drop was 3% with no case of a increase. Your review board started from your position and ignored anything that didn't agree with them.

No he did not prove anything.  In order for Lott reseach to be valid it must be duplicated by an independent researcher and that results are statistically the same.  That has not happen.  Lott has also sighted for faulty technique, he makes fact fit his theory.  Oh and you know what the National Academy of Science  members are thinking?

(in reply to BamaD)
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RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 6:57:55 AM   
Kirata


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

The actual fact is there remains no better determinant of the violent crime rate than the size of population cohort that is male and between 15 and 25. If he failed to control for that, and he failed to do so, his numbers are meaningless and there can be no causul relationship established until that primary variable is controlled for in his analysis.

The decisive factors in violent crime rates are social and cultural. Granting that most violent offenders fall in the 15-25 age range and are male, if that were a determining factor we could confidently expect that our high schools would be snake pits of violence. But the vast majority are not, despite almost all of them having roughly equal cohorts of males in the middle of that age range. So the only "actual fact" here is that your training in statistics apparently didn't include how to interpret them.

K.



< Message edited by Kirata -- 6/3/2012 7:33:10 AM >

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 45
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 7:05:04 AM   
Kirata


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Nosathro

No he did not prove anything. In order for Lott reseach to be valid it must be duplicated by an independent researcher and that results are statistically the same. That has not happen.

More claims with no links.

K.

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 46
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 11:44:34 AM   
BamaD


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You say you used to be a cop. If so you know that by listening to the questions people ask you can tell were they are coming from.

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 47
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 11:45:34 AM   
BamaD


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lol
good point

(in reply to Kirata)
Profile   Post #: 48
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 1:18:59 PM   
Nosathro


Posts: 3319
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From: Orange County, California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

The actual fact is there remains no better determinant of the violent crime rate than the size of population cohort that is male and between 15 and 25. If he failed to control for that, and he failed to do so, his numbers are meaningless and there can be no causul relationship established until that primary variable is controlled for in his analysis.

The decisive factors in violent crime rates are social and cultural. Granting that most violent offenders fall in the 15-25 age range and are male, if that were a determining factor we could confidently expect that our high schools would be snake pits of violence. But the vast majority are not, despite almost all of them having roughly equal cohorts of males in the middle of that age range. So the only "actual fact" here is that your training in statistics apparently didn't include how to interpret them.

K.




So where are your links..
Here a few that perhaps you can read.

The latest data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that 3,184 children and teens died from gunfire in the United States in 2006 - a 6 percent increase from 2005.

This means one young life lost every two hours and 45 minutes, almost nine every day, 61 every week. The number of children and teens in America killed by guns in 2006 would fill more than 127 public school classrooms of 25 students each. More preschoolers (63) were killed by firearms than law enforcement officers (48) killed in the line of duty. Since 1979, gun violence has ended the lives of 107,603 children and teens in violence.

http://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2011/01/the-geography-of-gun-deaths/69354/

(in reply to Kirata)
Profile   Post #: 49
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 1:20:55 PM   
Nosathro


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From: Orange County, California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

You say you used to be a cop. If so you know that by listening to the questions people ask you can tell were they are coming from.


There is training in active listing and interogation...you do watch alot of TV don't you?

(in reply to BamaD)
Profile   Post #: 50
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 1:43:13 PM   
LookieNoNookie


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quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

By now, the scene is familiar: Two men get into an altercation — one black, one Hispanic. One is armed with a handgun and shoots the other dead. The victim is unarmed; the shooter claims self-defense and walks free.

For more than a month, the victim's family waits to see whether authorities will file charges against the shooter.

Except this tragedy did not play out among the hedges of a Sanford, Fla. apartment complex, where a Hispanic neighborhood watch volunteer shot and killed an unarmed black teen. It occurred under the flourescent lights of a Taco Bell parking lot in Phoenix on April 3


http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/story/2012-05-27/stand-your-ground-law-trayvon-martin/55208980/1

For the record, I find the Martin case and this one equally upsetting, although this case seems less about police misconduct.


The shooter was black, therefore it's not racist.

Only if the shooter is not black is it a racist incident.

(in reply to cloudboy)
Profile   Post #: 51
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 1:51:22 PM   
BamaD


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I did it in the military.

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 52
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 1:52:41 PM   
BamaD


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I have found nothing in this that justifies the shooting.

(in reply to LookieNoNookie)
Profile   Post #: 53
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 2:06:36 PM   
Nosathro


Posts: 3319
Joined: 9/25/2005
From: Orange County, California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: cloudboy

By now, the scene is familiar: Two men get into an altercation — one black, one Hispanic. One is armed with a handgun and shoots the other dead. The victim is unarmed; the shooter claims self-defense and walks free.

For more than a month, the victim's family waits to see whether authorities will file charges against the shooter.

Except this tragedy did not play out among the hedges of a Sanford, Fla. apartment complex, where a Hispanic neighborhood watch volunteer shot and killed an unarmed black teen. It occurred under the flourescent lights of a Taco Bell parking lot in Phoenix on April 3


http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/story/2012-05-27/stand-your-ground-law-trayvon-martin/55208980/1

For the record, I find the Martin case and this one equally upsetting, although this case seems less about police misconduct.


The shooter was black, therefore it's not racist.

Only if the shooter is not black is it a racist incident.

I am assuming you talking about the recent incident in AZ.  By Federal law a racist incident is not inclusive to Black and White.  In can be Black vs Hispanic.

(in reply to LookieNoNookie)
Profile   Post #: 54
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 2:11:43 PM   
BamaD


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Accord to law yes according to enforcement no

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 55
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 2:18:17 PM   
Kirata


Posts: 15477
Joined: 2/11/2006
From: USA
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Nosathro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata
The decisive factors in violent crime rates are social and cultural. Granting that most violent offenders fall in the 15-25 age range and are male, if that were a determining factor we could confidently expect that our high schools would be snake pits of violence. But the vast majority are not, despite almost all of them having roughly equal cohorts of males in the middle of that age range. So the only "actual fact" here is that your training in statistics apparently didn't include how to interpret them.


So where are your links..

For the decisive factors in violent crime rates being social and cultural? Here ya go:

http://www.law.harvard.edu/students/orgs/jlpp/Vol30_No2_KatesMauseronline.pdf

quote:

ORIGINAL: Nosathro

The latest data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that 3,184 children and teens died from gunfire in the United States in 2006 - a 6 percent increase from 2005.

And your point is what, precisely? Were they shot by legally owned guns carried by licensed permit-holders? Were the deaths evenly distributed, or did the majority occur in gang-ridden inner-city neighborhoods beset by social problems? Do you have a fucking clue what you're talking about?

K.



< Message edited by Kirata -- 6/3/2012 2:30:57 PM >

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 56
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 2:42:57 PM   
BamaD


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Joined: 2/27/2005
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CDC is notorious for scewing these figures.
The 4 times as likely to be injued by the gun survey for example included home invasions where the only gun in the house was carred by the intruder.
Their last surrvey on children killed by guns included 25 year old gang bangers killed in shootouts with police.
I'd trust the National Enquirer over them.

(in reply to Kirata)
Profile   Post #: 57
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 3:51:55 PM   
Nosathro


Posts: 3319
Joined: 9/25/2005
From: Orange County, California
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata


quote:

ORIGINAL: Nosathro

quote:

ORIGINAL: Kirata
The decisive factors in violent crime rates are social and cultural. Granting that most violent offenders fall in the 15-25 age range and are male, if that were a determining factor we could confidently expect that our high schools would be snake pits of violence. But the vast majority are not, despite almost all of them having roughly equal cohorts of males in the middle of that age range. So the only "actual fact" here is that your training in statistics apparently didn't include how to interpret them.


So where are your links..

For the decisive factors in violent crime rates being social and cultural? Here ya go:

http://www.law.harvard.edu/students/orgs/jlpp/Vol30_No2_KatesMauseronline.pdf

quote:

ORIGINAL: Nosathro

The latest data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention show that 3,184 children and teens died from gunfire in the United States in 2006 - a 6 percent increase from 2005.

And your point is what, precisely? Were they shot by legally owned guns carried by licensed permit-holders? Were the deaths evenly distributed, or did the majority occur in gang-ridden inner-city neighborhoods beset by social problems? Do you have a fucking clue what you're talking about?

K.




Try this one:http://www.guncite.com/cnngunde.html
What is means the 190 lives were lost then the previous year.  I get the feeling that something you could care less about.

(in reply to Kirata)
Profile   Post #: 58
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 3:53:51 PM   
Nosathro


Posts: 3319
Joined: 9/25/2005
From: Orange County, California
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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

CDC is notorious for scewing these figures.
The 4 times as likely to be injued by the gun survey for example included home invasions where the only gun in the house was carred by the intruder.
Their last surrvey on children killed by guns included 25 year old gang bangers killed in shootouts with police.
I'd trust the National Enquirer over them.


And I would trust the National Enquirer over John Lott

(in reply to BamaD)
Profile   Post #: 59
RE: Stand Your Ground II - 6/3/2012 4:11:25 PM   
Nosathro


Posts: 3319
Joined: 9/25/2005
From: Orange County, California
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Oh you may also want to read this. 

http://www.guncite.com/journals/dkjgc.html

(in reply to Nosathro)
Profile   Post #: 60
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