United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (Full Version)

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TreasureKY -> United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 4:12:47 PM)

I've seen an awful lot of comments made recently talking about how the risk of default is endangering the lives and welfare of American citizens. How people rely on the US Government for their health and livelihoods. How there would be insufficient funds to cover our obligations without raising the debt ceiling.

I don't disagree, but I ask you... isn't this exactly the point that is trying to be made with insisting that we address the budget?

Every year it is the same old song and dance... we don't create a budget and simply pass CRs to fund ourselves, and we raise the debt ceiling. It's like obtaining new credit cards every year to continue spending as we like and cover the interest on previous cards.

It is unsustainable. What happens when all our revenue goes toward servicing the debt?

It's not going to get better on its own. And so far, promises of change go unfulfilled.

When is it going to end?

I have no idea... but I do know without a doubt that it will not end well if we never address it, and that addressing it will be painful.




Yachtie -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 4:25:47 PM)

FR -

Using MN's number, revenue is 5x that of interest on the debt. Default is not on the table, at least not yet. It would take interest rates rising to perhaps 8%+ (and subsequent econ alterations due to that) the threat could be real. Rates are at historical lows.

The problem is expanding unfunded liabilities (discretionary spending). Currently there is sufficient revenue to pay contractual obligations. One must note that SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc ARE NOT contractual obligations. They are but governmental promises. That is a distinction with teeth.

Currently, and I'm not going to pull up the date, we'd have to have a massive pull back on governmental promises. Such includes pensions, SS, Medicare, etc. The government is trapped in that it promised champagne over the last few decades and it's looking more like beer.

Simply put, one cannot continually deficit (add to the debt) spend without, one day, paying the piper. What most people do not realize is that the piper is calling.





dcnovice -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 4:49:00 PM)

quote:

I do know without a doubt that it will not end well if we never address it, and that addressing it will be painful.

I agree on both points.

I'm not sure, though, that frantic sashing on the brink of default is the best approach. Of course, as I type that, I do realize that crisis seems to be what it takes to get us to focus on hard realities.




DomKen -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 4:49:14 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

FR -

Using MN's number, revenue is 5x that of interest on the debt. Default is not on the table, at least not yet. It would take interest rates rising to perhaps 8%+ (and subsequent econ alterations due to that) the threat could be real. Rates are at historical lows.

The problem is expanding unfunded liabilities (discretionary spending). Currently there is sufficient revenue to pay contractual obligations. One must note that SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc ARE NOT contractual obligations. They are but governmental promises. That is a distinction with teeth.

Currently, and I'm not going to pull up the date, we'd have to have a massive pull back on governmental promises. Such includes pensions, SS, Medicare, etc. The government is trapped in that it promised champagne over the last few decades and it's looking more like beer.

Simply put, one cannot continually deficit (add to the debt) spend without, one day, paying the piper. What most people do not realize is that the piper is calling.

Fuck you. I dare you to switch places with me and then we'll see if you so blithely condemn yourself to a painful death.




deathtothepixies -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 4:51:18 PM)

and when or if America goes bust the last few years are going to look like a walk in the park.
It's all about confidence and when somebody eventually says enough is enough all hell is going to break loose




TreasureKY -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 5:02:02 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice

quote:

I do know without a doubt that it will not end well if we never address it, and that addressing it will be painful.

I agree on both points.

I'm not sure, though, that frantic sashing on the brink of default is the best approach. Of course, as I type that, I do realize that crisis seems to be what it takes to get us to focus on hard realities.


Unfortunately, I agree that crisis is what ends up motivating. I can't say that right now is a good time to review these issues... but seriously... is there ever going to be a good time? If we put a bandaid on the issue, will we ever pull it off to solve the problem?

I don't like this shutdown any more than anyone else. While we're not facing such a personal and dire situation as DomKen, it is affecting our ability to run our business. I'm not happy with the Republicans... or the Democrats. Frankly, I don't like politicians.

But how are we going to solve this problem if, when things are swimming along, no one will even consider addressing it? And when we're in the ninth hour, no one wants to risk stirring the pot?




Yachtie -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 5:02:48 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

FR -

Using MN's number, revenue is 5x that of interest on the debt. Default is not on the table, at least not yet. It would take interest rates rising to perhaps 8%+ (and subsequent econ alterations due to that) the threat could be real. Rates are at historical lows.

The problem is expanding unfunded liabilities (discretionary spending). Currently there is sufficient revenue to pay contractual obligations. One must note that SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc ARE NOT contractual obligations. They are but governmental promises. That is a distinction with teeth.

Currently, and I'm not going to pull up the date, we'd have to have a massive pull back on governmental promises. Such includes pensions, SS, Medicare, etc. The government is trapped in that it promised champagne over the last few decades and it's looking more like beer.

Simply put, one cannot continually deficit (add to the debt) spend without, one day, paying the piper. What most people do not realize is that the piper is calling.

I dare you to switch places with me and then we'll see if you so blithely condemn yourself to a painful death.



Look ----- DUDE !!!!! - I don't like it anymore than you !! ... but it is what it is! THAT'S THE FUCKING PROBLEM!

It's going to smack you upside the head whether you like it or not! That's the fucking problem !!!!

Sad to say, the piper can't care less about you, me, or the man in the Moon.

I pulled your explicative. For good reason!




DomKen -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 5:08:26 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TreasureKY

But how are we going to solve this problem if, when things are swimming along, no one will even consider addressing it? And when we're in the ninth hour, no one wants to risk stirring the pot?


The problem is being addressed. The deficit has shrunk dramatically in the last 5 years. What money we are borrowing is at interest rates that are often, once you take into account the inflation rate over the life of the bond, negative.

What we need is tax increases on the top earners and a drastic reduction in military and intelligence spending. We should do that slowly to limit the shocks to the economy and do some deficit spending now to do things, like fixing bridges, that help the economy in the long run.

Then we need to address education loan debt which is looking like the next bubble. As a start the feds should make no more student loans to unaccredited for profit "schools."




DomKen -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 5:10:58 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

FR -

Using MN's number, revenue is 5x that of interest on the debt. Default is not on the table, at least not yet. It would take interest rates rising to perhaps 8%+ (and subsequent econ alterations due to that) the threat could be real. Rates are at historical lows.

The problem is expanding unfunded liabilities (discretionary spending). Currently there is sufficient revenue to pay contractual obligations. One must note that SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc ARE NOT contractual obligations. They are but governmental promises. That is a distinction with teeth.

Currently, and I'm not going to pull up the date, we'd have to have a massive pull back on governmental promises. Such includes pensions, SS, Medicare, etc. The government is trapped in that it promised champagne over the last few decades and it's looking more like beer.

Simply put, one cannot continually deficit (add to the debt) spend without, one day, paying the piper. What most people do not realize is that the piper is calling.

I dare you to switch places with me and then we'll see if you so blithely condemn yourself to a painful death.



Look ----- DUDE !!!!! - I don't like it anymore than you !! ... but it is what it is! THAT'S THE FUCKING PROBLEM!

It's going to smack you upside the head whether you like it or not! That's the fucking problem !!!!

Sad to say, the piper can't care less about you, me, or the man in the Moon.

I pulled your explicative. For good reason!

Wrong. The problem is people like you who know nothing about the real world and are happily enveloped in the right wing echo chamber.

Did you know the deficit is down dramatically? Did you know that SS and Medicare are stable and need very modest adjustments to remain so? The entire SS and Medicare funding issue could be ended by removing the cap on income that is subject to the FICA taxes.




Yachtie -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 5:15:52 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: TreasureKY

But how are we going to solve this problem if, when things are swimming along, no one will even consider addressing it? And when we're in the ninth hour, no one wants to risk stirring the pot?


The problem is being addressed. The deficit has shrunk dramatically in the last 5 years. What money we are borrowing is at interest rates that are often, once you take into account the inflation rate over the life of the bond, negative.

What we need is tax increases on the top earners and a drastic reduction in military and intelligence spending. We should do that slowly to limit the shocks to the economy and do some deficit spending now to do things, like fixing bridges, that help the economy in the long run.

Then we need to address education loan debt which is looking like the next bubble. As a start the feds should make no more student loans to unaccredited for profit "schools."



So the deficit has shrunk dramatically. Is the debt being paid down? Or is it just not rising as fast? Which?

Near 50% of the population is on SNAP. People are rolling off the unemployment rolls. SSDI is wrought with fraud. It's the new unemployment insurance.
The middle class is shrinking.

The .edu bubble is expanding.

What will happen when interest rates begin to rise, which eventually they shall do?

Open your eyes.




DomKen -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 5:40:57 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: TreasureKY

But how are we going to solve this problem if, when things are swimming along, no one will even consider addressing it? And when we're in the ninth hour, no one wants to risk stirring the pot?


The problem is being addressed. The deficit has shrunk dramatically in the last 5 years. What money we are borrowing is at interest rates that are often, once you take into account the inflation rate over the life of the bond, negative.

What we need is tax increases on the top earners and a drastic reduction in military and intelligence spending. We should do that slowly to limit the shocks to the economy and do some deficit spending now to do things, like fixing bridges, that help the economy in the long run.

Then we need to address education loan debt which is looking like the next bubble. As a start the feds should make no more student loans to unaccredited for profit "schools."



So the deficit has shrunk dramatically. Is the debt being paid down? Or is it just not rising as fast? Which?

Not rising as fast which is a start.

quote:

Near 50% of the population is on SNAP.

Wrong. 47 million people are on SNAP. there are around 360 million people in this country so it is more like 12%

quote:

SSDI is wrought with fraud. It's the new unemployment insurance.

Wrong again. SSDI is very difficult to get and anything that does not involve an incontrovertible diagnosis backed up by objective testing can take years to qualify for and most people who apply are still turned away at some point in the process. You believe to much shit from the echo chamber.

quote:

What will happen when interest rates begin to rise, which eventually they shall do?

That is a good thing, as long as it is modest, if you're really worried about the debt and deficit.

Please always apply this standard, if it is a conservative source check the facts since the echo chamber simply makes shit up all the time.




Yachtie -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 5:57:05 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

So the deficit has shrunk dramatically. Is the debt being paid down? Or is it just not rising as fast? Which?

Not rising as fast which is a start.


Wrong. 47 million people are on SNAP. there are around 360 million people in this country so it is more like 12%

quote:

yachtie - SSDI is wrought with fraud. It's the new unemployment insurance.


Wrong again. SSDI is very difficult to get and anything that does not involve an incontrovertible diagnosis backed up by objective testing can take years to qualify for and most people who apply are still turned away at some point in the process. You believe to much shit from the echo chamber.


That is a good thing, as long as it is modest, if you're really worried about the debt and deficit.

Please always apply this standard, if it is a conservative source check the facts since the echo chamber simply makes shit up all the time.


You're right about SNAP. It's total people on some form of government assistance.

Unfortunately this only goes to 2010

[image]http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2013/05/20130509_SSDI1.jpg[/image]





Owner59 -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 6:10:18 PM)

Well 1st off,the republicans have to stop blaming the President for their mess....


[image]http://gradycarter.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/slowest-spending-in-decades.png[/image]



They should stop that crap...It just means they are insincere and up to no good.



Then, we`ll have a conversation but not at gun-point.



And not until your party stops the Orwellian alt-reality speak. We are not going to entertain phony, specious arguments or let the extortionists redefine the English language or what 2 plus 2 equals.



When your party mans up and acts in good faith, we`ll be willing and happy to discuss anything.



Also,relations with the gop and the President would be better, if your party would quit the birther/impeach/"shuck`n jive/lazy/nazi/communist/Muslim crap...




FatDomDaddy -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 6:23:48 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie

FR -

Using MN's number, revenue is 5x that of interest on the debt. Default is not on the table, at least not yet. It would take interest rates rising to perhaps 8%+ (and subsequent econ alterations due to that) the threat could be real. Rates are at historical lows.

The problem is expanding unfunded liabilities (discretionary spending). Currently there is sufficient revenue to pay contractual obligations. One must note that SS, Medicare, Medicaid, etc ARE NOT contractual obligations. They are but governmental promises. That is a distinction with teeth.

Currently, and I'm not going to pull up the date, we'd have to have a massive pull back on governmental promises. Such includes pensions, SS, Medicare, etc. The government is trapped in that it promised champagne over the last few decades and it's looking more like beer.

Simply put, one cannot continually deficit (add to the debt) spend without, one day, paying the piper. What most people do not realize is that the piper is calling.

Fuck you. I dare you to switch places with me and then we'll see if you so blithely condemn yourself to a painful death.



So you wish death on the man in order that he may prove his principals and courage???







FatDomDaddy -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 6:31:53 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

Well 1st off,the republicans have to stop blaming the President for their mess....


[image]http://gradycarter.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/slowest-spending-in-decades.png[/image]



They should stop that crap...It just means they are insincere and up to no good.



Then, we`ll have a conversation but not at gun-point.



And not until your party stops the Orwellian alt-reality speak. We are not going to entertain phony, specious arguments or let the extortionists redefine the English language or what 2 plus 2 equals.



When your party mans up and acts in good faith, we`ll be willing and happy to discuss anything.



Also,relations with the gop and the President would be better, if your party would quit the birther/impeach/"shuck`n jive/lazy/nazi/communist/Muslim crap...



Nice Try.... but Presidents only spend the monies allotted to them by the US House Of Representatives...

So by your grafts, it is the Republican controlled House that slows down spending




Owner59 -> RE: United States Debt (10/10/2013 6:34:59 PM)

Sorry but the cons having put us in the ditch, don`t get to play grown up and pretend to have the nation`s best interests at heart.


As well, your fixes and schemes to help America look suspiciously like your well documented radical economic agenda that put us in the ditch in '08'....




TreasureKY -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 6:41:28 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: TreasureKY

But how are we going to solve this problem if, when things are swimming along, no one will even consider addressing it? And when we're in the ninth hour, no one wants to risk stirring the pot?


The problem is being addressed. The deficit has shrunk dramatically in the last 5 years. What money we are borrowing is at interest rates that are often, once you take into account the inflation rate over the life of the bond, negative.

What we need is tax increases on the top earners and a drastic reduction in military and intelligence spending. We should do that slowly to limit the shocks to the economy and do some deficit spending now to do things, like fixing bridges, that help the economy in the long run.

Then we need to address education loan debt which is looking like the next bubble. As a start the feds should make no more student loans to unaccredited for profit "schools."


The deficit increase may have slowed, but the US National debt continues to rise. Even during this shutdown when Federal spending is dropping, the debt continues to grow.

US Debt Clock

I agree that cuts need to be made to both the military and intelligence. There's quite a few other places that need a reduction, as well. I might even agree that tax increases are in order, but only after all possible and reasonable spending cuts have been made. But as you said, those cuts are going to need to be implemented with care.

I'll go one further... the feds should not make student loans to ANY for-profit schools. I believe it is the Federal loan system that has spurred the outrageous increases in tuition.

While this post contains only a small list of items, it should be a small indication that we aren't so very far apart. I may not represent all Republicans, but I'm not so unusual. There's a lot more out there that can be agreed upon, but we're letting the small differences get in the way.




TreasureKY -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 6:43:25 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

Well 1st off,the republicans have to stop blaming the President for their mess....


For once, Owner... can you please keep the vitriol and partisan rhetoric out of it? Don't you think it's time to stop playing the blame game, put the past behind, and look for solutions to the future?




FatDomDaddy -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 6:59:28 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59
[image]http://gradycarter.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/slowest-spending-in-decades.png[/image]



Not to mention. the years are way off on this.




Owner59 -> RE: United States Debt... or the Elephant in the Room (10/10/2013 7:12:33 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TreasureKY


quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

Well 1st off,the republicans have to stop blaming the President for their mess....


For once, Owner... can you please keep the vitriol and partisan rhetoric out of it? Don't you think it's time to stop playing the blame game, put the past behind, and look for solutions to the future?




My complaining about the gop/fox noise trying to pin the financial mess on the President and democrats is not blaming.





Neither is pointing out who spent how much with a chart,




And we`re not going to cut WIC, or CHIP or the ACA or Social Security or veteran benefits etc.



We`ve been borrowing billions to give tax cuts to millionaires and billionaires....



Please Treasure, name the reasonable republican you`re talking about...who`ll sign off on ending the bush tax cuts for rich people or cutting a few trillion from the Pentagon budget?



Just one republican elected official?



Betcha can`t.




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