cloudboy -> RE: NFL Sob (or Brag) Thread (1/1/2007 4:23:50 PM)
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In 2005 the Colts allowed 15.4 points per game and this year they have allowed 22.5 points per game. BAL, NE, and CHI have the top defenses of all the playoff teams. Of those teams BAL has a +17 turnover ratio while CHI and NE are at +8. Of the top teams in the playoffs, BAL leads all teams in TOP coming in at 32.49 or a + 4.98 minute per game advantage over its opponents. SD is the top rushing team avg. 161 yards per game, but teams in the playoffs can typically stuff the run, so I think SD's fate rests on the shoulders of Philip Rivers, and I would not be suprised to see NE upset SD. IND has the the second best passing attack behind NO, which is somewhat suprising. Neither team, though, has a very good defense. Its quite possible that KC with LJ could upset the Colts by running the ball down IND's throat. This game should be a pure, unadulterated shootout, but because IND is at home, I give them the edge. The Colts matchup well against the Ravens, and this contest will depend on who wins the turnover battle. If BAL is able to sack Peyton Manning (BAL leads the league in sacks and almost had four players with 10 sacks a piece) and force him to turn the ball over, the BAL will take the air out of the IND offense by winning the TOP battle. In my mind this game pits the best NFL offense against the best NFL defense and the outcome will be very interesting to see. If KC advances, I don't think it can beat BAL at home, period. In the NFC, which I do not follow as closely, I see PHI as having the hot hand and CHI as having the best defense and home field advantage. NO passing attack will be neutralized on Soldier Field, and CHI will advance to the SB. In the AFC, I see BAL defeating NE narrowly at home to advance to the SB. SD, I predict, will lay an egg. BAL will then defeat CHI in the end.
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