MasterKalif
Posts: 648
Joined: 5/24/2004 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: starshineowned While I do agree this is a extreme uphill battle as far as getting Democracy to take a foot hold Sir...I do not think anyone was able to foresee the mass intrusion of insurgents from surrounding countrys which ultimately has led to alot of the delay, and deaths, as well as extreme confusion and uncertainty amongst the religious factions who are now endeavoring and grappling to try and climb to the top of the heap. Again..the President may be ultimately seen as "in charge" however, this is only truely accurate in cases where they have power on limited issue's to override congress. Ultimately it is congress, and the feelings of the people at large who make or break something, and the president is nothing more than a figure head inwhich to point the blame or praise depending on any given outcome of such a situation. I will not ofcourse say that Bush stated that Iraq will have Democracy within 3yrs..but I personally have not heard or read that statement as such. I do however recall quite clearly that Bush made no mistake or hidden agenda to the American people that this was going to be a very long hard road, and that we should understand this and be prepared for that. Really at this point..the right or wrong, who got us there and why is backwash, and wasted time. Moving forward..if we suddenly pull out..there indeed will most likely be a bloodshed or "catastrophy" as Pelosi thinks is happening now but it will be a kind that will show her what a real catastrophy looks like. It is a sad situation all the way around. If we stay..it is going to take years of us being there to truely see some positive movement as would be the case in Any country starting from a Dictatorship going to a Democracy. If we pull out..Iraq will most certainly go into utter chaos and anarchy. If they were left alone (as in surrounding countrys staying the hell out) eventually they would right themselves even if it was to return to a new Dictorial country. Perhaps that is what we must let happen. I don't have the answer for that. Did we do what we aimed to do? I think so. Saddam is not only gone..but tried, convicted, and dead. Have we tried to restore order, and help rebuild? Yes so I do not feel guilty that the efforts are seeming to be invain. In the few years down the road what is it we are going to be looking at? Soldiers there now making some headway albeit very slow or 3yrs from now when Iran is nuke capable, and the entire world has to send troops to that region to stabilize? What do you honestly see as most likely to occur in 3-5yrs in that region Sir? Well Wishes starshine Happy slave of Master Delvin starshineowned...more than an uphill battle the way things have been going on now, I see it as a very unlikely option...if a sham democracy even took hold it would be very volatile and unstable, weak government. This is because the institutions, checks and balances are not present as they are in solid democracies. While no one was able to exactly forsee the death and destruction that ocurred, knowing that a dictatorship that permeated everything in daily life, as well as a well-oiled-government machine that was ruling with absolute power for more than 20 years...when you topple a situation like that, there will be chaos...as well as for the fact that dictatorships maintain order by force...it was known that the Kurds in northern Iraq wanted autonomy or outright independence and that a removal of Saddam would mean a power vacuum. It is also true that Iran would have tried to influence the region and that by taking out Saddam, Iran would be reinforced as a power in the region. So the disaster was forseeable, even to political science students...it was talked about the differences among shiites and sunnis before the war even. Granted, no one could tell exactly how bad it would be, but there were red flags everywhere that it was an unwise idea from the start. Again....the president is always in charge and the US system is a presidentialist system, while congress can check his power or oppose his plans...however it was "Dubya" who asked congress to declare war, it was not congress' idea and then a shy Bush who supported it....hence it is a presidentialist system. Needless to say, the silly democrats did nothing to stop him and jumped in the victory chariot with him, lest they be seen as "unpatriotic". The press, the government spokesmen, together with the convulsed fear and anger of 9/11 led for the people to be pliable and accepting of this war. In short he is to blame because he did everything to push for war, did it unilaterally (very consciously too) without his allies, and despite warnings from Colin Powell (inside the administration) and from friendly countries (outside of his administration), he chose to ignore those signals and went ahead, made his very shallow case for war...and I am afraid it was not bought outside of the US. I clearly recall Bush stating initially that democracy in Iraq could be established in three years, and then the US military would go home, a short quick victory, which would ocurr from superior technology and forces....however this backfired as it was known it would since no democracy can take hold on such short time, with people who don't even understand what democracy is, less know how one works. But you are right, what is in the past is in the past, its just that it is such a mess, and fairly predictable too. This is however where I agree with you....the US cannot pull out now, it would make things worse...at the very least the US should abandon its lofty ideas of democracy imposed, and just vie for a friendly pro-western dictatorship, maybe bring back the former monarchy which was overthrown in 1958...but as of right now I would hate it if the US pulled out as it would mean all those american deaths, Iraqi suffering and death in this violent period were for nothing. However I do not think the US has remotely accomplished what it set to do...it has destabilized the region, has created anarchy and chaos in Iraq....to the point that neighboring countries are intervening as a security situation by their borders....any country would. Another mistake from Bush and the powers that be....you cannot rebuild if there is a semi civil war going on, and therefore the rebuilding becomes a showpiece to pretend that the US is doing good things...first security and order must be restored at all costs, secondly rebuilding, thirdly a soung government. A fiasco all around...I hope this administration learns and future ones as well that regime change means chaos and dragging down in foreign wars that make no sense. The US has certainly strayed from the original path of the founding fathers. edited to add: In terms of Iran becoming a nuclear power....based on the precedents of other new nuclear power members...there will be a lot of complaining and gnashing of teeth, but no one will do anything, and the US government will not be so obvlivious and force their disarmament or invade Iran, because of the known consecuences...that is what will happen, and one of the reasons the US will not attack Iran now.
< Message edited by MasterKalif -- 2/1/2007 9:10:59 AM >
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