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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/23/2008 10:05:33 PM   
OrionTheWolf


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I am going to wait and see. No matter the kind of Man Obama may be, he is only one Man and the political and coprorate machine has been grinding along for decades. I am concerned that many of these projects, while having good intentions, will get in the hands of other politicians and they will just be milked.


quote:

ORIGINAL: MzMia

I am surprised no one has started a thread on this topic.
So, here we go.
 
Obama has expanded his plans for his economic stimulus goals.
PE Obama wants to create at least 2.5 million jobs, rebuild roads and crumbling
bridges, modernize schools,  and assist doctors and hospitals in computerizing
records, increase energy and weatherizing projects, and also expand unemployemnt and food stamp benefits.
 
I have heard this stimulus plan to cost between 800 billion to even 1 trillion.
To me, it is worth every penny to keep America from sinking into a looming Depression.
What are your thoughts on PE stimulus plan?

 Obama Expands Stimulus Goals - washingtonpost.com


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(in reply to MzMia)
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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/23/2008 10:09:23 PM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

PE Obama wants to create at least 2.5 million jobs, rebuild roads and crumbling
bridges, modernize schools, and assist doctors and hospitals in computerizing
records, energy and weatherizing projects, and also expand unemployemnt and food stamp
benefits.
  • Road/Bridge repair--Good idea.  President Pothole gets this one right.
  • Modernize schools--whatever the fuck that means, which makes this a money pit (from President Pothole to President Sinkhole).  Either that or it's doublespeak for pork.
  • Assist Doctors and Hospitals in computerizing records--slight problem here: doctors don't WANT computerized records (have had a number of them as clients over the years....they love the whizbang diagnostic stuff, but electronic medical records actually offend a great majority of them).  Every state has had projects to do this, federal laws have been revised to allow hospitals to buy the expensive software and GIVE it to the docs, and EMR implementations still move slower than Congress.
  • "Energy projects" -- aka, "pork".  Bad idea.
  • "Weatherizing projects" -- aka "more pork."
  • Expand unemployment and food stamp programs -- adding to the welfare state, but this is ultimately a small potatoes next to the rest of the money-burning, so sure, why not?


CL, I certainly disagree with most of your analysis.  I believe the fundamental difference between us is simply that I hate to see people suffer for any reason.  I hate to see infants born without adequate pre natal care followed by inferior medical care as children.  Of course, if we practice preventative medicine early in life we reduce medical care required later and also reduce suffering. (In Michigan  we are catching physicians involved in massive health care fraud (millions each) so I believe in streamlining the billing process in order to catch the fraudulent doctors who increase the cost of health care. )

We have to fix our school system if we want an educated workforce. If you are against education then you accept the suffering that a great number of people are enduring through no fault of their own.  Remember, these people could be armed by an anarchist  to over throw people like you.

Energy and Weatherizing are necessary for the  quality of life and to reduce suffering even if you dismiss global warming.  Even if sleeping in shit is found not to be fatal would you want to continue sleeping in shit?

The infrastructure is necessary but you would be surprised how many conservatives are criticizing his proposal on this point.

Unemployment and food stamps are necessary for those in need.  Those unemployed have to be retrained and while being retrained; looking for a new job; etc. the people have to survive.  Look at it this way.  Bush will try to give $750 billion to Wall Street without knowing how it will be spent.  We know that the money is not being loaned  and Wall Street refuses to tell us how it is being used except that the CEOs of companies that were going under are now getting $40 plus million as payment for their fraudulent conduct.  The Wall Street types will not starve.  Why do you begrudge so many innocents the basic crusts of bread? Is this another case of "let them eat cake."  Again, there are people willing to arm them.  It is only a statute that they would be violating if they should try to overthrow the government.  If they were successful, the "statutory provision"" would be as applicable to the situation as "War Crimes" are to the winners of a war.

What do you prefer.  A large content middle class or a large well armed pissed off poor segment of society.  Remember,  most of the military is made up of just that poor class and the first demagogue who appears may force those who share your opinion to head for Dubai.  Blackwater will not protect conservatives for long. 

We are our brother's keeper or our brother is going to shoot our ass. 

PS  Getting shot does hurt.  See, I am also concerned about your suffering.

< Message edited by Lorr47 -- 12/23/2008 10:56:14 PM >

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/23/2008 11:20:43 PM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

I believe the fundamental difference between us is simply that I hate to see people suffer for any reason.

So do I.  Folks tend to suffer anyway.  Suffering, like the poor, is always with us.

quote:

We have to fix our school system if we want an educated workforce.

Great rhetoric, but what does it mean?  What is the "fix"?  More computers?  Better teachers?  Different curricula?  "Fix" and "Modernize" are great rhetorical flourishes but they are about as devoid of substance as the monstrosity known as "No Child Left Behind"--one of President Bush's bipartisan triumphs.

That's the problem with school spending proposals--no governing vision or plan.  At the federal leve, moreover, there's not much ability to develop a plan; schools are locally run and locally administered.  Any stimulus spending has to percolate down through the states to individual school systems, at which point the federal government will have largely lost control over how the money gets spent.  The stimulus effect of such spending is problematic, and the potential for success is not encouraging.

quote:

Remember, these people could be armed by an anarchist  to over throw people like you.

Delicious irony, that.  I am far more likely to be the anarchist than the one overthrown.

quote:

Energy and Weatherizing are necessary for the  quality of life and to reduce suffering

Again, great rhetoric but short on substance.  What are the odds that "energy investments" turn into the windmill farm tax shelters that dotted the California landscape with windmills back in the 80s (my uncle is a professor of accounting at UC Irvine, and the value and virtue of the windmills was the substance of one of our more extended "arguments" when I was stationed at 29 Palms)? 

As for "weatherizing projects"--there's a nice set of mini-scandals in Harris County right now over the "blue roof" contractors who were spreading the blue tarps on damaged roofs after Hurricane Ike; seems a few scam artists tapped federal dollars, lured a bunch of unskilled and semi-skilled folk to Houston with promises of essentially easy money, then left them high and dry.  This sort of spending draws more crooks and con artists than Illinois politics.

My cynicism is not about the intent, but about government's track record in similar circumstance.  Congressmen are addicted to pork, have been addicted to pork, and get re-elected in some cases on the basis of their addiction to pork.  This sort of stimulus spending has "pork" written all over it.  Great theory, lousy reality.

quote:

Unemployment and food stamps are necessary for those in need.  Those unemployed have to be retrained and while being retrained; looking for a new job; etc. the people have to survive.

I don't so much argue against these as I don't argue for them.  Some folk think they're necessary.  Myself, I think someone not on unemployment is going to find a job quicker than someone on unemployment--and I don't mean a government make-work job either.  Sure, it might be a step down from what they had, but it is a job, and having a job is always the best credential for getting a better job.

I have no desire to see people go hungry (been there a time or two myself, and it really sucks), but I also have no desire to foster dependency.  Dependency tends to lead to worse hunger later.

quote:

We are our brother's keeper or our brother is going to shoot our ass.

Your ass, maybe.  Me, I shoot first whenever I can, but last always.

quote:

PS  Getting shot does hurt.

Yes it does.  Pissed me off royally the one time it happened for real.  Cured any hangup I might have had about pulling the trigger.


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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/23/2008 11:58:00 PM   
Lordandmaster


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Now there's an attitude I simply can't accept.  I don't see any reason why poverty must always be with us.  That's a self-fulfilling prophecy.

quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

Suffering, like the poor, is always with us.

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 12:05:41 AM   
Lorr47


Posts: 862
Joined: 3/13/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

I believe the fundamental difference between us is simply that I hate to see people suffer for any reason.

So do I.  Folks tend to suffer anyway.  Suffering, like the poor, is always with us.

quote:

We have to fix our school system if we want an educated workforce.

Great rhetoric, but what does it mean?  What is the "fix"?  More computers?  Better teachers?  Different curricula?  "Fix" and "Modernize" are great rhetorical flourishes but they are about as devoid of substance as the monstrosity known as "No Child Left Behind"--one of President Bush's bipartisan triumphs.

That's the problem with school spending proposals--no governing vision or plan.  At the federal leve, moreover, there's not much ability to develop a plan; schools are locally run and locally administered.  Any stimulus spending has to percolate down through the states to individual school systems, at which point the federal government will have largely lost control over how the money gets spent.  The stimulus effect of such spending is problematic, and the potential for success is not encouraging.

quote:

Remember, these people could be armed by an anarchist  to over throw people like you.

Delicious irony, that.  I am far more likely to be the anarchist than the one overthrown.

quote:

Energy and Weatherizing are necessary for the  quality of life and to reduce suffering

Again, great rhetoric but short on substance.  What are the odds that "energy investments" turn into the windmill farm tax shelters that dotted the California landscape with windmills back in the 80s (my uncle is a professor of accounting at UC Irvine, and the value and virtue of the windmills was the substance of one of our more extended "arguments" when I was stationed at 29 Palms)? 

As for "weatherizing projects"--there's a nice set of mini-scandals in Harris County right now over the "blue roof" contractors who were spreading the blue tarps on damaged roofs after Hurricane Ike; seems a few scam artists tapped federal dollars, lured a bunch of unskilled and semi-skilled folk to Houston with promises of essentially easy money, then left them high and dry.  This sort of spending draws more crooks and con artists than Illinois politics.

My cynicism is not about the intent, but about government's track record in similar circumstance.  Congressmen are addicted to pork, have been addicted to pork, and get re-elected in some cases on the basis of their addiction to pork.  This sort of stimulus spending has "pork" written all over it.  Great theory, lousy reality.

quote:

Unemployment and food stamps are necessary for those in need.  Those unemployed have to be retrained and while being retrained; looking for a new job; etc. the people have to survive.

I don't so much argue against these as I don't argue for them.  Some folk think they're necessary.  Myself, I think someone not on unemployment is going to find a job quicker than someone on unemployment--and I don't mean a government make-work job either.  Sure, it might be a step down from what they had, but it is a job, and having a job is always the best credential for getting a better job.

I have no desire to see people go hungry (been there a time or two myself, and it really sucks), but I also have no desire to foster dependency.  Dependency tends to lead to worse hunger later.

quote:

We are our brother's keeper or our brother is going to shoot our ass.

Your ass, maybe.  Me, I shoot first whenever I can, but last always.

quote:

PS  Getting shot does hurt.

Yes it does.  Pissed me off royally the one time it happened for real.  Cured any hangup I might have had about pulling the trigger.



You seem to take the position that if a problem exists we must ignore the problem because it is a problem and all problems are by  your definition not capable of being solved.  Kind of a circular argument.

If Obama sees a problem, he usually wants to try to solve it. 

Your approach to dealing with social problems will ultimately  result in a civil war.  I went from the Corp to SDS to Libertarian to Anarchist but I am willing to give Obama a chance. I will advocate violence when violence is the only resort.  Obama makes me feel that there is currently another choice.

You are saying that Obama cannot succeed and is corrupt months before he even takes office.  All the "bad" you ascribe to Obama is part and parcel of the current administration.  I think your "Crystal Ball" as to what may happen when Obama takes over is faulty.  What has been bothering me lately is the fact that the conservatives do not care what happens to the US as they attempt to bushwack Obama.  So sayeth Pat Buchanan.

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 12:26:58 AM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

You seem to take the position that if a problem exists we must ignore the problem because it is a problem and all problems are by your definition not capable of being solved.

Nope.  I take the position that imperfect people are never going to create a perfect world.  Thus "suffering", no matter how much we might wish it gone, is never far away.

As regards the proposed "stimulus" spending, my thesis is and has been for some time that it is the wrong idea.  That it draws on defective readings of FDR's New Deal, that it will make matters worse and not better, and that it is not the best option out there.

My thesis is, and has been for some time, that government interventions of this sort are counterproductive, and that a null response from government ("Don't just do something.  Stand there!") would be the most beneficial, and, failing that, the most effective and efficient stimulus mechanism available to the government is an extended tax holiday (hence the petition link in my signature block below)--when discussing a $1Trillion stimulus package at the end of a year when tax revenue is $1.2Trillion, the logic of the effort to collect tax monies only to immediately redistribute them in the form of "stimulus" seems tortuous at best.

As for Dear Leader succeeding--I fervently hope he fails.  I hope he falls flat on his face and has a horrible four years before he's sent back to Chicago with his tail between his legs.  The failure of his agenda would be the best outcome for this country, because his agenda is a monstrosity of statism in domestic policy, and limp-wristed cowardice in foreign policy.

As for him being corrupt--he's a Chicago hack politician, his first campaigns funded by convicted criminals and planned by known terrorists, and his presidential campaign was bankrolled by Wall Street. Yeah, he's corrupt.  It's the Chicago way.


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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 12:41:25 AM   
popeye1250


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Lorr, CL does make some good points, his are just differant than others in here.
I see a way out of this financial mailaise we're in; get out of these rediculous "free trade" agreements that the last two administrations (both Democrat and Republican) have gotten us into and put people back to work at good paying manufacturing jobs like we used to have in this country.
We tried "free trade", it doesn't and more importantly can't work.
About 20,000 people in this country have gotten insanely rich from it and most of the rest of us are left to buy their junk from China.
Now that's a plan that will actually work!

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 1:27:06 AM   
Lorr47


Posts: 862
Joined: 3/13/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

You seem to take the position that if a problem exists we must ignore the problem because it is a problem and all problems are by your definition not capable of being solved.

Nope.  I take the position that imperfect people are never going to create a perfect world.  Thus "suffering", no matter how much we might wish it gone, is never far away.

As regards the proposed "stimulus" spending, my thesis is and has been for some time that it is the wrong idea.  That it draws on defective readings of FDR's New Deal, that it will make matters worse and not better, and that it is not the best option out there.

My thesis is, and has been for some time, that government interventions of this sort are counterproductive, and that a null response from government ("Don't just do something.  Stand there!") would be the most beneficial, and, failing that, the most effective and efficient stimulus mechanism available to the government is an extended tax holiday (hence the petition link in my signature block below)--when discussing a $1Trillion stimulus package at the end of a year when tax revenue is $1.2Trillion, the logic of the effort to collect tax monies only to immediately redistribute them in the form of "stimulus" seems tortuous at best.

As for Dear Leader succeeding--I fervently hope he fails.  I hope he falls flat on his face and has a horrible four years before he's sent back to Chicago with his tail between his legs.  The failure of his agenda would be the best outcome for this country, because his agenda is a monstrosity of statism in domestic policy, and limp-wristed cowardice in foreign policy.

As for him being corrupt--he's a Chicago hack politician, his first campaigns funded by convicted criminals and planned by known terrorists, and his presidential campaign was bankrolled by Wall Street. Yeah, he's corrupt.  It's the Chicago way.



"Experts on money supply and professionals from the Federal Reserve such as Milton Freidman and Ben Bernanke state that the Great Depression was caused by the tightening of the money supply, which they blamed on poor policy making by the Federal Reserve system and a continuing crisis in the banking sector. During the time between 1929 and 1933 the Federal Reserve allowed the money supply to shrink by one-third by their lack of action. It was Friedman who argued that the stock market crash and ensuing downturn in the economy would have become only another recession. The problem was that when the Bank of the United States and some other large, public banks failed, people panicked and local banks became victims of widespread runs; as the banks fell, the Federal Reserve did nothing. His opinion was that the Fed should have extended emergency loans to key banks, or have bought government bonds that were already on the market to create more liquidity and increase the amount of money after some of the large banks fell, keeping the other banks running, and keeping the money supply stable. Business owners were eventually forced to stop investing because there was less money available for new and renewed loans. According to this theory, the Federal Reserve, and particularly the New York branch, was responsible for inaction. "

Thus, Freidman would say that you are wrong.  The reason for the recession turning into a depression was inaction.  If you look at what Friedman recommended, those recommendations look like many of the attempted  actions taken recently.  What are the main problems today with carrying out Friedman's recomendations?  The degree and type of fraud on Wall Street appears to be a major difference.  I know this is heresy but I still think the preeminent economist is still Alan Greenspan.  Where did Greenspan go wrong?  His model did not take into account the type and degree of fraud and dishonesty existing on Wall Street.  He admitted his model was wrong in that respect (the only person admitting something he did was incorrect). In addition to the fraud and dishonesty on Wall Street, we have the horrendous fraud and dishonesty of administration personnel including  Paulson.  However, even given the foregoing , action obviously is preferable to inaction.  We made the mistake of inaction before.  How do we cope with the dishonesty of Wall Street and politicians?  We thrown a number of them in prison.

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 1:30:06 AM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Lorr, CL does make some good points, his are just differant than others in here.
I see a way out of this financial mailaise we're in; get out of these rediculous "free trade" agreements that the last two administrations (both Democrat and Republican) have gotten us into and put people back to work at good paying manufacturing jobs like we used to have in this country.
We tried "free trade", it doesn't and more importantly can't work.
About 20,000 people in this country have gotten insanely rich from it and most of the rest of us are left to buy their junk from China.
Now that's a plan that will actually work!


I agree "free trade" agreements should be junked.(And until Obama got mugged by the administration and others, he seemed to be against the "free trade" agreements. Obama really got beat up for being against some  terms of the "free trade" agreements.)

< Message edited by Lorr47 -- 12/24/2008 1:44:02 AM >

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 1:44:15 AM   
celticlord2112


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quote:

Thus, Freidman would say that you are wrong. The reason for the recession turning into a depression was inaction.

Actually, Friedman would likely agree with me, given that he termed the government interventions of the New Deal "the wrong cure for the wrong disease."




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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 1:52:37 AM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

Thus, Freidman would say that you are wrong. The reason for the recession turning into a depression was inaction.

Actually, Friedman would likely agree with me, given that he termed the government interventions of the New Deal "the wrong cure for the wrong disease."





http://www.populararticles.com/article153986.html

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 2:14:11 AM   
Lorr47


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quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Lorr, CL does make some good points, his are just differant than others in here.
I see a way out of this financial mailaise we're in; get out of these rediculous "free trade" agreements that the last two administrations (both Democrat and Republican) have gotten us into and put people back to work at good paying manufacturing jobs like we used to have in this country.
We tried "free trade", it doesn't and more importantly can't work.
About 20,000 people in this country have gotten insanely rich from it and most of the rest of us are left to buy their junk from China.
Now that's a plan that will actually work!


I was wrong. An investor who lost about 1.4 billion to Mandoff  killed himself.

< Message edited by Lorr47 -- 12/24/2008 2:25:19 AM >

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 5:38:57 AM   
samboct


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One down- two dozen to go.....

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 7:03:50 AM   
Crush


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In poker terms, government can be thought of as the "vig/rake"  we have to pay for to help keep things civil so we can "play cards."   However, the vig (read: tax)  is now excessive, and has been for some time.

The stimulus plan is going to increase that vig once again. It will discourage some from playing at all and rely on the "house" to take care of their needs.  And it will encourage others to find new ways to cheat the game.

The best way to run a poker game is to have a low vig so that everyone can play at all levels.    Encourages people to play and be part of the game.

No "bad beat" jackpots.  No "best hand" pots. --> analogous to the excessive governmental programs and bailouts that increase the vig we pay.

The best solution would be to accept the short term pain for long term gain.  No "stimulus" plan.  Just reduce the vig to let people get back into the game. 


----
What did people do in the past when they had it "bad?"   Some were helped by charities.  Others by family. Others helped by strangers who were "their brother's keeper" in the truest sense.   And some died.   We didn't need governments to help us get back on our feet...we had one another to help us get a grubstake back in the game of life.  And we accepted that there would always be casualties.
---------------









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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 7:24:33 AM   
Thunderbird56


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Nice analogy with the vig/rake. Just remember that there's also the "invisible vig/rake and don't forget to tip as well. I think people are slowly starting to catch on that it isn't just taxes. You have to include the defecits as well because government spends way more than it takes in.
Add it all up on the "big balance sheet" and government takes *over* 58 cents of every dollar produced in this country. There's also the cost of complying with government rules and regulations, estimated to be around 11% to 14% of GDP.
Oh, yeah, and government is also the largest sector employer in the country and it produces ... *nothing*. That money is already counted in the budget as salaries, but we get nothing back for it. If those beauracrats had *real* jobs we'd get added value from what they produce, instead we get more rules and regulations to comply with.
So Merry Christmas to Uncle Sam, he's eating about 70% of your Christmas pie. More whipped cream?

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 7:43:09 AM   
MzMia


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lorr47

quote:

ORIGINAL: popeye1250

Lorr, CL does make some good points, his are just differant than others in here.
I see a way out of this financial mailaise we're in; get out of these rediculous "free trade" agreements that the last two administrations (both Democrat and Republican) have gotten us into and put people back to work at good paying manufacturing jobs like we used to have in this country.
We tried "free trade", it doesn't and more importantly can't work.
About 20,000 people in this country have gotten insanely rich from it and most of the rest of us are left to buy their junk from China.
Now that's a plan that will actually work!


I agree "free trade" agreements should be junked.(And until Obama got mugged by the administration and others, he seemed to be against the "free trade" agreements. Obama really got beat up for being against some  terms of the "free trade" agreements.)


Well maybe now that Obama is the PE, he will see that unlimited "free trade" has helped to destroy our country.
Abolishing free trade would not make sense, but I think it needs to be monitored and regulated and reigned in when necessary.

_____________________________

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RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 8:37:54 AM   
samboct


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"Oh, yeah, and government is also the largest sector employer in the country and it produces ... *nothing*. That money is already counted in the budget as salaries, but we get nothing back for it. If those beauracrats had *real* jobs we'd get added value from what they produce, instead we get more rules and regulations to comply with."

It was Paul Krugman in the NYT who just had a recent column debunking this nonsense which doesn't fly- and anybody who's taken econ 101 (OK, I never did- I took a course in Marxian economics which covered a lot of the intro stuff   also- before you jump to a conclusion, I am not, nor was my prof a Marxist/Communist.  Marx was not an idiot and had some interesting ideas, but he was terrible at math.) should catch it.

There is NO difference between the effect of private spending of a dollar in the economy and government spending of a dollar in the economy.  Uncle Sam is effectively a corporate consumer/manufacturer and has the same effect as an IBM for example.  The only difference is Uncle Sam charges taxes and fees for his goods/services.  Please note that there is a difference in between treating Uncle Sam as a corporation, and the costs of complying with regulations.  Rather than run the risk of misquoting- here's a link to the blog- http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/ and the section is entitled "Bad Anti Stimulus Arguments" Dec. 22, 2008

This also shows the hollow nature of the arguments that lambast Uncle Sam for always being a dumb consumer.  If we look at Uncle Sam like any other corporation we find that there areas where Uncle Sam needs improvement (OK, with this current administration- a LOT of areas that need improvement) and other areas where he's done pretty good.   There's way too much "throw the baby out with the bathwater" going on here.  If Obama's plans are going to be given a chance to work (heck, I'm a good liberal and I was hoping that Bush would get some legislation passed on social security, so I gave him a chance.  He squandered it.) then we have to figure out how to spend the money wisely and what safeguards should be put in place, rather than saying this can't work at all.  Because in my book, Obama's taken a good first step- he's identified the areas where we need to improve the most.


Sam

(in reply to MzMia)
Profile   Post #: 57
RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 9:22:11 AM   
Crush


Posts: 1031
Status: offline
The US Government reflects its citizenry....over consuming with little concern for tomorrow, other than the standard lip service about our children's children.

The difference is that during a down economy the government continues to "borrow" infinitely from the future whereas most of us actually have to start cutting back on our spending once our credit cards max out.  

And the government can take by force, unlike individuals or corporations.  Declare bankruptcy as a individual?   Well, the companies you owe may end up with nothing, but the Gov't will get its share.   Nice when you get to write the rules of the game.  Sometimes I think it is FizzBin:  http://www.fortunecity.com/tattooine/bester/101/fizzbin.html

It would be nice for the Federal government to go back to Federal responsibilities.  For States to step up to their responsibilities that they've yielded to the Feds.  For locals to take back local concerns.  And for individuals to take back individual responsibility.  

But I sure don't expect it as long as there is a "Wimpy -- glad you pay you Tuesday for a hamburger today" expectation in our society.  Part of the fallout of extending credit as a societal norm rather than the exception.  Our "microwave society" expects things now without recognizing the real cost of that microwave.






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"In religion and politics, people's beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second hand, and without examination." -- Mark Twain

(in reply to samboct)
Profile   Post #: 58
RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 9:23:46 AM   
Crush


Posts: 1031
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Thunderbird56

Nice analogy with the vig/rake. Just remember that there's also the "invisible vig/rake and don't forget to tip as well. I think people are slowly starting to catch on that it isn't just taxes. You have to include the defecits as well because government spends way more than it takes in.
Add it all up on the "big balance sheet" and government takes *over* 58 cents of every dollar produced in this country. There's also the cost of complying with government rules and regulations, estimated to be around 11% to 14% of GDP.
Oh, yeah, and government is also the largest sector employer in the country and it produces ... *nothing*. That money is already counted in the budget as salaries, but we get nothing back for it. If those beauracrats had *real* jobs we'd get added value from what they produce, instead we get more rules and regulations to comply with.
So Merry Christmas to Uncle Sam, he's eating about 70% of your Christmas pie. More whipped cream?


Was trying to keep it simple, buy yeah...all those extra costs are there.  Of course, you don't have to tip, though it is the "right" thing to do...but mainly because you get value for that tip!



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"In religion and politics, people's beliefs and convictions are in almost every case gotten at second hand, and without examination." -- Mark Twain

(in reply to Thunderbird56)
Profile   Post #: 59
RE: Thoughts on Obama's possible 1 trillion stimulus plan? - 12/24/2008 9:39:16 AM   
celticlord2112


Posts: 5732
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lorr47

quote:

ORIGINAL: celticlord2112

quote:

Thus, Freidman would say that you are wrong. The reason for the recession turning into a depression was inaction.

Actually, Friedman would likely agree with me, given that he termed the government interventions of the New Deal "the wrong cure for the wrong disease."


http://www.populararticles.com/article153986.html


I am familiar with the article.  However, you are conflating monetary policy with fiscal policy.  The stimulus spending being proposed is fiscal policy, and has nothing to do with liquidity and the size of the money supply.

Friedman was a proponent of proactive monetary policies, but was strongly opposed to any form of government intervention via fiscal policy.

Whether the actions taken under TARP are sound monetary policy is debatable (polite way to say they are highly suspect).  The initial idea was sound--it reflects the measures taken in the late 1980's after the savings and loan crisis through the Resolution Trust Corporation.  However, by turning a troubled asset program into a general Wall Street bailout, monetary policy has, so far as I can see, been bastardized into fiscal policy--what was a good concept and might have been a good measure was turned into an economic disaster.

Fiscal stimulus did not work during the New Deal (and FDR's own Treasury secretary acknowledged as much in May of 1939), has not worked on Wall Street, and will not work for the incoming administration.


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(in reply to Lorr47)
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