willbeurdaddy
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Joined: 4/8/2006 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: samboct Wilbur Do you have any data to back up that assertion? Because I just dug out this reference-http://www.uneca.org/Publications/FSSD/State_of_Demographic_Transition_in_Africa.PDF B. Theory of demographic transition According to the theory of demographic transition, the shift towards low mortality and fertility rates occurs when there is a process of overall modernization resulting from industrialization, urbanization, education, empowerment of women, as well as substantial overall socio-economic development. Such a shift leads initially to a drop in mortality through progress in hygiene and medicine and, subsequently, to a decline in fertility occasioned by economic growth. Mortality decline as a precondition for fertility decline forms the cornerstone of the theory. In this regard, the classical wisdom often describes infant mortality as a decisive factor influencing parents to reduce their fertility. The relationship between socio-economic development and fertility decline has also been the focus of many discussions. Although the theory has experienced a great deal of critical analysis, it remains a useful framework for discussing the dynamics of fertility and mortality changes. Sam Re your question, no, I said "tend to doubt". However your quote tends to support, not negate my post. My response was to your post which was very specific about infant mortality being a decisive factor. In your quote above: The first two sentences result in an attribution of fertility drop to economic growth, not infant mortality in and of itself. Then it talks about classical wisdom being that infant mortality is a decisive factor. It does not support that "classical wisdom", and from that I would infer it questions it. It then returns to socio-economic conditions as being a useful framework. I cited social and governmental influences...same thing.
< Message edited by willbeurdaddy -- 1/18/2011 4:56:30 PM >
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