samboct -> RE: Name who you would like to rape on campus (12/27/2011 8:20:21 AM)
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Hi Kalikshama OK- you've raised two points. The simple one first-about the untested evidence. I looked at the report and there is untested evidence in 18% of rape cases, and 14% of homicide cases. To me, this suggests that rape is treated pretty similarly to homicide. I think the simple explanation is that DNA testing has evolved. When DNA testing was first developed- it could only be used on an exclusionary basis- i.e. it could rule OUT that someone was the criminal, but it couldn't identify who the criminal was. So if there wasn't a suspect (which I think was 44% of the cases), the DNA evidence wasn't any use, and hence it was stuffed in a drawer. I think there are also state to state differences about whether DNA collected from one crime can be used on a broader search, but I'm guessing here. Also- a lot of SAKs (sexual assault kits) are incomplete, and only show the biological material of the victim- I think it was 50-60% actually. Couple that with the backlog in current cases and a lack of funding, and I think it's pretty easy to get to a bunch of untested SAKs- it's not a magic wand, and as the cops note in some cases- the identity of the perpetrator is not in question, i.e. non-stranger rape. The second point- In terms of A Clockwork Orange...if you're not understanding why that movie shows my fear of these rape statistics, that means that I haven't done a good job of explaining myself. First- I'm going to recap at the risk of boring you all, while I think these statistics are BS. 1) The writer/interviewer made an assumption that a woman who had been raped might not realize it. Well, to me this is pretty damn presumptuous on the part of the interviewer- these are college women, and they can't figure out if they've been raped? 2) If asked directly whether or not they've been raped, we get a very different answer- a much lower figure. (Don't have it off the top of my head.) 3) Rape as a crime still has the same requirements as most other crimes: a perpetrator and a victim. The perpetrator of a crime has to have intent for there to be a crime- one should not be able to "accidentally" rape someone. Shouldn't even be close. 4) The one crime where there doesn't have to be a perpetrator and a victim are the current drug laws. We've imprisoned a massive part of our populace- especially African-Americans, and spent a ridiculous fraction of our GDP on trying to enforce these laws. The US spends more on prison than any other country, and we have one of the highest fractions of citizenry imprisoned. There's a pretty good correlation in between the rise of "zero tolerance" and the erasing of gains made by African-Americans in the 60s. Hence, imprisoning large parts of the population doesn't work- it's destructive- it leads to impoverishment. 5) If the statistics that you posted are correct, and we consider all of these rapes crimes, then we have to imprison large parts of the population- that's what we do with criminals. Let's get to A Clockwork Orange- an interesting dystopian vision. That movie sets up a two tiered society- a working underclass and a wealthy privileged class. The youth of the underclass turn to violence in a big way, robbery, rape, and eventually murder. The prison system becomes overwhelmed, so a new idea is tried to "reform" criminals- an aversion therapy using drugs and images to reinforce the therapy. Essentially, the criminal is chemically "neutered"- he is rendered physically incapable of violence. He then becomes a victim of his former associates- at which point, the experiment is abandoned, and his free will is restored. Please note- the technology to do such "aversion therapy" if it doesn't exist today- well, we're probably not far from it. Hence the reason I find your statistics so frightening- because we've tried to imprison large fractions of the population for a war on drugs with disastrous results, and it's possible that we would make such a massive push to imprison a large percentage of the male population for rape. Whether or not our society could recover from such a disaster is something I'd rather not find out. From my perspective, if we're going to make headway on reducing rapes, we've got to change the dialogue. I've been trying to point out, what seems largely unsuccessfully here, is that if the statistics that you posted are correct- we're all in trouble because it becomes effectively an insoluble problem. People deal with insoluble problems differently than soluble ones. While it may seem paradoxical, my viewpoint has been from the outset, that if we would reduce the projected number of rapes to something that people can find believable, we might make some headway on reducing those numbers. But we can't over react from incidents like this one where what may be a single individual who hasn't raped anyone has created a national uproar. This is not conducive to showing that we've got a real handle on what's going on. Sam
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