RE: The myth of endless economic growth (Full Version)

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Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 10:27:51 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani

Missing link.


I'm beginning to think you are.

Irrelevant point. We've solved that way back.

Look, in your world, speculating = investing, stocks = futures. They don't. You're completely and fantastically wrong. But you're going to cling to that 'til death.

Good for you.

Here's a link for you:
http://www.amazon.com/Youre-Clueless-About-Stock-Market/dp/0793143675/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1332653198&sr=1-4


Uncle Harold wants to open a corner store. He has half the money. You give him the other half and earn half the proceeds.

Congratulations. You're a stockholder.

One day, you decide to retire to Kenya, and you want your half of the business. Fortunately, your Great Aunt Petunia is looking for a good investment. You all sit down and work out just what the business is worth these days now that it's grown so. When you arrive at a figure, she writes you a check.

Congratulations. You both just participated in a stock market.




tweakabelle -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 10:38:39 PM)

The manner in which companies are structured has a great deal to do with the situation we find oursleves in. For example, here in Ausatralia, directors of a company are required to act in the interests of the stock holders only. I assume the same applies in the US and elsewhere. Other interests, such as the national interest, or the interests of employees, or the region in which the company is based or operates, are ignored. The sole determining factor is the stockholders' interests, usually represented through the share price.

Thus directors are obliged to make decisions that favour the short-term financial interests of the stock holders. It is easy to see why outsourcing jobs to cheap labour locations makes sense to the directors, even if it is against everyone else's interests. As the stock holders are usually the already wealthy, or financial institutions, companies invariably make decisions that benefit the "1%". The tension between economic interests and democratic interests are built into the system.

Would requiring company directors to take a broader range of interests into account when making decisions overcome this problem? Would it create a closer alignment of economic and national/social interests?




MrBukani -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 10:49:57 PM)

n many cases, the underlying asset to a futures contract may not be traditional commodities at all – that is, for financial futures the underlying asset or item can be currencies, securities or financial instruments and intangible assets or referenced items such as stock indexes and interest rates.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_contract

good link[sm=applause.gif]

You are just moving around the point of gordon gekko.




MrBukani -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 10:56:40 PM)

That is exactly what we should do tweak operate in the interest of shareholders only.

Thats what busted our biggest bank.
Dont think of workers or national interest
just intrest.

You know what
Lets legalize all gambling.
and all drugs
I dont give a fuck if anybody cant raise their kids well.
Let them shoot heroine and snort coke.
Cause I trust you all.
Lets roll the dice.
Cause the economy is one big gamble.
Nothing to do with quality.
Just futures.
[:D]
Dont take it personal.




Real0ne -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 11:11:11 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

quote:

The second shows a misunderstanding of finance. First, the economy doesn't have to grow for my stock/bond investments to grow, because even if share values are down, I own many, many more shares.

HUH? I suppose you can go on cnbc and pump n dump, otherwise thats loonacy!


OK. Let's start here. It's pretty basic stuff.

I buy 100 shares at $10 each -- $1,000.
then each quarter I earn a 2% dividend and reinvest it.
1st quarter ends--I earn $20, which buys two shares. I now have 102 shares.
2nd quarter ends--I earn $20.40, which buys 2.04 shares; I now have 104.04 shares.
And so forth. Ten years later, I have $2,208.04 -- 220.8039664 shares at $10 a share.

If the share price falls to $9, I still have $1,987.24
$8 -- $1,766.43
$7 -- $1,545.63
$6 -- $1,324.82
$5 -- $1,104.02

Even at HALF the share price, I'm ahead (yes, before considering taxes and inflation).

Now, realistically, the share price is going to fluctuate during this decade. I'll be buying fewer shares with my dividend when the price is high, more when the price is low. That's going to add MORE shares at lower cost than at higher cost, working to a capital gain as well. (Dollar cost averaging).




wow kool

yer an investor! LOL

So hows KM doing for ya?

I made a killing riding that pissant right into delisting LMAO

Well till couldnt trade it any lower.

Hows that doing in the long term?

Yeh and 10 years later you have zippo!

How does that work for intel in 2000?

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=INTC+Interactive#chart2:symbol=intc;range=my;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

Do tell how those shares are doing! LMAO

What would you recommend? Cost averaging over your kids's and grandkids lives? LMAO


But lets say you are the investment wizard and that stock did in fact perform the way you portray.

10 years later you "really" have nothing until you liquidate it and subtract inflation and taxes you have 1000 bucks left for your trouble, just about exactly what you started out with. Good Call!


your example makes all these presumptions that the price will infinitely increase and that you will make money on chump change, and that is not reality.







Real0ne -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 11:19:23 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani

Missing link.


I'm beginning to think you are.

Irrelevant point. We've solved that way back.

Look, in your world, speculating = investing, stocks = futures. They don't. You're completely and fantastically wrong. But you're going to cling to that 'til death.

Good for you.

Here's a link for you:
http://www.amazon.com/Youre-Clueless-About-Stock-Market/dp/0793143675/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1332653198&sr=1-4


Uncle Harold wants to open a corner store. He has half the money. You give him the other half and earn half the proceeds.

Congratulations. You're a stockholder.

One day, you decide to retire to Kenya, and you want your half of the business. Fortunately, your Great Aunt Petunia is looking for a good investment. You all sit down and work out just what the business is worth these days now that it's grown so. When you arrive at a figure, she writes you a check.

Congratulations. You both just participated in a stock market.




thats not the fucking stock market thats a private partnership.

congratulations
Here's a link for you:
http://www.amazon.com/Youre-Clueless-About-Stock-Market/dp/0793143675/ref=sr_1_4?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1332653198&sr=1-4




Real0ne -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/24/2012 11:41:39 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani

That is exactly what we should do tweak operate in the interest of shareholders only.

Thats what busted our biggest bank.
Dont think of workers or national interest
just intrest.

You know what
Lets legalize all gambling.
and all drugs
I dont give a fuck if anybody cant raise their kids well.
Let them shoot heroine and snort coke.
Cause I trust you all.
Lets roll the dice.
Cause the economy is one big gamble.
Nothing to do with quality.
Just futures.
[:D]
Dont take it personal.




you could always be an "investor" LMAO!!!!




tj444 -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 2:19:12 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani
And by the way my bank was ruined because of the stockmarket, because the share holders thought they could make an extra dime on their shares selling one of the best banks we had. ABN AMRO.

The bank broke and its a state bank now again.
Just like in the old days.
A well thought out plan.
And we the people had to bail out the greedy shareholders.
As far as I know you can buy futures on anything.
Prove me wrong PLEASE!

ummm.. where was your govt when all this was going on? I come from a country (Canada) where the govt restricts what banks can do, banks need govt approval to buy other banks.. The govt is supposed to consider what is best for the country and its people, not bank shareholders..

You bitch about shareholders and speculation and yet that seems to be what your very own govt is attempting to do.. to profit by selling the bank stock back to the investing/speculating public when the economy recovers in a few years..
"The Dutch government has said it would remain state owned at least until 2014 after which it would consider a public stock market listing for the new bank."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ABN_AMRO




MrBukani -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 4:25:15 AM)

Its a long story and I think it was approved by the state. ABN AMRO was solled to a belgium bank that busted a year later.
The then president of the bank urged the shareholders not to vote for the belgium bank but instead choose for the bank of scotland.
Who would pay a little less but is a much more solid bank.
The shareholders were greedy and chose to risk it all.
And the worst part was that it was sort of a hostile takeover from within. Some speculators wound up all the shareholders to go for a fast buck.

And I dont trust my govt at all.

Another bank got busted as well and the govt even played a more active role in that. the DSB bank.

We have a statecontroled bank to monitor all private banks and they failed as well. the DNB




xssve -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 5:15:10 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

quote:

Less sustainable than what, and define "growth"


Since I already did, my fart-catching friend, go back and read it.

quote:

You're long on criticism and short on suggestions, that's easy, anybody can do that.


Well actually, back attcha, since you're the one taking the shots.

But sure, I make my living doing exactly that. It's why my students get jobs while they're still in the course. It's why my clients seek me out. It's why people buy my book and attend my workshops--because I'm about getting results.

And the very first thing we discuss--stop whining and making excuses.

People have needs. Meet those needs, and you're in business. Match those needs with your skills and desires, and you're happily in business. Recognize that needs and conditions continually change, and you'll stay in business.

You are back at clinging to a model that you admit isn't working anymore.

quote:

Will more people mean more needs? Will more people mean more hands available to work toward those needs?

That's economic growth.
This? I don't think you quite get what this thread is about.

And all business is both speculative and gambling, if the economic term you based your calculations on change in the middle of the investment, it alters the basis of that speculation, that what other speculators do.

You're saying that all those Enron Employees should quit complaining because Enron's management altered the terms they based their decision to buy Enron stock on?

Sounds to me like you're blaming the victim, I think you've got the disease, not the cure.

quote:

You are back at clinging to a model that you admit isn't working anymore.


You mean making things people need and selling those to them is an outdated model? It always works, but it's always a gamble, it's called risk - there is no model that doesn't involve risk, if you aren't taking any risk, somebody else is taking it for you.

I thought you were kinda smart, but it appears you swallowed all that "New Economy" bullshit. I suspect it will keep working - for a while, but flat out, it's unsustainable, anything to the contrary is pure fantasy.

Lol, again, you appear to have no alternatives other than what? Stock market speculation? The stock market is not capitalism, in fact it's outlived any usefulness it ever had and exists only as parasitic overhead on the real economy, it's only hastening our demise.





xssve -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 5:17:40 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani

n many cases, the underlying asset to a futures contract may not be traditional commodities at all – that is, for financial futures the underlying asset or item can be currencies, securities or financial instruments and intangible assets or referenced items such as stock indexes and interest rates.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futures_contract

good link[sm=applause.gif]

You are just moving around the point of gordon gekko.

Sure, that's kind of what CMO's and CDO's are, it's the commodification of labor.




Yachtie -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 6:26:30 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

I used 8%, an average return. Inflation would cut that to 6%.


Only in the first year. You have nine to go.




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 6:47:58 AM)

quote:

10 years later you "really" have nothing until you liquidate it and subtract inflation and taxes you have 1000 bucks left for your trouble, just about exactly what you started out with. Good Call!


your example makes all these presumptions that the price will infinitely increase and that you will make money on chump change, and that is not reality.


I see you know nothing about taxes either.

And no, my example assumes the price remains the same or even falls. No increase at all!




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 6:50:39 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

I used 8%, an average return. Inflation would cut that to 6%.


Only in the first year. You have nine to go.

No, that's 6% annually, just as the 8% is annually (my lump return on investment is 221%; 2% annual inflation would cut that to a 166% return).




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 6:55:32 AM)

quote:

thats a private partnership.


As I pointed out earlier. Read the thread.

The concept, however, is the same. You are buying part ownership; you are able to sell that ownership at its current value.




tj444 -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 7:13:24 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MrBukani

Its a long story and I think it was approved by the state. ABN AMRO was solled to a belgium bank that busted a year later.
The then president of the bank urged the shareholders not to vote for the belgium bank but instead choose for the bank of scotland.
Who would pay a little less but is a much more solid bank.
The shareholders were greedy and chose to risk it all.
And the worst part was that it was sort of a hostile takeover from within. Some speculators wound up all the shareholders to go for a fast buck.

And I dont trust my govt at all.

Another bank got busted as well and the govt even played a more active role in that. the DSB bank.

We have a statecontroled bank to monitor all private banks and they failed as well. the DNB

you blame the greedy shareholders when it was your govt that failed you... The entire blame is with govt.. the shareholders would not have been able to do squat otherwise..

Its jmo but I expect a lot of those "greedy shareholders" were seniors,.. seniors seem to like that shite for some reason.. [8|]




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 7:19:23 AM)

quote:

This? I don't think you quite get what this thread is about.

Oh, I do. It's about whining that the evil in the world is so great that there's nothing to do but complain.

quote:

And all business is both speculative and gambling, if the economic term you based your calculations on change in the middle of the investment, it alters the basis of that speculation, that what other speculators do.

That's quite a generalization. All investment holds risks, yes. All everything holds risks. But you're playing pretty loose with the terms gambling and speculating. Taking a stab at corn futures is speculating. You're guessing. Going to the casino is gambling. Looking that fundamentals of a business and investing, your own or others, is hardly the same. We calculate risks continually. Driving to work is a risk, but hardly a gamble.

quote:

You're saying that all those Enron Employees should quit complaining because Enron's management altered the terms they based their decision to buy Enron stock on?

Sounds to me like you're blaming the victim, I think you've got the disease, not the cure.


Wow. What a maroon. Just where did I say that, farty? Enron's actions were criminal; Enron's employees didn't have a choice of investment. We aren't talking apples and oranges here. They also had all their investment in one stock, hardly ever a good idea.

quote:

quote:

You are back at clinging to a model that you admit isn't working anymore.



You mean making things people need and selling those to them is an outdated model? It always works, but it's always a gamble, it's called risk - there is no model that doesn't involve risk, if you aren't taking any risk, somebody else is taking it for you.


Again, you're making shit up, and you're clinging to a short term model. In fact, I said exactly the opposite, didn't I, that meeting those needs will also fuel economic growth. However, clinging to the one particular way you do things as needs and conditions continually evolve is, indeed, going to become outdated. You could, instead, pay attention and grow, adjust, change as the needs and conditions do. That's what successful businesses do.

quote:

I thought you were kinda smart, but it appears you swallowed all that "New Economy" bullshit. I suspect it will keep working - for a while, but flat out, it's unsustainable, anything to the contrary is pure fantasy.


I have no idea what you're talking about -- "New Economy"?

Again, people will always have needs, and meeting those needs will also provide economic opportunities.

quote:

Lol, again, you appear to have no alternatives other than what? Stock market speculation? The stock market is not capitalism, in fact it's outlived any usefulness it ever had and exists only as parasitic overhead on the real economy, it's only hastening our demise.


Wow, are you full of shit. No, I'm answering the sandstorm from the peanut gallery that wants to make something simple into futures speculation, and I was answering other posters.

I've already told you my solution several times. Address people's needs. That's economic growth. That's how to get a job. That's how to start a business. That's how to earn extra cash. That's now to invest. What, you want me to design a new business for you? Find you a new job? What?

I'm saying sitting around whining is probably not getting the kind of results you'd like to see. Maybe it's time to try something else.

Nor am I defending the wave of speculation contributing to the global food crisis or higher oil prices (which are going to rise anyway because of increased global demand), nor the misuse of financial markets, nor corporate greed, nor the other hosts of monetary evils. Nowhere--that's what you guys are reading into things, a knee-jerk reaction to the topic.

But you're over-reacting. You're taking some high profile instances and assuming that's the entire business and financial world. It's not. Not even close. New sustainable models are invented every day. Hell, my new home will require no heat at all--in the US NE! Absolutely, I'll be sharing that project with as many people as possible, probably a new book at that. That's a new model--no heating bills. How? Simply designing the house to absorb heat in the first place (with the help of a clever architect friend).

My part time business is exactly helping people to get on their feet, job wise, business wise, getting past the assumptions that are holding them in place. But first, stop doing what isn't working.

And attacking me all day isn't going to make you any more successful either, and isn't going to help anyone else.

Knock it off and open your eyes. There are multiple opportunities, once you stop convincing yourself it's all hopeless. Stop playing the victim. Argue for your limitations, and they'll be yours. If that's what you want.

I'm continually amazed that people feel happiness is too great a price to pay.




MrBukani -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 7:19:50 AM)

You can claim some people know nothing about things, but does it really help to move forward.
I listen to anybody with an argument and if something is wrong in the reasoning I point it out, but still listen if there might be any value to the train of thoughts.
You can sell goodwill as well but its very different from selling futures.
It is time we seriously consider what is good for economic stability and what is bad.
Stockmarkets seem to do more damage then good IMO.
Banks need to be controlled more and new laws in Holland say that they should stick to their main business, banking.
So they have to sell huge insurance companies they bought in the recent past.
Freedom means operating within bounds that others are least hurt by another ones actions.
I dont see it as killing the free market, I see it as protecting the individual rights.
Cause in the end we are all alone and the weakest need the most protection from corruption.
I rather stop unchecked growth for a while until we have a secure system.




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 7:23:10 AM)

quote:

Would requiring company directors to take a broader range of interests into account when making decisions overcome this problem?


Sure. Shareholders can do this now. Bring it up at the annual shareholders meeting. Shareholders vote in the board, you know. And they can vote them out.

Some companies do run for purposes other than short term gain. Green companies, for example, often do.

And a lot of companies run for longer term gain, not quick cost cutting.

You'd be amazed how many business people have a vision of greater good.




Musicmystery -> RE: The myth of endless economic growth (3/25/2012 7:25:27 AM)

quote:

You can claim some people know nothing about things, but does it really help to move forward.


The point is you aren't trying to move forward; you're trying to insist that your vision of evil lives in the world.

That's not going to move discussion forward much, is it.

That's a "This discussion is over before it starts" position.





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