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RE: Iran - 11/22/2013 6:52:43 PM   
vincentML


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quote:

Won't happen. Would be far easier (and far more likely) that China decides it can no longer take that risk and stop buying our debt.

In which case the reduction in Demand will crush the value of the bonds they currently hold. Sometimes the Lender is more advantaged than the borrower.

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 181
RE: Iran - 11/22/2013 9:31:44 PM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
quote:

Won't happen. Would be far easier (and far more likely) that China decides it can no longer take that risk and stop buying our debt.

In which case the reduction in Demand will crush the value of the bonds they currently hold. Sometimes the Lender is more advantaged than the borrower.


At some point the risk of further debt purchasing may outweigh the risks of losing current holdings. That could be them cutting their losses.

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Profile   Post #: 182
RE: Iran - 11/23/2013 3:27:57 AM   
tweakabelle


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According to this report, negotiators are close to an agreement to defuse the situation and resolve all the outstanding issues:
"The presence of so many foreign ministers did not guarantee a nuclear agreement with Iran was ready to be signed, diplomats at the talks cautioned. [snip]
.But a senior European diplomat told reporters that the foreign ministers would come to Geneva only if there was a deal to sign, Reuters reported.
"We have made progress, including core issues," the diplomat said.[snip]
A French diplomatic source urged caution, saying: "It's the home stretch, but previous negotiations have taught us to be prudent."

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/23/john-kerry-geneva-iran-nuclear-negotiations

While it's still too early to declare the crisis over, there do seem to be reasonable grounds for optimism. Let's hope so.

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RE: Iran - 11/23/2013 5:34:16 AM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
According to this report, negotiators are close to an agreement to defuse the situation and resolve all the outstanding issues:
"The presence of so many foreign ministers did not guarantee a nuclear agreement with Iran was ready to be signed, diplomats at the talks cautioned. [snip]
.But a senior European diplomat told reporters that the foreign ministers would come to Geneva only if there was a deal to sign, Reuters reported.
"We have made progress, including core issues," the diplomat said.[snip]
A French diplomatic source urged caution, saying: "It's the home stretch, but previous negotiations have taught us to be prudent."

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/nov/23/john-kerry-geneva-iran-nuclear-negotiations
While it's still too early to declare the crisis over, there do seem to be reasonable grounds for optimism. Let's hope so.


I'm not sure this had elevated to "crisis" levels, yet. But, I do hope there is a better understanding for all parties, and a time of cooperation begins.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to tweakabelle)
Profile   Post #: 184
RE: Iran - 11/23/2013 7:40:19 PM   
vincentML


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FR

Soooo . . . it seems like a deal has been struck with Iran to put their nuclear program, such as it is, on hold for six months in exchange for the lifting of $6 or $7 Billion in sanctions. All of which must be totally exasperating to those who have been beating the drums of war. I wonder who our next Evil enemy will be. We will need at least one to fill the gap. Elsewise, the military/diplo/industrial complex and their propagandists will wander about aimlessly. How can this nation live its daily life without some imminent threat upon which to focus? *Sighssss . . it will be difficult.

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Profile   Post #: 185
RE: Iran - 11/23/2013 8:46:46 PM   
kdsub


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quote:

I wonder who our next Evil enemy will be


Now...where do you live?

Butch

_____________________________

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I don't see any use in having a uniform and arbitrary way of spelling words. We might as well make all clothes alike and cook all dishes alike. Sameness is tiresome; variety is pleasing

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Profile   Post #: 186
RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 6:05:39 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

quote:

I wonder who our next Evil enemy will be


Now...where do you live?

Butch


(in reply to kdsub)
Profile   Post #: 187
RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 10:28:44 AM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

FR

Soooo . . . it seems like a deal has been struck with Iran to put their nuclear program, such as it is, on hold for six months in exchange for the lifting of $6 or $7 Billion in sanctions. All of which must be totally exasperating to those who have been beating the drums of war. I wonder who our next Evil enemy will be. We will need at least one to fill the gap. Elsewise, the military/diplo/industrial complex and their propagandists will wander about aimlessly. How can this nation live its daily life without some imminent threat upon which to focus? *Sighssss . . it will be difficult.



Yep .. ridiculous agreement.
Iran gets to keep its plutonium reactor which essentially aids its weapons work.

It gets to keep its cascaded centrifuge which allow it to maintain the ability to proceed.

The Iranians gained time - which they needed for the other components.

So we traded sanctions - for time - which the Iranians don't care about.

Thats about as bad a deal as it gets. Sometimes you really can get something for nothing.

Face it - the iranians wanted the sanctions lifted - the question was the cost. The got them lifted at essentially zero cost - from a president desperate to do anything to change the topic on healthcare.


< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 11/24/2013 10:29:46 AM >

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RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 11:09:18 AM   
Politesub53


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

FR

Soooo . . . it seems like a deal has been struck with Iran to put their nuclear program, such as it is, on hold for six months in exchange for the lifting of $6 or $7 Billion in sanctions. All of which must be totally exasperating to those who have been beating the drums of war. I wonder who our next Evil enemy will be. We will need at least one to fill the gap. Elsewise, the military/diplo/industrial complex and their propagandists will wander about aimlessly. How can this nation live its daily life without some imminent threat upon which to focus? *Sighssss . . it will be difficult.



Yep .. ridiculous agreement.
Iran gets to keep its plutonium reactor which essentially aids its weapons work.

It gets to keep its cascaded centrifuge which allow it to maintain the ability to proceed.

The Iranians gained time - which they needed for the other components.

So we traded sanctions - for time - which the Iranians don't care about.

Thats about as bad a deal as it gets. Sometimes you really can get something for nothing.

Face it - the iranians wanted the sanctions lifted - the question was the cost. The got them lifted at essentially zero cost - from a president desperate to do anything to change the topic on healthcare.



Seems a better plan than a pre-emptive strike killing thousands, as you previously suggested.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 189
RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 12:46:17 PM   
vincentML


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quote:

The Iranians gained time - which they needed for the other components.

Face it - the iranians wanted the sanctions lifted - the question was the cost. The got them lifted at essentially zero cost - from a president desperate to do anything to change the topic on healthcare.

I wonder if they have already contacted Niger to get them some of that yum yum yellowcake?

You may be right about Obama's politics. Foreign policy is often dependent on home conditions. So, what's new? Obama is also stalling for time. Come Jan 20, 2017 he's outta there with his Legacy.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 190
RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 1:28:10 PM   
vincentML


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Interesting . . . from the AP:

WASHINGTON (AP) - With their destination and mission among America's closest guarded secrets, the small group of officials hand-picked by President Barack Obama boarded a military plane in March. The travel plans of the U.S. diplomats and foreign policy advisers were not on any public itineraries. No reception greeted them as they landed. But awaiting the Americans in the remote and ancient Gulf sultanate of Oman was the reason for all the secrecy: a delegation of Iranians ready to meet them.


JERUSALEM (AP) - After feverishly trying to derail the international community's nuclear deal with Iran in recent weeks, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu now has little choice but to accept an agreement that he has derided as deeply flawed. Netanyahu believes the six-month deal leaves Iran's military nuclear capabilities largely intact, while giving Iran relief from painful economic sanctions, undermining negotiations on the next stage. At the same time, Israel's strongest piece of leverage, the threat of a military strike on Iran, seems to be out of the question despite Netanyahu's insistence it would remain on the table.



< Message edited by vincentML -- 11/24/2013 1:32:50 PM >

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RE: Iran - 11/24/2013 10:48:37 PM   
tweakabelle


Posts: 7522
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From: Sydney Australia
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Yep .. ridiculous agreement. [snip]
The Iranians gained time - which they needed for the other components. So we traded sanctions - for time - which the Iranians don't care about. Thats about as bad a deal as it gets. Sometimes you really can get something for nothing.

Face it - the iranians wanted the sanctions lifted - the question was the cost. The got them lifted at essentially zero cost - from a president desperate to do anything to change the topic on healthcare.

Goddamned peace mongerers! How %$&!ing dare they?

It was all looking so good just a few days ago. We were about to turn Iran into a sheet of glass, blow the daylights out of those jumped up wogs, teaching them who's who and what's what and reminding them of their place in the natural order of things when disaster happened - the Goddamned pussy in chief in the White House went and caved into their demands and peace broke out.

With it went the chance to have so much fun, show the world a thing or two about shock and awe, and to play with all of our big toys. What is wrong with the pussy-in-chief? Can't he recognise an opportunity to blow the bejaysus of out some inconsequential Third World backwater when it's staring him in the face? What is America coming to? And if depriving us of a war wasn't bad enough on its own, the pussy in chief wants to give big guns and weapons to those eebil Moolems while taking OUR guns away.

See what happens once pinkos and peace mongerers are allowed to put fluoride into the water .....

_____________________________



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RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 4:29:38 AM   
tweakabelle


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No sooner was the ink dry on the Iran-P5+1 nuclear agreement than Israeli PM Netanyahoo, true to his record of intransigence and belligerence, denounced the agreement as a "historic mistake", and warning that Israel was not bound by it, a veiled threat to go it alone and bomb Iran anyway.

It must be so frustrating for poor Bibi (or is it Bimbo?). He had finally got his decades old agenda of concerted military action against Iran close to a reality for his dream to be smashed by diplomatic agreement. His fractious relationship with the Obama White House again came under scrutiny as the US gets increasingly annoyed over his intransigence in the negotiations with Palestinians. Putin politely listened to his pleas to stop the Iran agreement and showed him the door. Israel's increasing international isolation was finally coming home to roost with a vengeance (in Bimbo'sBibi's eyes, which ignore the fact that it is precisely Bimbo'sBibi's and Israel's policies that are causing the isolation).

According to long time ME observer Larry Derfner:
'"If it hadn’t happened on the same day, last Thursday, that the breakthrough came in the Geneva talks on Iran’s nuclear program, John Kerry’s joint interview on Israeli and Palestinian TV – and the chain reaction it would have set off – would still be dominating the news from the Middle East. Instead, it was a one-day story, overtaken by the chain reaction from the Geneva breakthrough, notably Netanyahu’s furious attempt to block what he calls this “bad deal” with Iran.

If it hadn’t been overshadowed by the Iran story, Kerry’s interview, coming on the heels of a report that the U.S. was going to present an Israeli-Palestinian peace plan in January, would have been seen for what it was: a very high-profile signal that the Obama administration has decided to stand up to Netanyahu, to tell him publicly what it thinks of his policy and to make clear that until he changes direction, the United States views him, not Mahmoud Abbas, as the main obstacle to peace.
"
http://972mag.com/u-s-israel-break-not-only-over-iran-but-over-palestine-too/81731/

The US alliance is bedrock that has allowed Israel to more or less do what it likes for decades. Any rupture in relations with the US is a very serious matter in Israeli eyes, and therefore it is political suicide for BimboBibi to be seen as jeopardising that relationship. The temptation to re-arrange the diplomatic landscape, wreck the Iran-P5+1 detente and regain the political initiative must be enticing. One thing we can be certain of is that the requisite political and military calculations will be made in Jerusalem.

Will Israel defy the world and go it alone with military action against Iran? Will the US be able to prevent a wildcat Israeli strike?

< Message edited by tweakabelle -- 11/25/2013 4:32:21 AM >


_____________________________



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Profile   Post #: 193
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 8:46:54 AM   
DesideriScuri


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Joined: 1/18/2012
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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
Will Israel defy the world and go it alone with military action against Iran? Will the US be able to prevent a wildcat Israeli strike?


You got a little anti-Israel drip on your shirt, there, tweaks.

How many times has Israel threatened to strike Iran?

How many times has Israel struck Iran?

I doubt Israel will risk counter-strikes from their attacking Iran.

_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to tweakabelle)
Profile   Post #: 194
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 9:07:21 AM   
kdsub


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Vince let me say first I welcome this agreement. Yes it has the potential for problems but for now with proper free and open inspections it can work in my opinion.

That said I an wondering how you can accept wholeheartedly this agreement when just a few posts before you were calling the same US government that made this agreement less than trustworthy in their motives. Does this mean you believe you were wrong about the US motives all along?

Butch

_____________________________

Mark Twain:

I don't see any use in having a uniform and arbitrary way of spelling words. We might as well make all clothes alike and cook all dishes alike. Sameness is tiresome; variety is pleasing

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 195
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 10:36:39 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

Vince let me say first I welcome this agreement. Yes it has the potential for problems but for now with proper free and open inspections it can work in my opinion.

That said I an wondering how you can accept wholeheartedly this agreement when just a few posts before you were calling the same US government that made this agreement less than trustworthy in their motives. Does this mean you believe you were wrong about the US motives all along?

Butch

Wonderful "gotcha" question, Butch.

I accept this agreement as a possible first step to normalization of relationships with Iran just as we have done with past "enemies."

I don't recall saying our leaders had less than trustworthy motives in every action they took. But I do stand by my comments on the knavery of Bush/Cheney, Lyndon Johnson, Teddy Roosevelt, etc. and the bullshit propaganda that lead us by the nose into unnecessary wars.

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RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 1:54:53 PM   
kdsub


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Vince I do understand your position... I was just having fun holding your feet to the fire a little. When I asked for valid reasons why the US would be putting out propaganda you used the Bush years as an example not to believe what they were saying ...when I was talking of the present and Obama... So if you used the Bush years to say the current administration was untrustworthy then you must have had a change in thinking. Just saying... you can't have it both ways simply because their position now matches yours... You were either wrong in the answer to me or wrong to agree with the agreement now....

Butch

< Message edited by kdsub -- 11/25/2013 1:56:22 PM >


_____________________________

Mark Twain:

I don't see any use in having a uniform and arbitrary way of spelling words. We might as well make all clothes alike and cook all dishes alike. Sameness is tiresome; variety is pleasing

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 197
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 6:53:46 PM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
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quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
Will Israel defy the world and go it alone with military action against Iran? Will the US be able to prevent a wildcat Israeli strike?


You got a little anti-Israel drip on your shirt, there, tweaks.

How many times has Israel threatened to strike Iran?

How many times has Israel struck Iran?

I doubt Israel will risk counter-strikes from their attacking Iran.



What counter strikes? Iran doesn't have the ability. Much as Iran has improved its missile technology, Israels IronDome program is lightyears ahead of Iran's capabilities. Hamas launched something like 10K rockets at Israel with essentially zero penetration. And the cost of Israels interceptors is far, far cheaper than the costs of Irans missiles.

But, should Iran get a nuclear weapon - all bets are off. ABM batteries do nothing against airbursts or terrorst delivered weapons.


< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 11/25/2013 6:57:01 PM >

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 198
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 7:02:59 PM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle


No sooner was the ink dry on the Iran-P5+1 nuclear agreement than Israeli PM Netanyahoo, true to his record of intransigence and belligerence, denounced the agreement as a "historic mistake", and warning that Israel was not bound by it, a veiled threat to go it alone and bomb Iran anyway.

It must be so frustrating for poor Bibi (or is it Bimbo?). He had finally got his decades old agenda of concerted military action against Iran close to a reality for his dream to be smashed by diplomatic agreement. His fractious relationship with the Obama White House again came under scrutiny as the US gets increasingly annoyed over his intransigence in the negotiations with Palestinians. Putin politely listened to his pleas to stop the Iran agreement and showed him the door. Israel's increasing international isolation was finally coming home to roost with a vengeance (in Bimbo'sBibi's eyes, which ignore the fact that it is precisely Bimbo'sBibi's and Israel's policies that are causing the isolation).

According to long time ME observer Larry Derfner:
'"If it hadn’t happened on the same day, last Thursday, that the breakthrough came in the Geneva talks on Iran’s nuclear program, John Kerry’s joint interview on Israeli and Palestinian TV – and the chain reaction it would have set off – would still be dominating the news from the Middle East. Instead, it was a one-day story, overtaken by the chain reaction from the Geneva breakthrough, notably Netanyahu’s furious attempt to block what he calls this “bad deal” with Iran.

If it hadn’t been overshadowed by the Iran story, Kerry’s interview, coming on the heels of a report that the U.S. was going to present an Israeli-Palestinian peace plan in January, would have been seen for what it was: a very high-profile signal that the Obama administration has decided to stand up to Netanyahu, to tell him publicly what it thinks of his policy and to make clear that until he changes direction, the United States views him, not Mahmoud Abbas, as the main obstacle to peace.
"
http://972mag.com/u-s-israel-break-not-only-over-iran-but-over-palestine-too/81731/

The US alliance is bedrock that has allowed Israel to more or less do what it likes for decades. Any rupture in relations with the US is a very serious matter in Israeli eyes, and therefore it is political suicide for BimboBibi to be seen as jeopardising that relationship. The temptation to re-arrange the diplomatic landscape, wreck the Iran-P5+1 detente and regain the political initiative must be enticing. One thing we can be certain of is that the requisite political and military calculations will be made in Jerusalem.

Will Israel defy the world and go it alone with military action against Iran? Will the US be able to prevent a wildcat Israeli strike?



Just to inject a bit of reality into your delusional rant..

How many nations are isolated from the world banking system? Oh yeah.. Iran and to some extent.. North Korea.

How many embassies in Iran (97)
How many in Israel (157)

Who is isolated?

(in reply to tweakabelle)
Profile   Post #: 199
RE: Iran - 11/25/2013 7:10:33 PM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Yep .. ridiculous agreement. [snip]
The Iranians gained time - which they needed for the other components. So we traded sanctions - for time - which the Iranians don't care about. Thats about as bad a deal as it gets. Sometimes you really can get something for nothing.

Face it - the iranians wanted the sanctions lifted - the question was the cost. The got them lifted at essentially zero cost - from a president desperate to do anything to change the topic on healthcare.

Goddamned peace mongerers! How %$&!ing dare they?

It was all looking so good just a few days ago. We were about to turn Iran into a sheet of glass, blow the daylights out of those jumped up wogs, teaching them who's who and what's what and reminding them of their place in the natural order of things when disaster happened - the Goddamned pussy in chief in the White House went and caved into their demands and peace broke out.

With it went the chance to have so much fun, show the world a thing or two about shock and awe, and to play with all of our big toys. What is wrong with the pussy-in-chief? Can't he recognise an opportunity to blow the bejaysus of out some inconsequential Third World backwater when it's staring him in the face? What is America coming to? And if depriving us of a war wasn't bad enough on its own, the pussy in chief wants to give big guns and weapons to those eebil Moolems while taking OUR guns away.

See what happens once pinkos and peace mongerers are allowed to put fluoride into the water .....



Still waiting for you to backup any of your claims.

For example: what strategic interests does the US have in Iran?
What peace dividend do you think the US is going to reap?

Tell me, precisely, why you think this agreement is good for the US. Not for the EU, not for Iran, not for Russia. For the US.

We put together the sanctions and have stated for the last 3 years that a precondition for entering into negotiations was Iran stopping nuclear enrichment.

So, once again, the pussy in chief drew a line in the sand - and then caved....


(in reply to tweakabelle)
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