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RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 12:05:52 PM   
vincentML


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quote:

Finally there is no omission... Iran does not need to reach the continental US... we actually care about Europe and our bases in the area as well as friendly countries. And I have already stated our failure with Korea but we are talking Iran and I personally believe one nutcase with the bomb is better than two.

Answered in Post #150 above. They do not seem to have a nuclear weapons program. The economic warfare (sanctions) is being imposed on Iran because maybe, possibly, who knows they just might someday in the future have the intention want to develop a nuclear weapon. We were told the same about Saddam. Fool me twice, shame on me.

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Profile   Post #: 161
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 12:13:05 PM   
vincentML


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quote:

If Israel isn't threatening to use nukes outside of a defensive retaliation, what does it matter if Israel has nukes or not? What benefit has Israel gained by being the only nuke country in the area?

If Iran hasn't threatened to use nukes why the fuss over their nuclear enrichment program?

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 162
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 12:36:15 PM   
freedomdwarf1


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

quote:

If Israel isn't threatening to use nukes outside of a defensive retaliation, what does it matter if Israel has nukes or not? What benefit has Israel gained by being the only nuke country in the area?

If Iran hasn't threatened to use nukes why the fuss over their nuclear enrichment program?

I guess for the same reason that nobody batted an eye when the US invented the A-bomb.
They didn't threaten to use it - it was an experiment.

Now explain that to the Japanese who were on the shitty end of that stick.
Then apply those same fears to Iran.

The whole reasoning is to stop them even being tempted to experiment.
Seems pretty obvious to me.

(in reply to vincentML)
Profile   Post #: 163
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 8:11:02 PM   
tweakabelle


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
To reiterate: The idea of the Middle East becoming a nuclear weapons free zone was first mooted in the 1960s. Egypt and Iran formally proposed the idea in 1974. Virtually all the region's Govts support the idea, with the sole and notable exception of Israel, the region's only nuclear armed State.


Ah, the only State that, apparently, opposes the ME becoming nuke free is Israel.

quote:

Why do they support the idea? The region is possibly the most unstable and volatile region on the planet. The advantages of keeping such a region free of nuclear weapons seem self evident to me.


Why is the area unstable and volatile? Is the region unstable and volatile because of nuke weapons in Israel? Does Israel raise the specter of nuking its neighbors in an effort to bully their neighbors?

Or, could it be that a non-nuke Israel would be easier to erase off the map? Are the countries in the ME run by open and honest rulers and are completely trustworthy in their words? Seems to me that isn't the case, else the region wouldn't be considered "unstable and volatile." But, lemme guess, it's Israel's fault, right?

quote:

A far more pertinent question to ask is: Why doesn't the West propose this idea as the basis of a solution to the current impasse with Iran over its alleged nuclear weapons programme? It seems such an obvious solution to all the outstanding questions doesn't it?


Sure, it's obvious to someone who wants to diminish the defensive strength of Israel. If Israel is using it's nukes as an offensive threat, then I have no problem with Israel having it's nukes removed. If not, then... not so much. [snip]


If Israel isn't threatening to use nukes outside of a defensive retaliation, what does it matter if Israel has nukes or not? What benefit has Israel gained by being the only nuke country in the area?


If it is OK for any country to possess nukes for 'defensive retaliation' then why bother with non-proliferation at all? The world is a far safer place when possession of nukes is restricted as much as possible, and if the rules governing their possession are strictly enforced on all parties. As long as the rules are the same for everyone, and they are enforced equally on all parties, then that might be the best option out of several unappealing ones.

In Israel's case, it is not party to the NPT, despite being implicated in supplying nuclear expertise and parts to apartheid era South Africa. Current detrimental effects include this entire Iran/nuclear weapons issue, which is unlikely to have arisen had Israel been without nuclear weaponry; another is that it's one of many factors fueling Israeli intransigence towards settling the Palestinian issue permanently and justly.

But the main cause for concern is this: If it is OK for Israel to possess nukes, then it is OK for other countries in the region too. If it is not OK for other countries, then it's not OK for Israel either. As long as there is an imbalance other countries will attempt to redress that imbalance. Already attempts by Syria and Iraq to do so have led to military confrontations and Iran is headed in the same direction if Netanyahoo gets his way.




< Message edited by tweakabelle -- 11/19/2013 8:39:57 PM >


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RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 8:29:47 PM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
If it is OK for any country to possess nukes for 'defensive retaliation' then why bother with non-proliferation at all? The world is a far safer place when possession of nukes is restricted as much as possible, and if the rules governing their possession are strictly enforced on all parties. As long as the rules are the same for everyone, and they are enforced equally on all parties, then that might be the best option out of several unappealing ones.
In Israel's case, it is not party to the NPT, despite being implicated in supplying nuclear expertise and parts to apartheid era South Africa. Current detrimental effects include this entire Iran/nuclear weapons issue, which is unlikely to have arisen had Israel been without nuclear weaponry and Israeli intransigence towards settling the Palestinian issue permanently and justly.
But the main cause for concern is this: If it is OK for Israel to possess nukes, then it is OK for other countries in the region too. If it is not OK for other countries, then it's not OK for Israel either. As long as there is an imbalance other countries will attempt to redress that imbalance.


The ideal is for no one to have nuclear weapons and for no one to have that capability. That cat is out of the bag.

The next best idea is for only a handful of nations to have nukes and to limit that handful to stable nations who aren't likely to use them unless it is a last resort. And, finally, there has to be some sort of belief that a nuke nation is trustworthy enough for other nations to believe them.

I'm not sure Iran fits that model, at least it hasn't and doesn't currently. Pakistan may be questionable as to it fitting or not, too. N. Korea, imo, doesn't fit that model, either. Of all the countries that currently have nuke capabilities, I think North Korea is probably the least stable and trustworthy.

Iran signed the NPT. They aren't allowing the IAEA unfettered access to all their nuke areas. That is concerning action.


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Profile   Post #: 165
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 8:42:59 PM   
tweakabelle


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quote:

The next best idea is for only a handful of nations to have nukes and to limit that handful to stable nations who aren't likely to use them unless it is a last resort. And, finally, there has to be some sort of belief that a nuke nation is trustworthy enough for other nations to believe them.


Sorry but the next best idea is for all nuclearised States to sign and abide by the terms of the Non Proliferation Treaty, and for its provisions to be strictly and equally enforced on all signatories.

Why is Israel's refusal to sign the NPT not listed as a matter of concern for you?

Given its past implication in proliferation (which Israel denies), surely this is a matter for concern yet you fail to mention it


< Message edited by tweakabelle -- 11/19/2013 8:49:22 PM >


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Profile   Post #: 166
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 9:20:23 PM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
quote:

The next best idea is for only a handful of nations to have nukes and to limit that handful to stable nations who aren't likely to use them unless it is a last resort. And, finally, there has to be some sort of belief that a nuke nation is trustworthy enough for other nations to believe them.

Sorry but the next best idea is for all nuclearised States to sign and abide by the terms of the Non Proliferation Treaty, and for its provisions to be strictly and equally enforced on all signatories.
Why is Israel's refusal to sign the NPT not listed as a matter of concern for you?
Given its past implication in proliferation (which Israel denies), surely this is a matter for concern yet you fail to mention it


Might have something to do with my being more supportive of Israel's existence than many other ME countries.

You going to round Pakistan, India and N. Korea into that same group as Israel? Maybe I just missed their being mentioned...


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Profile   Post #: 167
RE: Iran - 11/19/2013 10:53:22 PM   
tweakabelle


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quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
quote:

The next best idea is for only a handful of nations to have nukes and to limit that handful to stable nations who aren't likely to use them unless it is a last resort. And, finally, there has to be some sort of belief that a nuke nation is trustworthy enough for other nations to believe them.

Sorry but the next best idea is for all nuclearised States to sign and abide by the terms of the Non Proliferation Treaty, and for its provisions to be strictly and equally enforced on all signatories.
Why is Israel's refusal to sign the NPT not listed as a matter of concern for you?
Given its past implication in proliferation (which Israel denies), surely this is a matter for concern yet you fail to mention it


Might have something to do with my being more supportive of Israel's existence than many other ME countries.

You going to round Pakistan, India and N. Korea into that same group as Israel? Maybe I just missed their being mentioned...


You are going to have to explain to me (and, I suspect, a few others too) precisely how Israel's right to exist is in any way affected by its refusal to be a party to the NPT.

If, as in your view, Israel is trustworthy enough to be allowed possess nuclear weapons, why does it refuse to sign the NPT and thereby demonstrate that it is in fact that trustworthy? Surely a refusal to sign is evidence of the opposite.




< Message edited by tweakabelle -- 11/19/2013 10:55:28 PM >


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Profile   Post #: 168
RE: Iran - 11/20/2013 4:45:18 AM   
Phydeaux


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Israel doesn't have to prove shit.

The US gives aid to those that renounce nuclear weapons. Iran chose to sign.
Accept inspectors which is a condition of signing the damn treaty.

Nothing else needs to be said - nothing about israel. Nothing about korea. You signed the treaty. Live up to it.

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Profile   Post #: 169
RE: Iran - 11/20/2013 6:04:49 AM   
Zonie63


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quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

You have given no valid reasons why how and when... calling something propaganda is easy...proving it should be easy if true. But first it depends on the definition of propaganda you are using. If it is just trying to promote a cause then we all use propaganda every day and there is nothing wrong in using it. If however you use the definition of exaggeration or spreading of false information that is something that can be proven wrong....so prove it... or at least give a valid reason for promoting a military response other than the reason given.


I’m not sure exactly what you’re asking for. I think Vincent cited some well-known examples of when our government and politicians have lied. I think a lot of the Cold War rhetoric would qualify, as well as any statement involving the word “evil” to describe portions of the outside world (i.e. “Evil Empire,” “Axis of Evil”).

The reason why I’m suspicious of our government’s current motives in relation to Iran is because Iran has shown itself to be hostile to America ever since 1979, and yet our government has only recently decided to do something about it. If what they say about Iran is true, then they wouldn’t have traded arms for hostages, but they did. If what they say about Iran is true, then they wouldn’t have gone to war with Iran’s primary enemy in the region (Iraq).

My view is that actions speak louder than words, so if our government’s actions do not coherently match their rhetoric, then it’s pretty easy to tell that they’re spouting propaganda. We say that we support freedom and making the world safe for democracy, and yet, we’ve supported numerous regimes which are not free and not democratic. What does that tell you? Do you really need more proof?

quote:


As for our world view and our perception of exceptionalism... it is true. We are, as a nation, an exceptional entity on this earth...I don't give a shit who doesn't like it. There has never been a nation this powerful and influential in the history of mankind... Now if that is not exceptional than what is?


A comparison declaring America to be the most powerful and influential in the history of mankind is highly subjective. I don’t see that there’s any objective truth in such a statement. I think that notions of American exceptionalism are also subjective. It doesn’t matter if anyone likes it or dislikes it; what matters is whether or not it’s true. I don’t think it is. There are other nations which are free and democratic (perhaps even more so than we are). There are other nations which are powerful.

quote:


There have been exceptional nations in the past and there will be others in the future but right now and for the near future we will continue to be the most important country in the world. This fact does not make any one US individual better than any other human on earth but as a group comprising a nation it does make us exceptional.


I would agree that the U.S. was in a very strong and fortunate position following World War II, which (for a few decades at least) put us on top of the world – as the “leader of the free world” and (as you put it), the most important country in the world. We’re in the same spot that the British and French were 100 years ago. Nations rise and fall in power and influence; nothing is ever permanent. There was a brief period when Austria was the main influential power in Europe, but look at them today. Further back, one can see a time when the Mongols were the most powerful and feared nation on Earth, but look at Mongolia now.

I also agree that our current position in the world doesn’t make us any better either. To a large degree, we’ve been more fortunate. The early colonists found a land teeming with resources and countless acres of arable land which we slowly but surely annexed and occupied, displacing the previous inhabitants. There are some aspects of our history which haven’t been pretty and which many Americans today are not particularly proud of, so we have to put the notion of American exceptionalism in an honest and realistic perspective.

I think we Americans have a habit of embracing certain notions in order to ease our conscience and make us feel good about ourselves, but I would caution against self-delusion. “Manifest Destiny,” “American Dream,” “American Exceptionalism” are all examples of how we’ve tried to fool ourselves. Nowadays, “Manifest Destiny” is viewed with widespread scorn and derision, and for good reason. The government may lie to us, but that doesn’t mean we have to lie to ourselves. To thine ownself, be true.

quote:


Finally there is no omission... Iran does not need to reach the continental US... we actually care about Europe and our bases in the area as well as friendly countries. And I have already stated our failure with Korea but we are talking Iran and I personally believe one nutcase with the bomb is better than two.


Iran doesn’t have a bomb yet, and there’s no proof that they’re planning to build one either. Even if they did build one, it doesn’t mean they’re going to use it. They know that if they did, there would be massive retaliation. The U.S. is also working with its allies to upgrade our missile defense systems.

I realize this thread is about Iran and not Korea, but I think there are parallels in that the reason we can’t go to war with North Korea is similar to the reason we can’t go to war with Iran: Russia and China won’t like it. I don’t think we should risk going to war with either of those major powers over Iran. The risk and potential devastation to our own country would be far greater than whatever local damage could by caused by Iran at some unforeseen time in the future.

I say let the regional powers deal with issues within their own region. Let us worry about our hemisphere, and let them worry about their hemisphere.

And, quite frankly, most of these problems we’re talking about around the world have been the result of previous failures by our own “exceptional” government. North Korea and Iran are two examples of Cold War policies gone awry. Many of our failures have been due to our own ignorance. Prior to World War II, our government knew next to nothing about Iran or Korea, so we were forced to rely on information and intel from other countries (mainly the British, who also have a somewhat unique perception of themselves and the outside world, so their information was also tainted).

With the power vacuum created by the loss of European global hegemony after World War II, America’s role became comparable to that of a substitute teacher. We backed into the role, and in all candor, I don’t think we were really cut out for this kind of thing. That’s part of the problem with the rhetoric we use, such as when we talk about being the “arsenal of democracy” and other aspects of exceptionalism which, in essence, impose certain obligations upon America and its citizenry. I think that this kind of rhetoric (propaganda) has led to a certain identity crisis about who and what we are, as a nation.

We’re not an empire, but sometimes it’s hard to tell. We like to think of ourselves as “the good guys,” and I’d like to believe that as well. I was raised to love my country in a family with strong patriotic values. I grew up with and accepted the idea that we were the leader of the free world and locked in a mortal struggle with “evil.” I also learned the ramifications of nuclear war and the kinds of dangers we were facing back then. Because of this, I wanted to learn more about our “enemies” and what made them tick. I wanted to find out what their deal was.

Over the course of my studies, both formal and informal, I eventually found that most of our “enemies” aren’t really the nutcases that our pundits and politicians make them out to be. Some may very well be diabolical and quite possibly truly evil, but not insane. They come from different societies with different values, cultures, and perceptions of the outside world. They have different morals, different political values; we may not ever see eye-to-eye on a variety of issues.

Because of this, I’ve tentatively concluded that America’s best course of action would be to stay true and consistent to our own stated principles of freedom, justice, and our democratic-republic traditions, without necessarily “reacting” to every little thing that happens in the world as if we’re the global fire department (which might be a more apt analogy than “world’s policeman”). That’s part of the problem, since we don’t seem to have any real coherent geopolitical agenda or consistent set of principles. All we do is just react to what “they” do. Among other things, it makes it easier for outside nations to manipulate our government, since they can take actions by gauging what our expected reaction will be.

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RE: Iran - 11/20/2013 9:41:59 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Israel doesn't have to prove shit.

The US gives aid to those that renounce nuclear weapons. Iran chose to sign.
Accept inspectors which is a condition of signing the damn treaty.

Nothing else needs to be said - nothing about israel. Nothing about korea. You signed the treaty. Live up to it.

Wow. Now there is a starting point for a peaceful, international community.

The US gives aid to Israel, who did not sign the NPT.

Over and over again, Intelligence officials have reported that Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program. Belligerents, neocons and apocalyptic whackos have their fingers in their ears.


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RE: Iran - 11/20/2013 9:47:32 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

Over the course of my studies, both formal and informal, I eventually found that most of our “enemies” aren’t really the nutcases that our pundits and politicians make them out to be. Some may very well be diabolical and quite possibly truly evil, but not insane. They come from different societies with different values, cultures, and perceptions of the outside world. They have different morals, different political values; we may not ever see eye-to-eye on a variety of issues.

Holy crap! Is that allowed???

Well written, Zonie.

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Profile   Post #: 172
RE: Iran - 11/20/2013 6:45:10 PM   
tweakabelle


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Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:

1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and

2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and

3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.

On this flimsy base the neo cons and war mongerers want to launch a military strike against Iran.

Is there a "clear and present" threat to any one? No
Is there an actual threat to anyone from an Iranian nuke? No





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RE: Iran - 11/21/2013 9:24:02 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:

1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and

2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and

3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.

On this flimsy base the neo cons and war mongerers want to launch a military strike against Iran.

Is there a "clear and present" threat to any one? No
Is there an actual threat to anyone from an Iranian nuke? No



"You know what, Stan?"

"No, what, Ollie?" scratches head

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RE: Iran - 11/21/2013 10:02:15 AM   
thishereboi


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

quote:

Over the course of my studies, both formal and informal, I eventually found that most of our “enemies” aren’t really the nutcases that our pundits and politicians make them out to be. Some may very well be diabolical and quite possibly truly evil, but not insane. They come from different societies with different values, cultures, and perceptions of the outside world. They have different morals, different political values; we may not ever see eye-to-eye on a variety of issues.

Holy crap! Is that allowed???

Well written, Zonie.



I agree, too bad there isn't a like button on here.

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RE: Iran - 11/21/2013 11:46:45 AM   
Phydeaux


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:

1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and

2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and

3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.





On that much, we agree perfectly.

Israel has no desire to take that risk. Nor would you if you lived in Israel.
As far as I'm concerned if Israel if after warning Iran dozens of times over multiple years Iran wants to proceed in this direction, Israel is perfectly justified in killing a few thousand people to prevent the possibility of a few million israelis dead.


< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 11/21/2013 11:47:05 AM >

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RE: Iran - 11/21/2013 4:42:29 PM   
Politesub53


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:

1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and

2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and

3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.





On that much, we agree perfectly.

Israel has no desire to take that risk. Nor would you if you lived in Israel.
As far as I'm concerned if Israel if after warning Iran dozens of times over multiple years Iran wants to proceed in this direction, Israel is perfectly justified in killing a few thousand people to prevent the possibility of a few million israelis dead.




It doesnt exactly shock me that you would be okay with this kind of warmongering bullshit. I take it you would be fine with any nuclear power taking out a few thousand citizens just as a "precaution". Would you suggest the US carry out strikes on Russia, china and North Korea, just incase.


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Profile   Post #: 177
RE: Iran - 11/22/2013 7:30:57 AM   
vincentML


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Politesub53


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle

Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:

1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and

2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and

3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.





On that much, we agree perfectly.

Israel has no desire to take that risk. Nor would you if you lived in Israel.
As far as I'm concerned if Israel if after warning Iran dozens of times over multiple years Iran wants to proceed in this direction, Israel is perfectly justified in killing a few thousand people to prevent the possibility of a few million israelis dead.




It doesnt exactly shock me that you would be okay with this kind of warmongering bullshit. I take it you would be fine with any nuclear power taking out a few thousand citizens just as a "precaution". Would you suggest the US carry out strikes on Russia, china and North Korea, just incase.



I wonder if China will ever decide it cannot take that risk with the American nuclear arsenal and just crush Honolulu as a precaution?

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Profile   Post #: 178
RE: Iran - 11/22/2013 3:32:38 PM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML
quote:

ORIGINAL: Politesub53
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
Looking at the cold hard facts, we end up with:
1. Iran is running a nuclear program that MIGHT develop the capability to manufacture nuclear weapons; and
2. If it is successful in developing the technical capability to make nukes, Iran MIGHT one day make a nuke; and
3. If Iran successfully builds a nuke, Iran MIGHT one day attack Israel with the nuke.

On that much, we agree perfectly.
Israel has no desire to take that risk. Nor would you if you lived in Israel.
As far as I'm concerned if Israel if after warning Iran dozens of times over multiple years Iran wants to proceed in this direction, Israel is perfectly justified in killing a few thousand people to prevent the possibility of a few million israelis dead.

It doesnt exactly shock me that you would be okay with this kind of warmongering bullshit. I take it you would be fine with any nuclear power taking out a few thousand citizens just as a "precaution". Would you suggest the US carry out strikes on Russia, china and North Korea, just incase.

I wonder if China will ever decide it cannot take that risk with the American nuclear arsenal and just crush Honolulu as a precaution?


Won't happen. Would be far easier (and far more likely) that China decides it can no longer take that risk and stop buying our debt.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

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Profile   Post #: 179
RE: Iran - 11/22/2013 3:36:31 PM   
Politesub53


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quote:

ORIGINAL: vincentML

I wonder if China will ever decide it cannot take that risk with the American nuclear arsenal and just crush Honolulu as a precaution?


Exactly my point. We have to hope the talks between Iran and the 5 major nuclear powers bear fruit.

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