Collarspace Discussion Forums


Home  Login  Search 

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 170


View related threads: (in this forum | in all forums)

Logged in as: Guest
 
All Forums >> [Community Discussions] >> Dungeon of Political and Religious Discussion >> 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 170 Page: [1] 2 3 4 5   next >   >>
Login
Message << Older Topic   Newer Topic >>
4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles ... - 9/26/2016 2:51:21 PM   
Nnanji


Posts: 4552
Joined: 3/29/2016
Status: offline
http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s/#sthash.noIOk83z.w0sV465R.dpbs

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 1700s, 1800s - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s


The latest papers linking solar activity as well as ocean oscillations to climate changes are listed below. Not only do these papers describe solar activity and ocean oscillations as the dominant mechanisms of climate change, they provide evidence that the modern, post-1950 period does not contain the highest temperatures of the last few hundred years. In fact, these papers each document that temperatures during some periods of the 1700s and/or 1800s were just as warm or warmer than present temperatures.

< Message edited by Nnanji -- 9/26/2016 2:55:32 PM >
Profile   Post #: 1
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/26/2016 3:01:35 PM   
markyugen


Posts: 129
Joined: 4/13/2013
Status: offline
Wow, a whopping 77 papers are now advocating this theory. I guess I'll just toss out the 10,800+ peer-reviewed papers already out there making the claim that cc is anthropogenic, or man-made.

(in reply to Nnanji)
Profile   Post #: 2
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/26/2016 3:27:50 PM   
BamaD


Posts: 20687
Joined: 2/27/2005
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Nnanji

http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s/#sthash.noIOk83z.w0sV465R.dpbs

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 1700s, 1800s - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s


The latest papers linking solar activity as well as ocean oscillations to climate changes are listed below. Not only do these papers describe solar activity and ocean oscillations as the dominant mechanisms of climate change, they provide evidence that the modern, post-1950 period does not contain the highest temperatures of the last few hundred years. In fact, these papers each document that temperatures during some periods of the 1700s and/or 1800s were just as warm or warmer than present temperatures.

Heritic!

_____________________________

Government ranges from a necessary evil to an intolerable one. Thomas Paine

People don't believe they can defend themselves because they have guns, they have guns because they believe they can defend themselves.

(in reply to Nnanji)
Profile   Post #: 3
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/26/2016 5:41:46 PM   
Awareness


Posts: 3918
Joined: 9/8/2010
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Nnanji

http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s/#sthash.noIOk83z.w0sV465R.dpbs

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 1700s, 1800s - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s


The latest papers linking solar activity as well as ocean oscillations to climate changes are listed below. Not only do these papers describe solar activity and ocean oscillations as the dominant mechanisms of climate change, they provide evidence that the modern, post-1950 period does not contain the highest temperatures of the last few hundred years. In fact, these papers each document that temperatures during some periods of the 1700s and/or 1800s were just as warm or warmer than present temperatures.


Climate denial's internal contradictions spring from a need to defend economic doctrine: -> https://boingboing.net/2016/09/26/climate-denials-internal-con.html



Quoted from the abstract of the paper itself: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11229-016-1198-6

"Science strives for coherence. For example, the findings from climate science form a highly coherent body of knowledge that is supported by many independent lines of evidence: greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from human economic activities are causing the global climate to warm and unless GHG emissions are drastically reduced in the near future, the risks from climate change will continue to grow and major adverse consequences will become unavoidable."

It continues...

"People who oppose this scientific body of knowledge because the implications of cutting GHG emissions—such as regulation or increased taxation—threaten their worldview or livelihood cannot provide an alternative view that is coherent by the standards of conventional scientific thinking. Instead, we suggest that people who reject the fact that the Earth’s climate is changing due to greenhouse gas emissions (or any other body of well-established scientific knowledge) oppose whatever inconvenient finding they are confronting in piece-meal fashion, rather than systematically, and without considering the implications of this rejection to the rest of the relevant scientific theory and findings. Hence, claims that the globe “is cooling” can coexist with claims that the “observed warming is natural” and that “the human influence does not matter because warming is good for us.” Coherence between these mutually contradictory opinions can only be achieved at a highly abstract level, namely that “something must be wrong” with the scientific evidence in order to justify a political position against climate change mitigation. This high-level coherence accompanied by contradictory subordinate propositions is a known attribute of conspiracist ideation, and conspiracism may be implicated when people reject well-established scientific propositions."

So, what this abstract is saying in other words, is that climate change denial is self-contradictory and bears all the hallmarks of the kind of psychological personality traits which we find in individuals prone to believing in conspiracy theories.

_____________________________

Ever notice how fucking annoying most signatures are? - Yes, I do appreciate the irony.

(in reply to Nnanji)
Profile   Post #: 4
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/26/2016 6:37:54 PM   
bounty44


Posts: 6374
Joined: 11/1/2014
Status: offline
"physician, heal thyself."

the entire premise of the psychology above seems to rest on this:

quote:

...when people reject well-established scientific propositions."


it seems you, and the author of the piece, are starting from the de facto position of the man made global warming/climate change/whatever, is incontrovertibly the truth. its not.

heres what I wrote last time around, its still relevant:

quote:

oh please not another global warming thread...here's roughly, eventually how it will go.

the whole area is incredibly complex. the science and the "evidence" is not settled, except for that the global warming/man-man climate change folks will say it is despite evidence to the contrary.

the global warming/man-made climate change folks will continue to cite information that is not true, has been debunked and ignore all the evidence from the other side as to how they have manipulated data and systematically silenced opposition/studies that show contrary information.

the end result of that all, despite what I have written above, will be the global warming/man-made climate change folks will call the folks on the other side "deniers" (and that with no irony either).


in light of that, use of the word "denial" simply paints people who use that language, as sorts of close-minded climate fascists.


(in reply to Awareness)
Profile   Post #: 5
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/26/2016 6:44:55 PM   
Awareness


Posts: 3918
Joined: 9/8/2010
Status: offline
There are not two sides to climate change. There is established scientific consensus. The other side is not a carefully considered opinion with equal weighting. It's a collection of lunatics, vested interests and conspiracy theorists who have no coherent scientific explanation for the warming effect we're seeing.

_____________________________

Ever notice how fucking annoying most signatures are? - Yes, I do appreciate the irony.

(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 6
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 5:43:50 AM   
thompsonx


Posts: 23322
Joined: 10/1/2006
Status: offline
ORIGINAL: bounty44

"physician, heal thyself."

the entire premise of the psychology above seems to rest on this:

quote:

...when people reject well-established scientific propositions."


it seems you, and the author of the piece, are starting from the de facto position of the man made global warming/climate change/whatever, is incontrovertibly the truth. its not.


It is clear that you are ignorant of the simple fact that just because you disagree with something does not make your opinion valid. In order to change a scientific theory you are required to bring irrefutible proof...your puerile,moronic opinion does not count.

heres what I wrote last time around, its still relevant:

You have yet to post anything relevant.
Jesus you are phoquing stupid.

(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 7
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 5:45:49 AM   
thompsonx


Posts: 23322
Joined: 10/1/2006
Status: offline

ORIGINAL: Nnanji

http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s/#sthash.noIOk83z.w0sV465R.dpbs

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 1700s, 1800s - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s


The latest papers linking solar activity as well as ocean oscillations to climate changes are listed below. Not only do these papers describe solar activity and ocean oscillations as the dominant mechanisms of climate change, they provide evidence that the modern, post-1950 period does not contain the highest temperatures of the last few hundred years. In fact, these papers each document that temperatures during some periods of the 1700s and/or 1800s were just as warm or warmer than present temperatures.


Have you a link to the peer reviews of these 77 pages of gibberish?

(in reply to Nnanji)
Profile   Post #: 8
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 6:24:44 AM   
MrRodgers


Posts: 10542
Joined: 7/30/2005
Status: offline
As I've written, we are the point where it simply doesn't matter. What science does inform is that whatever might be any additional reasons that the climate is in fact warming...man's carbon footprint is a major contributing factor.

What is happening whether we accept just why it is and despite all if the human or natural causes, is that the ocean is more acidic, [it] is no longer the carbon sink it is supposed to be. Man's for-profit destruction and deforestation of the natural green carbon sink, is all part of man's contribution to the highly disturbing what is known as earth's natural carbon cycle. The major factor in why the atmosphere is currently holding 100's of billions of tons of additional carbon and its contribution to the greenhouse effect.

The only question now, is to what extent govt. exercises its power of tax and regulation to do its best to mitigate that man-made contribution. Also govt. using its power to ween the energy marketplace from coal first, as the greatest single contributer to atmospheric carbon.

_____________________________

You can be a murderous tyrant and the world will remember you fondly but fuck one horse and you will be a horse fucker for all eternity. Catherine the Great

Under capitalism, man exploits man. Under communism, it's just the opposite.
J K Galbraith

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 9
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 1:27:46 PM   
thishereboi


Posts: 14463
Joined: 6/19/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44

"physician, heal thyself."

the entire premise of the psychology above seems to rest on this:

quote:

...when people reject well-established scientific propositions."


it seems you, and the author of the piece, are starting from the de facto position of the man made global warming/climate change/whatever, is incontrovertibly the truth. its not.

heres what I wrote last time around, its still relevant:

quote:

oh please not another global warming thread...here's roughly, eventually how it will go.

the whole area is incredibly complex. the science and the "evidence" is not settled, except for that the global warming/man-man climate change folks will say it is despite evidence to the contrary.

the global warming/man-made climate change folks will continue to cite information that is not true, has been debunked and ignore all the evidence from the other side as to how they have manipulated data and systematically silenced opposition/studies that show contrary information.

the end result of that all, despite what I have written above, will be the global warming/man-made climate change folks will call the folks on the other side "deniers" (and that with no irony either).


in light of that, use of the word "denial" simply paints people who use that language, as sorts of close-minded climate fascists.






_____________________________

"Sweetie, you're wasting your gum" .. Albert


This here is the boi formerly known as orfunboi


(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 10
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 1:51:15 PM   
dcnovice


Posts: 37282
Joined: 8/2/2006
Status: offline
FR

Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming

Environmental Research Letters | Volume 11, Number 4

Climate scientists overwhelmingly agree that humans are causing recent global warming. The consensus position is articulated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) statement that 'human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century' (Qin et al 2014, p 17). The National Academies of Science from 80 countries have issued statements endorsing the consensus position (table S2). Nevertheless, the existence of the consensus continues to be questioned. Here we summarize studies that quantify expert views and examine common flaws in criticisms of consensus estimates. In particular, we are responding to a comment by Tol (2016) on Cook et al (2013, referred to as C13). We show that contrary to Tol's claim that the results of C13 differ from earlier studies, the consensus of experts is robust across all the studies conducted by coauthors of this correspondence.

* * *

Misinformation about climate change has been observed to reduce climate literacy levels (McCright et al 2016, Ranney and Clark 2016), and manufacturing doubt about the scientific consensus on climate change is one of the most effective means of reducing acceptance of climate change and support for mitigation policies (Oreskes 2010, van der Linden et al 2016). Therefore, it should come as no surprise that the most common argument used in contrarian op-eds about climate change from 2007 to 2010 was that there is no scientific consensus on human-caused global warming (Elsasser and Dunlap 2012, Oreskes and Conway 2011). The generation of climate misinformation persists, with arguments against climate science increasing relative to policy arguments in publications by conservative organisations (Boussalis and Coan 2016).

* * *

From a broader perspective, it doesn't matter if the consensus number is 90% or 100%. The level of scientific agreement on AGW is overwhelmingly high because the supporting evidence is overwhelmingly strong.


http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002


_____________________________

No matter how cynical you become,
it's never enough to keep up.

JANE WAGNER, THE SEARCH FOR SIGNS OF
INTELLIGENT LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE

(in reply to thishereboi)
Profile   Post #: 11
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 1:53:58 PM   
dcnovice


Posts: 37282
Joined: 8/2/2006
Status: offline
On a lighter note . . .



_____________________________

No matter how cynical you become,
it's never enough to keep up.

JANE WAGNER, THE SEARCH FOR SIGNS OF
INTELLIGENT LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE

(in reply to dcnovice)
Profile   Post #: 12
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 3:59:22 PM   
Nnanji


Posts: 4552
Joined: 3/29/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Awareness

There are not two sides to climate change. There is established scientific consensus. The other side is not a carefully considered opinion with equal weighting. It's a collection of lunatics, vested interests and conspiracy theorists who have no coherent scientific explanation for the warming effect we're seeing.

What warming effect. Nothing's warmed in a couple of decades and apparently the warming that occurred isn't uncommon.

(in reply to Awareness)
Profile   Post #: 13
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 4:02:34 PM   
Nnanji


Posts: 4552
Joined: 3/29/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice

FR

Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming

Environmental Research Letters | Volume 11, Number 4

Climate scientists overwhelmingly agree that humans are causing recent global warming. The consensus position is articulated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) statement that 'human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century' (Qin et al 2014, p 17). The National Academies of Science from 80 countries have issued statements endorsing the consensus position (table S2). Nevertheless, the existence of the consensus continues to be questioned. Here we summarize studies that quantify expert views and examine common flaws in criticisms of consensus estimates. In particular, we are responding to a comment by Tol (2016) on Cook et al (2013, referred to as C13). We show that contrary to Tol's claim that the results of C13 differ from earlier studies, the consensus of experts is robust across all the studies conducted by coauthors of this correspondence.

* * *

Misinformation about climate change has been observed to reduce climate literacy levels (McCright et al 2016, Ranney and Clark 2016), and manufacturing doubt about the scientific consensus on climate change is one of the most effective means of reducing acceptance of climate change and support for mitigation policies (Oreskes 2010, van der Linden et al 2016). Therefore, it should come as no surprise that the most common argument used in contrarian op-eds about climate change from 2007 to 2010 was that there is no scientific consensus on human-caused global warming (Elsasser and Dunlap 2012, Oreskes and Conway 2011). The generation of climate misinformation persists, with arguments against climate science increasing relative to policy arguments in publications by conservative organisations (Boussalis and Coan 2016).

* * *

From a broader perspective, it doesn't matter if the consensus number is 90% or 100%. The level of scientific agreement on AGW is overwhelmingly high because the supporting evidence is overwhelmingly strong.


http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/048002


And yet, they can't make one prediction, not one model works, they can't even go back 100-years and show a model that will predict what actually happened.

(in reply to dcnovice)
Profile   Post #: 14
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 4:10:35 PM   
Nnanji


Posts: 4552
Joined: 3/29/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


ORIGINAL: Nnanji

http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s/#sthash.noIOk83z.w0sV465R.dpbs

4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 1700s, 1800s - See more at: http://notrickszone.com/2016/09/22/4-new-papers-link-solar-activity-natural-ocean-cycles-to-climate-and-find-warmer-temps-during-1700s-1800s


The latest papers linking solar activity as well as ocean oscillations to climate changes are listed below. Not only do these papers describe solar activity and ocean oscillations as the dominant mechanisms of climate change, they provide evidence that the modern, post-1950 period does not contain the highest temperatures of the last few hundred years. In fact, these papers each document that temperatures during some periods of the 1700s and/or 1800s were just as warm or warmer than present temperatures.


Have you a link to the peer reviews of these 77 pages of gibberish?

You can start on these 43. http://notrickszone.com/skeptic-papers-2016/#sthash.9fvMUgR7.dpbs

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 15
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 4:13:02 PM   
Nnanji


Posts: 4552
Joined: 3/29/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: markyugen

Wow, a whopping 77 papers are now advocating this theory. I guess I'll just toss out the 10,800+ peer-reviewed papers already out there making the claim that cc is anthropogenic, or man-made.

It's my fault. I remembered that you'd been shown what bunk that was before. But, I forgot that you're given your kool aid often and have to be taught reality over and over.


http://climatechangedispatch.com/97-articles-refuting-the-97-consensus/


Summary: Cook et al. (2013) attempted to categorize 11,944 abstracts of papers (not entire papers) to their level of endorsement of AGW and found 7930 (66%) held no position on AGW. While only 65 papers (0.5%) explicitly endorsed and quantified AGW as +50% (Humans are the primary cause). Their methodology was so fatally flawed that they falsely classified skeptic papers as endorsing AGW, apparently believing to know more about the papers than their authors. Cook et al.’s author self-ratings simply confirmed the worthlessness of their methodology, as they were not representative of the sample since only 4% of the authors (1189 of 29,083) rated their own papers and of these 63% disagreed with their abstract ratings.

(in reply to markyugen)
Profile   Post #: 16
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 4:48:58 PM   
bounty44


Posts: 6374
Joined: 11/1/2014
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice

reducing acceptance of climate change and support for mitigation policies...



quote:

climate misinformation persists, with arguments against climate science increasing relative to policy arguments in publications by conservative organisations (Boussalis and Coan 2016).


that is absolutely rich---do you see the veritable pot charging the kettle with blackness?

and please, go back and read my post above.

quote:

climate misinformation


that's rich too---when people who have phd's and have spent their entire careers studying climate come up with findings that differ from others, its no longer a matter of interpretation or evidence of a lack of consensus, its "misinformation."

(in reply to dcnovice)
Profile   Post #: 17
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 4:53:08 PM   
bounty44


Posts: 6374
Joined: 11/1/2014
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: dcnovice

On a lighter note . . .




I might consider it a comical lighter note were it not for the glaring and tragic "97% myth" that keeps rearing its ugly and unconscionable head.

(in reply to dcnovice)
Profile   Post #: 18
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 5:08:21 PM   
ThatDizzyChick


Posts: 5490
Status: offline
FR
I have always found it interesting that those who oppose the idea of climate change or of it being largley the result of human activity also tend to all be very hrd right wing. I wonder why that is.

_____________________________

Not your average bimbo.

(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 19
RE: 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cyc... - 9/27/2016 5:42:38 PM   
dcnovice


Posts: 37282
Joined: 8/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

I might consider it a comical lighter note were it not for the glaring and tragic "97% myth" that keeps rearing its ugly and unconscionable head.

If you have a source that disputes the 2016 paper to which I linked, I'm open to seeing it.

_____________________________

No matter how cynical you become,
it's never enough to keep up.

JANE WAGNER, THE SEARCH FOR SIGNS OF
INTELLIGENT LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE

(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 20
Page:   [1] 2 3 4 5   next >   >>
All Forums >> [Community Discussions] >> Dungeon of Political and Religious Discussion >> 4 New Papers Link Solar Activity, Natural Ocean Cycles To Climate – And Find Warmer Temps During 170 Page: [1] 2 3 4 5   next >   >>
Jump to:





New Messages No New Messages
Hot Topic w/ New Messages Hot Topic w/o New Messages
Locked w/ New Messages Locked w/o New Messages
 Post New Thread
 Reply to Message
 Post New Poll
 Submit Vote
 Delete My Own Post
 Delete My Own Thread
 Rate Posts




Collarchat.com © 2025
Terms of Service Privacy Policy Spam Policy

0.109