freedomdwarf1
Posts: 6845
Joined: 10/23/2012 Status: offline
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quote:
ORIGINAL: BamaD What you don't know is that there have been 22 studies since then. 19 agree with Lott's conclutions. 2 say it doesn't make any difference. 1 agrees with you. To bad that one (done by the Brady Bunch) refused peer review (all the rest submitted to it) wouldn't reveil it sourches , and would tell wat their methods were. You also add to your ignorance the fact that after peer review Lott corrected concerns about his methods and still came to the same conclusions and came through per review much better the 2nd time. And from Wiki - NRC Report Partially in response to Lott's book, a sixteen-member panel of the United States National Research Council was convened to address the issue of whether right-to-carry laws influenced crime rate. They also looked at many other gun control measures, including the soon-to-expire 1994 Assault Weapon Ban, gun buy-backs, and bans on handgun possession or carry. In 2004 they issued the report "Firearms and Violence: A Critical Review" which examined Lott's statistical methods in detail, including computation of the statistical uncertainties involved, and wrote The committee found that answers to some of the most pressing questions cannot be addressed with existing data and research methods, however well designed. Indeed, the committee was unable to find any of the laws that it examined had any effect on crime or suicide rates. In the case of right-to-carry laws, despite a large body of research, the committee found no credible evidence that the passage of right-to-carry laws decreases or increases violent crime, and there is almost no empirical evidence that the more than 80 prevention programs focused on gun-related violence have had any effect on children's behavior, knowledge, attitudes, or beliefs about firearms. The committee found that the data available on these questions are too weak to support unambiguous conclusions or strong policy statements. The council determined that Lott's data-sets can be subject to manipulation given a number of factors, so that different studies produce different results. "While the trend models show a reduction in the crime growth rate following the adoption of right-to-carry laws, these trend reductions occur long after law adoption, casting serious doubt on the proposition that the trend models estimated in the literature reflect effects of the law change. So I don't see that Lott's book, and the revisions, were actually supported by the NRC report. In fact, Wiki lists no less than 26 other reports that oppose Lott's conclusion; including this - Rutgers sociology professor Ted Goertzel stated that "Lott's massive data set was simply unsuitable for his task", and that he "compar[ed] trends in Idaho and West Virginia and Mississippi with trends in Washington, D.C. and New York City" without proper statistical controls. He points out that econometric methods (such as the Lott & Mustard RTC study or the Levitt & Donohue abortion study) are susceptible to misuse and can even become junk science. So I refute your support of the figures, like 26 other learned reports have done.
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“If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear.” George Orwell, 1903-1950
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