JVoV
Posts: 3664
Joined: 3/9/2015 Status: offline
|
quote:
ORIGINAL: Marini quote:
ORIGINAL: JVoV And the projected US landfall keeps pushing to the west with every update. Now, somewhere between Tampa & Fort Myers is likely. Still, it's more than a 90° turn needed to even hit Florida at all. The projected path hasn't been so difficult to predict since Katrina. Let's see, you versus everything I am reading that states a major hurricane will likely effect a large portion of Florida? hummm, I will go with the weather experts. I hope you are not affected in Orlando. Well, since "everything you're reading" is being changed with every update, the same as everything I'm reading, it's safe to say that the prediction models aren't accurate. Georgia and the Carolinas are all under a state of emergency ordered by their governors, thanks to faulty projections, while Alabama and Mississippi should be bracing for the storm more. It helps to read about why the path is projected the way it is. The models are expecting Irma to turn because of an area of low pressure, and follow the path of least resistance. But they can't pinpoint exactly when that will happen with any accuracy at all. Hurricanes don't give two fucks about computer pathing models. Especially hurricanes that are larger than what the meteorologists are used to dealing with. Very few models projected Katrina to hit New Orleans until it was too late, again trusting an area of low pressure to turn the storm differently. I'm a bit north of Orlando, so really not expecting much from the storm here. I'm ready for it, or the next one, but that's because in Florida, it's always a matter of when we'll get hit, and never if.
|