RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (Full Version)

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ChatteParfaitt -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 11:24:04 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BKSir

I plan on just sitting back, watching the mayhem from a safe distance, staying out of sight and out of mind until it gets quiet, then going about my business. *shrug*


Would that be the business of starving to death? If you had food a/o water, someone bigger or stronger would try and take it from you. Unless you could defend yourself time and again, you'd die. If you didn't have those things, you'd die.

Are we seeing a trend?






TheHeretic -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 11:26:23 AM)

If that is the mentality, Aylee, we are screwed. Without a community spirit, without a sense of a common goal, any candlelight left is going to flicker and die.

Joe (or maybe Jose) isn't tending a garden. He and the 'family' he has aquired since the die off are working existing fields with nothing but the best machinery. They are making dumb mistakes, and learning things the hard way (he was just a farmhand, in the before time, after all), but they are working land that just begs to grow damn near anything you plant in it.

Bob isn't sitting on the rocks with a pole. He was an accountant from a suburb who liked to take his sailboat out on the weekends, but now he has the biggest trawler he can crew, and one good haul from the nets is more than they could eat in a year.

In the grassy hills between them, Ted, Carol, and Alice, are raising cattle, and dozens of other little groups have taken over dozens of other pre-existing operations. They all come together regularly to talk, and to trade, and just to be with other living people. Under the paradigm I'm using, those markets and gatherings need to result in the formation of a unified structure, and a means of resolving disputes. Whether the power rests with a single patri/matriarchal figure, or a council of representatives, we either work together, or we disintegrate for however long it takes for a new social order to evolve from chaos.

Will strongmen rise, either bad people to begin with, or corrupted by the perception of absolute power? Human nature seems to demand it. I guess we burn those bridges when we come to them.




calamitysandra -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 12:15:53 PM)

Another good read for those who like post apocalyptic scenarios is Th Peace War by Vernor Vinge.




ResidentSadist -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 12:35:21 PM)

quote:

But what would you do if you were one of only a few who survived an apocalypse? What would you scavenge? Why?

I graduated from the Whole Earth Catalogs in the 70s to a die hard survivalist in Michigan during the 80s & 90s.  In the 2000s here on the beach in Florida, I have let go of it.  However, at one time after some research I had assembled:

bows, crossbows, binoculars, compass, charts, fishing & camping gear
military med kits, field surgery, dental & manuals
military bio hazard kits, chemical suits, gas masks & filter cartridges
32 hand guns, 51 rifles, 10,000 rounds of ammo, reloading, gunsmithing supplies & tools
3 years supply of vacuum / nitrogen gas packed food for 3 people
trail bikes, gas, repair kits. . . and I was working on a plan to bury ultra lights and fuel depots in a chain to the Yukon territory.




DomImus -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 2:06:42 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: ResidentSadist
I graduated from the Whole Earth Catalogs in the 70s to a die hard survivalist in Michigan during the 80s & 90s.  In the 2000s here on the beach in Florida, I have let go of it.  However, at one time after some research I had assembled:

bows, crossbows, binoculars, compass, charts, fishing & camping gear
military med kits, field surgery, dental & manuals
military bio hazard kits, chemical suits, gas masks & filter cartridges
32 hand guns, 51 rifles, 10,000 rounds of ammo, reloading, gunsmithing supplies & tools
3 years supply of vacuum / nitrogen gas packed food for 3 people
trail bikes, gas, repair kits. . . and I was working on a plan to bury ultra lights and fuel depots in a chain to the Yukon territory.



Sorry, LP. I wanna be on this guy's team.




Aylee -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 2:08:57 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic

Will strongmen rise, either bad people to begin with, or corrupted by the perception of absolute power? Human nature seems to demand it. I guess we burn those bridges when we come to them.

And end up slaughtered or become their slaves because it was not planned for?




TheHeretic -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 2:32:49 PM)

That's why we have to try to stay connected. There won't be a damn thing to prevent some asshole from proclaiming himself the God-King of this canyon, or that road junction. Against individual bands, and independent groupings, such people can find success, but if we restore connectivity among the survivors, the wanna be oppressors become isolated, instead of the new normal.

It'll suck for people who wander into their areas though.




Aylee -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 3:10:30 PM)

Heretic,

I can see that we are just not going to agree on the standing army issue. And that is okay. If for some reason that this should actually happen and you find yourself in Eastern Kansas, you will still be welcome at my enclave. [:)]




NocturnalStalker -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 3:16:08 PM)

I cannot wait to decimate all your groups and absorb the strong into my ranks.  




needlesandpins -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 3:30:17 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: ChatteParfaitt

quote:

ORIGINAL: BKSir

I plan on just sitting back, watching the mayhem from a safe distance, staying out of sight and out of mind until it gets quiet, then going about my business. *shrug*


Would that be the business of starving to death? If you had food a/o water, someone bigger or stronger would try and take it from you. Unless you could defend yourself time and again, you'd die. If you didn't have those things, you'd die.

Are we seeing a trend?





there is no reason why everyone should band together, and no reason why one person can't sit back and do their own thing. it's been happening long before we came along. the assumption is that everyone suddenly wants to try and get things back how they were. i really don't care. if i have lost everyone i love i don't care about being with people. i like individuals but as a whole i don't like 'people' much at all. in fact i hate being part of a big group where someone is trying to tell me what to do all the time. it's my idea of a nightmare.

however, i put what i'd do in another post and if people wanted to join in in helping that's cool. but i'm fortunate that i live in an area where if most of the people die i'm going to be pretty much over looked. groups will mainly stick to towns and main highways for travel. i doubt that anyone is going to come looking for me in the sticks.

needles




TheHeretic -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 3:51:56 PM)

I'm sometimes too stubborn in my optimism for humanity, Aylee. [:D]

The winters in the midwest are a bit too chilly for my tastes, but we'll certainly see about getting you hooked up as a contributing member of the Monterey Bay colony, if you make it to the coast.




LadyPact -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 5:02:59 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: needlesandpins
there is no reason why everyone should band together, and no reason why one person can't sit back and do their own thing. it's been happening long before we came along. the assumption is that everyone suddenly wants to try and get things back how they were. i really don't care. if i have lost everyone i love i don't care about being with people. i like individuals but as a whole i don't like 'people' much at all. in fact i hate being part of a big group where someone is trying to tell me what to do all the time. it's my idea of a nightmare.

however, i put what i'd do in another post and if people wanted to join in in helping that's cool. but i'm fortunate that i live in an area where if most of the people die i'm going to be pretty much over looked. groups will mainly stick to towns and main highways for travel. i doubt that anyone is going to come looking for me in the sticks.

needles

I think that might depend entirely on who you are and what abilities that you have.  From your earlier contribution to the thread, you have specific skills and knowledge that your plan could potentially work out very well for you, if you didn't come across a major illness or accident that would prevent you from being able to carry it out.

Not everybody has those kinds of skills.  Many folks would need to band with people who did. 




FukinTroll -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 5:08:38 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hippiekinkster

Watched a good BBC series, "Survivors" (netflix) recently. A 99+% fatal flu virus wipes out the planet. A few have immunity. The series involves how people band together, how they find and use resources, and so on.

Also watching a film "Ever SInce the World Ended" wherein a couple people go around San Francisco interviewing and documenting post-plague (182 people remain in the city). I"ll watch it again since I'm not paying that close attention.

But what would you do if you were one of only a few who survived an apocalypse? What would you scavenge? Why? Who would you band together with (what sort of person/people: authoritarian/strong leader, or a democratic socialist group)? Bear in mind there are no utilities anymore.




I'm the kinda Troll that can walk into the jungle with my shoe strings and build a mall. This kinda stuff doesn't ever really cross my mind.

Slurp~




ThatDamnedPanda -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 6:05:24 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hippiekinkster


No, that doesn't sound egotistical at all. I'm Alpha, myself, and actually had a small following way back around 72 or so (very long story). Also have run a small business, have chemistry training, yada yada. But I also understand that I'm neither capable of, nor competent to, micromanage everything. And I would absolutely reject a traditional heirachical power structure. I would also reject any organization based on religious mythology. I would be inclined to subvert, overthrow, or kill anyone who attempted to use force to control others. Force is to be used for self-defense only (including defending against those who commit what the group deems to be criminal behavior (rape, theft, hoarding, and so on).

I suppose that initially travelling would depend on whether one is in an urban or rural environment. At some point I think whatever group forms will need to grow/raise food, so enough land for that will be necessary.

Foraging is a given, considering civilization has collapsed. After securing food, water, and weapons, I would go for medical supplies. Sterile bandaging, syringes, sutures, and alcohol swabs. Antibiotics, antifungals, and antivirals. Pain meds (those are for me - sorry [:D]). Crutches and orthotics. Surgical equipment. Medical textbooks.

Batteries and lamps (flashlights). Candles. Kerosene and kerosene heaters. Bleach.

I think the above is basic. Keeping people alive is the first priority, I think.

Second tier: seeds. Books, especially chemistry, soil science, engineering, plumbing, sustainable gardening, animal husbandry, veterninary science. Hand tools. Building materiels, especially fasteners (nails, etc.) and insulation. Solar lighting and panels. Garden tools. Fishing gear. Clear roll plastic, plasic sheeting, cirrugated fiberglass (greenhouses). Fencing (for raising fowl and livestock). Spare parts for weapons (and more ammo). Livestock and horses (tempted to put horses in the first tier).

3rd tier: pretty much everything else.

SO what are the advantages of being stationary vs. roving? And vice-versa? To me, having an enclave is not an option, it's a necessity.


I like your list, and that of Resident Sadist. I'd expand on them a bit, though.

First, let's consider that in a scenario such as this, the infrastructure would be essentially intact for some days, and even weeks, after the die off. The power would probably go out relatively soon, but non-perishables would last indefinitely, so you'd want to plan your scavenging accordingly. In addition, there'd be a lot of supplies to go around, and very few people to compete with for them. So for many supplies, you'd have the luxury of time - not necessarily a lot of time, but enough time for a band of a dozen or so determined, hardworking, organized individuals to gather what they needed.

That said, one of the first things I'd get (in addition to what you and RS list) would be fuel - lots of it. I'd appropriate at least one tanker of gasoline, and another of diesel. Preferably several of each, if I had a secure place to hide them, and that wouldn't be hard with the refuge I have in mind. I'd also snag several generators, as long as they're laying around free for the taking. With enough fuel to power them, they'd be useful for keeping some medicines refrigerated, and also for powering the machine tools we'll need later on down the road to fabricate and repair the things we need to keep our little enclave running.

I'd also place a very high priority on luxury items - spices, like pepper, salt, cinnamon, vanilla beans, and the like - and exotic foods, like coffee, chocolate, and other things that people love but can't grow around here. Most people living in northern climates will never see most of those things again in their  lifetimes. Within a couple of years, they would be literally priceless as trade items.

And, the same for liquor. I don't mean just your average bottle of ten dollar bourbon - but fine liqueurs, wines, and champagnes. You never know when you're going to meet someone who'd be willing to trade something you need very badly for a liter of Grand Marnier or a bottle of Dom Perignon.

Marijuana seeds, for the same reason. As it happens, I used to have quite a talent for growing it, and a couple of pounds of nice, fresh White Widow might buy you a lot of corn if you run across a band of survivors who have an abundance of the latter crop but didn't think to stock up seeds for the former.

As for where... I like Rich's Monterey Bay colony, or maybe even California's Central Valley, near Lady Pact and just north of where Rich lives now. The Carmel Valley would be perfect, too, but... I don't live anywhere near there at the moment, so I'd probably have to go with something closer to the Twin Cities.... but as to where, exactly... hmm...

Well, first of all,  I think I'd adopt a 2-part plan - Stage 1, to get me and my people through the first couple of years, and Stage 2, for afterwards. If you calculate that about 30 million people would survive the flu here in the States, I'd say that half of them would be lucky to still be alive a year later. The first few months, and certainly the first  year, the mortality would be very high from other diseases, infections, accidents, murders, and suicides.

Secondary mortality in Year 2 would also be significant, but probably lower than 50%. By Year 3, almost everyone who is still alive would be alive because they are true survivors - resourceful, tough, hardworking, intelligent, and above all, self-sufficient. The inner-city criminal element - the gangsta thugs, drug dealers, and armed robbers - would have been thinned out of the herd by now. The people who remain at this point are likely, for the most part, to be people with whom you can reason and do business, not unstable, cold-blooded killers. But the first couple of years, I'd want to be as far off the beaten path as possible.

So toward that end, I'd probably head north, for two reasons - first of all, because everyone else in Minnesota will be heading south, and second, because the population density in Northern Minnesota is already so low that there will be almost nobody left alive up there. Put those two factors together, and the competition will be extremely low up on the Canadian border.

I'd head for an area called the Gunflint Trail - a 60 mile highway that stretches from Grand Marais, on the shore of Lake Superior, to a point just south of the Canadian border, where it just dead ends. From Grand Marais to the end of the road, there are only about 1500 people, so you'd probably have only a dozen survivors stretched out along that entire 60 mile stretch of road. You wouldn't really have to kill anyone, or worry about defending your turf from insurgents, because there wouldn't be anyone left alive up there. In addition, that's literally the only road into the area, so it would make your enclave very defensible.

There's plenty of game - deer in abundance, moose, rabbits, fish, geese, partridge, probably some pheasants, maybe even a few turkeys. Agriculture would be a problem, because the terrain is rugged and rocky, not suitable for large scale farming. But I know an old sand pit near the northern end of the trail, where i go shooting sometimes. It's a little rocky, but the sandy soil is perfect for crops like corn, soybeans, or potatoes - you could easily grow far more than a group of 15 or 20 people would ever need, and as for other crops that require richer soil, you could do truck farming on the lawns of the homes and resorts that would now be abandoned. Small plots, yes, but already cleared, nice and flat, and with good topsoil.

As for who... well, I'd want people much like myself, personality-wise. No dilettantes. People who know the outdoors and are comfortable living in it, people who are intelligent, honest, loyal, resourceful,self-sufficient,  and who will do whatever they have to do to get whatever they have to have to get through whatever they have to get through. I'd like a couple of farmers - not garderners, or people with green thumbs - but farmers, who know how to plant a crop in the spring, work it during the summer, and harvest it in the fall, and who know how to maintain farm machinery and fix it when it breaks down. Someone with machine-shop skills, a doctor or a couple  of nurses, people who can build structures, people who can cook, bake, and preserve foods, an electrician, and a mechanic. Having at least a few people with military backgrounds would be very useful. And I want Jeanine Garofalo, too. So that I'd have at least some reason to keep on living.

That'd be my plan for the first couple of years. After that, I dunno. It'd depend on how things are shaking out down in the rest of the country. I'd allow for the possibility that we may never leave our area. There's enough infrastructure in the city of Grand Marais that we could build and fabricate everything we need (except for petroleum fuels), and there's enough running water that we could establish hydroelectric power fairly quickly. Then it would jut be a matter of defending our area against intruders, but I doubt that would be much of a problem. Part of the reason I picked that area (aside from the great canoeing) is that nobody in their right mind is going to head several hundred miles north looking for supplies. There'd be no reason for any armed groups to range anywhere near us.

So, that's how I'd do it, I guess. If I took a little time to think about it, I could probably come up with a lot more, but this should do for a rough outline.






NocturnalStalker -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 6:23:18 PM)

Anybody alive by Year 3 would have to be a cutthroat.  




ThatDamnedPanda -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 6:33:59 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: NocturnalStalker

Anybody alive by Year 3 would have to be a cutthroat.  


Oh, sure - in one sense, absolutely. Someone perfectly willing to kill you if necessary. But at the same time, anyone who's survived that long has enough self-sufficiency that they don't necessarily need to kill in order  to get what they need. Most people who've made it that long are going to be intelligent enough to recognize that you're better off working with people than killing everyone you meet.




ThatDamnedPanda -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 6:48:05 PM)

I mean, when you think about it, we're not really talking about anything significantly different than the American West and Midwest in the mid-1800s. Settlers back then didn't just gun down every traveler who came down the road - they talked with them, exchanged the news of the day, sometimes traded for whatever they needed.... by the time Year 3 rolls around, most people will have settled into a life that has most of their basic needs covered. They won't need to kill to survive; they already have what they need, or they wouldn't have made it this long. You'll always have a few crazies here and there, but most people will be pretty reasonable. 




Hippiekinkster -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 7:04:11 PM)

Panda: I like your thinking. I don't know how I could have omitted fuel. It would have occured to me sooner or later. Most stuff usually does. One of the burdens of having a high IQ. [8D] I like your notion of collecting high-end booze, too. I'm not much of a drinker anymore, but it would be great for trading. Like your idea about the MJ, too. You could pursuade me to partake occasionally.

I grew up on a farm. I also have experience not only fixing stuff, but designing and building lab equipment (putting together pressure measurement systems using transducers; pumps and jacks (the jack has a worm drive that the motor and gear reducers (sometimes a reduction of about 5K to 1 - that's a lot of torque); the jack drives a piston inside a nitrided cylyinder with a teflon head and don't remember what the o-rings were made of; 0.005inch tolerance). I could probably figure out how to build a modest machine shop using scavenged lathes, drills, etc. That's why I put an emphasis on books; I learn pretty well that way. I can build structures as well; have done so on Kodiak Island AK, and have done extensive remodelling on several houses. Electrical and plumbing are pretty easy.

Something that just occured to me - solar calculators. Nearly everything that is done, from making soaps to building a cabin, requires calculation. In my foraging I would also hit up HS and college labs for reagents, glassware, and other labware. It'll be needed eventually.




hlen5 -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 7:11:38 PM)

I KNEW Panda would have a kick-ass plan!!!




outhere69 -> RE: It's the End of the World as We Know It... (3/27/2011 7:14:13 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: TheHeretic
If we are to hold onto any of what we are accustomed to, reverting to agrarianism isn't going to cut it. I don't just want a doctor, I want a dentist, too. The power must come back on. We must remember how to manufacture things, and promote travel and trade, and preserve some symbols of unity.

I read the engineering analysis of the blackouts that happened after the Northridge quake, and they had major problems over really long distances.  For instance, the batteries for the radio links ran down, so there was no remote switching available.  Power loss also killed the SF6 heaters, so insulation was lost.  The effects went all the way up to Canada.

I think the best you could do is try to get an "island" of power running.

ETA:  I'd also scavenge pallets...you can make some neat tiny houses with pallets, so they'd be quick shelter.




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