RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012

RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (Full Version)

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atursvcMaam -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 9:09:03 AM)
Reagan took off after the debate, neither was over 50% before the election. http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/08/09/what-really-happened-in-the-1980-presidential-campaign/ people were not so scared at the time of making a politically incorrect statement by complaining about the president's handling of the economy or international tensions. Gitmo still is, and we are still in the Mideast, whith crap kicking in that looks like we aren't going to get all of our troops home any time soon. I do not consider that to be a bd thing, but promising it and not delivering has been a habit for this President

Moonhead -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 11:24:55 AM)
quote: ORIGINAL: slvemike4u quote: ORIGINAL: Moonhead quote: ORIGINAL: flyhumbleguy I think that close to half of Americans have a death wish and will re-elect Obama. The GOP will likely maintain the House by a good margin and may even draw even in the Senate which will effectively hem in Obama's socialist tendencies for at least another two years. What socialist tendencies are these, then? Come on Moon...everyone just knows he's a socialist.I mean wtf you hear it all the time,and from the most intelligent people [8\|] No, you hear it from people who wouldn't recognise a socialist if he came around and collectivised their business. [;)]

cloudboy -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 11:25:24 AM)
Why would anyone risk a felony to cast one vote? There's high risk and low reward (one vote.) Identity voter fraud is not a substantive issue.

cloudboy -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 11:30:01 AM)
President Obama is now better than a 4-in-5 favorite to win the Electoral College, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. His chances of winning it increased to 83.7 percent on Friday, his highest figure since the Denver debate and improved from 80.8 percent on Thursday. Friday’s polling should make it easy to discern why Mr. Obama has the Electoral College advantage. There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Of these, Mr. Obama led in 19 polls, and two showed a tie. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida. Although the fact that Mr. Obama held the lead in so many polls is partly coincidental — there weren’t any polls of North Carolina on Friday, for instance, which is Mr. Romney’s strongest battleground state — they nevertheless represent powerful evidence against the idea that the race is a “tossup.” A tossup race isn’t likely to produce 19 leads for one candidate and one for the other — any more than a fair coin is likely to come up heads 19 times and tails just once in 20 tosses. (The probability of a fair coin doing so is about 1 chance in 50,000.)

cuckoldmepls -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 11:35:37 AM)
You better hope Romney wins because there are hundreds of corporations waiting to see who wins before they decide on layoffs or not.

tazzygirl -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 12:13:32 PM)
quote: ORIGINAL: cuckoldmepls You better hope Romney wins because there are hundreds of corporations waiting to see who wins before they decide on layoffs or not. Then they are waiting to shoot themselves in the foot.

Moonhead -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 12:22:19 PM)
Maybe he means that they'll be ordering their workforce how to vote? That seems to be a form of election rigging the Republicsans have less of a problem with than, say, encouraging minorities to vote...

flyhumbleguy -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 12:34:14 PM)
Tendencies as were on full display in the first half of this term while he still had a Democratic majority in the House. Americans clearly recoiled from them as could be seen in the 2010 election results.

tazzygirl -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 12:38:32 PM)
quote: ORIGINAL: flyhumbleguy Tendencies as were on full display in the first half of this term while he still had a Democratic majority in the House. Americans clearly recoiled from them as could be seen in the 2010 election results. Ah, tendencies made even more difficult by Blue Dogs who had to answer to conservative constituents. No goose stepping in the Dem party.

cloudboy -> RE: Polls and Presidential Predictions 2012 (11/3/2012 3:37:17 PM)
You sound like your news sources are Fox News and Rush Limbaugh. You need to branch out b/c your political observations make you look uninformed. Tax Rates under Obama have been the lowest on record. The stock market has rebounded robustly. Corporate profits have been huge. Corporations are sitting on mounds of cash. How do you reconcile these facts with "Obama" is leading us toward socialism? NPR had spot on today about New Hampshire politics. One observation was that you can't have a conversation / discussion with ideologues because "no one's listening."

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