Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (Full Version)

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Phydeaux -> Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 8:34:23 PM)

Read the end.. various studies have linked increased concealed weapons with a DECREASE in violence.




http://townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2014/04/04/chicago-enacts-concealed-carry-murder-rate-promptly-falls-to-1958-level-n1818843




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 8:42:59 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Read the end.. various studies have linked increased concealed weapons with a DECREASE in violence.




http://townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2014/04/04/chicago-enacts-concealed-carry-murder-rate-promptly-falls-to-1958-level-n1818843

No, it can't be the left has assured us that every time someone uses a gun in self defense it
is a crime!
Although the effect the overturning the gun ban could only have had a measurable effect so
soon would be because of the criminal element's fear that victims could be armed.
I doubt there has been a major influx of legal guns in Chicago.




Phydeaux -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 8:54:23 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

Read the end.. various studies have linked increased concealed weapons with a DECREASE in violence.




http://townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2014/04/04/chicago-enacts-concealed-carry-murder-rate-promptly-falls-to-1958-level-n1818843

No, it can't be the left has assured us that every time someone uses a gun in self defense it
is a crime!
Although the effect the overturning the gun ban could only have had a measurable effect so
soon would be because of the criminal element's fear that victims could be armed.
I doubt there has been a major influx of legal guns in Chicago.


Thats the reason given.
Crime down 6 quarters in a row since ccw allowed. Not only that, other studies show the number of violent attacks prevented by weapons have increased.

Another liberal misconception shredded by its encounter with reality.




subrob1967 -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 9:05:13 PM)

Um guys, Chicago has had the worse winter since 78/79. I really don't think that CCW permits, of which 80% of haven't been processed as of yet, has anything to do with the drop in crime in Chicago.




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 9:15:16 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: subrob1967

Um guys, Chicago has had the worse winter since 78/79. I really don't think that CCW permits, of which 80% of haven't been processed as of yet, has anything to do with the drop in crime in Chicago.

Because any crime drop has to be for any reason other than guns.
And as I stated earlier the bad guys wouldn't know which potential
victim is now armed.
If the crime drop continues are you going to blame summer weather.




joether -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/6/2014 10:46:54 PM)

How many journalistic news sites starts a reader off with a pop-up ad that says to give money to the GOP to fight President Obama? None, since journalistic integrity would be hit. Which is why cnn.com and others do not do this crap. Conservatives media sites, wishing to push the 'conservative agenda' do it often. Even townhall.com's front page reads like something out of the conservative talking points memo for the day. "Join conservatives on FB!" sort of further diminishes this 'news' outlet as being of good journalistic quality, and more like one that will ignore facts if it benefits Democrats/liberals, and promote Republican/Tea Party when it does.

Knowing all of this, and looking at the article, it does raise two questions:

A ) Is the material presented, the full truth and fact? That the writer(s) has not left material or information out that might present a better and more well informed understanding to the decrease in homicides. For instances, if there exists eight rather important and positive factors that resulted in this reduction, why are then not included as well?

B ) The article is very short, while assuming a huge amount of evidence based on questionable supporting material. When there is a reduction in homicides, its a good idea to check into what factors may have gone into that decrease. To say "oh, its because of CCW" without showing good, hard evidence, doesn't prove anything. Its been a bad winter in Chicago, the economy is improving in that city, the community has been more in concert with police to help keep crime down. An the police themselves maybe doing things publically and privately to keep those numbers down.

The first 'studies' in the article comes from a Mr. John R. Lott Jr. A person known to have written quite a few, conservative oriented, books to date. So is this book of his, free of conservative bias? Likely not. Writers that push into politics rarely stay neutral. His 'book line up', is very conservative oriented. So it would be fair to seriously ask if the 'study' in his book is factual and fair, rather than heavily bias.

The other 'study' comes from brettbart.com. This forum has seen many instances in which that site has pushed the conservative agenda even when the facts were easily found that disproved it. The report it refers to, is of an equally limited quality. As its focus is solely on firearms; like 'life in a big city' exists in a vacuum. The study does not handle outside conditions in its analysis of firearms, but rather a very focus viewpoint.

Chicago has experienced quite a number of variables in recent years, that will effect the common person in that city. To say that CCW was the only major factor in the decrease in homicides, without evidences to back it up, is at best, wishful thinking. I can simply say that the ACA has done much more, since people are not needing to steal to handle medical problems. There really is not a direct connection between CCW and the decrease in homicides. To say it does, without real, solid, and well vetted material supporting the notion,....*IS*...., pushing an agenda.

Your going to post stuff like this, at least make a real argument, rather than a sloppy one. If you both accept at face value that CCW's have been the chief and only reason for the reduction of homicides in Chicago. Then its fair to ask why you do not do the same for the Theory of Climate Change given the mountain of evidence collected to date? As both of you have been against the notion presented in several threads, yet are 'fully onboard with a flimsy article that has equally flimsy evidence supporting it? The only way this works, logically and realistically, is if both of you hold some sort of religious belief in firearms. I didn't accept the Theory of Climate Change due to even a hundred scientific papers on the subject (it took quite a pile of evidence). An any of those hundred had more information within them, then the one study from 'William J. Krouse' (the second study's author). So if your going to say that CCW is indeed the sole and primary reason for the reduction of homicides in Chicago, the burden of evidence is on you.






DesideriScuri -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 2:10:41 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Read the end.. various studies have linked increased concealed weapons with a DECREASE in violence.
http://townhall.com/tipsheet/christinerousselle/2014/04/04/chicago-enacts-concealed-carry-murder-rate-promptly-falls-to-1958-level-n1818843


    quote:

    Illinois and Chicago first legalized concealed carry last year, and murder rates have been on a steady decline since. While it is far too early to tell if this is a coincidence or a direct correlation, a variety of studies have pointed to a link between an increased number of firearms in society and a reduction of violent crime.


You're basing your claim on something that hasn't yet been proven to be a causative factor. While we may agree that it very well may be a causative factor, it's not yet been proven.





mnottertail -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 7:35:23 AM)

Six less than the same period last year, the right assures us they are fiscally responsible, what they are is innumerate.

Who writes this ignorant asswipe anyway?






subrob1967 -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:22:56 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD


quote:

ORIGINAL: subrob1967

Um guys, Chicago has had the worse winter since 78/79. I really don't think that CCW permits, of which 80% of haven't been processed as of yet, has anything to do with the drop in crime in Chicago.

Because any crime drop has to be for any reason other than guns.
And as I stated earlier the bad guys wouldn't know which potential
victim is now armed.
If the crime drop continues are you going to blame summer weather.




I think you're misunderstanding my point, I wish it were due to the people of Chicago being able to protect themselves from violent criminals, but in this case, lawful gun owners aren't the reason for the decline. The sub zero temps and heavy snowfall are.




Yachtie -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:30:03 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: subrob1967

I think you're misunderstanding my point, I wish it were due to the people of Chicago being able to protect themselves from violent criminals, but in this case, lawful gun owners aren't the reason for the decline. The sub zero temps and heavy snowfall are.


You know this? Or is it just your best guess?




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:32:00 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Yachtie


quote:

ORIGINAL: subrob1967

I think you're misunderstanding my point, I wish it were due to the people of Chicago being able to protect themselves from violent criminals, but in this case, lawful gun owners aren't the reason for the decline. The sub zero temps and heavy snowfall are.


You know this? Or is it just your best guess?


It has been snowing for 6 quarters?




altoonamaster -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:36:29 AM)

i cant rob or rape anybody its to cold




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:41:51 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: altoonamaster

i cant rob or rape anybody its to cold

He said it had dropped for 6 straight quarters, I don't think it was snowing last summer.




altoonamaster -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 8:52:41 AM)

oh my is that man or woman carrying a gun and can hurt me




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 9:00:27 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: altoonamaster

oh my is that man or woman carrying a gun and can hurt me

You are right, sarcasm trumps facts.




altoonamaster -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 9:03:08 AM)

simply put if the bad guy knows your packing he's running




BamaD -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 9:04:25 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: altoonamaster

simply put if the bad guy knows your packing he's running

That has been my experience.




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 9:19:16 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: altoonamaster

simply put if the bad guy knows your packing he's running

And if the bad guy thinks he's better than you??
Also, if you are concealed carry, he ain't gonna know and probably confront you anyway.

Someone is going to get seriously injured or dead.




Yachtie -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 9:40:08 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1

And if the bad guy thinks he's better than you??
Also, if you are concealed carry, he ain't gonna know and probably confront you anyway.

Someone is going to get seriously injured or dead.


So, would you prefer rolling over? That's my take on what you posted there. Supplication, that's the game so many endorse. It's called being the willing victim and proud of it.




Tkman117 -> RE: Concealed Carry bans overturned in Chicago, Violent crime down sharply (4/7/2014 10:08:45 AM)

Here's a news flash, maybe getting robbed isn't worth taking a life.

In terms of rape (this isn't directly aimed at you Yachtie), statistics have shown that people aren't just going to pop out and rape you and also that most rapists (85%) are known their victim. Also rapes don't even usually happen outside, only 9% do.
http://www.rapecrisis.org.uk/commonmyths2.php

With that said, most muggings or robberies don't result in injury or death, with an average of 2000 violent incidents per year, when there are millions of muggings/roberies that happen within that time that DONT result in injury or death.
http://scholarlycommons.law.northwestern.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=6480&context=jclc

Stuff is just stuff, it should not be worth your life or theirs. Yes, killings do result from robberies and muggings, but they're statistically small and unlikely to happen. And yes, they're stealing from you, but if you think killing someone is justified based on that then you have a twisted sense of morality.




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