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RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 3:28:20 PM   
HunterCA


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic




Here's what Kleck said three days ago about being debunked:

It’s deja vu all over again. In a recent Politico Magazine article, Evan DeFillipis and Devin Hughes resuscitate criticisms of a survey on defensive gun use that I conducted with my colleague Marc Gertz way back in 1993—the National Self-Defense Survey (NSDS). The authors repeat, item for item, speculative criticisms floated by a man named David Hemenway in 1997 and repeated endlessly since. The conclusion these critics drew is that our survey grossly overestimated the frequency of defensive gun use (DGU), a situation in which a crime victim uses a gun to threaten or attack the offender in self-defense. But what DeFillipis and Hughes carefully withheld from readers is the fact that I and my colleague have refuted every one of Hemenway’s dubious claims, and those by other critics of the NSDS, first in 1997, and again, even more extensively, in 1998 and 2001. Skeptical readers can check for themselves if we failed to refute them—the 1998 version is publicly available here. More seriously motivated readers could acquire a copy of Armed, a 2001 book by Don Kates and me, and read chapter six.

If DeFillipis and Hughes could refute any of our rebuttals, that would be news worth attending to. They do not, however, identify any problems with our refutations, such as errors in our logic, or superior evidence that contradicts any of our rebuttals. Instead, they just pretend they are not aware of the rebuttals, even though our first systematic dismantling of Hemenway’s speculations was published in the exact same issue of the journal that published Hemenway's 1997 critique, on the pages immediately following the Hemenway article.
The authors, a couple of Oklahoma investment counselors with no graduate degrees, do not claim to have had any training in survey research methods. Like Hemenway (who is also untrained in survey methods), they believe that it’s perfectly plausible that surveys generate enormous over-estimates of crime-related experiences, as if this were the most commonplace thing in the world. The reality that survey experts are familiar with, however, is that surveys of the general public simply do not overestimate crime-related experiences.


lucylastic, perhaps you'll show your links for your statement that he's been debunked over and over?

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:00:32 PM   
Lucylastic


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quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant

Something that is conveniently forgotten is this...yes, 48% of women killed by their partners were killed with guns. That's terrible BUT 52% are killed by...other...methods.
3
It is a sad state of affairs but the truth of the matter is...if your partner wants to kill you, they WILL find a way.

Really .lol and thats just fine then , great stuff, carry on...... more deaths dont worry anyone.
sad state of affairs but a killer is a killer......
tsk tsk, its the price you pay,,,,,,oh sorry, other people pay
Yes ive now conveniently fogotton those 48 % of women what was i thinking
i feel so much better now.
good job we arent talking about the treatment of women in islam
killing is fine but dont blame it on our" god given rights"
Pukeworthy excuse cd



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Profile   Post #: 42
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:11:58 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
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quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic




Here's what Kleck said three days ago about being debunked:

It’s deja vu all over again. In a recent Politico Magazine article, Evan DeFillipis and Devin Hughes resuscitate criticisms of a survey on defensive gun use that I conducted with my colleague Marc Gertz way back in 1993—the National Self-Defense Survey (NSDS). The authors repeat, item for item, speculative criticisms floated by a man named David Hemenway in 1997 and repeated endlessly since. The conclusion these critics drew is that our survey grossly overestimated the frequency of defensive gun use (DGU), a situation in which a crime victim uses a gun to threaten or attack the offender in self-defense. But what DeFillipis and Hughes carefully withheld from readers is the fact that I and my colleague have refuted every one of Hemenway’s dubious claims, and those by other critics of the NSDS, first in 1997, and again, even more extensively, in 1998 and 2001. Skeptical readers can check for themselves if we failed to refute them—the 1998 version is publicly available here. More seriously motivated readers could acquire a copy of Armed, a 2001 book by Don Kates and me, and read chapter six.

If DeFillipis and Hughes could refute any of our rebuttals, that would be news worth attending to. They do not, however, identify any problems with our refutations, such as errors in our logic, or superior evidence that contradicts any of our rebuttals. Instead, they just pretend they are not aware of the rebuttals, even though our first systematic dismantling of Hemenway’s speculations was published in the exact same issue of the journal that published Hemenway's 1997 critique, on the pages immediately following the Hemenway article.
The authors, a couple of Oklahoma investment counselors with no graduate degrees, do not claim to have had any training in survey research methods. Like Hemenway (who is also untrained in survey methods), they believe that it’s perfectly plausible that surveys generate enormous over-estimates of crime-related experiences, as if this were the most commonplace thing in the world. The reality that survey experts are familiar with, however, is that surveys of the general public simply do not overestimate crime-related experiences.


lucylastic, perhaps you'll show your links for your statement that he's been debunked over and over?



Lol yes i read it, and hes selling a new book and still excusing on his 17 year paper whored by everyone on the pro gun side
there was nothing to back up his rant,.
as you as usual have made several claims even after i asked for legitimate links you ignore it, make some ladder reference?
how many times has a ladder been used to kill somone with intent to harm or kill??? Look it up on the murder weapon list ......
, then we might have a good analogy, other than that its pathetic, and not in the same universe. Or a good laugh.
the debunks have happened right here on this forum
search yourself......




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(in reply to HunterCA)
Profile   Post #: 43
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:16:48 PM   
HunterCA


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Lucy....still no links, just your say so. You've got some splaining to do.

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 44
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:23:49 PM   
HunterCA


Posts: 2343
Joined: 6/21/2007
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant

Something that is conveniently forgotten is this...yes, 48% of women killed by their partners were killed with guns. That's terrible BUT 52% are killed by...other...methods.
3
It is a sad state of affairs but the truth of the matter is...if your partner wants to kill you, they WILL find a way.

Really .lol and thats just fine then , great stuff, carry on...... more deaths dont worry anyone.
sad state of affairs but a killer is a killer......
tsk tsk, its the price you pay,,,,,,oh sorry, other people pay
Yes ive now conveniently fogotton those 48 % of women what was i thinking
i feel so much better now.
good job we arent talking about the treatment of women in islam
killing is fine but dont blame it on our" god given rights"
Pukeworthy excuse cd





Lucy.....(0.48 x 7,454)/330,000,000 = 0.000011 chance some deviant is going to off you and you believe a proper reaction is for everyone to have their rights violated to the extent it makes you feel okay. Can't see it Lucy.

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 45
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:25:17 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA

Lucy....still no links, just your say so. You've got some splaining to do.


you first.you havent provided any, just bloviated
i will not be ezplaining anything to YOU
Your ignorance is its own reward

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(in reply to HunterCA)
Profile   Post #: 46
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:29:15 PM   
HunterCA


Posts: 2343
Joined: 6/21/2007
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA

Lucy....still no links, just your say so. You've got some splaining to do.


you first.you havent provided any, just bloviated
i will not be ezplaining anything to YOU
Your ignorance is its own reward


Oh Lucy, you're hating. BamaD, I and any number of people have posted all those links time after time. You ignore them each time a new conversation comes up, yet yell (most unladylike) for links when you won't profide any. Frankly, i don't care. Your hate is enough to show your mind.

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 47
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:40:29 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline
Lol
so ya still got nothing huh
just say so.
its ok the unladylike female doesnt give a shit.
if you think i hate you, you have a hyper challenged ego.


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Profile   Post #: 48
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:44:52 PM   
HunterCA


Posts: 2343
Joined: 6/21/2007
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Lol
so ya still got nothing huh
just say so.
its ok the unladylike female doesnt give a shit.
if you think i hate you, you have a hyper challenged ego.



Lol, oh I don't think you think one way or another about me...or most people for that matter. It has nothing to do with "my" ego. Of course you don't "give a shit", it's your hate. It's obvious to all but you dear.

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 49
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:49:05 PM   
HunterCA


Posts: 2343
Joined: 6/21/2007
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA

Lucy....still no links, just your say so. You've got some splaining to do.


you first.you havent provided any, just bloviated
i will not be ezplaining anything to YOU
Your ignorance is its own reward


Oh...and sweetie...you should try not to use big words you don't understand. Bloviate....I don't think one of my posts goes beyond three sentences of my statements.

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 50
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 4:53:37 PM   
Dvr22999874


Posts: 2849
Joined: 9/11/2008
Status: offline
Those statistics, like many statistics are a little spurious aren't they ?
The Bureau of Statistics over here, in combination with the Police service, made a statement a few years back that 22% of road deaths were caused by drunk drivers. It didn't take long for letters to appear in papers that said that that must mean 78% of deaths must then be caused by sober drivers, so they were the more dangerous. Get THEM off the road.
There seems to be a similarity between that and your 48%/52% statistic.
Many statistics can be made to say anything you want them to.

(in reply to HunterCA)
Profile   Post #: 51
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:00:26 PM   
Aylee


Posts: 24103
Joined: 10/14/2007
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Well, heck. With all of these statistics people are throwing out I am beginning to get the idea that the world may NOT be 100% safe.


Woulda thunk it?

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Profile   Post #: 52
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:01:23 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline
go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.

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Profile   Post #: 53
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:04:19 PM   
ExiledTyrant


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Joined: 12/9/2013
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.


Guns be some skeery shit. I've watched superman, for years, let bullets bounce off him, but when you throw the empty gun at him, he fuckin ducks!

Jus sayin

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To lead, first follow: Aurelius, Epictetus, Descartes, Sun Tzu, to name a few.

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(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 54
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:08:17 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: HunterCA

Lucy....still no links, just your say so. You've got some splaining to do.


you first.you havent provided any, just bloviated
i will not be ezplaining anything to YOU
Your ignorance is its own reward


Oh...and sweetie...you should try not to use big words you don't understand. Bloviate....I don't think one of my posts goes beyond three sentences of my statements.

condescend away...yawwwwwwwn weetie and big words? aww you are so special.
Bloviate, in as much as you rarely rant on about anything else, and still dont have any links. opinions arent fact.




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(in reply to HunterCA)
Profile   Post #: 55
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:09:24 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.


Guns be some skeery shit. I've watched superman, for years, let bullets bounce off him, but when you throw the empty gun at him, he fuckin ducks!

Jus sayin

Yeah but I dont quote "guns kill people", the idiots holding them are the killers

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(in reply to ExiledTyrant)
Profile   Post #: 56
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:10:43 PM   
ExiledTyrant


Posts: 4547
Joined: 12/9/2013
From: Exiled
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.


Guns be some skeery shit. I've watched superman, for years, let bullets bounce off him, but when you throw the empty gun at him, he fuckin ducks!

Jus sayin

Yeah but I dont quote "guns kill people", the idiots holding them are the killers


Now you're just being logical. WTF Lucy?

_____________________________

Gnothi Seauton
To lead, first follow: Aurelius, Epictetus, Descartes, Sun Tzu, to name a few.

Semper fidelis (which sometimes feels like a burden)

(in reply to Lucylastic)
Profile   Post #: 57
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:12:17 PM   
UnholyBear


Posts: 661
Joined: 10/19/2012
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.


Guns be some skeery shit. I've watched superman, for years, let bullets bounce off him, but when you throw the empty gun at him, he fuckin ducks!

Jus sayin

Yeah but I dont quote "guns kill people", the idiots holding them are the killers


Now you're just being logical. WTF Lucy?



It's cuz she's Canadian.

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(in reply to ExiledTyrant)
Profile   Post #: 58
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:14:02 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline
no honey, im just a lil woman who doesnt understand big words and refuse to play with opinionated blowhards. I really should go tie my leg back to the kitchen sink and practise my lamaze breathing before number 8 is born.



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Profile   Post #: 59
RE: The continuing war on poor little gun owners... - 2/20/2015 5:15:11 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: UnholyBear


quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic


quote:

ORIGINAL: ExiledTyrant


quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

go ahead get another gun
get those rampaging ladders and paddling pools scared.


Guns be some skeery shit. I've watched superman, for years, let bullets bounce off him, but when you throw the empty gun at him, he fuckin ducks!

Jus sayin

Yeah but I dont quote "guns kill people", the idiots holding them are the killers


Now you're just being logical. WTF Lucy?



It's cuz she's Canadian.

Huggles and molestications to my favourite bear:)

_____________________________

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<) )╯SUCH
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\(•_•)
( (> A NASTY
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(•_•)
<) )> WOMAN
/ \

Duchess Of Dissent
Dont Hate Love

(in reply to UnholyBear)
Profile   Post #: 60
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